XAU/USD Short Trade Setup | Entry 2690.766 | SL 2700 RR: 1:10Executed a short position on XAU/USD with a strategic entry at 2690.766. Using my standard market structure analysis, I identified a solid resistance level and potential downside momentum. Placing a stop loss at 2700 to manage risk and targeting 2593.019 for a solid risk-to-reward ratio. Ensuring a calculated approach with every trade.
Forex
EURGBP Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8378
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8330
Safe Stop Loss - 0. 8403
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.4397 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.4364
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.4413
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5562
Stop Loss - 0.5539
Take Profit - 0.5608
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURNZD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.8441
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.8399
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HelenP. I Gold will correct and then continue rise in channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from support 1 and then dropped to the trend line, thereby breaking support 2, which coincided with the support zone. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke support 2 one more time but later made a correction back to the trend line. Some time later Gold finally broke support 2 and then made a retest, after which some time traded near this level and even made a fake breakout of it with a trend line. After this, the price backed up to the channel and continued to grow and later reached support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke this level. Gold rose to the resistance line of the channel and then made a correction movement to the trend line (support line of the channel) and then quickly backed up to the resistance zone. At the moment, the price continues to trades in this area and I think that XAUUSD will make a correction below the support level and then continue to grow inside the upward channel. For this case, I set my goal at 2670 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0249
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0292
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy AUDJPY.
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GBPUSD Ultimate buy signal at the bottom of the 2year Channel UpThe GBPUSD pair brutally reversed this week's early gains and the 1W candle will most likely close in red after making a new Low. The trend has been bearish since the September 23 2024 High and has been accelerated after the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) rejection in early December.
This is however the ultimate long-term buy opportunity as the price is almost at the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up. On top of that, the 1W RSI is almost on the oversold barrier (30.00), a level intact since October 2022.
As long as the price is closing within the Channel Up, we see a rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level very likely, as it happened in November 2023. Our Target is 1.2950.
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USD/JPY: where is my carry trade?Hi everyone,
Since my last idea, a lot has changed. My swing target of 150 was reached, and buyers took over in December. Recently, USD/JPY hit a 6-month high of ~158.5.
Since that low at 150 in December we saw different major signals from UJ:
"When the last buyer died..." buyers volume spike on 19 of December. Healthy accumulation on 4 of December supported the rally, showing more love for the dollar than yen.
"Heyyy, I know this thing—order block!" Post-Dec 19, price rose to 158.4 with waning buyer volume and mounting shorts. OB or just noise? Suspicious either way.
"Is this still an uptrend?" Price action shows small but consistent higher highs/lows. Volatility indicators hint at rising consolidation.
"Dollar supremacy forever?" Yes, dollar is stronger, but corrections happen. Whether at 70 or 175 USD/JPY, dollar will still be stronger.
"BoJ wouldn't intervene before 160. Are they bluffing?" May be possible, but I doubt it. The finance minister concern was very high yen depreciation and they mentioned that "we wouldn't let USD/JPY reach 160". But Japan’s MO is more stealth than spectacle I think.
Lastly, for my technical analysis lovers, pitchforks . Pitchforks are a more "hipster" way to draw trendlines. Maybe also more mathematical way. They are easy, but advanced pitchfork usage may be tricky.
As you see in the chart, we’re stuck between an upper bound and a demand zone. This supports my idea of consolidation, since the demand zone and the upper pitchfork are the current support and resistance.
Another one for tech analysis lovers. Elliott Waves . There is a possibility that we are in the so called "elliot correction waves", which is often seen after an uptrend. Leg A was the summer drop, leg B took us to 158.5, and leg C could dip us to 136–146. Probability? No idea, but the range fits the pitchfork, Elliott theory, and interest rate differential. Your guess is as good as mine.
Chapter 1: Rising Distribution – Not Your Average Wyckoff
The distribution I am talking about is not the Power of Three or AMD distribution concept. For old school lovers, the distribution I mean is based on Wyckoff method. Wyckoff was an analyst who described the difference between trends and ranging markets way before traders had 3 screens with gradient indicators and fancy ways to detect the regime.
In his method, there is a thing called "distribution". It is when the institutions are fed up with the uptrend and want to sell an asset. This is also when the "buys" are transferred from institutional hands to our, normal traders, hands. How does it work? FOMO, news and herd instinct. This is where "don't stand in front of an ultra-fast train" fails.
Classic Wyckoff distribution : the point where institutions get off the train, and retail traders hop on thinking it’s express to the moon. Rising distributions happen when the crowd still expects an uptrend, but the big players quietly exit. Seems like they have another train plan. At least, that's what the volume delta says. :)
Chapter 2: The Macro Mix
US is strong. Still solid. Even with inflation and bubbles, USD rides high thanks to its post-WWII economic dominance. This allows US to export their debt until today. Debt, tech booms, and AI surges aside, the system holds.
We’ve swapped dot-com booms (2000 DotCom Bubble) for AI hype and NVIDIA super-processors. Just like the early 2000s with software, we’re seeing another leap, but with AI, robotics, and LLMs instead of spreadsheets and PCs.
I wont mention any other issues with US economy, you could read that in my previous idea, and Trump tariffs wouldn't help it either, so everything stays the same.
Another thing, but not only concentrated on US: wealth gap. Wealth gaps grow, and some of the folks that were living right in the middle, having more than enough, but not too much, are struggling financially now, or became rich and big. But blindly piling into assets isn't the answer. Markets shift, and the rich adapt.
If you want more insights about the wealth gap and how it may worsen the recession, check out the amazing videos from "Garys Economics" . A former Citi bank top trader, Gary specializes in forex, especially Yen and Swiss franc.
Chapter 3: Yen vs. Dollar Carry Trade
The interest rate differential is narrowing. BoJ raised their rates for the first time since the '90s. Japan’s deflationary pressures pushed change . Sure thing Japan has to change something, and they did and will do.
Japan is still a tech and automotive powerhouse, but monetary policy is tricky. Wouldn’t a cheaper yen help exports? Its complicated. Dollar and euro is still doing fine, being ones of the leading currencies in the world and also leading in exports. I don't think that matters that much.
Now, zoom out of the chart. Historically, USD/JPY was 138–145 at similar USD rates. Add the new yen rate, and voilà: you get my 136–146 range.
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Finalizing, USD/JPY is my muse. It is my main trading currency, maybe the only one. The a constant battle between east and west, logic and mystery is truly beautiful. Since Dec 19, it’s been weird for most of us.
Currently with AI surging in trading, we see companies fighting to find the alpha in the market. The strategy that will always work, the key to unlocking the market. This goes on for years and didn't start only now. Markets evolve, new players enter, and unexpected events (Black Swans) rewrite everything. Nevertheless, the "holy grail" strategy doesn’t exist (yet).
More and more AI models are flexible and need to be improved faster and faster. So should your strategy be, even if you are not an AI.
AI or not, adaptability is your true alpha. I’ve also updated my own metrics, ditched outdated ones, and embraced new indicators and models.
Learn some coding. Python, R, and Pinescript will be as essential as Excel soon.
You could also start with pinescript by editing your indicators/strategies in a way, that your ideas are implemented in it.
Never stop learning, even when it feels like the market is gaslighting you.
Navigate the markets like an explorer: decode shifting patterns and embrace the unknown future.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
AUD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Holds at a 56-Month LowAUD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Holds at a 56-Month Low
As seen on the AUD/USD chart, yesterday the exchange rate fell below the level of 0.618 Australian dollars per 1 US dollar. The last time the Australian dollar was this weak was in April 2020, during the global spread of the coronavirus.
The decline followed the release of inflation data from Australia earlier this week. According to Bloomberg:
→ Overall annual inflation accelerated to 2.3%, up from 2.1% previously.
→ The trimmed mean core inflation (which smooths volatile items and is closely monitored by the Reserve Bank) slowed to 3.2%, down from 3.5%.
→ Traders are pricing in a 70% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in February from the current 4.35% (a 13-year high).
Technical analysis of the AUD/USD chart shows that, despite the exchange rate being within the current downtrend (shown in red on the chart), there are grounds for bulls to remain hopeful, as:
→ The RSI indicator points to a divergence, which can be interpreted as weakening selling pressure.
→ Although the median line of the channel has acted as resistance (marked by a red arrow), the sharp rise in the first days of 2025 suggests that demand forces are gaining momentum.
Thus, it’s possible that if the AUD/USD exchange rate falls back to the lower boundary of the red channel, this could attract buyers of the weakened Australian dollar.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100USD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,124.3.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 21,614.0 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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BITCOIN Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 94,953.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 97,361 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.913.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.909.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CHFJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 172.885.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 173.784 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Key Support at 0.6179: Will AUD/USD Break or Bounce?Dear friends!
Currently, AUD/USD is struggling to record any meaningful recovery and remains near multi-year lows. In this context, the Fed's hawkish shift has driven U.S. Treasury yields higher, supporting the USD. Concerns over the U.S.-China trade war and expectations of an early rate cut by the RBA continue to weigh on the Australian dollar. Therefore, we can say that the probability of further price decline in the medium-term outlook is quite high.
As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, the current price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A consolidation pattern is forming ahead of a potential breakout related to this level. I do not rule out the possibility of the price retesting the EMA resistance or a local high before further breakdown. However, the overall technical and fundamental situation suggests a decline. Focus on the trigger level at 0.6179. A breakdown and price consolidation below this level will likely trigger a significant drop.
GBPNZD at a Crossroads📈The GBPNZD currency pair has been in a strong long-term bullish trend but now faces a critical level that could shift the entire market direction. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll explore key scenarios and highlight strategic entry points for both long and short positions. Let’s dive in!
🧵On the daily timeframe, the bullish momentum is clear. After breaking out of a descending channel, GBPNZD surged higher. Currently, it’s in a corrective phase, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement—indicating potential weakness. Compared to the last correction, this pullback shows weaker bullish candles and stronger selling pressure.
Despite this, valid long setups remain possible if our strategy confirms them. The 2.23 daily resistance is crucial; a breakout and consolidation above it could trigger long positions. On the flip side, a break below 2.18 support may confirm a bearish trend, opening short opportunities.
📍 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis 🕒
On the 4-hour chart, GBPNZD forms a descending consolidation box within the larger bullish trend. Bullish moves have been weaker, marked by smaller green candles, while bearish drops are stronger. Price is now testing a potential downside breakout.
A confirmed break below the 2.19 support—aligned with the 50% Fibonacci level—could push the price toward 2.18. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a recovery above 2.20 resistance may offer a strong long setup.
Important Note: Given the corrective phase within the broader uptrend, it’s wise to manage risk carefully with tighter stop-losses. Fast R/R trades and quick exits are ideal due to high volatility and uncertain direction. 📊
⭐ Friendly Tip:
From my experience, win rates and R/R ratios drop during ranging or corrective markets. If your strategy relies on momentum or breakouts, patience is key, or consider other pairs. Sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all. Stepping back can prepare you for greater opportunities ahead.
Thank you for the amazing support on my previous Idea. Wishing you success and profits!🤍
— Skeptic :)
BITCOIN BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
BITCOIN pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 91,049 area.
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NZD/CHF BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.510 level area with our long trade on NZD/CHF which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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