Market Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue Higher
AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6365 zone.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6365 against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6185 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.62550 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6275 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6365 zone. A high was formed near 0.6363 and the pair is now correcting gains.
There was a move below the 0.6320 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6300.
The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high at 0.6274.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6270 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6255 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6185.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6320. The first major resistance might be 0.6365. An upside break above the 0.6365 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6420 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
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Forexanalysis
Trump’s Tariffs on Canada: USD/CAD Remains VolatileTrump’s Tariffs on Canada: USD/CAD Remains Volatile
We are witnessing a surge in market volatility (as reflected by the upward trend of the ATR indicator), influenced by the following factors, according to Reuters:
→ Trump’s Tariffs. On Tuesday, new 25% import duties on Mexico and Canada came into effect, while tariffs on Chinese goods were doubled to 20%.
→ Donald Trump’s first speech in Congress since taking office. In it, the US president made significant statements, including the announcement of new tariffs.
The US Dollar Index initially rose during Trump’s speech but later weakened to a three-month low. In theory, higher tariffs are positive for the US dollar. However, investors are looking beyond short-term safe-haven flows and are concerned about slowing US economic growth and the risk of stagflation.
Why Is Trump Imposing Tariffs?
Officially, US President Donald Trump is introducing tariffs on Canada to combat the "extraordinary threat" to US national security posed by uncontrolled drug trafficking.
However, according to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Trump’s tariffs are aimed at weakening Canada’s economy—or even pushing it towards collapse—so that the US could more easily annex Canadian territory.
Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
In our previous USD/CAD analysis, we highlighted key levels:
→ Resistance at 1.44600
→ Support at 1.43600
New chart data shows that bulls attempted to break through the 1.44600 resistance level, but the price failed to hold above the psychological barrier of 1.45000. Support at 1.43600 remains relevant for now.
Bulls may attempt another push upwards if the price retraces to the lower blue trendline. However, whether this scenario plays out will largely depend on the broader fundamentals related to Trump’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
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Market Analysis: USD/CHF Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Dips Further
USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF declined below the 0.8975 and 0.8950 support levels.
- There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8910 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from well above the 0.9000 zone. The US Dollar dropped below the 0.8975 support to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc.
The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8920. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 0.8870 level. A low was formed near 0.8871 and the pair is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor increase and the pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9036 swing high to the 0.8871 low. On the upside, the pair could face resistance near the 0.8910 level.
There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8910. The next major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.9036 swing high to the 0.8871 low at 0.8950, above which the pair could test the 0.8975 level.
If there is a clear break above the 0.8975 resistance zone, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.9000.
On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.8900. The first major support is near the 0.8870 level. The next major support is near 0.8850. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward the 0.8820 level in the coming days.
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0550 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent recovery wave from the 1.0360 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0360 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0450 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0550. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0635 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0637 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0570. The next major support is the 1.0500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high.
A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0465 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0425.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0635 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0665 level. An upside break above the 1.0665 level might send the pair toward the 1.0720 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.0750 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0800 level.
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Trump’s Tariff Threat: USD/CAD Hits Three-Week HighTrump’s Tariff Threat: USD/CAD Hits Three-Week High
As we reported on 3 February, Trump’s tariffs pushed USD/CAD to a 22-year high.
However, a one-month tariff delay led to a sharp drop, sending USD/CAD to its 2025 low near 1.41550. As the end of the delay approaches, the pair has been climbing again since mid-February (as shown by the arrow).
Yesterday, President Trump confirmed that his proposed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect on 4 March. This dashed hopes for another delay and triggered a breakout above the 1.43600 resistance level.
Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
Above current levels, key resistance lies at 1.44600, which has held firm since mid-December. However, drastic measures from Trump’s administration could drive further price movement within the blue-marked channel.
Expect volatility spikes ahead of Canada’s GDP release, scheduled for today at 16:30 GMT+3.
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USD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly LowUSD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly Low
As shown in the USD/CHF chart, the exchange rate dipped below 0.89250 Swiss francs per US dollar yesterday—the lowest level since December 2024. The Swiss franc, often seen as a safe-haven currency, may gain appeal due to:
→ heightened geopolitical tensions;
→ uncertainty surrounding Trump's plans to impose trade tariffs on 4 March.
Technical Analysis of USD/CHF
Fluctuations in 2025 have formed a downward channel (marked in red), with bearish sentiment prevailing in February as key psychological levels continue to be breached (as indicated by arrows):
→ in mid-February, bears pushed the price down from 0.905;
→ later, 0.900 acted as resistance.
If bearish momentum persists, further resistance may emerge around 0.895 and the median of the downward channel.
The upcoming market direction will likely be influenced by key economic data releases:
→ Swiss GDP (11:00 GMT+3) and US GDP (16:30 GMT+3) tomorrow;
→ US Core PCE Price Index (16:30 GMT+3) on Friday—an important inflation gauge.
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Market Analysis: EUR/GBP RecoversMarket Analysis: EUR/GBP Recovers
EUR/GBP is gaining pace and might extend its upward move above the 0.8300 zone.
Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- EUR/GBP started a fresh increase above the 0.8285 resistance zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8300 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.8265 zone. The Euro traded above the 0.8285 level to move into a positive zone against the British Pound.
The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8300. Immediate resistance is near 0.8305. The next major resistance for the bulls is near the 0.8320 zone.
A close above the 0.8320 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8365. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8400 level in the coming days.
Immediate support sits near a major bullish trend line at 0.8300 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8305 high. The next major support is near the 0.8285 zone.
The 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8275 swing low to the 0.8305 high is also at 0.8285. A downside break below the 0.8285 support might call for more downsides.
In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8265 support level. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.8240 level in the near term.
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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Gains StrengthMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Gains Strength
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 1.2600 zone.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a decent increase above the 1.2620 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2625 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a downside correction from the 1.2690 zone. The British Pound traded below the 1.2650 zone against the US Dollar.
A low was formed near 1.2605 and the pair is now attempting a recovery wave. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2690 swing high to the 1.2605 low.
The pair even spiked above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2690 swing high to the 1.2605 low and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2675. The next major resistance is near the 1.2690 level. If the RSI moves above 60 and the pair climbs above 1.2690, there could be another rally. In the stated case, the pair could rise toward the 1.2750 level or even 1.2820.
On the downside, there is a major support forming near 1.2625. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.2625. If there is a downside break below the 1.2625 support, the pair could accelerate lower.
The next major support is near the 1.2605 zone, below which the pair could test 1.2560. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2525 support.
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USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuationHello everyone.
As seen on my chart, im expecting a bearish trend continuation seen on higher timeframes after what I believe could be some stop hunts!!
Used a fib to mark premium and discount zones. I expect price to continue go down once the premium zone is hit.
Feel free to leave your thoughts and feedback in a comment, I would heavily appreciate it.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis: Exchange Rate Hits Highest LevelEUR/USD Chart Analysis: Exchange Rate Hits Highest Level Since Early February
The EUR/USD chart shows the euro rising above its previous February peak of 1.05155, set on the 14th.
On one hand, the euro's strength is driven by Germany’s national elections over the weekend, where the opposition conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz, secured victory as expected. Investors are now focused on how quickly Merz’s party can form a coalition government to implement much-needed economic reforms.
On the other hand, the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since mid-December.
According to Reuters, the dollar’s weakness is influenced by:
→ Shifting market perceptions of its value amid Trump’s tariff policies in global trade.
→ Declining US Treasury yields due to expectations of further Fed rate cuts in 2025.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD Chart
Price movements form an upward channel (marked in blue), but the red arrow highlights bearish activity near resistance levels at:
→ The yearly high around 1.05333.
→ The median line of the channel.
Given the lower liquidity at the start of trading, the initial breakout above the psychological 1.05000 level may have been false. Potential bearish pressure could push EUR/USD towards a support zone, including:
→ The 1.0400 level.
→ The lower boundary of a broader channel (marked in orange).
If bulls intend to maintain their February momentum, signs of buying activity may emerge near the lower boundary of the blue channel.
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Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above the 0.5800 resistance.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5720 support.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5675 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.5720 resistance. It tested the 0.5775 resistance before there was a pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.5734 and the pair is again rising above the 50-hour simple moving average.
It cleared the 0.5750 resistance and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 50 signaling a positive bias.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low at 0.5762. The next major resistance is near the 0.5775 level.
A clear move above the 0.5775 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5800 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5880 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5750 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.5750 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5735. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5695.
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6350 support.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6300 and recovered higher against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6300. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6350 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The pair even cleared 0.6400 before there was a minor pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.6351 and the pair is again rising. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
However, the pair is still below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6385 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
The first major resistance might be 0.6395. An upside break above the 0.6395 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6410 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6365 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365.
The next support could be 0.6350. If there is a downside break below the 0.6350 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6330 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300.
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USD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Recovers After Dropping Below 150 Yen per Dollar
As the USD/JPY chart shows:
→ Yesterday, the pair fell below the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar.
→ However, today it staged a strong recovery, rising back above this level.
The yen weakened following the release of Japan's inflation data. According to Forex Factory, the National Core CPI increased by 3.2% year-over-year (forecast: 3.1%, previous: 3.0%).
According to Reuters:
→ The 19-month high in CPI strengthens expectations of further interest rate hikes in Japan.
→ The yen is weakening as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank may step up government bond purchases if long-term interest rates rise.
Can USD/JPY Continue to Rise?
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On 12th February, we noted that key highs and lows over the past three months formed an ascending channel, with the 154 yen per dollar level acting as a resistance barrier.
Indeed, since then, bulls have failed to sustain levels above 154 yen per dollar (as indicated by the arrow), leading to a decline below the lower boundary of the blue channel after a brief rebound on 18th February.
As a result, the former support at the lower boundary of the blue channel may now act as resistance around 151.3 yen per dollar, reinforcing the relevance of the descending channel (marked in red).
The trajectory of USD/JPY today could be significantly influenced by the release of the US Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI indices at 16:45 GMT+2.
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Market Analysis: USD/JPY Turns RedMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Turns Red
USD/JPY declined below 153.00 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 153.00 and 152.50 levels.
- There is a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 154.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 153.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 152.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 151.50 and the pair traded as low as 151.23. It is now correcting losses and trading above the 50-hour simple moving average.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low at 152.05.
The first major resistance is near the 153.00 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 154.80 swing high to the 151.23 low. If there is a close above the 153.00 level and the hourly RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 153.95.
The next major resistance is near 154.80, above which the pair could test 155.50 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near 151.60. There is also a short-term rising channel forming with support near 151.60.
The next major support is near the 151.20 level. If there is a close below 151.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 150.00 support.
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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Gains PaceMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Gains Pace
EUR/USD started a decent upward move above the 1.0460 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.0400 resistance zone.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0290 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0400 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.0450 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0515 resistance. A high is formed near 1.0514 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
Immediate support is near the 1.0445 level. The next major support is at 1.0400 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0292 swing low to the 1.0514 high.
If there is a downside break below 1.0400, the pair could drop toward the 1.0375 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0290, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.0460. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0460. The next major resistance is near the 1.0515 level. An upside break above 1.0515 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0550.
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EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel.
The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline.
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps.
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
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EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone.
It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point .
I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines .
The First Target: $1.04651
The Second Target: $1.04981
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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