Bearish drop?USD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9146
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.9200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9072
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Forex
USD/JPY: Fibonacci Support Sparks a ReboundChart Analysis:
USD/JPY finds support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (151.50), leading to a sharp recovery above the 200-day SMA.
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels Holding:
The recent pullback tested key Fibonacci retracement levels, with buyers stepping in at 151.50 (38.2%).
Further support levels sit at 149.23 (50%) and 146.95 (61.8%), which remain key downside targets if weakness resumes.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Pivot Points:
50-day SMA (154.97): Price is testing this level after the rebound.
200-day SMA (152.74): Successfully held as dynamic support, confirming broader uptrend remains intact.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Recovery:
RSI: 49.69, recovering from oversold conditions but still lacking bullish confirmation.
MACD: Bearish momentum is fading, but a crossover signal is yet to emerge.
What to Watch:
Sustained move above 155.00 could trigger a fresh rally toward December’s highs.
A break back below 152.00 would shift focus to deeper Fibonacci support levels.
Watch for a MACD crossover as a confirmation of renewed upside momentum.
USD/JPY remains at a critical inflection point, with Fibonacci support holding but further strength needed for a bullish confirmation.
-MW
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4279
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.4361
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.4178
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has broken out of the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0389
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.0331
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.0457
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Uptrend is Breaking Don’t Miss This High Probability ShortGold has been on an incredible 49-day bullish run, but signs are emerging that the momentum is fading. Is the reversal finally here? In this analysis, I break down why I believe gold is setting up for a potential short opportunity and how I plan to execute it.
Starting from the weekly timeframe, we identify a key rejection at $2943, signaling potential exhaustion after an extended bullish trend. On the daily timeframe, price has failed to hold above $2897, forming a critical rejection zone that could lead to further downside.
Diving deeper into the H4 and H1 timeframes, we observe a key structure break around $2900, followed by price failing to create a new high. This shift in market structure suggests a weakening bullish trend, increasing the probability of a bearish follow-through.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Break & Retest Setup: Waiting for a clean break below $2881 (yesterday’s daily low), followed by a retest to confirm the sell-side momentum.
🔹 Bearish Target Zones: Liquidity levels at $2854, $2788, and $2747, with a final downside objective near $2746.
🔹 Risk Management: Stops will be determined based on price action confirmation, ensuring a controlled approach to the trade.
With buyers struggling to push higher and multiple liquidity pockets below, we could see a sharp pullback before any further upside continuation. This is not a long-term bearish call on gold but rather a short-term high-probability short setup to capitalize on potential downside movement.
📉 Will gold break lower, or will buyers regain control? Watch the full analysis, boost this idea, and share it with fellow traders so you don’t miss the next big move! 🚀💰
NZDUSD preparing massive rebound on the 5-year Support Zone.The NZDUSD pair rebounded last week exactly at the top of the 5-year Support Zone. This is the 3rd time in total and first since October 10 2022.
As you can see, both previous times that this Support Zone was touched, the price reacted with an immediate rebound and skyrocketed to the long-term Resistance Zone (0.65150 - 0.65850). Also on both those bottoms, the 1W RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier and rebounded.
This time, we have the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to consider as the first long-term Resistance, so our Target is just below a potential extension of it at 0.6200.
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AUDJPY Is Recovering After The Wedge PatternAUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so after corrective pullback in wave B/2, be aware of a bigger rally within wave C or maybe even wave 3 if goes decisively above 100 area.
The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5.
The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one, which can retrace the price back to the starting point of the pattern.
Xauusd signal Gold prices bounce off daily lows and shift their focus to the key $2,900 mark per ounce troy despite a firmer US Dollar and the intense move higher in US yields across various maturity periods.
Xauusd signal 2895
TP1 sell 2890
TP2 sell 2870
Support zone sell 2860
Resistance buy 2906
Resistance buy 2925
USD/JPY extends rally on hot CPIThe USD/JPY extended its rally following the release of hotter-than-expected US CPI data, which fuelled a surge in bond yields and strengthened the dollar. Headline CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month, surpassing the expected 0.3%, while Core CPI climbed 0.4% versus the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, CPI reached 3.0% and Core CPI hit 3.3%, both above expectations. This reinforced market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts, pushing US 5- to 10-year yields at least 10 basis points higher. As a result, traders increased their bets on further USD/JPY gains. The market will now focus on the second day of Powell’s testimony, with PPI data and retail sales still to come later in the week.
From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY has shown resilience, rebounding from support at 151.00 and breaking above the key 200-day moving average near 152.50/60. The pair has cleared resistance at 153.70-154.00, and if it holds above the 200-day average, it could extend its advance toward the significant 155.00 level. However, a failure to maintain this breakout could see support tested back at 153.70, with further downside levels at 152.50/60 and 151.00. With the bullish momentum reinforced by strong CPI data and higher yields, USD/JPY traders will closely watch price action determine if the uptrend can sustain.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com