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EUR/USD – Consolidation and Uptrend Channel Analysis!Price is holding inside a well-defined uptrend channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The trend remains bullish as long as price respects the channel structure. Currently, we see consolidation near the upper zone, showing market indecision. A breakout above consolidation will confirm bullish continuation. If this happens, buyers can look for momentum entries to the upside. However, if price breaks down below channel support and consolidates under it, the bias will shift to bearish and open the way for deeper corrections. Target in case of breakdown: 1.1400 – strong support and liquidity area. Trading Plan: Stay bullish while price is inside the channel. Only turn bearish on a clean break and retest below the channel. Avoid trading inside the middle of consolidation to reduce false signals. Patience and confirmation are essential before taking any positions.
Short
by JosProfessionalTrader
GBP/USD – Uptrend Channel Analysis!GBP/USD is trading inside a strong uptrend channel on the 4-hour chart. Recent price action confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS), signaling solid bullish control. Buyers have pushed price firmly above previous resistance zones. Price is now near the upper boundary of the channel. Signs of short-term exhaustion suggest a likely retracement ahead. A pullback into the retracement level or channel midline would offer better risk-reward. Key Levels to Watch: Channel support for potential bounce. Retracement zone as a buy opportunity. Trade Plan: Wait for a clean retracement toward support. Look for bullish confirmation before entering long. Avoid chasing highs – focus on discounted entries. Bias: Bullish while price holds the uptrend channel structure. Expect continuation after healthy correction. Patience is critical – let the market set up a quality entry. Traders should align with the dominant trend and manage risk carefully. Like, comment, share, and follow for more trading ideas.
Long
by JosProfessionalTrader
4
EURUSD 4H Structure Analysis | MMC Strategy + Channel + CurveIn this EURUSD 4-hour chart analysis using MMC (Market Mind Concept), we are observing a textbook rising channel structure accompanied by a black mind curve (evidence of psychological support behavior). Let's break it down: 📊 Structure Overview: Straight Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a clean, straight rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past several weeks. This structure provides a controlled bullish bias, but we are approaching an inflection point. Black Mind Curve Support (Evidence 2): A curved trendline (Mind Curve) is providing dynamic support. This curve intersects with the lower boundary of the rising channel—creating a confluence zone, which is likely to act as strong short-term support or the base of a reversal. Major BOS (Break of Structure): A significant bullish BOS occurred earlier, confirming momentum strength. This previous break is acting as a reference point for bullish continuation scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the channel and mind curve support, this would invalidate the current bullish channel structure. A clean breakout + retest below the support zone may invite strong selling pressure, targeting previous support zones around 1.1500 – 1.1350. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above the mind curve and continues upward, we may see a breakout above the top of the channel. A confirmed breakout could send price toward the 1.1900 – 1.2000 resistance zone. Patience is key—wait for a confirmed breakout from the channel (either side) before engaging. ⏳ Strategy Outlook: ✅ Wait for channel breakout confirmation (up or down) ⚠️ Watch for fakeouts or liquidity grabs near channel boundaries 🔁 Mind Curve Support adds another layer of decision-making structure 🧠 Trade with the trend, but remain adaptable to shift if channel breaks 🔍 Summary: The EURUSD pair is in a decision-making zone—either we get a bullish continuation breakout, or the structure fails and we flip into a bearish correction. The confluence of the straight channel and mind curve makes this setup high-quality for both trend traders and breakout traders.
by GoldMasterTrades
GBPJPY – Bearish Setup Within Uptrend ChannelGBPJPY is moving inside a larger uptrend channel on the 1-hour chart. Price had been consolidating in a clear trade zone near the recent highs. That trade zone support has now broken with strong bearish momentum. This breakdown signals a potential short-term structure shift. Sellers are stepping in below the trade zone, rejecting further upside. Bias turns bearish while price stays under this broken level. We’re now looking for continuation lower within the channel. Key downside target identified at 194.00, near channel support. This aligns with previous reaction levels and demand zones. Plan: 1.Watch for retests of the broken zone for short opportunities. 2.Manage entries and risk carefully inside the channel. 3.Expect downside flow toward 194.00 if momentum holds. 4.Price action confirms break of support, favoring a move lower. L ike, comment, share, and follow for more trading ideas.
Short
by JosProfessionalTrader
1
Symmetrical Triangle in EURCHF —Fundamental & Technical AnalysisToday, I want to examine the EURCHF ( FX:EURCHF ) Short position opportunity from both a Fundamental and Technical perspective. First, let’s examine the EURCHF pair from a fundamental perspective: The ECB’s dovish policy stance and weakening Eurozone data contrast sharply with the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven appeal and economic stability. With geopolitical tensions in the background, EURCHF may continue to slide lower, supporting short positions. In terms of technical analysis , EURCHF is moving near a Heavy Resistance zone(0.967 CHF-0.940 CHF) . In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , EURCHF is moving inside a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The point to note about this example is that every time EURCHF approaches the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle , it starts to decline with a lot of momentum . And considering the previous movement of EURCHF, which was bearish, it is better to look for short positions from inside the symmetrical triangle. Based on the above explanation , I expect EURCHF to move back towards the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle pattern . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.94120 CHF Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
6
AUDCHF: Bullish Flag from PRZ — Rally to 0.54444?AUDCHF ( OANDA:AUDCHF ) bounced from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , which aligns with the Yearly Support(1) and the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous bullish impulse. From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective , AUDCHF appears to be breaking out of a Bullish Flag Pattern , which may suggest the continuation of the previous uptrend . This bullish reaction also confirms the importance of the Support zone(0.51166 CHF-0.49773 CHF) , where buyers stepped in aggressively. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that AUDCHF has completed the bearish waves and we should wait for the bullish waves . I expect AUDCHF to continue rising after a successful breakout from the flag’s upper boundary . If momentum sustains, the target could be around 0.54444 CHF . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = 0.51972 CHF Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc Analyze (4-hour time frame). Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
7
EURJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has just broken out of a well-defined bullish pennant pattern on the 4H timeframe, confirming strong continuation potential to the upside. The price is currently hovering around 169.60 after consolidating in a tight structure, respecting both dynamic trendline support and horizontal resistance. This breakout signals renewed bullish momentum, and I'm now targeting the 172.10 zone as the next significant resistance level. The structure is clean, volume supported the breakout, and price action is aligned with the dominant uptrend. Despite a relatively quiet start to the week—largely influenced by global risk-off sentiment surrounding Middle East tensions—EURJPY has held firm. Now that geopolitical jitters are easing slightly, yen weakness is resurfacing. The Bank of Japan remains firmly dovish, maintaining ultra-loose policy, while the Euro is supported by hawkish commentary from the ECB as inflation in the eurozone remains sticky. This divergence continues to fuel the long-term bullish bias for EURJPY. Fundamentally, Japanese economic indicators remain soft, and there's still no clarity on when the BoJ will meaningfully shift policy. Meanwhile, EUR zone confidence indicators have stabilized, and speculation is growing around the ECB holding rates higher for longer into Q3. With widening yield differentials and a favorable risk sentiment return, this pair is positioned well for upside movement. Current momentum supports the probability of reaching the 172.00–172.10 area as risk appetite rebuilds across markets. Technically and fundamentally aligned, EURJPY offers one of the strongest bullish continuation opportunities on the board right now. I will continue to monitor for minor dips as potential add-on areas, aiming for a full extension of the measured move from the pennant formation. Patience pays in setups like this where structure, sentiment, and macro all align.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
GBPUSD Hits Channel Highs – Watch for Exhaustion or BreakoutGBPUSD continues its impressive rally, tapping into the upper boundary of a clean ascending channel across the 1D and 4H timeframes. 🔹 Daily: Structure remains bullish with price pressing into long-term channel resistance near 1.3765. This is a key inflection point — bulls may need fresh momentum to break above. 🔹 4H: Sharp impulsive move has stretched to the upside channel line. RSI likely overextended. Look for signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence here. 🔹 1H / 23m: Lower timeframes show aggressive bullish control, but price is stalling near the highs. If we break structure or reject this zone, we could see a correction toward 1.3660 or deeper. 📉 If rejection occurs here, short opportunities may present toward mid-range or trendline support. 📈 If we break and close above 1.3780 with volume, continuation toward 1.3850 becomes likely. 💡Key Levels: • Resistance: 1.3780, 1.3850 • Support: 1.3660, 1.3600
by AutoMarkets
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves . -------------------------------------------------------- Fundamental Analysis 1-Weak UK Economic Data: Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations. Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating. 2-Dovish Expectations for BoE: With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound. 3-Stronger USD Outlook Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall. 4-UK Political Risk Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP. -------------------------------------------------------- I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation. Targets: 1.3 1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51 2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00 Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
15
GOLD Price Forecast: Is the Pullback Over? | Weekly OutlookWill XAUUSD resume its bullish trend, or is more downside ahead? In this video, I break down last week’s gold price movement and the current market reaction to rising geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, now with the U.S. joining the conflict. We also assess the impact of the Fed’s recent rate hold, weak retail sales, and upcoming high-impact U.S. economic events like PMI, GDP, and Core PCE. 💡 Here’s what you’ll learn: ✅What caused gold’s pullback last week ✅Why institutional traders shake out retail buyers ✅Key fundamentals driving gold right now ✅How to position yourself smartly for the upcoming trading week 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #xauusd, #goldforecast, #goldpriceprediction, #forexanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #forextrading, #tradinggold, #goldnews, #federalreserve, #marketpsychology, #tradingstrategy, #geopoliticalrisk, #usdata, #iranisraeltensions, #goldbullish, #goldbearish, #forexmentor, #xauusdforecast, #tradingview
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
5
What to Watch For Next!💡 GBPUSD Bearish Trade Outlook – Detailed Analysis The GBPUSD pair has recently shown a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside — a strong sign that bearish momentum may be taking control. Alongside this shift, we’ve also seen the formation of a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe, which adds further confluence to the potential for continued downside. 📍 What This Means: The break in structure combined with the FVG suggests that institutional activity may be driving price lower, possibly targeting areas of untapped liquidity beneath previous lows. These are often high-probability setups when traded with confirmation. 🔎 What to Watch For Next: At this point, it's best to wait patiently for the price to retrace into the 4H FVG zone. Once price taps this area, we should closely monitor lower timeframes (such as 15M or 5M) for bearish confirmation entries — like a bearish engulfing pattern, change in character (ChoCH), or internal MSS. 📉 Potential Trade Idea: If confirmation occurs, we can look to enter a sell position, targeting downside liquidity levels, such as previous swing lows or equal lows — where the market often hunts liquidity. ⚠️ Risk Reminder: As always, avoid entering blindly. Let the market give you a clear sign. Use proper risk management, and stick to your strategy. 📚 DYOR – Do Your Own Research! The market doesn’t guarantee outcomes. Your own analysis, patience, and discipline are your best tools.
Short
by Peter_Wade
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week. 📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest): EUR: 8 CHF: 7 CAD: 6 GBP: 5 AUD: 4 NZD: 3 USD: 2 JPY: 1 ➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest. 🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe): EURJPY EURUSD CADJPY GBPUSD This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
USDCAD Hits Support as Fed-Hawkish & BoC Cuts! Big Bounce ComingUSDCAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) is trading at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the important Support line and Support lines . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that USDCAD has managed to complete 5 main down waves and we can expect more up waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.37860 CAD. Fundamental View: The Bank of Canada initiated its rate-cutting cycle , while the Federal Reserve remains firm with no immediate plans to ease. Strong NFP data on Friday reinforced USD ( TVC:DXY ) strength . Oil prices( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) may offer temporary support to CAD , but macro divergences clearly favor the dollar . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 1.36110 CAD U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
12
EURUSD Outlook – Long, Medium & Short-Term Analysis🔹 Weekly Chart: The broader structure remains technically bearish. We've recently seen a trend reset, which could mark the beginning of a fresh downside leg. 🔹 Daily Chart: A clear bearish trend reversal pattern has formed, accompanied by a manipulation phase. A confirmed break structure is now in place. As long as price remains below 1.15734, short positions remain valid. 🔹 4H Chart: Currently in a range-bound phase. A confirmed break below 1.1371 will be a key bearish trigger for potential selling opportunities. 🔹 1H Chart: Still ranging, but a valid Lower Low (LL) has already printed. A second LL below 1.1371 would confirm a short-term bearish continuation. On the flip side, a break above 1.1495 would open the door for a bullish move in the short term. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Bullish above: 1.1495 Bearish below: 1.1371 Critical invalidation: 1.15734 Trade safe and stay disciplined.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern . I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) . ----------------------------------------------------------- EURGBP Fundamental Analysis: 1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview : The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions. Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation. Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth. Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK. The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time. 2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview : The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone. Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it. Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility. Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months. Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone. 3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long : The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength. UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP. ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive. Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP. 4. Risks to Consider : Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR. Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP. External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies. ----------------------------------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
Will the U.S. Dollar Bear go out to lunch and take a break?In this video I go over the case for the U.S. Dollar bear taking a break and price action getting a pullback across the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. I took a 42% profit on EUR/USD longs and currently keeping an eye on a short opportunity if weakness starts to creep in on the price action. Long term, I remain U.S. Dollar bearish across the board however pullbacks are always expected during a macro price move. If we trade higher, so be it and I will evaluate what the next position will be. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
JPYUSD Smart Money VIP Analysis – Eyeing High-Probability Target📈 Market Context: The JPYUSD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) is currently navigating through a critical structure phase where price is reacting to previously established institutional zones. Recent price movements reveal a clean and structured setup — one that aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and CHoCH (Change of Character) theory. This 2H chart provides a roadmap for anticipating the next high-probability reversal, giving traders an edge in both short-term scalps and mid-term swing trades. 🔍 In-Depth Chart Analysis: 🧱 Resistance Zone (0.007020–0.007040): This area has been tested multiple times in the past and acted as a strong supply zone. Institutional orders have previously caused significant bearish pressure from this level. Unless a strong bullish breakout occurs with volume, this zone is likely to hold again. 🔁 Next Reversal Zone (0.006975–0.006985): Price is currently climbing from the SR Interchange Zone, heading toward this marked reversal area. Here's why this zone matters: Confluence of past resistance and imbalance Potential liquidity sweep above minor highs Perfect setup for a bearish reaction to form a lower high Traders should watch for signs of weak bullish candles, wicks, or a bearish engulfing here. 🔄 SR Interchange (Support-Resistance Flip): This level held firm, showing buyer interest after a previous structure break. It signals a healthy correction phase — a typical SMC signature before larger moves occur. The market is offering a retracement opportunity. 🟡 CHoCH Zones: Minor CHoCH (0.006900): A break and close below this level would invalidate bullish correction and confirm the shift in momentum. Major CHoCH (0.006840): The final confirmation of bearish dominance. A breach here opens the door for new lows, targeting long-term support areas. ⚔️ Smart Money Playbook: Current Move: Price is in bullish retracement from previous demand zone Watch Zone: 0.006975–0.006985 (Potential Smart Money sell zone) Reaction Setup: Bearish structure forms (e.g., M pattern, liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing) Price breaks minor CHoCH Sell Entry: After confirmation, with stops above reversal zone TP1: SR Interchange level TP2: Major CHoCH zone 📅 Fundamental Triggers Ahead: Watch for upcoming USD economic data (CPI, PPI, interest rate decisions) between June 11–14, which could act as catalysts for volatility and confirm technical setups. 🧠 Educational Note: This setup is a classic example of market structure shift, liquidity engineering, and order block theory — concepts used by banks and smart money traders. Retail traders often get trapped on the wrong side of these zones. Your edge lies in anticipating the trap, not reacting to it. 🎯 Conclusion: JPYUSD is offering a textbook Smart Money setup. The current retracement gives an opportunity to position early into a likely bearish continuation, provided structure confirms at the next reversal zone. Patience, discipline, and precise timing will be key to capitalizing on this move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview: Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal. 📌 Key Levels & Price Zones: 🔻 Trendline Breakdown A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330) This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish. 🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350) A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again. ⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290) This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone. 🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280) A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation. 🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265) This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement. 📈 Forecast Path: Based on the price projection: Expect lower highs to form. If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone. A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control. 📊 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones. Entry: After confirmation below 3,330 Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265 SL: Above 3,350 🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario: If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal. Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone Target: Back to 3,322 or higher 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely. ✅ Final Thoughts: Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management. 📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
NOKJPY – Detailed Macro Analysis & Trade IdeaMacro Bias: LONG NOK / SHORT JPY Why NOKJPY? 1. Fundamental Macro (ENDO): Norway (NOK): Strong inflationary pressure, positive PMI, robust M2 growth. Massive fiscal surplus driven by energy exports – best debt/GDP ratio in the G10. Norges Bank still maintaining relatively high interest rates. Positive Terms of Trade, central bank balance sheet (CBBS) is shrinking (long-term bullish for NOK). Japan (JPY): Economic stagnation and deflationary risks, weak PMI and consumer spending. Negative real yields, central bank remains ultra-accommodative, extreme debt/GDP ratio. Persistent deflationary sentiment – classic “funding currency” for global carry trades. 2. COT Positioning (Commitments of Traders): JPY is the most crowded short in the entire G10: hedge funds and leveraged funds are aggressively short JPY. NOK positioning is neutral to slightly long – no overcrowding risk on the long side. 3. EXO & Sentiment Signals: Terms-of-trade and projected GDP/CPI all favor NOK. Sentiment, macro “score,” and risk/reward models consistently generate a long NOKJPY signal. Exogenous indicators (futures, commodity impulse, sentiment, parity) all support NOK strength. 4. Technicals & Carry Edge: NOKJPY remains in a strong multi-month uptrend. Major carry advantage: NOK rates are much higher than JPY, yielding significant positive swap. Every recent pullback has been bought, and momentum remains bullish. Key Reasons for the Trade: Multi-model consensus: No contradiction between macro, COT, exo, and technicals. NOK is “king of G10” by every fundamental measure; JPY is the weakest currency this cycle. Textbook carry trade for 2025. Risks: Only a sudden global “risk-off” or a central bank policy shock could temporarily disrupt the trend. Currently, there is no crowding risk on NOK longs. SUMMARY: LONG NOKJPY is the cleanest, highest-conviction swing trade for this cycle – every model (macro, COT, exo, sentiment, carry) is in agreement. Every meaningful pullback is a buying opportunity.
Long
by Idealadvantage