Bullish continuation?GBP/AUD has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.9809
1st Support: 1.9723
1st Resistance: 1.9969
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Forex
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.83641
1st Support: 0.83171
1st Resistance: 0.84032
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/AUD has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.6520
1st Support: 1.6416
1st Support: 1.6416
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?EUR/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.4922
1st Support: 1.4796
1st Resistance: 1.5011
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 11.7383
1st Support: 11.6398
1st Resistance: 11.8194
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?AUD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 96.54
1st Support: 95.68
1st Resistance: 97.86
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024.
The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout.
The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips.
Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025.
Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained.
Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.
People still want to invest in gold.World gold prices at times dropped sharply when inflation data in the US heated up. Specifically, the consumer price index (CPI) in January 2025 increased by 0.5%, higher than the forecast increase of 0.3%.
This information has reinforced the message of the US Federal Reserve (FED) not to rush to reduce interest rates due to the unstable economy.
"Higher-than-expected CPI in the US put pressure on gold prices and market expectations for any interest rate cuts were almost extinguished."
The recovery of world gold prices from lows in the past two days shows that investors continue to favor having a safe asset to combat inflationary pressures.
Gold Price Analysis February 12⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Asian and European traders were cautious ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks to Congress. Powell said he was in no rush to adjust monetary policy and wanted to see more progress on inflation, saying the economy was in a "pretty good place." His remarks helped stabilize financial markets, helping Wall Street trim losses and the dollar recover.
Powell will continue his testimony on Wednesday, and investors are also awaiting January CPI data, which is forecast to have risen 2.9% year-on-year, with core annual growth of around 3.1%.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is accepting the 2941 area as a top, and the decline has created quite clear structures. 2873-2871 is an important support zone in pushing gold prices to increase again. If gold prices cannot close the h4 candle above 2890, it will be considered a confirmation of a dow breakout and a downtrend wave that can extend to 2833. In the direction of gold going up again, 2807 and 2827 will be the zones that the SELL side will pay attention to in order to participate in the market.
Bullish continuation?NZD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 86.33
1st Support: 85.68
1st Resistance: 88.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD (2H) - High Volatility and Bearish MomentumOANDA:EURUSD
📶 Technical Analysis:
Weekly Chart
🟢 The overall trend has been consistently bearish since October 2024, indicating a longer-term downtrend
🟢 A strong level of support has been broken and tested at 1.0500, indicating potential for further bearish movement.
🟠 In the past three weeks, volatility has significantly increased, due to a combination of fundamental factors.
Daily Chart
🟢 The overall trend has been bearish since October 2024, reinforcing a larger downside momentum.
4-Hour Chart
🟡 There was a bullish trend early in 2025, but it was broken, and bearish momentum took over by the end of January.
🔴 The February opening gap, influenced by Trump tariffs, caused a strong bullish volatility before a reversal took place.
2-Hour Chart
🟢 A reversal pattern in the form of a double top is visible, suggesting that the bullish momentum has ended. This pattern has been confirmed by two lower highs and two lower lows.
🟡 Watch for a retest of the 1.035 resistance level and confirmation of the double top pattern.
🟢 A break below the recent low at 1.030 would suggest continued bearish movement.
🟠 The next strong support level on the daily chart is around 1.022, where the price could potentially stall or reverse if it moves lower.
🆕 Fundamental Analysis:
🟢 The EUR/USD dropped to near 1.0360 after the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for January.
🟡 US Labor Market: The economy added 143K jobs, fewer than expected (170K), but the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4% (better than the expected 4.1%).
🟡 The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in its June meeting, but this is uncertain due to mixed signals from the labor market. Chair Powell indicated that any rate adjustments will depend on real progress in inflation or weakness in the labor market.
🟢 President Trump warned of potential tariffs on European goods, which could hurt the Eurozone economy. The Eurozone is facing increased uncertainty, with concerns about higher US tariffs negatively affecting growth.
🟢 EUR/USD faces continued selling pressure, as the Eurozone's economic outlook remains weak, especially with the risk of US tariffs and a dovish ECB.
🔤 Summary:
🟡 Neutral Position Above Red Trend Line: If the price breaks above the red trend line, it could signal a shift to a neutral position, requiring fresh analysis for clearer direction.
🟢 Bearish Continuation Confirmation: As long as the price remains below resistance and the double top formation holds, a bearish continuation is likely.
🟡 Watch for Key Breaks: Pay attention to the break below 1.030 and how price reacts to the 1.022 support level for further confirmation of the bearish trend.
GBPUSD, Pull-back time has arrivedGBPUSD/ 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
GBPUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the dollar index DXY
broke below resistance. However, the price is at the overbought zone for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buy mode confirms, the next leg higher could target:
Weekly high shown in the chart
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
EURUSD: Channel Up aiming at 1.05750EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.912, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.143) as it has been ranging inside a Channel Up for the past month. The pair is now forming a Golden Cross on the 1H timeframe and based on the last one formed on the previous bullish wave (Jan 17th), it should now rise to a new HH. We expect a symmetric +2.70% rise on that move (TP = 1.05750).
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USD/CAD: Breaking Below Key SupportChart Analysis:
USD/CAD is showing signs of weakness, having dipped below the key 1.4300 support level, putting further downside into focus.
1️⃣ Breakdown Below Support:
The 1.4300 level, which previously acted as strong support, has now failed.
Sustained trading below this level could accelerate bearish momentum.
2️⃣ Moving Averages Tilting Bearish:
50-day SMA (1.4331): Recently breached, acting as newfound resistance.
200-day SMA (1.3872): Remains a key long-term support zone.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Reflect Weakness:
RSI: 42.68, signaling bearish momentum but not yet oversold.
MACD: Sliding further into negative territory, confirming downside bias.
What to Watch:
If price remains below 1.4300, downside targets include 1.4200, followed by the 1.4000 handle.
A recovery back above 1.4300 could neutralize short-term downside pressure.
Bearish momentum is building, but a potential oversold bounce could emerge if selling extends too aggressively.
USD/CAD is at risk of deeper losses as support turns into resistance—further declines look likely unless bulls reclaim control.
-MW
USD/MXN: Testing Support Within a Tight RangeChart Analysis:
USD/MXN remains stuck in sideways consolidation, with price action respecting both rising trendline support and overhead resistance at 20.80.
1️⃣ Support and Resistance Levels Holding:
Key resistance at 20.80 has repeatedly capped rallies, preventing a breakout.
Trendline support near 20.40 continues to hold, but a breakdown could open the door to further downside.
2️⃣ Moving Averages Provide Guidance:
50-day SMA (20.42): Acting as a dynamic support zone.
200-day SMA (19.28): Remains well below, reinforcing a longer-term bullish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Lack of Conviction:
RSI: 48.64, indicating neutral momentum with no clear direction.
MACD: Barely above zero, reflecting a lack of strong trend momentum.
What to Watch:
A breakout above 20.80 could trigger fresh upside, targeting 21.00+.
A break below 20.40 would signal a potential reversal toward the 20.00 handle.
Sideways price action remains dominant, awaiting a catalyst for direction.
USD/MXN continues to coil within a tight range, leaving traders watching for a decisive breakout or breakdown.
-MW