USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.558.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 143.239 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Forex
EURGBP Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.852.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.856 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) – Testing Long-Term Channel SupportBy MJTrading:
Chart Overview:
The US Dollar Index has now approached a major technical confluence zone that could define the next directional move. Price is pressing into the Danger Zone near the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel, with an Ultimate Oversell Target sitting just below.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights:
Long-Term Down Channel (Daily & Weekly):
The DXY has respected this structure for several years.
Price is currently challenging the lower boundary, a zone where reactions often occur.
Danger Zone (~95–96):
A historically reactive area.
Prior demand and channel floor converge here.
Ultimate Oversell Target (~89–90):
Marked as a deeper potential exhaustion area if the channel fails.
Moving Averages:
15 EMA ~97.8
60 EMA ~99.3
Price remains below both EMAs, confirming persistent bearish momentum.
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
Scenario A (Green Path):
A bounce off current support could trigger a relief rally back toward 98–100, targeting the mid-channel and EMAs.
Scenario B (Red Path):
A breakdown below ~95 could accelerate selling pressure, aiming for the Ultimate Oversell Target (~89).
🔹 How I See It:
This is a high-risk inflection zone. Any bullish setups here remain counter-trend and require confirmation via strong reversal signals. Conversely, a decisive breakdown could have significant implications for USD pairs and commodities.
💡 Notes:
This chart includes the weekly inset view for broader context.
Keep risk management tight in this volatile area.
🔹 Reminder:
This idea is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
💬 How are you positioning around the USD? Share your thoughts and charts below!
#Hashtags:
#MJTrading #DXY #USDollarIndex #Dollar #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #FX #USD #Majors #DollarWeakness #DollarStrength #SupportAndResistance #TrendAnalysis #MarketOutlook
BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 107,066.16
Target Level: 99,786.09
Stop Loss: 111,861.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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EUR/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 169.041
Target Level: 165.789
Stop Loss: 171.204
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF - ShortI have been short on AUDCHF for a few days. Here's my breakdown:
Technical:
- Descending channel
- Strong resistance on the upper channel line
- Potential descending triangle forming, suggesting continuation of this downtrend
- Following the overall trend of this pair, which is bearish
Fundamental:
- Risk off mood globally, CHF is a safe haven currency
- Dovish RBA
- Commodity pressure on AUD
- SNB stability
EUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly HighEUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly High
Yesterday, the EUR/USD exchange rate rose above the 1.1700 level for the first time this year. The last time one euro was worth more than 1.70 US dollars was in autumn 2019.
The main driver behind the euro’s rise is the weakening dollar, largely due to decisions made by the Trump administration. This week alone, the EUR/USD pair has gained more than 2%, partly as a result of escalating tensions between the US President and the Chair of the Federal Reserve.
According to Reuters, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he had three or four candidates in mind for the top job at the Fed. It was also reported that Trump had considered selecting and announcing a replacement for Powell by September or October (his current term officially runs until May 2026).
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Price movements are forming an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations:
→ Midweek, the price consolidated around the channel’s median line (as indicated by arrow 1);
→ It then broke through the 1.6300 level with strong bullish momentum (shown by arrow 2), a level that had acted as resistance earlier in the month;
→ The long upper wicks on the candles forming yesterday’s highs (circled) suggest increased selling pressure near the upper boundary of the channel.
Given this, we could assume that in the short term, the price might form a new consolidation zone around the median line above the 1.6300 level. Significant fundamental catalysts would be required to break the developing upward trend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so USD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.801.
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USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 143.964.
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XPTUSD 1W:While Everyone Watches Gold, Platinum Quietly Wakes UpGold gets the headlines — but platinum just broke two years of silence with a clean, high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. And this isn’t noise — this is the structural shift traders wait for.
Price has been coiled inside a compressing wedge since early 2022. Equal highs. Equal lows. Stop hunts both ways. The classic “shake out before take off.” Now? The breakout is in. And the weekly candle closed above resistance with volume confirmation. Oh, and while we're at it — the 50MA just crossed above the 200MA, signaling a long-term trend reversal.
Target? Measure the triangle height: ~398 points. That projects a breakout target of 1440 USD, which aligns perfectly with previous institutional rejection zones.
But this isn’t just about the chart.
🔹 South Africa, the top global supplier, is struggling with energy and production cuts;
🔹 The Fed is pausing rate hikes — the dollar weakens, metals rally;
🔹 Demand from hydrogen tech, clean energy, and industrial catalysts is on the rise.
Translation? Smart money has been accumulating. The move from 965–1070 was just the ignition. The drive hasn’t started yet.
So while everyone fights over gold highs, platinum sits at the base of a move no one's prepared for — except those who know how accumulation ends.
🧭 Key support: 965–985
📍 Resistance zone: 1150–1180
🎯 Measured target: 1440+
XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness!
Hello TradingView Community!
Let's delve into the intricate world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing a subtle positive bias, largely influenced by a weaker US Dollar, yet a decisive bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive.
🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: Forces Shaping Gold's Path
Gold has maintained a slight positive stance for the second consecutive day, but it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading.
USD Under Pressure – A Tailwind for Gold: The primary driver for Gold's recent strength is the weakening US Dollar. Reports suggesting President Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns about the US central bank's future independence. This speculation has fueled market expectations for further Fed rate cuts this year, pushing the USD to its lowest point since March 2022, thereby providing support for non-yielding assets like Gold.
Cautious Outlook Prevails: Despite USD weakness, a definitive bullish trend for Gold is not yet confirmed. The ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds firm, with prevailing optimism limiting significant safe-haven rallies. This complex environment necessitates caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300.
Key Data Ahead: Traders are keenly awaiting upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members. These insights will be crucial in influencing XAU/USD, particularly ahead of Friday's pivotal US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Pinpointing Strategic Zones
Based on recent technical analysis (referencing image_e9d325.png for key levels), Gold is in a consolidation phase after a recent sharp decline, trading around the $329X mark. Price action below shorter-term moving averages suggests either lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase.
Strong Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas): Critical demand areas are identified around 3294.414, 3276.122, and notably 3264.400. These levels are crucial for potential price bounces.
Key Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas): Significant supply zones are found at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947. These are points where selling pressure may emerge.
🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan: Your Actionable Strategy
Here's a breakdown of the strategic entry and exit points for your XAUUSD trades:
BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias):
Entry: 3266 - 3264
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320
BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support):
Entry: 3284 - 3282
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330
SELL ZONE (Key Resistance):
Entry: 3331 - 3333
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300
SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315
SL: 3320
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely:
US Macro Data: Friday's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is paramount for market direction.
FOMC Member Speeches: Any official comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will significantly impact USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Stability: Developments related to the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
BTC - Double Top after Liquidity Sweep?Price has recently executed a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep just above the previous high. This type of move often signals a potential shift in market direction, especially when followed by signs of exhaustion or failure to push higher. In this case, price has formed a double top near the 106,600 level, a classic sign of weakening bullish momentum and hesitation at a key resistance area.
Following the Sweep, the projection suggests a possible rejection from this region, leading to a corrective move to rebalance the inefficiencies left behind by the sharp upward impulse. These inefficiencies are marked as Fair Value Gaps —areas where price moved too quickly, leaving imbalanced zones between buyers and sellers. The market tends to return to these areas over time as it seeks equilibrium.
The first Gap lies just below the 0.28 Fibonacci retracement and may serve as an initial area for a reaction. If price slices through this level without meaningful support, attention shifts to the second Gap, which aligns closely with the 0.50 to 0.618 retracement zone. This region is historically significant for pullbacks and could offer a temporary pause or bounce.
Should the move extend further, the third and deepest Gap, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels , becomes a key area of interest. It marks a critical rebalancing zone that could attract stronger buying interest. If this area fails to hold, the 0.786 retracement level sits just below and may act as a final point for support before any broader directional change.
For refined entries, traders can watch lower timeframes like the 5-minute chart. Look for signs of weakness, such as an inverted Gap or a lower-timeframe break in structure, to time positions with tighter risk. This allows participation in the broader move while maintaining tactical precision.
The confluence of a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, a double top , and multiple Gaps below provides a clear framework for a potential downside play. As always, let the price action lead.
Patience, confirmation, and context are key to executing with confidence.
EURCAD: Pullback Trade From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD is going to bounce from a recently broken
key daily horizontal resistance that turned into support after a violation.
The price violated a neckline of a double bottom pattern with
a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame as a confirmation.
Goal - 1.5998
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Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8530
1st Support: 0.8482
1st Resistance: 0.8569
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation?GBP/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.8664
1st Support: 1.8590
1st Resistance: 1.8825
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market next move 🔍 Disrupting the Original Bullish Bias
The original analysis assumes a bullish reversal from the support zone aiming for a resistance target near $3,360. However, let’s challenge that with an alternate (bearish or neutral) perspective:
---
⚠️ 1. Support May Not Hold
Price has tested the support zone multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
Repeated testing weakens support levels; a breakdown below $3,280 could trigger panic selling or stop-loss hunts, accelerating the drop.
---
📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Dominant
The overall trend is downward, with lower highs and lower lows.
The current bounce could be a dead cat bounce — a short-lived recovery before another drop.
---
📊 3. Volume Analysis
There's no significant bullish volume spike at the support, which weakens the bullish thesis.
This suggests lack of strong buying interest, a red flag for bullish continuation.
---
🔄 4. Resistance May Hold Strong
The resistance area around $3,360 has shown previous strong rejections.
Even if price rises, it could stall or reverse before reaching the target.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3646
1st Support: 1.3555
1st Resistance: 1.3702
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.67
1st Support: 143.07
1st Resistance: 145.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Price Analysis June 27Daily Trend Analysis:
The price has reacted strongly at the 3348 level, forming a clear and sustainable bearish structure. The 3296 zone is now a critical level — a confirmed breakout below this area could lead to a deeper decline, especially with limited potential for recovery on Friday.
Today, the bearish trend is likely to face less resistance compared to the bullish side. As such, a move toward the support zones at 3278 and 3255 is highly probable.
Any bullish retracement during the European session should be viewed as a good opportunity to look for SELL setups, targeting 3278 and 3255.
As previously analyzed, SELL zones are clustered around key resistance levels. Traders should closely watch price reactions in these areas for potential entry signals.
🔹 Breakout key level: 3296
🔹 Support zones: 3278 – 3255
🔹 Resistance zones: 3300 – 3312 – 3325 – 3336 – 3348 – 3363
Is the NZDCAD uptrend still strong?NZDCAD has broken the trendline structure and is heading towards the resistance at 0.83500
0.827 has become a confluence of support and trendline. The pair is looking for more buying momentum at the support zone.
2 zones to watch are 0.827 and 0.823
If the 0.823 zone is broken, the uptrend is broken and the market turns to a downtrend. The target of the downtrend and the market finds the bottom of last month around 0.812.
Confirm SELL signal when breaking 0.823
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
Is USDJPY in a Downtrend?USDJPY is supported by the trendline and the price is facing the resistance zone of 144.500. If the candle cannot close above this resistance zone, the sellers can push the price to break the trendline and head towards the support zone of 142.700. This support zone plays an important role in shaping the trend if broken the downtrend can be extended and no support zone can be strong enough to push the price of the pair until 140.300.
There is still a high possibility of a reaction so the BUY strategy at the support zone of 142.700 is still ready
On the other hand, if the candle closes above the resistance zone of 144.500, the uptrend is still maintained and heading towards this week's peak around 147.500. Pay attention to the price reaction at 146.000.
NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.6087 and as it
Is a strong key structure
We will be expecting
A local move down
Sell!
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