Gold Trading Strategy June 20Daily candle continues to show a struggle while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then a recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday's 3343 zone is reacting 5 prices in the direction of profit. Next support around 3323 pay attention to the next sweep. Pay attention to additional daily support at 3296 for today's buy strategy.
3362 gives a SELL Break out signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY to 3400 target the two upper resistance zones remain the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
Resistance: 3400-3415-3443
Support: 3323-3296
Break out: 3362
Forex
GOLD - Price may bounce up from wedge to $3500 points Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, price entered to wedge, where it at once made an upward impulse from the support line.
Price broke $3155 with $3420 level and reached resistance line, but soon turned around and started to decline.
After this, Gold broke the $3420 level one more time and later tried to grow, but when it reached the resistance zone, it dropped.
Next, price bounced from support line of wedge and started to grow and in a short time rose to $3420 level.
Recently, it declined below, making a fake breakout of the resistance level, and now it continues to decline.
In my mind, Gold can decline a little more and then bounce up to $3500, breaking the resistance level.
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NZDJPY “Kiwi Poised to Fly as Japan Muddles ThroughNZDJPY shows a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, with bullish structure holding near 87.20–87.25.
Key resistance targets:
87.97 (Previous high)
88.64 (Next resistance / projected fib target)
Two upside scenarios are shown:
Conservative target: ~87.97
Aggressive swing: ~88.64
If 87.00–87.20 zone holds as support, expect bullish continuation.
🧩 Current Bias: Bullish
📌 Key Fundamentals Driving NZDJPY
NZD Side (Strengthening):
RBNZ hawkish hold: RBNZ recently kept rates at 5.50% and warned that inflation remains persistent, requiring prolonged tight policy.
Resilient NZ GDP: Stronger-than-expected GDP print signals economic resilience.
Terms of trade improvement: Commodity exports holding firm, China consumption rebound showing hints of demand recovery (see recent 618 festival sales data).
AUD correlation: AUD and NZD are moving together; if AUD strengthens, NZD often follows.
JPY Side (Weakening):
BoJ remains ultra-dovish: Despite inflation trends, BoJ is hesitant to tighten further, preferring gradual tapering.
Yen under pressure from yield differentials: Global central banks (like RBNZ, Fed) remain hawkish while BoJ is not.
Geopolitical funding flows: JPY used as a funding currency amid global volatility (carry trade boost for NZDJPY).
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse the Trend
BoJ surprise tightening rhetoric (e.g. bond purchase taper announcement).
China data deterioration, hurting Kiwi sentiment.
Sharp equity sell-off and geopolitical escalation (Yen safe-haven reversal).
📅 Important News to Watch
🇳🇿 NZ Trade Balance (upcoming)
🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI (Jun 28) – Critical for BoJ policy speculation.
RBNZ or BoJ member speeches (hawkish or dovish shifts)
Fed tone shift or US dollar strength spillover
🏁 Who Leads the Move?
NZDJPY could lead among yen crosses due to the RBNZ’s clear inflation fight versus BoJ’s passive stance. NZDJPY is also more responsive to commodity and global risk-on flows than EURJPY or USDJPY.
EUR/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
EUR/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.922
Target Level: 1.899
Stop Loss: 1.938
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Ready to Shine Again? Watch This Battle Zone Closely!Gold is consolidating above the 50% retracement (3372) after defending key structure at 3368–3378. Bullish momentum is building as Silver continues to lead, and the US Dollar (DXY) weakens post-FOMC. If buyers step in here, we could see a clean breakout toward 3415–3450 and beyond. But if 3368 breaks, the bull case is temporarily invalidated.
🧭 Technical Highlights:
✅ Support Zone: 3368–3378 (Fibonacci + bullish order block)
✅ Resistance Targets: 3395, 3415.84, 3451.84, 3470+
🔄 Silver Divergence: XAGUSD broke higher → leading XAU bullishly
🔼 Bias: Bullish (as long as 3368 holds)
🌐 Fundamental Drivers:
🏦 Fed dot plot turns dovish – Only 1–2 cuts, but no hikes planned; supports gold upside.
⚔️ Middle East tensions rising – Iran vs. Israel/US rhetoric keeps risk premium high.
📉 DXY weakens after Powell avoided hawkish tone; real yields remain capped.
💬 Silver outperforming on safe-haven + industrial hedge flows.
💡 Trading Plan Summary:
Buy Zone: 3372–3380
TP Zones: 3395, 3415, 3450+
Invalidation: Close below 3368
Confirmation: Break and close above 3395 with volume = signal to scale in
🔔 Keep an eye on:
US Jobless Claims, SNB & BoE Decisions
DXY 98.70 key level
Silver reaction near 36.70–37.20
EUR/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.762 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-CAD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.575.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Analysis – Bearish Scenario
1. Resistance Rejection:
Price has stalled around 145.40, showing hesitation.
The target area (~148.000) hasn't been tested yet, and prior attempts to break higher may face heavy resistance from institutional sell orders or prior supply zones.
2. Range-Bound Structure:
Current price action shows consolidation — multiple small-bodied candles.
Lack of volume or momentum may indicate accumulation or distribution — not necessarily a bullish breakout setup.
3. Potential Bearish Triggers:
If price breaks below 145.00, a short-term bearish move could occur toward:
144.30 – recent swing low support.
143.80 – demand zone based on prior accumulation.
4. Macro Disruptors:
Surprise BoJ intervention or hawkish policy tone could strengthen the Yen.
A dovish Fed statement or poor U.S. economic data could drag USD down sharply.
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📉 Alternate Scenario Chart Sketch (Hypothetical):
148.000 ──────── (Target denied - strong resistance)
↑
Rejection
↓
145.000 ──────── (Breaks support)
↓
144.300 ──────── (First bearish target)
↓
143.800 ──────── (Deeper retracement zone)
EUR/USD – Technical Price Forecast🔍 EUR/USD – Technical Price Forecast
As of June 18, 2025
Current Price: 1.15040
Bias: Bearish (Short-term)
Timeframe Context: Likely 4H or Daily
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown
🔺 Trend Context
Primary Trend (recent weeks): Bullish impulse from early June
Current Phase: Retracement / potential reversal
⬇️ Recent Price Action
Lower highs forming (arrows mark swing failure at ~1.1650 and ~1.1600).
Price has broken market structure to the downside around 1.1550 with a strong bearish candle.
Current retracement is weak and corrective, lacking momentum.
📐 Key Technical Levels
Level Type Observation
1.1650 Resistance Swing high / aggressive rejection
1.1600 Resistance Lower high + supply zone
1.1550 Supply zone Breakdown area
1.1500 Current zone Minor consolidation
1.1450–1.1400 Demand zone Prior accumulation zone (support)
1.1350 Next support Clean inefficiency below
📉 Liquidity & Order Flow Insight
Sell-side liquidity likely rests below 1.1400.
The recent bullish pullback appears to be a liquidity grab, not a reversal.
Imbalance created by recent bearish move remains unfilled.
📊 Candlestick Behavior
Strong bearish engulfing candle on the move from 1.1550 to 1.1480 indicates supply absorption.
Current candles are corrective and small-bodied — suggesting weak buying and potential continuation down.
🔮 Price Prediction / Forecast
Time Horizon Forecast Summary
Short-term (1–3 days) Expect minor bullish retracement to 1.1530–1.1550, followed by rejection.
Medium-term (3–7 days) Breakdown toward 1.1450, targeting liquidity below support zone.
Extended scenario If 1.1400 breaks cleanly, expect a drop toward 1.1350 and possibly 1.1300 as next support.
📌 Invalidation Level: A daily close above 1.1600 would invalidate this bearish scenario and imply further upside potential.
🧠 Strategy Implications (Pro Traders)
Sell the rally into 1.1530–1.1550 supply with stops above 1.1600.
Take profit levels:
TP1: 1.1450
TP2: 1.1400
TP3 (extension): 1.1350
Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio ≥ 2:1. Confirm entry with bearish price action on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H).
⚠️ Macro Consideration
Multiple economic events approaching (U.S. and EU flags shown) — expect volatility. Hold trades cautiously around high-impact news.
ETH/USD Technical Analysis📉 ETH/USD Technical Analysis
📅 Published: June 19, 2025
🔍 Platform: TradingView | Analyst: MQL_CodedPips
🔹 Market Context:
The market structure shows a clear shift from bullish to bearish momentum after rejecting a key resistance area. The price action is now consolidating below the Ichimoku Cloud — a signal of weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🔸 Key Technical Highlights:
Rejection from Resistance:
Price formed a clear top with a long upper wick, confirming seller dominance.
Marked rejection aligns with a previous high and overbought condition.
Bearish Ichimoku Setup:
Price is trading below the Kumo Cloud, indicating bearish sentiment.
Bearish Tenkan-Kijun crossover occurred earlier, reinforcing downside pressure.
Support Zone Reaction:
A strong bounce was seen from the marked support zone, showing short-term buyer interest.
However, price has failed to reclaim above the cloud, suggesting limited bullish strength.
Volume Profile Indication:
High volume node on the left suggests strong historical activity in that zone, but failure to hold could result in a sharp move down.
Forecast Path (Illustrated):
The chart projects a potential bearish move, targeting a retest of the support zone.
If that zone fails, a breakdown toward the $2,450–$2,425 area becomes likely.
🧭 Conclusion:
ETH/USD is showing signs of distribution after a failed breakout, now leaning bearish under key technical indicators. A confirmed breakdown below the support zone would validate the short-term bearish scenario.
Outlook:
🔻 Bearish bias while price remains below the Kumo Cloud.
📌 Watch for price action at support zone for either a bounce or breakdown.
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
AUDCHF - Wait For it!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the flat falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
Moreover, the green zone is a supply.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD 2h chart pattern.I'm provided for XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) on the 2-hour timeframe, here's the analysis:
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📉 Chart Pattern Insight
A clear ascending channel was forming.
Price broke below the lower trendline (highlighted in orange), signaling a potential bearish breakdown.
The price is currently retesting the broken trendline and starting to reject it — a bearish sign.
---
🎯 Target Levels Identified on Chart
You’ve marked two bearish targets with arrows:
1. First Target: Around $3,280
This aligns with a previous minor support area.
A reasonable short-term target after the trendline break.
2. Second (Deeper) Target: Around $3,245
Likely based on the full height of the channel projected downward (measured move).
This level could be the next major support.
---
📌 Summary:
Target Price Level Confidence
First Target ~$3,280 Medium-High
Final Target ~$3,245 Medium
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Let me know if you'd like help setting stop-loss levels, trade management tips, or a risk-reward calculation based on your entry.
XAU/USD,15M CHART PATTERN.gold at 3412, and im listed the following targets:
Target 3482 → This is above your entry price, so it looks like a mistake if you're in a sell position.
Target 3340 → Logical downside target.
Target 3320 → Another lower target, continuation of bearish momentum.
Corrected View (Assuming SELL from 3412):
Type Level
Entry 3412
TP1 3340
TP2 3320
SL (suggested) 3445–3450 (above recent highs)
Let me know if the 3482 was meant to be your stop loss instead — that would make more sense in this context.
EURNZD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD is going to retrace from a strong daily resistance cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I see a bearish breakout of a support line
of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.9144
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD.4h chart pattern.XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, and it indicates a bearish breakdown from an ascending triangle or wedge pattern. The trendline has been broken, and the price has moved below the Ichimoku cloud, supporting a bearish outlook.
📉 Bearish Targets Identified:
1. First Target Zone (Minor Support):
Price Level: Around 3,300 – 3,310
This is the first horizontal support area after the breakdown.
2. Second Target Zone (Major Support):
Price Level: Around 3,250 – 3,260
This is the second marked target and more significant support zone based on past price action.
🔻 Summary:
Pattern: Rising wedge / ascending structure breakdown.
Breakdown Confirmed: Price below trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
Target 1: 3,300 – 3,310
Target 2: 3,250 – 3,260
Stop Loss (Suggested): Above 3,380 (cloud resistance / previous high).
Let me know if you'd like entry/SL/TP levels or a written analysis for posting.
Gold Trading Strategy June 19Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the Sell side after the FOMC announcement. Today's Asian session had a push but the European and American sessions are likely to sell again.
3366 will be an important breakout zone today, if broken through, the Sell side will continue to be strong and push the price deeper and limit buying when breaking this 3366 zone. 3344 is the first target, it is difficult for gold to break this zone but if it breaks right away, wait below 3296 to BUY for safety. Before that, pay attention to another support zone 3322.
3400 is the Breakout border zone from yesterday to today but gold has not broken it yet. To SELL this zone, you must also wait for the confirmation of the candle, but if you want to wait for a better SELL, you must wait for 3415 or wait at the ATH peak 3443. However, if it breaks 3400, waiting for a Buy test will be quite nice.
Support: 3343-3322-3296
Resistance: 3415-3443
Break out zone: 3366-3400
Market next target
🔻 Bearish Disruption Analysis
1. Overbought Conditions / RSI Exhaustion
The recent bullish momentum appears strong, but it could be entering overbought territory, especially on the 1-hour chart.
A correction may follow if technical indicators like RSI or MACD start diverging.
2. Resistance Zone at 1.35000 - 1.35500
The price is nearing a historical resistance area around 1.3500–1.3550, where sellers have previously stepped in.
Without strong volume or a news catalyst, this zone may reject further upside movement.
3. Low Volume Breakout
The breakout visible before the arrows is accompanied by relatively moderate volume, which can indicate a false breakout or bull trap.
4. Fundamental Uncertainty
Upcoming U.S. or UK economic data (indicated by the flags on the chart) could disrupt the expected bullish move.
Example: A strong USD labor report or hawkish Fed comment could reverse the GBP/USD rally.
Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6036
1st Support: 0.5965
1st Resistance: 0.6080
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3651
1st Support: 1.3581
1st Resistance: 1.3735
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold price analysis June 20Daily candle continues to show the dispute while the Sellers are dominating. Today there may be a deep sweep and then recovery at the end of the day.
Yesterday and this morning's 3343 zone did not sweep, so we cancel this zone. BUY must wait until below 3323. Note additional daily support at 3296 for today's 2 buy strategies.
3362 gives a SELL Breakout signal in the Asia-Europe session. If Gold closes back above 3362, then BUY will go up to 3400, the target of the two upper resistance zones remains the same as yesterday at 3415 and 3443
Market next move 🟥 Disrupted Analysis: Bearish Divergence on EUR/USD (1H)
Weak Support Zone:
The price labeled as "Support" was never a well-tested zone. It appears to be a minor structure, and the bounce lacks strong confirmation or significant volume.
Volume Decline During Rise:
The recent upward candles show shrinking volume, a sign that the buying momentum is weakening, not strengthening. Bulls are losing energy.
Potential Double Top Formation:
If price action near current levels stalls, a double top could form, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. Watch for rejection below 1.1550.
Bearish Target Zone (if reversal begins):
First target: 1.1450 (minor support)
Break below that opens 1.1370 zone (volume support area)
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📉 Disrupted Price Path (Opposing the Yellow Arrow)
Rejection
↓
┌─────────┐
│ ▼
│ Pullback to "Support"
▼ │
Breakdown │
▼ │
Target Zone ▼
Market next target Disrupted Analysis: Bearish Outlook on Gold CFDs (1H Chart)
Support Breakdown Imminent:
The price is repeatedly testing the support area marked in red. Instead of holding strong, this indicates weak buyer interest. Volume is not spiking in support, showing no accumulation behavior.
Volume Divergence:
Despite prices consolidating near support, volume is decreasing, suggesting lack of conviction from bulls. This often precedes bearish breakdowns.
Bearish Targets:
If the current level at 3,352.990 breaks down decisively:
Immediate target: 3,320.000
Extended bearish move: 3,280.000 (prior demand zone)
Price Action Signals:
Lower highs forming consistently.
No bullish engulfing or reversal candles in sight.
Stronger bearish momentum candles (long red bodies with volume).
---
📉 Suggested Disruption Chart Path (Instead of Bullish Arrow):
Support Area
↓
┌───────┐
│ │
▼ │
Breakdown │
▼ │
Retest Fail │
▼ │
Bearish Slide▼