USDJPY Short OpportunityPoint and Figure charting is the OG technical analysis method—no fancy candlesticks or bar charts needed. Unlike other charts, Point and Figure ignores time and focuses purely on price action, offering clarity amid market noise.
If candlestick charts look too chaotic for your taste, Point and Figure usually clears things up. Its simplicity is its best feature: fewer patterns and straightforward trade execution rules, compared to the 150+ patterns of Japanese Candlesticks.
On the USDJPY 40-pip/3-box reversal P&F chart, a bear flag pattern is currently being tested and acting as solid resistance. This creates an aggressive but appealing short entry opportunity at 148.80. Below this entry, there are multiple potential profit targets, with T3 (141.60) marking the maximum realistic expectation.
Now, before you get too excited about a single-column collapse from 148.80 down to 141.60—hold your horses. The odds of USDJPY making such a dramatic drop in one swift move are slim to none. But given the current international trade tensions, stranger things have happened.
Think of the area between 148.80 and 141.60 as a zone where it's easier for USDJPY to drift downward rather than grind upward.
Forex
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY)
🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact)
Bank of England (GBP)
The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation.
Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets.
Bullish for GBP/JPY.
Bank of Japan (JPY)
BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates.
Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports.
Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP).
📊 Institutional View:
Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads.
GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows.
🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off)
GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety.
If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise.
If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall.
Current Market Sentiment:
Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet.
Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation.
📊 Institutional View:
Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high.
🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows)
Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Report:
Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions.
Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside.
📊 Institutional View:
Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases.
2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe)
📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance.
📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00
📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00
🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00.
🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe)
📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel
📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00
🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure.
🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely.
🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe)
📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00
Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support)
📊 Institutional View:
Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00.
3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction)
Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support).
Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone).
Stop-Loss: Above 193.50.
Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:AUDNZD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of AUDNZD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lie sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,124.63
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,146.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 3,097.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5712
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5747
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5648
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 148.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4328
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4283
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4375
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CAD/JPY hits resistance ahead of tariffs dayThe CADJPY rebounded alongside risk assets, but its now testing key resistance at 104.50, where the recovery might falter.
This level was prior support and resistance, and where the 21-day exponential moving average comes into play.
Given an overall bearish structure, I wouldn't be surprised if the selling resumes here.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBPJPYGBPJPY price is near the resistance zone 193.572. If the price cannot break through in the short term, it is expected that the price will go down.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level.
Technical Outlook:
Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity.
1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence.
Targets:
– TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level
– TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support
$3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation.
Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025):
Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact
Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:
– Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization
– Real yields remain negative across key regions
– Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure
Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility
– Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing
– Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)
– Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises
Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential
– BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution
– Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving
– Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold
Conclusion:
Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback.
$3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside.
Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg.
Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200:
Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
CHFJPY: Move Down Ahead! 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
We see a strong bearish reaction to that after its retest.
I think that the pair will drop and reach at least 168.75 support soon.
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AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
AUDJPY
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy AUDJPY
Entry Level - 93.633
Sl - 93.123
Tp - 94.417
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADCHF: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the CADCHF pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURJPY: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3128.3
Sl - 3120.7
Tp - 3143.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 103.54 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 104.58
Recommended Stop Loss - 102.96
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 149.16
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 150.13
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0795
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0810
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that after the market opened today, a price gap appeared. Once gold filled this gap, it resumed its bullish move and recorded a new all-time high at $3,128. Currently, gold is trading around $3,119, and if the price stabilizes below $3,120, we may see a slight correction.
However, note that there’s been no new structural break on the higher timeframes, so for a more accurate outlook, we need to wait for the price to react to key levels.
This analysis will be updated with your continued support, as always!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SEK/MXN 8H SHORT Selling Opportunity
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a SHORT selling opportunity on SEKMXN.
After careful technical and fundamental analysis, I decided to enter a SHORT position on the SEKMXN cross at the level of 2.0465. My strategy includes a profit target (Take Profit) set at 1.75%, while the protection level (Stop Loss) is set at 0.59% to manage the risk effectively.
Technical Analysis
The chart shows a clear bearish trend, supported by overbought signals on the RSI and MACD indicators. In addition, the price has recently tested a key resistance, suggesting a possible reversal.
Fundamental Analysis
From a macroeconomic perspective, the Swedish krona (SEK) is facing pressure from weak economic data, while the Mexican peso (MXN) benefits from a more stable economic environment and competitive interest rates.
Trading Strategy
Entry: 2.0465
Take Profit (TP): 1.75%
Stop Loss (SL): 0.59%
This setup offers an interesting risk/reward ratio, ideal for those looking for short-term opportunities with a calculated risk.
Conclusion
Forex trading requires discipline and rigorous risk management. This trade on SEKMXN represents an interesting opportunity, but as always, I recommend doing your own analysis before entering the position.
Happy trading everyone!