The downtrend dominates, the focus needs attentionGeneral crude oil market and WTI crude oil technical chart TVC:USOIL Still in a downward trend.
Trump revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, which has fueled supply-side market concerns and supported a recovery in oil prices, but they are still on a downtrend and trade policy uncertainty has limited a recovery in demand expectations. The focus of the crude oil market will still need to pay attention to changes in the geopolitical situation, the US Dollar index, and the Trump administration's trade policy.
Notable technical levels are as follows.
Support: 68.52USD
Resistance: 70 - 71.43USD
Forex
Latest EURUSD update todayHello everyone, great to see you again in today’s discussion on EUR/USD.
Currently, EUR/USD has extended its decline, trading below 1.0400, under pressure from recent market developments. The US dollar has regained strength following hawkish statements from the Federal Reserve, reinforcing expectations that interest rates will remain high. Additionally, concerns about Europe’s economic stability and weaker-than-expected economic data have put further pressure on the euro.
Looking at the technical setup, the pair has broken below the ascending trendline, confirming a bearish breakout. The bears are gaining control, as there are no signs of a bottom forming yet. If a retracement occurs, EUR/USD is expected to retest resistance around the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci zone, which aligns with the confluence of EMA 34, 89, and a key resistance area, increasing the likelihood of further downside pressure.
📉 The preferred strategy in this scenario remains selling, at least in the short term.
🎯 Target levels: 1.033 and 1.028, with a further target at 1.023.
What do you think about EUR/USD?
Note: This is just a trade idea, so make sure to set Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) properly when trading.
Happy trading, everyone! Wishing you all great profits!
XAUUSD Short-Term Downtrend in FocusHello traders, let’s analyze today’s gold price action and strategize for this precious metal!
Currently, gold is trading around the $2,880 level in the early hours of the final session of the week, marking its lowest point in over two weeks. The metal remains under pressure due to the recovery of the US dollar, with the USD Index (DXY) rising by 0.7%, making gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
From a technical perspective, gold is likely to extend its short-term downtrend, as long as the parallel descending channel remains intact and defended by the bears. Additionally, the reversal signals from the EMA 34 and 89 are influencing short-term traders’ sentiment, encouraging continued selling pressure.
🔎 Long-Term Outlook: The market's focus is now on the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, set to be released later today. If the USD maintains its strength, gold may require more consolidation before regaining momentum. The key support level to watch remains the lower boundary of the price channel.
What are your thoughts on gold’s next move? Let’s discuss!
How Can You Use a Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern in Trading?How Can You Use a Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern in Trading?
The spinning top candle is a key tool in technical analysis, highlighting moments of market indecision. This article explores what spinning tops represent, how they differ from similar patterns, and how traders can interpret them to refine their strategies across various market conditions.
What Does a Spinning Top Candlestick Mean?
A spinning top is a candlestick pattern frequently used in technical analysis. It consists of one candle with a small body and long upper and lower shadows of approximately equal length. The candle’s body symbolises the discrepancy between the opening and closing prices during a specified time period, while the shadows indicate that volatility was high and neither bulls nor bears could take control of the market.
This pattern signifies market indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have gained dominance. It suggests a state of equilibrium between supply and demand, with the price oscillating within a narrow range. The spinning top may indicate continued sideways movement, particularly if it appears within an established range. However, if it forms after a bullish or bearish trend, it could signal a potential price reversal. Traders always look for additional signals from confirming patterns or indicators to determine the possible market direction.
It’s important to note that the spinning top candle is neutral and can be either bullish or bearish depending on its context within the price chart. The colour of the candle is not important.
Spinning Top vs Doji
Doji and spinning top candlesticks can be confused as they have similar characteristics. However, the latter has a small body and upper and lower shadows of approximately equal lengths. It indicates market indecision, suggesting a balance between buyers and sellers without a clear dominant force. Traders interpret it as a potential reversal signal, reflecting a possible change in the prevailing trend.
The doji candlestick, on the other hand, has a small body, where the opening and closing prices are very close or equal, resulting in a cross-like shape. If it’s a long-legged doji, it may also have long upper and lower shadows. A doji candle also represents market indecision but with a focus on the relationship between the opening and closing prices. Doji patterns indicate that buyers and sellers are in equilibrium, and a potential trend reversal or continuation may occur.
How Do Traders Use the Spinning Top Pattern?
Traders often incorporate the spinning top candle pattern into their analysis as a way to interpret moments of market indecision. Whether the pattern appears during a trend or at key turning points, its context plays a significant role in shaping trading decisions.
In the Middle of a Trend
When a spinning top forms in the middle of an ongoing trend, traders often view it as a signal of potential market hesitation. This indecision can indicate a pause in momentum, suggesting either a continuation of the trend or the possibility of a reversal.
Entry
In such cases, traders typically wait for confirmation of the next price move. A break above the high of the spinning top may signal the trend will continue upward, while a break below the low could suggest the trend may move down. Observing how subsequent candles interact with the spinning top can help a trader gauge the market’s intentions.
Take Profit
Profit targets might be aligned with key price levels visible on the chart, such as recent highs or lows. For traders expecting trend continuation, these targets might extend further, while those anticipating a reversal might aim for closer levels.
Stop Loss
Stop-loss orders might be set in accordance with the risk-reward ratio. This placement helps account for the pattern's characteristic volatility while potentially protecting against unexpected movements.
At the Top or Bottom of a Trend
When a spinning top forms at a significant peak or trough, it often draws attention as a potential reversal signal. This appearance may reflect market uncertainty after a prolonged uptrend or downtrend.
Entry
Confirmation from subsequent price action is critical. Traders typically observe if the price breaks above the candle (bullish spinning top) or below the candle (bearish spinning top) to determine the likelihood of a reversal.
Take Profit
Targets could be set at major support or resistance zones. A trader expecting a reversal may look for levels reached during the previous trend.
Stop Loss
Stops could be placed in accordance with the risk-reward ratio, allowing for the volatility often present at trend-turning points while potentially mitigating losses.
Remember, trading decisions should not solely rely on this formation. It's crucial to consider additional technical indicators, market trends, and risk management principles when executing trades.
Live Example
In the EURUSD chart above, the red spinning top candle appears at the bottom of a downtrend. A trader went long on the closing of the bullish candle that followed the spinning top. A take-profit target was placed at the closest resistance level, and a stop-loss was placed below the low of the spinning top candlestick.
There is another bearish spinning top candlestick pattern on the right. It formed in a solid downtrend; therefore, a trader could use it as a signal of a trend continuation and open a sell position after the next candle closed below the lower shadow of the spinning top candle.
A Spinning Top Candle: Benefits and Drawbacks
The spinning top candlestick pattern offers valuable insights into market indecision, but like any tool in technical analysis, it has its strengths and limitations. Understanding these might help traders use it more effectively.
Benefits
- Identifies Market Indecision: Highlights moments where neither buyers nor sellers dominate, providing a clue about potential price reversals or continuations.
- Versatile Across Trends and Markets: Can signal price consolidation, continuation, or reversal depending on its context. It’s also possible to use the spinning top across stocks, currencies, and commodities.
- Quick Visual Insight: The distinctive shape makes it easy to spot on charts without extensive analysis.
Drawbacks
- Requires Confirmation: On its own, the pattern lacks particular signals, needing additional indicators or price action for confirmation.
- Context-Dependent: Its reliability depends heavily on where it forms in the trend, making it less useful in isolation.
- Prone to False Signals: Market noise can produce spinning tops that do not lead to meaningful movements, increasing the risk of misinterpretation.
Takeaway
The spinning top candlestick reflects market indecision and suggests a potential reversal or consolidation. Traders use this pattern as a tool to identify areas of uncertainty in the market. Therefore, it's important to consider the spinning top pattern within the broader context and get confirmation from other analysis tools.
If you want to test your spinning top candlestick trading strategy or apply it to a live chart, open an FXOpen account and start trading with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50. Good luck!
FAQ
What Is a Black Spinning Top?
A black (red) spinning top is a variation of the spinning top candlestick pattern with a small body and equal-length shadows. This is different from the white (green) spinning top, as its body indicates a lower closing price. Traders analyse its context, technical factors, and confirmation from other indicators to interpret its significance.
What Is a Spinning Top Candlestick?
A spinning top candle meaning refers to a pattern characterised by a small body and long upper and lower shadows of roughly equal length. It reflects market indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers hold a clear advantage, and is often used in technical analysis to assess potential trend reversals or consolidations.
Is the Spinning Top Bullish or Bearish?
The spinning top candlestick pattern is neutral by nature. Its significance depends on the context within the price chart. When it appears at the end of an uptrend, it may signal a bearish sentiment, while at the end of a downtrend, it can indicate a potential bullish reversal.
What Does a Spinning Top Candle Indicate?
This pattern indicates a period of indecision and balance between buying and selling pressure. Depending on its position within a trend, it can signal consolidation, continuation, or a reversal in price direction.
What Is the Spinning Top Rule?
There is no fixed "rule" for spinning top trading. Traders typically look for confirmation from subsequent price movements or other technical indicators to decide on a course of action.
Is Spinning Top a Doji?
Although similar, spinning tops and doji candles differ. A spinning top has a small body with visible discrepancies between opening and closing prices, whereas a doji’s body is almost non-existent.
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GJ | Still pushing downPrice is still trending down. I took a trade last night from the higher OB to the bottom of the range and it closed strong below the range. I will be looking for price to retrace back up into this 30M OB and will be watching lower time frame price action for confirmation to take it back down to the low. If price does not retrace back up that far and then continues to close below the current swing low, this trade will be invalidated.
USDX, DXYUSDX price is approaching the support zone of 106.45-105.36. If the price fails to break through the main support zone of 105.36, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. On the contrary, if the price can break through the level of 105.36, it will have a negative impact on the dollar.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USTEC,NAS100USTEC price is at resistance zone 22210. If price cannot break through, we expect a correction. Consider selling red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Gold breaks out of consolidation, facing bearish pressureGold has officially exited its previous consolidation phase, experiencing a sharp decline from the $2,950 region and reaching a low near $2,878. The breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has triggered increased selling pressure, confirming a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Currently, gold is making a slight recovery, trading around $2,919. However, the bearish trend remains dominant, leaving the price vulnerable to further downside moves. If gold fails to reclaim the $2,930 - $2,940 zone, the downward momentum may persist, targeting $2,905 as the first support level, with a potential extension toward $2,879.
Wishing you successful trades!
Gold Analysis February 27⭐️Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar (USD) gained positive traction for the second consecutive day amid a slight rise in US Treasury yields and a further move away from the lowest level since December 10. This, coupled with the generally positive risk sentiment, turned out to be a major factor exerting downward pressure on the precious metal.
However, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and trade war fears could continue to act as a bullish driver for Gold prices. Additionally, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates further amid signs of a cooling US economy and growth concerns could limit losses for the non-yielding bullion. Traders may also opt to wait for the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index due on Friday.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is pushed below 2900 by the sellers. The current notable border zone is 2890 and 2905 when the candle closes above or below this border, it confirms the next trend and we can fomo when breaking out. Gold in the European session does not close above 2898, there is a high possibility of continuing to fall until the US session enters the market. The 2872 zone is considered an important support zone that can push gold prices from a long slide. Resistance when breaking the border is noted at 2920-2943.
GBPUSD: Buy or Sell ? GBP/USD erased its previous session's gains and remained under pressure below 1.2650 during Wednesday's trading session. The renewed demand for the US dollar, driven by rising US Treasury yields and the House of Representatives passing the Republican Budget Plan, weakened the pair, preventing it from making a new breakout. It is expected to continue moving sideways within the range of 1.261 - 1.268.
Gold Market Analysis & Trading Strategy for TodayHello traders! Let’s analyze gold’s price movement and build a strategy for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD is experiencing a slight pullback, currently trading at $2,910 in the early trading hours. The precious metal remains stable within a descending parallel channel on the 1-hour chart, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
This correction aligns with declines in stocks and Bitcoin, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in the market. However, unlike other assets, gold has found support at lower levels, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to stabilize the market.
While gold is retracing, it remains relatively stable compared to other assets. If buyers continue defending key levels (trendline boundaries), we could see a short-term recovery attempt.
Additionally, investors are awaiting the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which is set to be published on Friday. This data could have a significant impact on gold’s direction.
EUR/USD Under Pressure: Bearish Momentum StrengthensEUR/USD remains under pressure, trading below 1.0500 during Thursday’s session. The pair is affected by the U.S. dollar's continued recovery, driven by conflicting statements from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding tariffs. This has prevented EUR/USD from rising and has kept it capped below the 1.052 resistance, marked by two significant peaks.
In the short term, EUR/USD is still receiving support from buyers, with 1.046 acting as a key defense level. However, the bullish momentum remains uncertain, as the pair is fluctuating around EMA 34 and 89, showing signs of confluence. If the support level is broken, we may look for lower selling targets.
Do you think FX:EURUSD will break through this support level?
GBP/USD – Potential Pullback or Breakout?Hello traders! Today, let's analyze the GBP/USD 4H chart and see how this pair is moving.
Currently, GBP/USD remains in a steady uptrend within a well-defined parallel channel. The pair is trading around 1.2670, staying above EMA 34 and 89, indicating that buyers are still in control. However, an important factor to watch is that GBP/USD is approaching the upper resistance of the channel, which could lead to a short-term pullback before resuming its upward momentum.
If the price tests the channel’s upper boundary and shows signs of rejection, we could expect a corrective move toward the 1.2570 support zone. This would be a key area to watch for potential buying interest. If buyers successfully defend this level, it could offer a great buying opportunity to ride the trend higher.
On the flip side, if GBP/USD breaks and closes above the resistance zone, it could signal a strong breakout, opening the door for a move toward new highs.
📌 Trading Strategy Ideas:
🔹 Short-term Sell: Look for a rejection at resistance with bearish signals.
🔹 Trend-Following Buy: Consider buying if price pulls back to key support and shows bullish momentum.
Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
EURUSD: Strong preference for selling strategy!Dear friends!
EURUSD continues to sustain losses below 1.0500 during the early trading hours on Thursday. The pair is under pressure due to the recovery of the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) weakens following former US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 25% tariff on the European Union. This development has prevented EURUSD from making significant gains, keeping it limited below the 1.052 resistance level, marked by two recent peaks.
In the short term, EURUSD remains well-supported by bulls around the key support zone of 1.0462. However, this upward move appears to be a temporary consolidation before a potential strong decline, as indicated by the unchanged EMA 34 and 89 levels and a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend. My primary strategy focuses on selling, aiming for further downside if the support level is broken and a new resistance is established.
Wishing you successful trades and profitable opportunities!
GBPUSD: Rising within the uptrend channel!Dear traders!
GBPUSD is currently moving within a clear ascending channel, maintaining its bullish trend on the 1-hourchart.
Looking ahead, if the market conditions remain unchanged, we should consider buy positions in line with the trend. Pay close attention to the psychological resistance level at 1.2700, where GBPUSD may gain further momentum or break through to reach higher targets.
Wishing you successful and enjoyable trading!
EUR-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps going up
Just as I predicted but will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 1.8544 from where we will
Be expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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