AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants.
Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction.
Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond.
This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
Forex
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚
Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 .
Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers:
Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤
Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪
Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy!
Final Vibe Check
That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD) Is Gold Just Breathing or Breaking? Smart Money Zones Revealed (XAUUSD)
🔍 Macro & Sentiment Overview
Gold faced a sharp correction after a strong Asian session rally, which caught many traders off guard...
While the US Dollar gained 0.7% due to safe-haven flows and Fed anticipation, gold's dip seems more like a liquidity sweep than a structural reversal...
🌍 Rising geopolitical tensions — especially Iran–Israel and Trump’s comments about Tehran — keep the fear premium alive…
🛢️ Meanwhile, oil prices are surging, and institutional funds might be rotating capital between commodities and equities...
📝 All eyes are now on the Fed’s rate decision and the US retail sales report — a potential "horror print" that could shock rate expectations and trigger high volatility across markets.
📉 Technical Breakdown (M30 Perspective)
Price pulled back sharply after an overextended bullish move from Asian FOMO…
EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200) show early signs of potential crossover — signaling caution for buyers…
Liquidity gaps (FVG zones) below current price indicate a magnet for institutional fills…
🎯 Trade Setup
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
Stop-Loss: 3339
Take Profits:
3350 → 3354 → 3358 → 3362 → 3366 → 3370 → 3380 → 3400 → ???
🧠 Look for confirmation through price action and rejection candles during London/NY sessions before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
Stop-Loss: 3448
Take Profits:
3438 → 3434 → 3430 → 3425 → 3420 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Only short upon clean rejection and strong bearish confirmation patterns — avoid blind entries in this volatile phase.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Gold is moving within a smart money playbook — triggering stop hunts and liquidity grabs. With macro uncertainty ahead, patience and precision matter more than ever.
Let price come to your zones. Don’t chase. Let volatility serve you — not shake you.
📌 Follow this idea for live updates during the Fed press conference and NY session.
USDCHF: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is going to retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance cluster.
As a confirmation, I spotted a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising
wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
We see its retest now.
Goal - 0.815
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EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, downside pressure intensifiesEURUSD formed a lower high near 1.1613, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is now testing a key trendline, and a break below 1.1473 could confirm a bearish move toward 1.1350.
Market sentiment is currently dominated by the Fed’s hawkish stance following the latest FOMC meeting, where the central bank kept rates unchanged but expressed readiness to hike further if necessary. Meanwhile, although tensions in the Middle East are escalating, they have yet to deliver a significant blow to the USD.
Given the current backdrop, EURUSD is under considerable pressure and may soon break its bullish structure unless strong buying interest re-emerges.
Trading strategy june 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH.
The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks.
The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400.
The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrends again and creates momentum towards 3443.
On the opposite side, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3342
Break out zone: 3400; 3372
Resistance: 3415; 3443
Support: 3343
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!🚨 GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT 🚨
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVG—two powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. 🟡📈
Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows — classic move. 🧠💧
Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) 🔥
📍 Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize — the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. 🎯📊
💡 This setup is packed with confluence, but as always...
DYOR – Do Your Own Research.
Don’t trade blindly. Trade smart. ✅
USD_CHF SHORT SIGNAL|
✅USD_CHF made a nice
Rebound from the support
Below just as we predicted in
Our previous analysis but is now
About to retest the horizontal
Resistance of 0.8200 from where
We can go short with the TP
Of 0.8124 and the SL of 0.8207
SHORT🔥
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Major resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6512
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6545
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3706
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3793
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 144.34
1st Support: 142.98
1st Resistance: 146.15
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal off overlap support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3412
1st Support: 1.3320
1st Resistance: 1.3517
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1451
1st Support: 1.1342
1st Resistance: 1.1614
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.89
1st Support: 98.29
1st Resistance: 99.60
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR-JPY Bullish Continuation! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 166.162
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the retest of the
New support we will be
Expecting a bullish continuation
Buy!
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GOLD fluctuates, but remains generally stable sidewaysOANDA:XAUUSD has been volatile and volatile but has remained broadly stable as investors assess the conflict between Israel and Iran while keeping an eye on this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Spot gold was steady at $3.38/oz at press time, down from a high of $3,403/oz yesterday (Tuesday).
Israel and Iran traded fire for a fifth day on Tuesday as US President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of the Iranian capital Tehran and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada, amid reports he had asked his administration's National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room.
According to Reuters, Tehran has asked Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel for a regional ceasefire in exchange for Iran's willingness to be flexible in nuclear talks.
Trump's latest Truth Social post stated: "I have not communicated with Iran in any way, shape or form about (peace talks). This is all fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to communicate with me. They should make a deal at the negotiating table, it will save lives!!!"
Forexlive commented that those who know Trump know that he will definitely wait for Iran to come to him. According to reports, Iran is trying to negotiate a ceasefire, but has not received any substantive news so far.
Non-yielding gold is seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty and has generally performed well in low interest rate environments. So, fundamentally speaking, gold should be positive in the current market environment, although the sharp declines often make new traders lose their confidence in the trend. I myself have been the same way, there have been many times this year when I did not believe in myself, did not believe in the uptrend and ended up with bad results…
The Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech will be released today (Wednesday). Traders are now expecting the Fed to cut interest rates twice by the end of the year.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on June 18:
• The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3% and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%;
• The probability of a rate stay unchanged in July is 85.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.4% and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been trading back and forth between the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the 3,400USD whole price point, which was noted as the nearest support and resistance sent to readers in the previous issue.
However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged with the uptrend still dominating the chart, with the EMA21 support as the important support and the trend as the main trend. Meanwhile, the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level is the nearest support and the price channel is the short-term trend.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and 50 is considered support in this case for the RSI, with the distance far from the overbought zone suggesting that there is still room for upside ahead.
During the day, if gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will give a positive signal for the bullish outlook and the target is then around $3,435 in the short term.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3423 - 3421⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3427
→Take Profit 1 3415
↨
→Take Profit 2 3409
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3351 - 3353⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3347
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3365
GBP_JPY RISING SUPPORT|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 195.733
LONG🚀
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GBP-CHF Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF keeps falling but
A strong horizontal support
Level is ahead at 1.0921
From where we will be
Expecting a rebound
And a local bullish move up
Buy!
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