Weekly Forex Trade Planning SessionAnalysed Pairs: CAD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, EUR/CAD
Market Overview:
USD & JPY: Bullish
CAD: Mixed
EUR & GBP: Weak
Price Analysis:
CAD/JPY:
Trend: Downtrend
Current Position: At Momentum Low
Outlook: Expecting a bullish pullback in the next phase.
GBP/USD:
Trend: Downtrend
Current Position: Trading at Momentum Low 5
Outlook: Potential for bearish continuation. Watch for a bullish reversal above 1.2186. A break below 1.2160 could signal further downside.
USD/CAD:
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Current Position: After a trend reset breaking the momentum high
Outlook: Avoid buying at the high; wait for a pullback to go long. Alternatively, look for short opportunities if the price breaks below the reset point.
USD/JPY:
Trend: Correction in Downtrend
Current Position: Observing Wave Structure 3
Outlook: Potential for a bullish secondary trend. Using Fibonacci levels, the price has paused at the 61.8% T2 target. If the high of Wave 3 isn't broken, the downtrend may resume.
EUR/CAD:
Trend: Trend-changing pattern after last pullback
Outlook: Look to sell on a break below 1.4860, with targets at 1.4825 and 1.4810.
Happy Trading!
Forexanalysis
USDCHF - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello traders! Here’s my analysis for the USD/CHF pair. I’m expecting a small pullback before the price continues its bullish movement upward. My first target for this move is 0.92448 .
However, if the price consolidates below 0.90084 on the 1H timeframe, I anticipate a downward move.
📈 Expectation:
Bullish continuation towards 0.92448 , unless the 0.90084 level is broken to the downside.
If 0.90084 breaks and consolidates, expect a bearish move lower.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target: 0.92448
Support to hold: 0.90084
💬 What’s your perspective on USD/CHF? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Trade safe
USDCAD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello traders! Let’s analyze the USD/CAD pair. Based on the current price action, we are observing a range breakout, and I expect the price to continue its bullish movement upward.
My first target for this bullish move lies between 1.46685 and 1.46966 .
📈 Expectation:
Bullish continuation towards the target range of 1.46685 - 1.46966 , following the range breakout.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target Range: 1.46685 - 1.46966
💬 What’s your outlook for USD/CAD? Share your analysis in the comments below!
Trade safe
AUDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hey traders! Here’s my analysis for the AUD/USD pair. I’m currently expecting a small pullback before the price continues its downward trend. My first target for this move is between 0.60780 and 0.60430 .
However, if the Australian Dollar breaks above 0.63022 on the 1H timeframe and holds, I anticipate a pullback towards higher levels on the higher timeframes.
📉 Expectation:
Downward movement towards 0.60780 - 0.60430 , unless 0.63022 is broken.
If 0.6322 is broken to the upside, expect a pullback on higher timeframes.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target Range: 0.60780 - 0.60430
Resistance to break: 0.63022
💬 What’s your take on AUD/USD? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Trade safe
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello traders! Let’s dive into my analysis for gold ( XAU/USD ). Since 18 Nov 2024, we’ve observed a range-bound movement where the price bounces between the range's floor and ceiling. Currently, we’re at the weekly range ceiling, and I anticipate a downward move toward the range floor.
My first target for gold is 2606 . However, if the price consolidates above 2720 on the daily timeframe, we could see a breakout to new all-time highs.
📉 Expectation:
Downward move from the range ceiling to the range floor at 2606 , unless the 2720 level is broken.
If 2720 is broken and holds, expect a bullish breakout and potential for new highs.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Range floor target: 2606
Key resistance: 2720
💬 What are your thoughts on gold’s next move? Share your insights in the comments below!
Trade safe
EURUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hi everyone! Here's my analysis for the EUR/USD pair. Based on the current chart, I expect the price to continue its downward trend after a small pullback. My first target for this move is 1.00938 .
If EUR/USD breaks above the 1.04370 level on the 1H timeframe and holds, I anticipate a shift in momentum and further upward movement.
📉 Expectation:
Downward continuation to 1.00938 , unless the 1.04370 level is broken.
If broken and consolidated, a bullish scenario could unfold.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Target 1: 1.00938
Resistance to break: 1.04370
💬 What’s your perspective on EUR/USD this week? Share your analysis in the comments!
Trade safe
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Today, I want to share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you.
Based on what I see on the chart, I expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to reach the resistance zone of 110.668 to 110.877 . After a small pullback, I anticipate it will start its bullish movement upwards.
If the 107.750 level breaks downward and consolidates on the 1H timeframe, a further decline could follow.
📈 Expectation:
After a minor pullback, the DXY is likely to initiate a bullish movement and continue its upward trend.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 110.668 - 110.877
💬 What’s your view on the Dollar Index this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Trade safe
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Targeting 500+ Pips GBP/JPY is currently priced at 190.200, with a target price of 185.000, implying a potential gain of 500+ pips. The analysis indicates that the pair is approaching a major trendline, which acts as a strong support level. This suggests the price may reverse or consolidate around this level. A break below the trendline could signal further downside potential, aligning with the bearish target. The 500-pip gain signifies a significant price movement, highlighting the importance of proper risk management. Traders should monitor price action near the trendline for confirmation. The setup reflects a technical pattern where the trendline's strength will likely dictate the next move. This level serves as a critical zone for potential entry or exit decisions. Staying alert to market sentiment and economic events related to GBP and JPY is essential for validation.
NZD/USD Poised for a Breakout ?The NZD/USD pair shows signs of potential bullish momentum following a bounce from a key support level near 0.55900. Price is currently challenging the 0.56028 resistance, with further upside likely if this level is broken and sustained. The downward sloping moving average indicates a prevailing bearish trend, so this move could be a short-term retracement or a possible trend reversal depending on market strength.
Key Insights
Entry Area: Around 0.55940 – 0.56028
Stop-Loss: 0.55103 to manage downside risk
First Target: 0.56156
Second Target: 0.56370
Final Target: 0.56781
Watch for a confirmed breakout above 0.56028 for a continuation toward higher levels. A failure to hold above 0.55900 could trigger further downside movement. Market volatility and U.S. dollar news should be closely monitored for momentum shifts. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, balancing caution and opportunity in the current market structure.
Elliott wave theory. Already 5 waves done!Looking for Impulse Down.
EurAud Wave 1,2,3,4 & 5 done, Will it go on to finish waves A, B, and C? I am anticipating wave C will be completed as well. Elliott wave theory. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you gain better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
USDCHF PredictionUSD/CHF current price stands at 0.90960, meaning 1 US Dollar equals 0.90960 Swiss Francs. The target price is set at 0.95000, indicating an expectation that the price will rise towards this level. The potential gain in pips is over 500 pips, with each pip representing a 0.0001 change in the exchange rate. The strategy is based on the support and resistance pattern, where price movements are analyzed at key levels of support (price floors) and resistance (price ceilings). Before reaching the target of 0.95000, the price is expected to retest the 0.89000 level, which could act as a support zone. This retesting implies that the price may temporarily drop to 0.89000 before continuing its upward trend. If the support at 0.89000 holds, the price is expected to bounce back and resume the move towards the target. The current price of 0.90960 offers an entry point for traders looking to buy, with the anticipation of the price rising to the target. The overall strategy suggests a short-term dip before a longer-term upward movement, providing a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for traders.
Bearish Setup in AUD/USDT: Trendline Support Under PressureAUD/USDT is currently moving in a classical bearish pattern, with the price taking temporary support at the lower trendline.
However, this support appears weak, and it is unlikely to hold for long. A breakdown from this level could lead to further downside momentum.
More bearish movement is expected as the structure remains in favor of sellers.
DYOR, NFA
EUR/USD Break-and-Retest: Next Stop 0.97?Weekly Timeframe:
Clear downtrend with a rejection at the 50 MA and a break below key support. Next target lies around 0.97-0.98, a major demand zone.
Daily Timeframe:
Confirms the bearish bias with a retest of the broken support, now acting as resistance. Price remains below the 50 MA, signaling continued downside.
Correlation:
Both timeframes align in a bearish trend. Weekly sets the direction, while daily refines entry opportunities with break-and-retest setups.
Downward Pressure Persists as Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike HopeHey Realistic Traders, Will OANDA:CADJPY continue its bearish trend? Let’s Dive In....
In the H4 timeframe, CADJPY has broken out of a distribution phase as it continues to move below the bearish trendline and the EMA-200 line. The pair also formed a Rising Wedge pattern, followed by an impulsive breakout, which strongly indicates the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
Further confirming this outlook, the MACD momentum indicator has signaled a bearish crossover, strengthening our bearish hypothesis.
Given these technical factors, we anticipate a potential downward movement toward the nearest historical support area (Target 1) at 105.955. After reaching this level, we foresee a minor correction back to the green zone before the pair resumes its bearish journey to the second target at 104.902.
However, this bearish outlook remains valid only if the price holds resistance below the critical stop-loss level at 108.976.
Fundamental Reason Supporting Yen Strength:
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is signaling further rate hikes as economic data, including wage growth and inflation, align with its projections. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently suggested that another rate hike is "nearing," citing steady progress in economic conditions. This hawkish stance further supports the bearish outlook on CADJPY, as a stronger yen typically exerts downward pressure on the pair.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY".
PEPEUSDT Analysis And Next Market MoveName: PEPE MEME coin
Symbol: PEPE
Type: Meme Token
Timeframe: 8H
Analysis: Technical+Fundamentals
Trend : Bullish
Details:-
PEPE is setting at a strong support level. From this support level. Expecting 30% + quick gain. PEPE is a meme coin and people are thinking this is next DOGE coin.
Bullish Target:-
0.000030
0.000040
GBPUSD Setup: Bullish Wave Structure & Fibonacci Buy ZoneThe GBPUSD has stabilised after a significant downward move. A completed bullish wave structure has emerged, with Wave 4 failing to break above Wave 3. This indicates a potential buying opportunity from the Fibonacci buy zone.
On the 15-minute chart, we can consider going long using the MSL pattern (Lower Low, Low of Day, Higher Low & Higher Close) as a confirmation signal.
Entry Point: 1.26303
Stop Loss: 1.2610
Target: 1.2710
Stay disciplined and manage your risk accordingly.
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level.
Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level.
The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs.
Trade wisely and happy trading!
Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
Gold: Will the Falling Wedge Breakout Ignite a +16% Rally?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of NASDAQ:GOOGL
In the daily timeframe, Google has broken above the upper trendline of the falling wedge pattern. The price has consistently remained above this trendline for the past three trading days, with rising price movement accompanied by bullish divergence.
Bullish divergence on the MACD indicates that while the price makes lower lows, the MACD line forms higher lows. This divergence suggests a weakening of bearish momentum and the potential for a price reversal to the upside.
Given these technical factors, we forecast a potential upside movement toward the designated target of 181.36 . After reaching this level, a pullback to the green zone around $160 may occur before the price advances to the second target at 191.52.
This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 148.77.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Google.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
USDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental FactUSDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental Factors (31/10/2024)
Introduction
In today's trading session on October 31, 2024, USDJPY appears to carry a slightly bearish bias due to various fundamental drivers impacting both the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). This article provides a detailed analysis of USDJPY, focusing on the major economic and geopolitical factors contributing to the bearish outlook. By considering both macroeconomic trends and the latest technical indicators, traders can better navigate potential setups for the USDJPY pair.
Key Fundamental Drivers Impacting USDJPY Today
1. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Policy Outlook
- The Federal Reserve has recently hinted at maintaining a dovish stance, signaling a potential pause on interest rate hikes. This policy outlook is generally bearish for the USD, as lower interest rates reduce the Dollar’s appeal to investors seeking yield. As a result, the USD could experience downward pressure against the Japanese Yen, contributing to a slight bearish bias for USDJPY.
2. Bank of Japan's Commitment to Policy Adjustments
- The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has gradually shown signs of flexibility in its yield curve control policy, which could strengthen the Yen. Any indication of a potential shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy is generally supportive for JPY, as it attracts investors looking for stability in an uncertain global environment. This shift increases the possibility of a bearish trend in USDJPY.
3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven Demand
- The recent volatility in US Treasury yields has led to fluctuating demand for USD-denominated assets. Lower yields often make the Dollar less attractive, especially in comparison to the Yen, which is considered a traditional safe haven. With a potential decline in yields, demand for USD could weaken, encouraging investors to turn toward JPY and reinforcing the slight bearish outlook for USDJPY.
4. Global Economic Uncertainty and Risk Sentiment
- The recent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties have led to higher risk aversion in the markets. In times of heightened uncertainty, the Yen benefits as a safe-haven currency. This risk-off sentiment may draw investors to JPY, increasing its strength against USD and creating bearish pressure on the USDJPY pair.
5. Japanese Economic Data
- Stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data, including stable GDP growth and improved manufacturing output, have added positive momentum to the Yen. These indicators reflect Japan’s gradual recovery, making the Yen more attractive and adding pressure on USDJPY from the Japanese side.
Technical Analysis of USDJPY (31/10/2024)
From a technical perspective, USDJPY trades below its 50-day moving average, a signal commonly associated with bearish trends. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also hovers near the 40 level, suggesting potential downside momentum. Key support levels around 147.50 and resistance near 150.00 should be monitored.
Key Support: 147.50
Key Resistance: 150.00
Conclusion: USDJPY Outlook for 31/10/2024
Given today’s fundamentals and technical conditions, USDJPY exhibits a slightly bearish bias. Factors such as the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, the BOJ’s gradual policy adjustments, and risk aversion in global markets are all contributing to the current outlook. However, traders should remain attentive to any unexpected shifts in global economic data or central bank announcements.
For those watching the USDJPY today, focusing on these fundamental drivers and key support levels can provide valuable insights for trading the pair amid a slightly bearish sentiment.
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AudJpy- Good shorting opportunity of 500 pipsAfter an upward reversal in early August and a higher low in mid-September, AUD/JPY continued climbing to reach a local high around 102.
However, the pair has since stalled in this area, entering what appears to be a distribution phase. Currently, it seems to be testing a critical support level around 100.
A successful break below this level could signal an accelerated downward move.
A medium-term target for this decline is around 95, with an interim support level at 98—an attractive target for traders who are not so patient.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG