Forex
Pay attention to ADP and FOMC minutes of the dayOn this trading day, Wednesday January 8, investors will need to focus on US ADP jobs data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to causing major fluctuations in the market.
On Wednesday, US ADP employment change data for December will be released. This data is called "small non-farm" and is expected to create a major trend in the market.
Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 140,000 in December. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 146,000 in November.
On the same day, one of the Federal Reserve's most influential senior officials, Governor Waller, will give a speech on the economic outlook at the OECD meeting.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its December monetary policy meeting. The minutes could provide more information about the future policy roadmap, especially whether the Fed will actually become hawkish or not.
At its December meeting, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and officials forecast just two rate cuts in 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said further adjustments will be made. depends on inflation developments.
The accumulation state on the daily chart of gold prices is still continuing. After yesterday's recovery, the upward momentum is limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Attention readers in the previous issue there.
Up to now, the price activity position is becoming increasingly narrower, gradually entering the corner of the accumulation price triangle. This shows hesitant market sentiment, and predicts an impending spike in amplitude.
Regarding the overall picture, the gold price trend is still neutral, sticking around EMA21 and the Fibonacci level of 0.618%. With upside limited by 2,664 – 2,693USD and downside limited by 2,604 – 2,600 – 2,592USD.
Along with that, the Relative Strength Index is still sticking around 50, also showing the market's hesitant psychology.
Before the fundamental impact creates price structural mutations, gold still has a neutral outlook, with a cumulative sideways trend, and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2677 - 2675⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2661
→Take Profit 1 2670
↨
→Take Profit 2 2665
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2617 - 2619⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2513
→Take Profit 1 2624
↨
→Take Profit 2 2629
EUR/AUD looks ready to tap outFrom a purely technical perspective, EUR/AUD could look appealing to bears. Resistance was found at 1.68 before bearish range expansion and a potential bear flag followed. But I also feel like we have seen this movie before (even if it was upside down).
In late November we saw a false break of the June and October lows before a bull-flag breakout occurred. we then saw another leg higher, bullish breakout and retest of the 200-SMA before its final leg higher.
If the reverse is to play out, we could now be in for a bull-flag breakdown towards the 200-day SMA, bearish consolidation, then breakdown and retest of the 200-day SMA before its final leg lower.
From a fundamental perspective, I believe markets have priced RBA cuts in too aggressively and the USD could be in for a pullback. And if Trump's policies really are less inflationary as feared, it could trigger a risk-on rally which could benefit an arguably oversold AUD over the euro.
And that is why I am now hunting EUR/AUD shorts.
MS
Bearish drop 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CAD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7988
1st Support: 1.7804
1st Resistance: 1.8056
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?GBP/CHF has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.1373
1st Support: 1.1308
1st Resistance: 1.1412
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/AUD has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.65908
1st Support: 1.64787
1st Resistance: 1.67157
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.79172
1st Support: 11.67922
1st Resistance: 11.88396
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPCAD: One More Bearish Confirmation?! 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD forms one more bearish pattern on a 4H time frame
after a retest of a recently broken neckline of a head & shoulders pattern on a daily.
Chances are high that the price will go down and reach at least 1.7876 level.
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Levels discussed on livestream 7th Jan 20257th January 2025
DXY: For further downside to 107 support level, needs to break 38.2% and bottom of channel (107.80) or bounce off bottom of channel
NZDUSD: Retracing, look for rejection at 0.57 or 0.5760
AUDUSD: Test and reject trendline, Sell 0.6280 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Break above 1.26 round number, Buy 1.2620 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.0440 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 157.50 SL 70 TP 140
EURJPY: Look for reaction at 165 resistance
GBPJPY: Look for reaction at 197, Buy 197.25 SL 40 TP 90
USDCHF: Buy 0.9070 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Could trade down to 1.4250, bullish trendline
XAUUSD: No clear directional bias, choppy between 2625 and 2646, break, above 61.8% 2646 could trade up to 2655
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.48219
1st Support: 1.47448
1st Resistance: 1.49226
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bouncer to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.8271
1st Support: 1.81566
1st Resistance: 1.84096
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CHN50 intraday rallies to continue attract sellers?CHN50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
A higher correction is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 13000 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 12750.
We look to Sell at 13200 (stop at 13400)
Our profit targets will be 12800 and 12750
Resistance: 13100 / 13200 / 13300
Support: 13000 / 12900 / 12750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD Buy signal on (4h)EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down and is pulling back on the (4h) time frame after a double top near the MA200 (4h).
The crossing under the MA50 (4h) is following a pattern similar to December 2nd, which turns it now into a buy opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.04500 (MA200 4h and under the +2.88% move that December did).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is approaching the 40.00 level of the December 2nd bounce. Additional buy signal.
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Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4390
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0335
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0265
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0442
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
ANALYSIS OF EURGBP TRENDS WITH DOWN The chart represents the EUR/GBP currency pair on the 4-hour timeframe using Heikin Ashi candles. Here’s the analysis:
Observations:
1. Resistance Zone:
A strong resistance level is marked around 0.8327, indicating repeated price rejection at this zone (highlighted by orange circles).
2. Support Levels:
Two prominent blue lines represent key support levels:
First Support: 0.8260
Second Support: 0.8223 (Diamond Zone), which is the significant area of interest.
3. Diamond Pattern:
A "diamond zone" is identified as a potential key breakout/breakdown area. This structure often indicates an upcoming price move.
4. Trendlines:
A yellow trendline shows the recent downward momentum.
The price action suggests the possibility of lower highs and lower lows, implying bearish sentiment.
5. Projected Movement:
Blue arrows indicate a bearish outlook:
The first downward move targets the first support level.
If breached, the price may head toward the diamond zone (second support level).
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The chart suggests EUR/GBP may continue its bearish movement, especially if the resistance at 0.8327 holds strong.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Look for confirmations (e.g., rejection candles or strong bearish momentum) near resistance for potential short positions.
Targets:
TP1: 0.8260
TP2: 0.8223 (diamond zone)
Stop Loss: Place it above 0.8330 to protect against invalidation of the bearish setup.
Monitor price action at key levels for confirmation.
USDCAD MOVE TO UP TREND MUST READ THE CAPTIONThe chart displays a technical analysis of the USDCAD currency pair using the Heikin Ashi candlestick type on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
1. Bullish Cup-and-Handle Pattern:
The yellow highlighted area suggests the formation of a bullish "cup-and-handle" pattern, which is a continuation signal for a potential upward movement.
2. Key Levels:
Target Level (1.44753): The final target price for this setup.
Take-Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: Near 1.43600
TP2: Around 1.44200
TP3: Close to 1.44700
Stop-Loss Level: Clearly marked below 1.42600 to manage risk in case of an invalidated pattern.
3. Projection and Trend:
The blue arrows indicate the expected price movement. A break above the resistance levels will confirm the bullish trend. The price may face pullbacks before hitting the targets.
If the price breaks below the stop-loss level, the bullish outlook becomes invalid.
Conclusion:
This analysis predicts a bullish continuation for USDCAD. Traders should monitor price action around the outlined levels, especially the TP and resistance zones. Confirmations, such as strong bullish candles or volume spikes, can improve trade confidence.