BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:
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Current Price:
Around 106,636 USD
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Bearish Setup Observations:
Price has broken the ascending trendline support
Price is below Ichimoku Cloud — bearish confirmation
Retest of broken trendline area failed, suggesting more downside
---
Target Levels Based on Your Chart:
✅ First Target: Around 105,200 - 105,400 USD
✅ Second Target (Final Target): Around 103,200 - 103,500 USD
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Conclusion:
Bearish momentum is strong; watch for price to test 105,200 zone
If that level breaks, likely move toward 103,200
Resistance area remains near 107,200 - 107,500 (good stop-loss zone for shorts)
---
Would you like a risk management suggestion for this setup? Let me know!
Forex
Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe.Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, the chart shows a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. Here's the target breakdown:
📈 Silver Bullish Targets:
Current Price: Around 36.42
1st Target (TP1): Approximately 36.95 – 37.00
2nd Target (TP2): Approximately 37.40 – 37.50
These targets are based on the breakout from the triangle and previous resistance zones marked on your chart.
🛑 Suggested Support Zone (Breakout Retest Area):
Around 36.00 – 36.20 (acts as support now after the breakout)
If price holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains valid. Let me know if you'd like stop loss suggestions or lower timeframe analysis.
USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break 0ut.USD/JPY (4H timeframe) shows a clear break below the ascending trendline and Ichimoku cloud support, suggesting a bearish continuation.
Key Bearish Targets (Based on the chart):
1. First Target Zone:
📉 140.88
This level aligns with previous structure support and is marked as the initial target on the chart.
2. Second Target Zone:
📉 138.85 – 139.00
This is a deeper support zone and is indicated as the next bearish leg if price momentum continues downward.
Summary:
Current Price: ~142.74
Trend: Bearish (Breakdown from trendline + Ichimoku bearish signals)
Target 1: 140.88
Target 2: 138.85
Let me know if you want SL (stop-loss) or entry suggestions.
"NZD/USD Bullish Heist! Steal Pips Before the Reversal Trap! 🏴☠️ NZD/USD Kiwi Heist Masterplan – Steal the Bull Run! 💰
🌟 Hola, Money Makers & Market Marauders! 🌟
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style raid on the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex vault. Follow the blueprint sketched in the chart for a bold long takeover — escape the high‑risk Yellow MA Zone before guards tighten!
🎯 Heist Blueprint
1. Entry 🚀
"The vault swings wide—yank that Bull loot at any price!"
Drop your buy-limit orders within the next 15–30 min (or at the latest swing low/high). Don’t sleep—set chart alerts for the perfect breach.
2. Stop‑Loss 🛑
Thief-style SL lurks at the nearest 5h swing‑low wick (≈ 0.60400) for intra‑day.
Adjust your SL based on your risk appetite, position size, and combo of orders.
3. Target 🎯
Aim to escape by 0.62000, or bail early for safety.
4. Scalpers’ Edge 🔍
Only rob on the long side. Big bankroll? Go all‑in. Prefer safety? Slide into the swing crew with a trailing SL to lock in your spoils.
🔍 Market Intel
Why the Kiwi Loot is Ripe:
Bullish momentum marches on, fueled by macroeconomic clues, COT data, sentiment shifts, inter-market moves — all pointing upward.
📚 For Full Recon:
Dive into the fundamental, macro, COT, quant, sentiment & intermarket intel — plus trend targets and scorecards. Check the data here 👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Caution Zone
News Watch & Position Safety:
Major news = guarded vault. Don't open new trades during release windows.
If you're in already, use trailing stops to shield your haul and lock in gains.
💪 Support the Crew
Smash that “Boost” to fuel our team and keep the raid running smooth. With Thief Trading Style, every day’s a payday.
🗓️ Stay tuned for the next Kiwi Heist – we’re just getting started. Happy robbing, legends! 🐱👤💥
#XAUUSD 30MIN 📉 #XAUUSD 30m Sell Setup – Bearish Continuation Ahead
Gold is currently retracing after a strong drop, consolidating within a short-term Supply Zone. We anticipate a temporary bullish push toward the 3345–3350 premium area, where the broader bearish trend is expected to resume.
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3350 (Supply / OB Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3300 → 3260
❌ Stop Loss: Above 3358
⚠ Note: This is a short-term retracement, not a trend reversal.
We expect selling pressure to return once price taps into the 3350 Order Block, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
#gold #XAUUSD #forexsignals #SmartMoney
EUR/USD.4h chart pattern.EUR/USD 4H chart, I can see an ascending trendline with a breakout to the upside, suggesting bullish momentum. You’ve also marked a "TARGET" zone visually on the chart.
Estimated Target:
Based on standard breakout and trend continuation principles:
Current Price: Around 1.1598
Visual Target Zone (as per your chart): Near 1.1700
Potential Target Zone:
1.1700 - 1.1720 (Approximate zone for bullish continuation if breakout holds)
Notes:
✅ Strong bullish structure confirmed by higher highs and trendline support
✅ Breakout already in motion; as long as price stays above the trendline, bullish target remains valid
✅ Watch key support at 1.1535 - 1.1500; price falling below this weakens bullish outlook
Would you like Fibonacci or measured move targets calculated more precisely? Let me know!
Euro Continues Bullish Trend | Eyes on 1.1882 & 1.2075EUR/USD – Strong Bullish Structure | Watching 1.1745 Pivot Zone for Reentry
The Euro continues to trade in a well-defined bullish trend, supported by institutional demand and clear price structure.
After breaking above the 1.1684 resistance zone, EUR/USD extended toward 1.1818 and now approaches the next resistance at 1.1882. This level may act as a temporary cap, but if breached with momentum, the pair could target the 1.2075 zone next.
Bullish Order Blocks (BOBs) marked on the chart highlight previous accumulation zones where buyers stepped in aggressively. These areas are still valid for demand-based pullbacks.
Key Area to Watch – 1.1745 Pivot Zone:
This level serves as a potential reentry point if the price retraces. As long as EUR/USD holds above this zone, bullish momentum remains intact. A confirmed bounce here could resume the uptrend toward 1.1882 and beyond.
However, a clean break below 1.1745 could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.1627 or even 1.1557, which is the next major support zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1882, 1.2075
Pivot Zone: 1.1745
Support: 1.1627, 1.1557
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 | Watch for Breakout or Pullback!
📅 Published on: Jul 01, 2025
✍️ By: MR_MARK0
🧠 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has been riding a strong bullish wave, pushing through multiple resistance levels. Currently, price is hovering just below the $3,350 resistance, which marks a critical level for either trend continuation or a potential pullback. Momentum remains in favor of buyers, but signs of exhaustion are beginning to surface.
🔍 Key Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,350.0 – $3,352.5
🟢 Support Zone: $3,338.0 – $3,340.0
🟢 Demand Block: $3,310.0 – $3,315.0 (bullish base before recent breakout)
📌 Strategy in Play:
The chart reflects a Trend Continuation Strategy with key support/resistance zones identified. Price has shown strength, but we are now at a make-or-break level. Patience is crucial here.
🧭 Trade Idea:
🔁 Buy the Dip:
Entry Zone: $3,340 – $3,342
SL: Below $3,338
TP1: $3,352
TP2: $3,360
🔁 Breakout Play (Aggressive):
Entry: On breakout above $3,352 with bullish volume
SL: Below breakout candle low
TP: $3,360 and $3,372
⚠️ Risk Note:
Price is extended; a fake breakout above $3,350 may trigger a bull trap. If price fails and drops below $3,338, expect a corrective move toward $3,330 – $3,310. Watch volume divergence and candle rejection patterns.
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order Block Identified
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅15' Order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D1 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis..Looking at My EUR/USD 4H Chart Pattern, here's the analysis:
Current Price:
Around 1.1819
Observations:
Price is moving inside an ascending channel
Breakout from the upper channel line is happening
Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum as price is well above the cloud
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Target Levels:
✅ First Target Zone: 1.1900 - 1.1950
✅ Final Target Zone: 1.2000 - 1.2020 (as marked on your chart)
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Notes:
Watch for strong breakout confirmation above 1.1850
If momentum continues, price can reach 1.2000
Use stop-loss below 1.1750 to manage risk
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If you want, I can help suggest stop-loss, entry, and risk management in detail. Let me know!
GOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formationGOLD 3H Chart Pattern, I have marked a cup formation, which often indicates a bullish reversal setup. Based on the chart:
Key Levels:
Current Price Zone: Around 3,323 - 3,330
First Target: Near 3,380 - 3,400
Final Target: Near 3,440 - 3,460
Analysis:
Price is forming a cup pattern with resistance around 3,380 - 3,400
Break above 3,400 could lead towards the final target zone of 3,440 - 3,460
Watch for price reaction near Ichimoku Cloud; clean breakout above the cloud confirms bullish momentum
Suggested Targets:
✅ First Target: 3,380 - 3,400 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,440 - 3,460 USD
Note: Wait for confirmation above 3,330 - 3,340 and bullish momentum to continue.
If you want, I can also give stop-loss and entry suggestions based on this chart. Let me know!
AAPL triangle breakout pattern (bullish bias in this case).📈 Chart Pattern Observed:
This is a symmetrical triangle breakout pattern (bullish bias in this case).
Price has broken out or is near breakout above the descending trendline.
Ichimoku cloud thinning and flattening indicates potential bullish momentum building up.
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🎯 Target Levels Based on Chart:
1. First Target Point:
Price Level: Around $225.00 USD
This is the initial breakout target, often calculated by measuring the widest part of the triangle and projecting upward from the breakout point.
2. Second (Final) Target Point:
Price Level: Around $250.00 USD
This is a more extended target if bullish momentum continues strongly and volume confirms the move.
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🔍 Additional Notes:
Current Price Zone: Around $202–$206 USD
Stop-Loss Idea: Below the recent swing low or lower trendline, around $195–$197 USD
Entry Idea: On confirmed breakout and retest, above $206.50–$208.00 USD
Would you like help with a trade plan including entry/SL/TP levels based on risk-reward?
SILVER US$ 1H CHART PATTERNSilver (XAG/USD) 1H timeframe, here’s a breakdown of the target levels indicated:
📈 Chart Analysis Highlights:
The chart shows a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern signaling upward movement.
The price has recently broken above resistance around the 36.36–36.40 area.
You’ve marked two target points:
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🎯 Target Levels:
1. First Target Point:
Price Level: Approximately 37.40 USD
This is the first significant resistance level after breakout, potentially reachable if momentum continues.
2. Second Target Point (Extended Target):
Price Level: Approximately 37.80 USD
This would be a more ambitious target assuming strong bullish follow-through.
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📌 Notes:
Ensure to monitor volume on breakout for confirmation.
Risk management is important — consider stop-loss near 36.10 or below the ascending trendline.
Watch for any false breakouts especially near Ichimoku cloud resistance zones.
Would you like help setting up entry/exit levels or risk-reward ratios?
SILVER Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,639.6.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,732.0 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.663 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CADJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.190.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 104.340 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDCAD Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.895.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.900.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Quantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep DiveQuantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep Dive
Quantitative trading in forex harnesses advanced algorithms and statistical models to decode market dynamics, offering traders a sophisticated approach to currency trading. This article delves into the various quantitative trading models, their implementation, and their challenges, providing insights for traders looking to navigate the forex market with a data-driven approach.
Understanding Quantitative Trading in Forex
Quantitative trading, also known as quant trading, in the forex market involves using sophisticated quantitative trading systems that leverage complex mathematical and statistical methods to analyse market data and execute trades. These systems are designed to identify patterns, trends, and potential opportunities in currency movements that might be invisible to the naked eye.
At the heart of these systems are quantitative trading strategies and models, which are algorithmic procedures developed to determine market behaviour and make informed decisions. These strategies incorporate a variety of approaches, from historical data analysis to predictive modelling, which should ensure a comprehensive assessment of market dynamics. Notably, in quantitative trading, Python and similar data-oriented programming languages are often used to build models.
In essence, quantitative systems help decipher the intricate relationships between different currency pairs, economic indicators, and global events, potentially enabling traders to execute trades with higher precision and efficiency.
Key Types of Quantitative Models
Quantitative trading, spanning diverse markets such as forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies*, utilises complex quantitative trading algorithms to make informed decisions. While it's prominently applied in quantitative stock trading, its principles and models are particularly significant in the forex market. These models are underpinned by quantitative analysis, derivative modelling, and trading strategies, which involve mathematical analysis of market movements and risk assessment to potentially optimise trading outcomes.
Trend Following Models
Trend-following systems are designed to identify and capitalise on market trends. Using historical price data, they may determine the direction and strength of market movements, helping traders to align themselves with the prevailing upward or downward trend. Indicators like the Average Directional Index or Parabolic SAR can assist in developing trend-following models.
Mean Reversion Models
Operating on the principle that prices eventually move back towards their mean or average, mean reversion systems look for overextended price movements in the forex market. Traders use mean reversion strategies to determine when a currency pair is likely to revert to its historical average.
High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Models
Involving the execution of a large number of orders at breakneck speeds, HFT models are used to capitalise on tiny price movements. They’re less about determining market direction and more about exploiting market inefficiencies at micro-level time frames.
Sentiment Analysis Models
These models analyse market sentiment data, such as news headlines, social media buzz, and economic reports, to gauge the market's mood. This information can be pivotal in defining short-term movements in the forex market, though this model is becoming increasingly popular for quantitative trading in crypto*.
Machine Learning Models
These systems continuously learn and adapt to new market data by incorporating AI and machine learning, identifying complex patterns and relationships that might elude traditional models. They are particularly adept at processing large volumes of data and making predictive analyses.
Hypothesis-Based Models
These models test specific hypotheses about market behaviour. For example, a theory might posit that certain economic indicators lead to predictable responses in currency markets. They’re then backtested and refined based on historical data to validate or refute the hypotheses.
Each model offers a unique lens through which forex traders can analyse the market, offering diverse approaches to tackle the complexities of currency trading.
Quantitative vs Algorithmic Trading
While quant and algorithmic trading are often used interchangeably and do overlap, there are notable differences between the two approaches.
Algorithmic Trading
Focus: Emphasises automating processes, often using technical indicators for decision-making.
Methodology: Relies on predefined rules based on historical data, often without the depth of quantitative analysis.
Execution: Prioritises automated execution of trades, often at high speed.
Application: Used widely for efficiency in executing repetitive, rule-based tasks.
Quantitative Trading
Focus: Utilises advanced mathematical and statistical models to determine market movements.
Methodology: Involves complex computations and data analysis and often incorporates economic theories.
Execution: May or may not automate trade execution; focuses on strategy formulation.
Application: Common in risk management and strategic trade planning.
Implementation and Challenges
Implementing quantitative models in forex begins with the development of a robust strategy involving the selection of appropriate models and algorithms. This phase includes rigorous backtesting against historical data to validate their effectiveness. Following this, traders often engage in forward testing in live market conditions to evaluate real-world performance.
Challenges in this realm are multifaceted. Key among them is the quality and relevance of the data used. Models can be rendered ineffective if based on inaccurate or outdated data. Overfitting remains a significant concern, where systems too closely tailored to historical data may fail to adapt to evolving market dynamics. Another challenge is the constant need to monitor and update models to keep pace with market changes, requiring a blend of technical expertise and market acumen.
The Bottom Line
In this deep dive into quantitative trading in forex, we've uncovered the potency of diverse models, each tailored to navigate the complex currency markets with precision. These strategies, rooted in data-driven analysis, may offer traders an edge in decision-making.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is going to rise more following a bullish breakout
of a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
Next goal - 0.66
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀
Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag.
==================================================================
Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge”
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure
Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯
Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯
Optional extended:
TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target
====================================================================
#MJTrading
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 106,743.04
Target Level: 99,806.18
Stop Loss: 111,349.12
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Potential bearish drop?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is also a pullback support..
Pivot: 105.84
1st Support: 104.33
1st resistance: 106.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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