Yen Steady Near 149 as BOJ Hints at Possible Rate HikesThe yen held near 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from a weaker dollar amid a stronger euro and Trump’s tariffs. While Trump eased tariffs for some automakers, retaliatory measures pressured the dollar. BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida signaled potential rate hikes if economic forecasts hold, noting financial conditions remain loose with minimal JGB reductions.
Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 148.60, followed by 147.10 and 145.80.
Forex
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel
The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection.
If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce.
2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected
The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic.
Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move.
3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis
There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying.
RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal.
4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup
The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.).
If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones.
Possible Alternative Scenario
A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
EURUSD Rejection expected that will take it to parity.EURUSD crossed above its MA200 (1d) and is headed for the top of the long term Channel Down.
A rejection similar to September 2024 is highly likely (which pulled the price to the 1.382 Fib), especially since this week's rise has been huge and based solely on geopolitics.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.000 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is overbought. The last time it was this high was on August 23rd 2024. Exactly on the last Lower High of the Channel Down.
Please like, follow and comment!!
DXY Will Grow! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 17h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 104.192.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 106.217 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains.
The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold.
Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
GBPJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 191.67
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 190.34
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish rise?AUD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5616
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.5581
Why we like it:
There os a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5679
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to ur take profit.
Entry: 84.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 83.82
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 86.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SILVER BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 31.462.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURAUD to see a turnaround?EURAUD - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
The rally is close to a correction count on the daily chart.
We look to Sell a break of 1.6950.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to Sell a break of 1.6950 (stop at 1.7010)
Our profit targets will be 1.6740 and 1.6710
Resistance: 1.7070 / 1.7100 / 1.7250
Support: 1.6950 / 1.6850 / 1.6730
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GBP-AUD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair
Is making a local correction
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support of 2.0240 from where
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Xauusd surely fly XAU/USD trades near a fresh weekly high of $2,929.65, with higher highs in sight. The bright metal benefited from the broad US Dollar’s (USD) weakness, the latter affected by tepid United States (US) data and President Donald Trump’s massive tariffs on trade partners.
President Trump addressed Congress late on Tuesday and played down the potential negative effects of his latest round of tariffs. “. There'll be a little disturbance, but we're okay with that. It won't be much,” Trump said, adding that reciprocal tariffs on trading partners will come into effect
EUR_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅EUR_USD will be retesting a resistance level soon at 1.0824
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
**Trade Setup:** - **Pair:** EUR/USD
### **Trade Setup:**
- **Pair:** EUR/USD
- **Current Price:** **1.06768**
- **Support Level:** **1.06520**
- **Resistance Level:** **1.07220**
- **Target (TP):** **1.07735**
- **Stop-Loss (SL):** **1.06225**
- **50 EMA:** To be used as dynamic support for trade confirmation.
---
### **Technical Analysis & Strategy:**
1. **Trend Confirmation:**
- If the **price is above the 50 EMA**, it suggests an uptrend and supports the long trade.
- If the price is below the 50 EMA, consider **waiting** for confirmation before entering.
2. **Entry Strategy:**
- Enter **long near 1.06768** if price remains above the **50 EMA** or if it retests support at **1.06520** and bounces.
- Ideal confirmation: **Bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) near support or EMA.**
3. **Resistance & Take Profit Strategy:**
- First resistance at **1.07220** – Consider partial profit-taking or moving SL to breakeven.
- Final target at **1.07735**.
4. **Stop-Loss & Risk Management:**
- **SL set at 1.06225**, giving a **risk of 54.3 pips**.
- **Reward of 96.7 pips to TP**, yielding a **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of ~1.78:1** (acceptable).
- Risk per trade should be limited to **1-2% of account balance**.
5. **Trade Management:**
- If price moves in favor, **trail stop to secure profits** (e.g., move SL to **1.06850** if price reaches 1.07220).
- If price breaks below 50 EMA and **closes below support (1.06520)**, consider exiting early.
---
### **Additional Considerations:**
✔ **Check news/events** that could impact EUR/USD (e.g., Fed, ECB, NFP, CPI reports).
✔ Monitor **DXY (US Dollar Index)** – A strong USD could push EUR/USD down.
✔ Ensure **liquidity and volatility** are optimal (best during London/New York sessions).
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0707 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0572
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0774
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPNZD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
ETHUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2,237.6.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2,552.5 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT support area of 1.05351.Dear Colleagues, according to the primary idea wave “C” is completing and soon I expect the beginning of the downward movement. This is a big Combined correction, so I think it is worth being especially careful with the end of waves - it can be difficult to understand where the wave will end.
In this case, I assume that wave “C” will end in the area of 1.07000 level, ending the five-wave impulse, then I expect a downward movement to the support area of 1.05351.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!