EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Forexanalysis
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation.
🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation
The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by:
Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control.
Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout.
This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses.
In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern.
🧱 2. Key Structural Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285):
Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone.
Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area.
The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance.
Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow):
Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase.
Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge.
🔁 3. Breakout and Retest:
Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge.
This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move.
The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation.
Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities.
🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup:
Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance.
TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10).
🧠 5. Confluence Factors:
Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish.
Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory.
Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels.
Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation.
⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips:
Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule).
Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering.
Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
AUDJPY Long: Buy the Dip into Trendline + Seasonal AUD Surge🔹 Pair: AUD/JPY
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Retesting Trendline Support
🔹 Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40 (Live Entry Area)
⸻
📊 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
🇦🇺 AUD – Bullish
• Strong Seasonality: Historically bullish May 19 – June 10.
• Conditional Score Rise: From 21 → 24 = Positive momentum shift.
• Dovish CB, But Risk-On: Supports carry trade flows into AUD.
• Macro View: Rebalancing inflation & trend recovery, AUD outperforming.
🇯🇵 JPY – Bearish
• BoJ Hawkish Talk, Dovish Action: Delayed inflation targets (to 2027).
• Score Flat: Minor rise (11 → 12), showing underperformance.
• Risk-On Mood: With VIX under 20, safe-haven demand fading.
• Macro Lag: JPY weakest G7 performer year-to-date.
🧠 Confluences Supporting the Trade
✅ Seasonal AUD strength
✅ Fundamental divergence: AUD strong, JPY weak
✅ Risk-on regime (favoring carry trades like AUDJPY)
✅ Trendline respected since April (bullish market structure)
✅ Support zone at 93.00–93.30 area
⸻
📈 Technical Setup
• Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40
• Stop Loss: 92.08 (below structure and ascending trendline)
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 95.40 (resistance zone)
• TP2: 96.00 (supply zone retest)
• Risk:Reward: ~1.8 – 2.2 depending on final entry
📌 Execution Notes
Watching for candle closure confirmation above 93.50.
Break below 92.08 invalidates the bullish bias.
This setup combines macro divergence, seasonal strength, and clean 4H market structure.
⸻
💬 Are you trading AUDJPY this week?
Drop your thoughts below ⬇️
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum.
As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on:
Key Technical Factors:
Rejection from a prior structure zone
Clean lower highs forming
Breakdown and retest of minor support
Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line)
This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions.
Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
Silver Retreats on Semiconductor TensionsSilver pulled back to around $32.50 in Friday’s Asian session, giving up part of its recent gains following reports that the U.S. plans to blacklist several Chinese semiconductor firms. Given silver’s integral role in electronics and chip manufacturing, the news weighed on sentiment.
Demand for precious metals has also weakened with easing trade tensions, as the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs, cutting U.S. duties from 145% to 30% and China’s from 125% to 10%. Despite this, silver found support from a weakening U.S. dollar, which followed soft economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Powell, however, warned that persistent supply shocks could complicate inflation control moving forward.
Resistance begins at $32.50, with further levels at $33.80 and $34.20. Support is seen at $31.40, followed by $30.20 and $29.80.
Yen Strengthens Despite Japan’s Q1 ContractionThe Japanese yen strengthened toward 145 per dollar, extending its rally for a fourth straight day, despite Japan’s economy shrinking by 0.2% in the first quarter, worse than forecasts. While the Bank of Japan acknowledged the risks posed by U.S. trade policies, it remains confident that rising wages and prices will support eventual policy normalization. Investors are closely watching U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, with Japan insisting that any deal must include the auto sector and that the 25% U.S. tariff on Japanese cars be removed.
Resistance is noted at 148.60, with further barriers at 149.80 and 151.20. Major support levels lie at 139.70, 137.00, and 135.00.
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup in PlayThe market has spoken and it’s whispering a potential bullish breakout .
As seen in the chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out from a short-term consolidation zone after forming a solid base near the 99.00 region. Currently, it's retesting a minor support level (highlighted by the yellow horizontal line).
Key Observation:
Price is holding above this support zone with strength. If this level holds, I anticipate a continuation to the upside as marked by the white arrow.
Target: The next major resistance zone lies near the 103.00 area, where price previously reversed. This becomes the logical next stop if the bullish momentum continues.
What I’m Watching:
Reaction from the current support zone
Strength of buyers stepping in
Any fundamental catalysts from USD-related news/events
In trading, it's not about predicting, it's about preparing. This chart reflects a classic "break-and-retest" scenario often seen before major moves.
Let’s see how this plays out over the coming days.
DXY Dual Perspective: Smart Money OB Short vs. Mid-Term LongThis chart presents two perspectives:
My Perspective (Dipanshu - GreenFireForex):
Expecting a bearish reversal from the current Order Block (OB) between 101.9 – 103.2, possibly due to inefficiency and early liquidity sweep.
ChatGPT’s Refined Perspective:
OB refined to 102.4 – 103.0 zone, aligning with imbalance and previous H4 structure break. A rejection from there is more probable.
Target:
Both views expect a drop toward the Demand Zone at 96.4 – 96.3, with bullish reversal expected from that key support.
Let’s observe whether the DXY respects early inefficiency or reaches full OB.
Comment your bias below!
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Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
EURUSD Is Ready to Break Resistance LinesEURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trying to break the Resistance lines , it has tried several times in the past few days but failed. Will EURUSD succeed this time?
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave 4 near the Support zone($1.1300-$1.1160) and Support line , and we should wait for impulsive waves . Breaking the Resistance zone($1.1480-$1.1420) can confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Otherwise , the main wave 4 can have other forms.
I expect EURUSD to break the Resistance lines in this attack and rise to at least $1.1384 , and the next target can be around $1.1437 .
Note: If EURUSD can break below $1.1272(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
NZDCAD at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 0.81608?OANDA:NZDCAD is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 0.81608 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
CAD/JPY Rally Could Fade Near Resistance – Watch for ShortsThe CAD/JPY pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending trendline. Multiple rejections are visible around the 108.300, 105.864, 105.434, and 105.044 levels, confirming strong bearish control over the medium term.
Price has recently bounced from a critical horizontal support near 101.246, forming a short-term bullish move toward the descending trendline. We are now approaching a confluence zone near the 103.800–104.000 area, where the downtrend line intersects. This zone is a potential supply area and could act as a strong resistance.
Trade Idea: Sell Setup Near Trendline (103.800–104.000)
Target: 102.532, 101.250
Invalidation: Break and close above 104.200
USDCHF road map !!!I believe that if we look at the past prices, we will realize that the price may form a head and shoulders pattern and reach the desired supports.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Market Analysis: NZD/USD DipsMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Dips
NZD/USD is trimming gains and struggling to stay above the 0.5945 pivot zone.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is declining from the 0.6030 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.5970 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair attempted another wave above the 0.6000 zone but failed. The New Zealand Dollar started another downward move from 0.6000 and dipped below 0.5980 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5970 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating losses near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6000 swing high to the 0.5928 low.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now well below 50 and signaling more downsides. On the downside, there is major support forming near 0.5945.
The next major support is near the 0.5920 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.5920 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5880 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5840.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5970 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6000 swing high to the 0.5928 low.
There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.5970. The next major resistance is near the 0.5985 level. A clear move above the 0.5985 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6000 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6030 resistance zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Consolidates Gains
AUD/USD is consolidating gains near the 0.6420 zone.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6450 against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6400 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6345 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6375 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was also a move above the 0.6400 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6400. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6450 zone. A high was formed near 0.6450 and the pair is now correcting gains.
There was a move below the 0.6420 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6367 swing low to the 0.6449 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6400 level. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6367 swing low to the 0.6449 high. The next major support is near the 0.6360 level.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6360 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6345 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6420. The first major resistance might be 0.6450. An upside break above the 0.6450 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6485 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6550 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CAD ConsolidatesUSD/CAD Consolidates
In the second half of April, the USD/CAD chart has shown a decline in volatility following significant spikes observed since February.
The Canadian dollar has stabilised against the US dollar within the 1.390–1.380 range over the past week, as market participants assess what a fair USD/CAD rate might be, given the evolving news backdrop:
→ The US dollar gained upward momentum on hopes of easing trade tensions between the US and China, although the information remains conflicting — Trump claims negotiations are ongoing, while Beijing denies this.
→ Oil prices — a key Canadian export — have recovered by more than 10% from their April lows, providing support for the Canadian dollar.
→ Economic data published this week suggests a cooling in the Canadian economy: employment is declining, and the pace of average wage growth has slowed to 5.4%.
→ Although an important political event — the Canadian Parliamentary elections — is set to take place this weekend, it appears to have had little impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate so far. Trade tariffs between the US and Canada likely remain the dominant concern.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart
Price fluctuations have formed a descending channel that originated in March.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be encountered at:
→ the median line of the channel;
→ the psychological level of 1.400.
From a bullish perspective:
→ the price has formed a rounding bottom pattern near the 1.380 level;
→ the lower boundary of the channel is acting as significant support.
It is possible that the weekend will bring key developments that could act as catalysts, breaking the established range between 1.390 and 1.380.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBP/USD is Bullish: This Breakout Triggers the UptrendFenzoFx—GBP/USD fell from $1.3435, testing the 50-period simple moving average near $1.3276. The Stochastic Oscillator is nearing the 20 level, suggesting the US dollar is overbought in the short term.
Support lies at $1.3202. The outlook remains bullish while above this level, though a close above $1.3295 is needed to confirm upward momentum. A retest of $1.3435 could follow.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $1.3202 would invalidate the bullish view, potentially extending the decline to $1.3144 or even $1.3030 under sustained selling pressure.
EUR/USD Consolidates: What's Next? FenzoFx—EUR/USD declined from $1.1571, as anticipated, due to overbought signals from the Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators. The pair now trades below the 50-period simple moving average, near $1.1350.
The Stochastic Oscillator has dropped below 20, suggesting the U.S. dollar is overvalued short-term. As long as the price remains above the $1.1259 support, the bullish outlook holds. Potential upside targets include $1.147 and $1.1571.
Bearish Scenario: If the price falls below $1.1259, bearish momentum may drive EUR/USD toward the next support at $1.1146.
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GBP/USD is Overbought at Critical Resistance LevelFenzoFx—GBP/USD climbed to $1.3435, a key resistance near the September 2024 high. While the trend remains bullish, overbought signals from Stochastic and RSI-14 suggest limited upside.
If the pair stays below $1.3435, it may retreat to 1.3295 or even 1.3202.
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USD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per Dollar Today
As shown on the USD/JPY chart today, the exchange rate between the US dollar and Japanese yen has fallen below 140 yen per dollar – marking the first time this has occurred in 2025. Since the beginning of the year, the rate has dropped by approximately 11%.
Among the main driving factors is the White House's tariff policy, which has triggered a sell-off in US government bonds and a weakening of the dollar. One of the more recent developments includes the release of the Consumer Price Index report by the Bank of Japan, which revealed that the CPI remained steady at 2.2%, despite analysts (according to ForexFactory) forecasting a rise to 2.4%.
It’s possible that, due to the lack of inflationary pressure in Japan, the yen is in a relatively stronger position compared to the US currency, where concerns persist that trade wars and Trump’s push for lower interest rates may lead to a spike in inflation and a devaluation of the dollar.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
It’s worth noting that the psychological level of 140 yen per dollar has acted as key support since late 2023. On the rare occasions when the rate has dipped below this mark, the bulls have soon regained confidence, prompting a reversal.
It’s quite possible we may witness a similar attempt on the USD/JPY chart in the coming weeks or even days. However, the current outlook remains bearish, as the price has broken below the Descending Wedge pattern (marked with black lines), indicating that supply is outweighing demand.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EUR/USD – Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout🧠 Macro View
LEI rising steadily: 71.5 → 81.15
Endogenous strength improving each month
Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 → one of the strongest major FX models
USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT
📅 Seasonality
📈 EUR Index bullish throughout April
📉 USD Index bearish all month
🔥 EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30
📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken weekly resistance → now acting as turncoat support
Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation
Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long
📥 Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone)
⛔ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424)
🎯 Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional)
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2.2+