Forex
XAU/USD : 1000 Pips Down from ATH, What's Next? (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the one-hour timeframe, we can see that the price, based on the previous analysis, managed to rise by nearly 200 pips but then started to decline from the $2894 zone. Today, we witnessed a price correction down to $2859.
This week, gold has experienced a 3.5% correction from its all-time high, with a decline of over 1000 pips. Currently, gold is trading around $2860.
The attractive SELL zones are $2894, $2900, and $2906.
The attractive BUY zones are $2820, $2833, and $2845.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD Drops $67 – Bearish Momentum Continues Below 2,859 GOLD Update – Feb 28, 2025
Gold dropped $67 from 2,918 to 2,859, as we expected! Now, the price is struggling below 2873, keeping the bearish momentum intact.
📉Bearish Scenario:
Staying below 2,859 and 2,873 could push the price toward 2,840.
A 1H or 4H close below 2,840 opens the door for 2,823 – 2,811.
📈Bullish Possibility:
If 2,873 is reclaimed, expect some volatility between 2,873 and 2,880.
Above 2,880, gold could rally to 2,895 – 2,905.
💠Key Levels:
Resistance: 2873 | 2880 | 2895
Pivot: 2859
Support: 2840 | 2823 | 2810
Bearish Trend is Active while Below 2859
Bullish Correction to 2873 if Stabilized Above 2859
US30 Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 43,381.39.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 43,680.64 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,863.303.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,902.672 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURCAD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.501.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.509 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 189.489.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 188.370 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD → False breakdown before further declineOANDA:XAUUSD updating lows within the changing local trend structure. The price is currently testing the liquidity zone at 2852, with a potential rebound before further downside movement.
Gold registered its lowest level in two weeks, dropping below $2,900 in Asia on Friday, breaking an eight-week bullish streak. The metal remains under pressure from the stronger U.S. dollar, influenced by Trump's tariff policies and U.S. economic conditions. Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect as scheduled on March 4 and also threatened to impose a 25% tariff on European Union imports, along with an additional 10% on Chinese goods. Additionally, weak U.S. GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims have further supported the dollar. Traders are now awaiting the U.S. PCE Price Index to assess the Fed's interest rate outlook and its impact on gold.
A false breakdown at 2852 could trigger a retracement toward the 0.618 Fibonacci imbalance zone at 2877 or the 0.5 level at 2885 before resuming the decline. Given both weak fundamental and technical conditions, gold may attempt to retest its recent lows.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
BITCOIN LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the BITCOIN with the target of 92,210 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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AUD/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is making a bearish pullback on the 1D TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 0.566 level.
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NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so NZD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.510.
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GBP/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.799.
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Trump’s Tariff Threat: USD/CAD Hits Three-Week HighTrump’s Tariff Threat: USD/CAD Hits Three-Week High
As we reported on 3 February, Trump’s tariffs pushed USD/CAD to a 22-year high.
However, a one-month tariff delay led to a sharp drop, sending USD/CAD to its 2025 low near 1.41550. As the end of the delay approaches, the pair has been climbing again since mid-February (as shown by the arrow).
Yesterday, President Trump confirmed that his proposed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect on 4 March. This dashed hopes for another delay and triggered a breakout above the 1.43600 resistance level.
Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
Above current levels, key resistance lies at 1.44600, which has held firm since mid-December. However, drastic measures from Trump’s administration could drive further price movement within the blue-marked channel.
Expect volatility spikes ahead of Canada’s GDP release, scheduled for today at 16:30 GMT+3.
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GBP/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.132 area.
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GOLD is under great pressure by the US DollarThe US Dollar Index soared again, which put pressure on OANDA:XAUUSD adding momentum to the adjustment momentum taking place in recent days.
Bloomberg said that after US President Donald Trump confirmed he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico next week, currency traders bought the US Dollar, while currencies other than the USD were negatively affected, with the Canadian Dollar and Mexican Peso being hit the hardest. The soaring US Dollar is also detrimental to precious metals, commodities and digital currencies.
Trump said 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico would take effect on March 4. He stated on his "Truth Social" account: "Drugs are still flowing into our country from Mexico and Canada in unacceptable quantities. We cannot let this scourge continue to hurt the United States, so until it stops or is tightly controlled, tariffs are proposed." with Canada and Mexico) scheduled to take effect on March 4 will actually take effect as planned."
Trump also said he would impose "reciprocity" tariffs of 25% on cars and other European goods.
OANDA:XAUUSD In recent times, it has still been going fast and strong, although fundamentally there are still many existing support risks, mainly due to profit-taking activities after a long period of price increases and the strong increase in the price of the US Dollar.
Thanks to the influx of money into safe havens, gold prices hit an all-time high of $2,956.15 an ounce on Monday after a rapid downward correction. Gold prices are clearly fluctuating, short-term fluctuations and some profit-taking are just a normal part of the cycle
Since the presidential election on November 5 of last year, the Dollar Spot Index has gained 6.62%.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
The medium-term uptrend of gold price is threatened when the sell-off momentum brings gold price below the price channel and EMA21, these are negative signals with the next support level being noticed at the price point of 2,835USD, more likely is the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level.
Currently, the $2,880 level is the previous support turned resistance with the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement becoming the nearest resistance. On the other hand, the RSI tests the 50 mark. Once the RSI passes the 50 mark, this will be a warning of continued price decline because there is still room to fall with the RSI quite far from the oversold level.
As noted to readers in previous publications and short comments during the day, the downward correction will not stop easily before the original price point of 2,900 USD, so you must always be ready for stronger corrections when gold has had a very long period of technical increase.
Although gold has not yet formed a clear downtrend in the medium term, there is still room to fall ahead and notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,850 – 2,835 – 2,814USD
Resistance: 2,868 – 2,880 – 2,900USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2911 - 2909⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2915
→Take Profit 1 2903
↨
→Take Profit 2 2897
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2849 - 2851⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2845
→Take Profit 1 2857
↨
→Take Profit 2 2863
NZDJPY - Shifting Trends Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉NZDJPY has been overall bearish , trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel which lines up perfectly with the support zone marked in blue.
📈As per my trading style , as long as the support zone holds, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURCAD - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURCAD has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the blue channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCAD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY - Bearish Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge marked in red and it is currently in a correction phase approaching the upper bound.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel, however it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is the upper bound of its weekly range.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal
The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward.
A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead.
2. Market Structure Weakness
The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases.
The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation.
3. Economic and Fundamental Factors
Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated.
USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection.
4. Liquidity Considerations
Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 67,037 (Wave C).The price is still in a downtrend and I believe that before the price starts an upward movement it needs to complete a big “ABC” correction and a small five-wave formation.
I think the price will reach the level of 67,037. This level is quite important, because in its area we need to look carefully for reversal patterns.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6140.Dear Colleagues, price has gone lower than I thought it would and now we need to redraw the waves. Apparently, the price has updated the minimum of wave “2”. Therefore, I believe that the price will soon continue the upward movement in wave “3” anyway.
The “ABC” correction seems to be completed and the 5915 area served as support for the second time.
I expect the price to touch this area once again and then continue to the resistance area of 6140.
Or it will immediately start moving towards this area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!