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EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
USDCAD Hits Support as Fed-Hawkish & BoC Cuts! Big Bounce ComingUSDCAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) is trading at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the important Support line and Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that USDCAD has managed to complete 5 main down waves and we can expect more up waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.37860 CAD. Fundamental View: The Bank of Canada initiated its rate-cutting cycle , while the Federal Reserve remains firm with no immediate plans to ease. Strong NFP data on Friday reinforced USD ( TVC:DXY ) strength . Oil prices( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) may offer temporary support to CAD , but macro divergences clearly favor the dollar . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 1.36110 CAD U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
EURUSD Outlook – Long, Medium & Short-Term Analysis🔹 Weekly Chart: The broader structure remains technically bearish. We've recently seen a trend reset, which could mark the beginning of a fresh downside leg. 🔹 Daily Chart: A clear bearish trend reversal pattern has formed, accompanied by a manipulation phase. A confirmed break structure is now in place. As long as price remains below 1.15734, short positions remain valid. 🔹 4H Chart: Currently in a range-bound phase. A confirmed break below 1.1371 will be a key bearish trigger for potential selling opportunities. 🔹 1H Chart: Still ranging, but a valid Lower Low (LL) has already printed. A second LL below 1.1371 would confirm a short-term bearish continuation. On the flip side, a break above 1.1495 would open the door for a bullish move in the short term. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Bullish above: 1.1495 Bearish below: 1.1371 Critical invalidation: 1.15734 Trade safe and stay disciplined.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern . I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) . ----------------------------------------------------------- EURGBP Fundamental Analysis: 1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview : The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions. Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation. Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth. Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK. The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time. 2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview : The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone. Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it. Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility. Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months. Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone. 3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long : The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength. UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP. ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive. Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP. 4. Risks to Consider : Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR. Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP. External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies. ----------------------------------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
Will the U.S. Dollar Bear go out to lunch and take a break?In this video I go over the case for the U.S. Dollar bear taking a break and price action getting a pullback across the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. I took a 42% profit on EUR/USD longs and currently keeping an eye on a short opportunity if weakness starts to creep in on the price action. Long term, I remain U.S. Dollar bearish across the board however pullbacks are always expected during a macro price move. If we trade higher, so be it and I will evaluate what the next position will be. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
JPYUSD Smart Money VIP Analysis – Eyeing High-Probability Target📈 Market Context: The JPYUSD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) is currently navigating through a critical structure phase where price is reacting to previously established institutional zones. Recent price movements reveal a clean and structured setup — one that aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and CHoCH (Change of Character) theory. This 2H chart provides a roadmap for anticipating the next high-probability reversal, giving traders an edge in both short-term scalps and mid-term swing trades. 🔍 In-Depth Chart Analysis: 🧱 Resistance Zone (0.007020–0.007040): This area has been tested multiple times in the past and acted as a strong supply zone. Institutional orders have previously caused significant bearish pressure from this level. Unless a strong bullish breakout occurs with volume, this zone is likely to hold again. 🔁 Next Reversal Zone (0.006975–0.006985): Price is currently climbing from the SR Interchange Zone, heading toward this marked reversal area. Here's why this zone matters: Confluence of past resistance and imbalance Potential liquidity sweep above minor highs Perfect setup for a bearish reaction to form a lower high Traders should watch for signs of weak bullish candles, wicks, or a bearish engulfing here. 🔄 SR Interchange (Support-Resistance Flip): This level held firm, showing buyer interest after a previous structure break. It signals a healthy correction phase — a typical SMC signature before larger moves occur. The market is offering a retracement opportunity. 🟡 CHoCH Zones: Minor CHoCH (0.006900): A break and close below this level would invalidate bullish correction and confirm the shift in momentum. Major CHoCH (0.006840): The final confirmation of bearish dominance. A breach here opens the door for new lows, targeting long-term support areas. ⚔️ Smart Money Playbook: Current Move: Price is in bullish retracement from previous demand zone Watch Zone: 0.006975–0.006985 (Potential Smart Money sell zone) Reaction Setup: Bearish structure forms (e.g., M pattern, liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing) Price breaks minor CHoCH Sell Entry: After confirmation, with stops above reversal zone TP1: SR Interchange level TP2: Major CHoCH zone 📅 Fundamental Triggers Ahead: Watch for upcoming USD economic data (CPI, PPI, interest rate decisions) between June 11–14, which could act as catalysts for volatility and confirm technical setups. 🧠 Educational Note: This setup is a classic example of market structure shift, liquidity engineering, and order block theory — concepts used by banks and smart money traders. Retail traders often get trapped on the wrong side of these zones. Your edge lies in anticipating the trap, not reacting to it. 🎯 Conclusion: JPYUSD is offering a textbook Smart Money setup. The current retracement gives an opportunity to position early into a likely bearish continuation, provided structure confirms at the next reversal zone. Patience, discipline, and precise timing will be key to capitalizing on this move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview: Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal. 📌 Key Levels & Price Zones: 🔻 Trendline Breakdown A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330) This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish. 🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350) A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again. ⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290) This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone. 🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280) A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation. 🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265) This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement. 📈 Forecast Path: Based on the price projection: Expect lower highs to form. If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone. A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control. 📊 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones. Entry: After confirmation below 3,330 Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265 SL: Above 3,350 🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario: If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal. Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone Target: Back to 3,322 or higher 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely. ✅ Final Thoughts: Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management. 📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
NOKJPY – Detailed Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaMacro Bias: LONG NOK / SHORT JPY Why NOKJPY? 1. Fundamental Macro (ENDO): Norway (NOK): Strong inflationary pressure, positive PMI, robust M2 growth. Massive fiscal surplus driven by energy exports – best debt/GDP ratio in the G10. Norges Bank still maintaining relatively high interest rates. Positive Terms of Trade, central bank balance sheet (CBBS) is shrinking (long-term bullish for NOK). Japan (JPY): Economic stagnation and deflationary risks, weak PMI and consumer spending. Negative real yields, central bank remains ultra-accommodative, extreme debt/GDP ratio. Persistent deflationary sentiment – classic “funding currency” for global carry trades. 2. COT Positioning (Commitments of Traders): JPY is the most crowded short in the entire G10: hedge funds and leveraged funds are aggressively short JPY. NOK positioning is neutral to slightly long – no overcrowding risk on the long side. 3. EXO & Sentiment Signals: Terms-of-trade and projected GDP/CPI all favor NOK. Sentiment, macro “score,” and risk/reward models consistently generate a long NOKJPY signal. Exogenous indicators (futures, commodity impulse, sentiment, parity) all support NOK strength. 4. Technicals & Carry Edge: NOKJPY remains in a strong multi-month uptrend. Major carry advantage: NOK rates are much higher than JPY, yielding significant positive swap. Every recent pullback has been bought, and momentum remains bullish. Key Reasons for the Trade: Multi-model consensus: No contradiction between macro, COT, exo, and technicals. NOK is “king of G10” by every fundamental measure; JPY is the weakest currency this cycle. Textbook carry trade for 2025. Risks: Only a sudden global “risk-off” or a central bank policy shock could temporarily disrupt the trend. Currently, there is no crowding risk on NOK longs. SUMMARY: LONG NOKJPY is the cleanest, highest-conviction swing trade for this cycle – every model (macro, COT, exo, sentiment, carry) is in agreement. Every meaningful pullback is a buying opportunity.
Long
by Idealadvantage
Is This the Optimal Entry After a PDL Sweep and FVG Retest?A clean structural development on CHFJPY (1H TF) After sweeping the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), price created a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside , shifting short-term sentiment. This BOS was followed by a precise retest into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting possible continuation as liquidity shifts from weak hands to strong. 🧠 Educational Notes : CRT Sweep Logic: Market often sweeps the previous day's high or low before making its true move. In this case, a clean PDL sweep was followed by a strong bullish reaction. Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bullish intent after the sweep, validating a shift in order flow. FVG Retest: Institutional pricing inefficiency filled — a classic SMC continuation behavior. Entry Thesis: Based on reaction from FVG + BOS confirmation, with invalidation below the swept low and TP near the previous swing high. This setup is not financial advice, but a clear visual case study for traders applying SMC + CRT logic.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
USDJPY Tests Channel Support After ADP Shock — Rebound Ahead?In the last hour's candle after the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Index was released, USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) started to fall, but considering the position of this pair, I think we can have a good Risk-To-Reward even if the Stop Loss (SL) is touched. USDJPY is trading near the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone(143.870 JPY-143.430 JPY) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , USDJPY appears to be completing a corrective pattern . I expect USDJPY to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss = 143.220 JPY Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
27
Stronger U.S. JOLTS Data Pressures EURUSD!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) failed to break the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424) and started to fall again , breaking the Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave X of the Double Three Correction(WXY) structure . Just moments ago, the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data was released. ------------------------------- Actual: 7.39M Forecast: 7.11M Previous: 7.19M The stronger-than-expected JOLTS figure at 7.39 million signals a resilient labor market. This reduces recession fears and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer. Bullish for the U.S. Dollar( TVC:DXY ) Bearish pressure could hit EURUSD, especially if it's approaching the key resistance zone. ------------------------------- I expect EURUSD to start to fall again after the pullback to the Support lines and to fall to the targets I have specified on the chart. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.14580(Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect a failure of the Resistance zone($1.1487-$1.1424). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
14
JPYUSD Technical Breakdown | Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Breakdown: Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) We’ve identified a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often appears at the end of a downtrend. Here's how the structure played out: Left Shoulder: The initial drop formed a local low, followed by a short recovery, creating the first "shoulder" on the left. Head: A deeper push down formed the lowest point of the pattern, indicating a possible trap for sellers or exhaustion in bearish momentum. This is the "head" and the key anchor of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low forms, showing buyers stepping in earlier and with more strength. This symmetry confirms the structure and signals a potential reversal in trend. Neckline: Drawn across the highs between the shoulders, this key resistance line was broken decisively, confirming the bullish pattern and triggering an upward breakout. 📌 Trendline + Retest Zone = Confluence Support After the breakout above the neckline: Price surged strongly, showing confidence in the reversal. It pulled back gently to retest the neckline, which now acts as support. This retest also aligns with the upward trendline, adding confluence — a strong signal in technical trading that increases the probability of a successful continuation move. This zone is labeled on the chart as: 🟦 “Like a Retesting Zone After Boom” — a perfect description of what’s occurring. 🎯 Target and Resistance Zones The price is now moving toward a major resistance zone marked between 0.007020 – 0.007060, with a target zone slightly above at 0.007080. These zones represent historical selling pressure or supply areas. A breakout above this region would open doors to even higher levels, signaling strong bullish continuation. 📈 Why This Setup Matters (MMC Strategy Applied) Using the Market Mapping Concept (MMC) approach, this trade idea combines: Market structure (Inverse H&S pattern) Momentum confirmation (strong bullish move after breakout) Zone mapping (support/resistance confluence) Trendline validation (clean structure with pullback respect) This creates a well-defined trade setup with clear entry and exit logic, excellent risk-to-reward potential, and technical confirmation. ✅ Summary: Bullish Outlook With Managed Risk Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above the neckline/trendline zone. Confirmation: Inverse H&S pattern + successful retest. Target: 0.007060–0.007080 resistance zone. Invalidation: Break below 0.006980 and close under trendline support. 💬 Minds Post Caption (Extended) 🔥 JPYUSD Ready to Fly? Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Spotted! Clean reversal pattern (H&S) just completed with a strong neckline breakout and a perfect retest at trendline confluence. MMC analysis suggests bullish continuation toward the 0.007060+ resistance zone. Classic "retest after boom" move. Watching price action closely! 🚀📊
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Analysis – Market Mapping Concept (MMC) + Target🧭 Overview: Today's Silver price action presents a textbook example of how MMC can guide traders through: Identifying the smart money accumulation phase. Anticipating breakout momentum . Locating key reversal areas based on previous liquidity maps and structural shifts. We are currently observing Silver in the early stages of a structural retest after a breakout from consolidation. This gives rise to two powerful scenarios: either a bullish continuation after structure confirmation or a deeper retracement if the structure fails. 🔍 Detailed Chart Explanation: 🔷 1. Volume Contraction Phase The market spent multiple sessions forming a symmetrical wedge, visible by narrowing price movement and consistent lower highs and higher lows. This was accompanied by declining volume, signaling accumulation/distribution by institutional players. The wedge served as a liquidity trap, drawing in both early shorts and longs before the true direction was revealed. ✅ MMC Principle: Volume contraction often precedes major breakouts as market makers build positions quietly. 🔷 2. SR Interchange – Breakout Confirmation Price finally broke above the upper trendline, triggering a bullish impulse and confirming SR interchange (resistance turned support). This move was backed by a strong bullish candle, showing aggressive participation and institutional involvement. 📌 This breakout candle set the tone for a structural shift—transforming from sideways to upward momentum. 🔷 3. Rapid Expansion Toward Previous Target Zone After the breakout, price accelerated directly into a previous high (target) zone marked in blue. According to MMC, this zone often acts as a liquidity magnet, where late buyers enter and professional traders take profits. A rejection wick formed right after touching this zone—classic smart money behavior, catching retail traders chasing the move. ✅ MMC Principle: Prior highs/lows are not just resistance—they're engineered targets for liquidity collection. 🔷 4. Target + Reversal Area After the rejection, price declined back into the Target + Reversal Zone. This area aligns with MMC’s ideal structure for potential buy-side re-accumulation. This zone is where previous volume imbalances occurred, meaning it is likely to act as support if the bullish trend is to continue. 📊 Current price is consolidating within this zone, suggesting a possible bullish continuation if structure holds. 🔷 5. Structure Mapping – The Key to MMC The most recent price reaction highlights the importance of structure mapping: identifying areas where market logic aligns with trader behavior. The bearish pullback into the structure zone may complete a retest, and traders are watching closely for bullish confirmation. ⚙️ Technical Summary: Key Zone Description Volume Contraction Signals accumulation before breakout. SR Interchange Breakout level where resistance turned to support. Previous Target Zone Liquidity pool, ideal for institutional exits or reversal. Target + Reversal Zone Demand zone where the trend may resume if confirmed. Structure Mapping Current phase; price is aligning into new bullish structure or preparing for drop. 🧭 What to Watch Next: 🔹 Scenario A – Bullish Case: Price holds within the Target + Reversal Zone. Confirmation via bullish engulfing candle or breakout of lower high. Target: retest of 34.80+, then potential extension to 35.20. 🔹 Scenario B – Bearish Case: Breakdown below structure base at 33.85–34.00. Could lead to a deeper correction toward 33.40 or 32.80 (previous volume node). 📌 Volume + Structure = Decision Point. Next few candles are crucial for validating direction. 🛠 Strategy & Execution: Approach: Wait for confirmation candles before entering. Avoid reacting impulsively within the structure zone. Entry Idea: Buy on bullish confirmation in the reversal zone. Place stop below structure invalidation. Target the top of the previous target zone or higher. Risk Management: Use tight SLs below 33.85 and scale in only on confirmation. 📅 Timeframe: 1H 🔭 Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish 🎯 Technique: MMC Structure Mapping + Volume-Based Targeting 🧠 Final Thoughts: This XAGUSD chart showcases the predictive power of MMC when applied correctly. By understanding where smart money operates, traders can improve accuracy, timing, and risk control. 📌 If you found this analysis helpful, like and follow for daily insights. Drop your thoughts in the comments—do you trade MMC-style setups?
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, we dissect how gold traded last week (May 26–30), why the price hovered near the top of a descending channel, and what’s driving market indecision. From geopolitical tensions to Federal Reserve interest rate uncertainty, we connect the dots between fundamentals and technical structure, enabling you to make better-informed trading decisions. 📅 Key Events to Watch This Week: ✅ISM Manufacturing PMI ✅ADP Employment Change ✅ISM Services PMI ✅Average Hourly Earnings ✅Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) 🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through: 🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers) 🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPriceForecast #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #MarketOutlook #NFP #FOMC #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldBulls #GoldBears #TradingStrategy #Darcsherry #XAUUSDAnalysis #GoldOutlook #GoldPricePrediction
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
EURJPY Weekly Analysis – Major Structural Breakout & Target🧱 1. Consolidation Zone: The Dual Directional Area From around August 2024 to May 2025, EURJPY traded inside a well-defined consolidation range, marked between approximately 155.00 to 165.00. This phase can be categorized as a Dual Directional Zone, meaning both buyers and sellers had tactical entries, but the market was in accumulation/distribution mode. This phase often traps breakout traders and builds liquidity on both sides. Price repeatedly swept highs and lows inside this zone but lacked any commitment, signaling that larger players were building positions. The flat structure over months hinted that a major move was imminent. ⚠️ 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) The first clue of shifting momentum was the CHoCH, which signaled a change in direction and flow of control. The lower highs and lower lows began to shift into higher lows, showing buying strength beneath the surface. This change didn’t immediately lead to breakout, but it marked the early intention of bullish dominance. 🚀 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure): Confirming the Bullish Bias The clean break above the range high was the confirmation of a major bullish BOS. This wasn’t just a minor pop — it was an aggressive breakout, validating that institutional liquidity had been accumulated and was now being deployed. The price ran swiftly toward the Bullish Target Zone (~177.50–180.00) with very little pullback, suggesting urgency from buyers or short-covering from trapped sellers. 🎯 4. Bullish Target Reached – What's Next? Price has hit the projected Bullish Target Area — a region of prior imbalance and psychological round numbers. Traders who caught the breakout now face a critical decision point: Will price continue higher into price discovery mode, or is this the exhaustion phase? If price holds above the BOS level (~165.00), there’s still room for continuation. But signs of rejection or slowing momentum here could lead to a correction. 🔻 5. Bearish Alternative: Trap and Reversal Scenario The bearish path is not out of play — in fact, this move upward could potentially be a liquidity sweep. If price fails to stay above the BOS and rapidly closes back into the consolidation range, it would suggest a bull trap. This would confirm a deviation, which often leads to violent reversals. The projected Bearish Target Zone (~145.00–147.50) aligns with prior unmitigated zones and imbalance that may attract price if sentiment flips. 🧭 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Planning For Bulls: Watch for consolidation above 165.00. Breakout + Retest entries toward 180.00 or beyond offer high R/R. For Bears : Look for exhaustion or fakeout patterns (like a Quasimodo or supply engulfing) near current highs. A breakdown and close below 165.00 signals short entries targeting 150s and potentially 147s. 💬 Final Thoughts: This chart is a prime example of how patience during a range and reaction after breakout pays off. Smart traders don’t chase — they prepare. A bullish continuation may still be in play. However, if this move was only a liquidity purge, the reversal could be deep and fast. Stay alert, mark your key levels, and trade what you see — not what you feel.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY | Smart Money Long Setup – Deep Fib + OB Reaction💴 USDJPY | Institutional Long Play with Perfect OB + Fib Confluence Price gave us an aggressive push off the demand zone, showing clear Smart Money accumulation behavior. This setup is high probability based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). 🔍 1. Technical Breakdown Strong impulse move upward Clean pullback into the Order Block Confluence with 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone Price respected the OB zone and printed higher highs That reaction was institutional — no cap 🧢. 🧱 2. Bullish Confluences 🔥 Order Block (OB): Purple demand zone = unmitigated 📐 Fib Sweet Spot: 70.5%–79% = institutional re-entry levels ✅ Strong Wick Rejection: Shows absorption of sell-side liquidity 📈 Market Structure Shift: Break of structure to the upside 🎯 3. Trade Plan Entry: 142.89 (within OB + 70.5%) Stop Loss: 142.00 Take Profit: 145.49 zone This setup targets the -27% fib extension — a classic institutional TP level. ⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio) 💰 Entry: 142.89 🔒 SL: 142.00 📍 TP: 145.49 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:2.9 Solid intraday-to-swing play with clean structure. 🧠 5. Key Confirmation Points Break and close above 144.36 = confirmed bullish intent Price respecting 143.44 OB = bulls still in control SL below OB = protected by demand block 💬 Comment “SMC Long Sniper 💹” if you caught this move! 🔄 Share this if you love OB + fib sniper entries 📌 Save this setup for your next demand zone playbook
Long
by ChartNinjas88
2
EURUSD Mirror Market Concept – Retest Before Bullish Expansion 🔍 Analysis Summary: This EUR/USD setup is constructed using the Mirror Market Concept (MMC), which identifies price behavior patterns that tend to "mirror" across central zones or key support/resistance levels. The chart highlights multiple "Ellipse + Central Zone" regions that represent strong consolidation and price decision areas, reflecting symmetry in market reactions. 📈 Key Technical Insights: Central Zones & Ellipses: These are repeated zones where price action has shown symmetry in both accumulation and distribution phases. Watch how these ellipses mirror prior moves, indicating likely zones of reaction. Previous Target & Reversal Area : The market completed a leg to the previous target (around 1.1410), followed by a rejection from a major resistance zone, initiating a reversal. This aligns with the Mirror Market structure, where the move downward reflects the previous bullish leg. Support Level: A significant support zone has been marked near the 1.1275 level. Price action reversed from here, respecting this base and forming a reversal zone. Retesting Phase: After bouncing from support, the price is entering a retesting phase around the 1.1330 level (identified ellipse). This retest is critical—if held, it could trigger bullish continuation. Major BOS (Break of Structure): Once price breaks and sustains above the 1.1360–1.1380 region, it will confirm the BOS and pave the way toward the final Target Zone at 1.1450–1.1470. 🎯 Trade Plan Overview: Bullish Scenario: Look for confirmation of support near 1.1320–1.1330 during the retest. If price holds and forms bullish structure (e.g., higher lows, bullish engulfing), consider long setups targeting 1.1450. Bearish Invalidator: A breakdown and close below the support level at 1.1275 would invalidate the bullish bias and call for reevaluation of the setup. 🧠 Final Thoughts: This analysis reflects the mirror behavior of price and the market psychology around equilibrium zones. MMC provides a structured way to anticipate future price action by understanding how historical reactions unfold. Watch key zones and wait for confirmation before engaging.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Deep Analysis Using MMC – Curve Zone + Volume Burst Zone📌 Overview: Today’s chart setup on JPY/USD demonstrates a classic Mirror Market Concept scenario, where price mimics past structure and behavior to create high-probability trade setups. We are looking at a textbook reversal with a rounded bottom forming right above a key Support Zone—signaling a strong potential move upward. This is not just a basic support bounce. It’s a multi-layered confluence where structure, volume, and price action come together to build a strong bullish narrative. 🌀 Phase 1: The Curve Zone Support (Accumulation) The Curve Zone Support (marked clearly on the chart) sits right above 0.006890–0.006910. Price touched this zone multiple times without breaking it, forming higher lows—a typical sign of accumulation. This pattern resembles a “rounded bottom” or cup shape, indicating that sellers are getting exhausted and buyers are slowly stepping in. 💡 Market Psychology: This is where smart money begins to accumulate positions, absorbing panic sellers while price coils up. 🧱 Phase 2: SR Interchange + Central Zone Reaction Notice the SR Interchange Zone around 0.006950. Previously it acted as a resistance, but price broke above and now respects it as support. This is a textbook SR flip, confirming that this level holds weight. The Central Zone, formed earlier, is where a battle between bulls and bears took place. Now price is creeping back toward it. 🧠 Mirror Market Concept Insight: Market tends to repeat structure. The earlier bullish rally from the same base level is a mirrored version of what’s forming now. That’s why this concept gives us confidence in projecting future price moves. 🔊 Phase 3: Volume Burst Area – The Target Zone We’ve marked a Volume Burst Area around 0.007040. This is where heavy buying occurred before a sharp decline. According to MMC, these areas often act like magnets—price gravitates back toward them once demand builds up below. If price clears the midpoint (50% retracement) around 0.006960, it opens the door for a bullish breakout toward the volume cluster. 🎯 Trade Plan Based on This Setup: Component Details Entry Zone 0.006920 – 0.006930 (buy zone) Stop Loss Below 0.006890 First Target 0.006980 (mid-level reaction) Final Target 0.007000 – 0.007040 (Volume Zone) 🧬 MMC Confluences That Make This Setup Powerful: ✅ Curve Zone Support – Foundational base for entry. ✅ SR Flip (Interchange) – Old resistance turned support. ✅ Volume Burst Area – Target based on prior aggressive moves. ✅ Structure Break – Bullish structure shift as price forms higher lows. ✅ Psychology – Accumulation turning into expansion. 🏁 Final Thoughts: This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts can unlock the hidden patterns of the market. It’s not just technicals, it’s also about understanding how traders think and how price reflects those emotions. When you combine curve structures, SR interchanges, and volume dynamics, you’re not guessing—you’re anticipating. If price respects this structure, this could be a clean move toward 0.007000+, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD – Clean Rejection from Mini Resistance | Bearish Move🔻 1. Major & Mini Resistance Zones Mini Resistance Zone: This is a key supply area that aligns with previous highs and recent structure points. As the price approaches this level, it tends to react due to unfilled sell orders and trapped buyers. The chart shows a rejection from this mini resistance zone — visible through strong bearish candles. This suggests institutional selling pressure has entered the market. Major Resistance is still untouched above, which becomes a clear invalidation level for any short bias. If price breaks and sustains above it, the bearish idea would be invalidated. 🔄 2. MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) at Work The MMC idea is clearly illustrated. The price movement after the last major drop is mirrored on the right side: Strong rally > Formation of lower highs > Resistance retest > Sharp decline These mirrored behaviors often hint at psychological repetition in the market, driven by trader memory and order placement. The bearish movement after retesting the mini resistance looks nearly identical to the previous leg on the left — reinforcing the idea that we may see a similar downside structure repeat. 🌀 3. Central Zone Area – Liquidity Trap and Reaction Point The Central Zone Area is labeled where a previous sharp bounce occurred. This zone is critical for several reasons: It acted as support multiple times. It’s also where a liquidity grab occurred — shown with a long wick — before a reversal rally. In current price action, this zone may again act as a magnet for price, as institutions seek liquidity to fuel further moves. Once price reaches it, expect a temporary bounce or reaction. 📐 4. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Confluence The projected target sits right on the 50% retracement level of the previous bullish leg. Institutions frequently target the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci zones to rebalance orders and create continuation moves. This target zone is marked in purple and is aligned with historical support, adding confluence. 📉 5. Sharp Bearish Reversal from Structure You can observe a very clear shift in momentum: The uptrend was broken with a strong bearish engulfing candle. That move wiped out several minor bullish structures — a sign of structure collapse. This breakdown, combined with the resistance rejection and MMC mirroring, strongly supports a bearish continuation bias. 📊 6. Previous Targets and Structure Memory The previous targets and historical swing points are not just annotations — they represent real zones of order flow memory. When price revisits these levels, you often see reactions (reversals, consolidations, or continuation). 🎯 Trade Plan (Based on Chart): Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: After rejection confirmation at mini resistance Target Zone: 0.00675 area (50% retracement) Invalidation: Close above 0.00715 (Major Resistance) ✅ Conclusion: This JPY/USD 4H chart beautifully showcases the power of technical structure, Mirror Market Concepts, and liquidity-focused trading. With a clean rejection from mini resistance, a history of mirrored bearish setups, and a confluence target at the 50% zone, this chart suggests a high-probability short opportunity for disciplined traders.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY Just Flipped — Liquidity Has a New Target🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: USDJPY | 15-Min Chart We’ve got a textbook bearish reversal setup forming right now on USDJPY, and Smart Money traders are paying close attention. 🔄 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) The first key sign was a ChoCh, which flipped the internal structure from bullish to bearish. This signals a potential shift in market control from buyers to sellers — Smart Money often initiates big moves after such a flip. 🟫 2. Bearish Order Block + Rejection Wick Price pulled back right into a fresh bearish Order Block (OB) around the 148.056–148.337 zone. This OB lines up perfectly with the upper trendline + internal liquidity area. Price is now rejecting hard from this level, signaling Smart Money sell-side pressure. 🕳 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Below Below current price lies a clean FVG, serving as a magnet for price. Smart Money often targets these imbalances to rebalance the market. The gap extends from around 146.200 to 147.400 — with Sell Side Liquidity resting right below at 145.872. That’s the likely kill zone. 💀 📐 4. Trade Setup (R:R Approx. 3.5:1) 🔼 Entry Zone: 147.980–148.050 (inside OB) ❌ Stop Loss: Just above OB: 148.400 ✅ Target: 145.872 (Sell Side Liquidity sweep) Perfect for swing traders and intraday SMC setups. 📊 Strategy: Look for: Bearish engulfing candle confirmation Break of minor internal low (lower TF BOS) Entry on OB rejection with tight SL above high Bonus: Enter partials on FVG fill, hold runner to liquidity. 📎 Confluences: ✅ ChoCh confirmed ✅ Bearish OB ✅ Price rejecting from premium zone ✅ FVG below = imbalance magnet ✅ Sell-side liquidity clearly marked ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Let price show intent before jumping in Use confirmation, not assumption Trade what the chart says, not what you hope 🔚 Summary: Smart Money has flipped the script. With a strong ChoCh, OB rejection, and an FVG inviting price lower, this setup screams bearish continuation. 🔻 Expecting a clean run into liquidity. Stay sharp. 🧠 💬 Drop a “💀” if you’re eyeing the same setup. 📈 Follow for more clean SMC plays weekly.
Short
by ChartNinjas88
2
EUR/GBP – Bearish Triangle Breakdown in Play (Long-Term Setup)This EUR/GBP weekly chart is flashing a long-term bearish triangle pattern that has finally broken down, signaling potential for a major move to the downside. This setup is packed with high-confluence signals that traders should not ignore. 🔍 Pattern Breakdown: 📐 Bearish Triangle Pattern The pair has been forming lower highs while maintaining a relatively flat support base, forming a descending triangle, a classically bearish continuation pattern. The pressure has been building for over 6 years, with buyers failing to make new highs while sellers stepped in aggressively at lower levels. The triangle support has now been broken, and price is entering a retest phase, which is critical for confirming the breakdown. 🟧 Black Mind Curve Resistance A unique visual tool here is the Black Mind Curve — a curved trendline that mirrors the psychology of long-term resistance. This curve has consistently capped price action since the 2009 peak, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in this zone. Every time price reached this curve, it reversed — confirming it as a dynamic resistance. 🧱 Major Horizontal Resistance Zone The shaded blue zone around 0.92–0.93 represents a long-term resistance area, which has repeatedly rejected price for over a decade. This zone also aligns with the Black Mind Curve, adding to the confluence. The most recent swing high failed to break this area, and the pair rolled over again. 🔄 Retesting in Progress After the recent breakdown of triangle support, price is currently retesting the underside of the broken support line (now acting as resistance). This is a textbook setup: break → retest → continuation. If this retest fails (which is likely based on history), the bearish move should resume. 🎯 Bearish Target Projection The projected move from the triangle breakdown points to the 0.64330 area, which aligns with a major support level from early 2007 and 2008. This level is a high-probability magnet if the pattern plays out in full — giving a long-term swing trade or position-trading opportunity. 🧠 Why This Matters (Pro Insights) This chart is powerful because: It’s on the weekly timeframe – high conviction and larger moves. It shows a long-term squeeze finally breaking. Resistance is reinforced by multiple layers (curve + horizontal zone). Retest confirms possible continuation sell setup. This isn’t a short-term scalp — it’s a position trade idea that could develop over months or even a couple years, with a massive risk-reward potential. ⚠️ Trade Plan Summary Bias: Bearish Pattern: Descending Triangle (broken) Current Action: Retesting broken support Entry Zone: On bearish rejection near 0.8400–0.8450 Stop Loss: Above resistance zone (around 0.9285) Target: 0.64330 Risk/Reward: Potentially >4:1 on a swing basis
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Opportunity in Sight🔍 Technical Breakdown 🟦 1. Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish) The price has been moving within a tightening upward channel — forming higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum. This is a typical Rising Wedge, a pattern that signals exhaustion in an uptrend and typically resolves to the downside. The pattern formed over several days. Volume has been declining as the price pushed higher — a classic sign of weakening trend strength. 🚨 2. Major Resistance Zone The wedge culminated near a major historical resistance zone (around 1.1400), which price failed to break multiple times — showing strong seller presence. This adds confluence to the bearish breakdown. 📉 3. Breakdown & Retest Price broke below the lower wedge trendline, confirming the bearish reversal. After the breakdown, the pair appears to be retesting the previous support line — now acting as new resistance. This retest is crucial — a successful rejection here typically confirms the breakdown and provides an ideal entry point for short positions. ⚡ Volume Clues Note the "Volume Burst" earlier in the chart, followed by a sharp move up. But that rally was unsustainable — buyers couldn’t hold above resistance, and volume has since faded. This volume exhaustion is further evidence that bullish momentum is weakening. 🔄 Key Support Zones Below Around 1.1200: A strong SR flip zone (support-turned-resistance), which could act as temporary support. Final Bearish Target: Around 1.1070, a strong demand zone where price previously consolidated before the last bullish run. This is the measured move target from the wedge height applied to the breakdown point. 🧠 Why This Matters (Trader Insight) This setup combines: A reliable bearish pattern (rising wedge) Key horizontal resistance A volume drop A clean retest structure That makes it a high-confluence short trade idea. These patterns don't always play out immediately, but when they do, they often drop hard. 📌 Trade Setup Summary Bias: Bearish Pattern : Rising Wedge (broken) Current Action: Retesting the broken wedge Entry Zone: 1.135–1.138 (retest confirmation) First Target: 1.1200 (SR Flip) Final Target: 1.1070 (Demand Zone) Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.1410
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
USD/CAD Rate Drops Towards Yearly LowsUSD/CAD Rate Drops Towards Yearly Lows The USD/CAD chart is currently showing clear signs of a bearish trend, characterised by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows (A→B→C→D→E→F→G). This week’s decline suggests the downward structure may continue to develop, putting the current yearly low around the 1.3770 level at risk. Why Is USD/CAD Falling? On one hand, the US dollar remains under pressure: → Following last week’s downgrade of US debt ratings by Moody’s, investor attention has shifted to the country’s $36 trillion debt burden. → A tax bill backed by Donald Trump — recently passed in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives — could add trillions more to the national debt. Market participants may be increasingly concerned about the US’s fiscal outlook, prompting a shift towards safe-haven assets. On the other hand, the Canadian dollar has strengthened this week relative to other major currencies. Tuesday’s CPI figures from Canada came in above analysts’ expectations and may be seen as a sign that the inflation surge could delay any potential rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. USD/CAD Technical Analysis In early May, we outlined a descending channel on the USD/CAD chart — a structure that remains relevant today. The current price is hovering near the channel’s median line, which could indicate a temporary balance between supply and demand. However, with Canadian retail sales data due at 15:30 GMT+3 today, the risk of increased volatility remains high. A new weekly low cannot be ruled out. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1