Forexanalysis
EURUSD ( UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
in the last week the price of OANDA:EURUSD trading between turning level at 1.094 and support level (1) at 1.088 , currently price stabilizing below turning level this allows them to lower prices for the support level (1) .
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level .
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.094 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) 1.099 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.102 and 1.105 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at1.088 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.084 and 1.078 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.094 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.099 ,1.102 , 1.105 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.088, 1.084 , 1.078 .
USDJPY ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H) USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price is under upward pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 144.354 .
Upward Zone : until the price trading above support level (1) , may make be ascending channel , currently the price trading above turning level at 145.808 , to rising reach of a resistance level (1) around 149.186 , to confirm upward , price need breaking by close 4h candle above 149.186 to reach resistance level (2) at 152.225 , may be the price reserve and breaking turning level to reaching a support level (1) at 144.354 , after starting a up trading to inside resistance zone .
Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level at 145.808 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 144.354 , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 144.354 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 142.275 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone .
Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 145.808 & 144.354 , before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.186 , 152.225 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 144.354 , 142.275 .
EURUSD Analysis==> H&S patternEURUSD reacted well to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Heavy Resistance zone($1.1185-$1.098) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing five impulsive waves , and we should wait for EURUSD to decline .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Head and Shoulders Pattern is likely to form.
I expect EURUSD to continue to decline, at least in the Support zone($1.0885-$1.0860) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY ( BREAKOUT AND AGAIN INSIDE CHANNEL ) (4H)DXY
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency, the price inside sensitive area , trading nearly turning level at 103.221 .
Upward Zone : as long as the price should be breaking turning level at 103.221 , refers active upward zone , currently the price trading below turning level at 103.221 , to rising inside resistance zone between 103.690 & 104.477 , first thing for this rising reach of a resistance level (1) at 103.690 , by closing 4h candle above it easily reach next level at 104.477 , to confirm a rising , the price should be breaking resistance zone because in this zone have been many sales before .
Downward Zone: until the price trading below turning level around 103.221 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 102.736 , to confirm true decline , the price it will be breaking 102.736 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support
level (2) at 102.310 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone before .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 103.690 , 104.477 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 102.736 , 102.310 .
EURUSD Analysis==>>Reversal PatternsEURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.0920-$1.0870) and near the Resistance lines .
If we want to analyze the EURUSD chart from the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , two Reversal Patterns are clearly visible: Head and Shoulders Pattern & Bump-and-Run Top Pattern .
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Educational tip :👇
The Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern forms when, after a gentle upward trend, a more aggressive one appears on the chart. The price pivots at the peak and then falls like an avalanche.
In this scenario, only professional traders survive and thrive with considerable portfolio gains. In the following section, I will teach you how to make money when there’s blood in the snow!
This pattern forms when the price rallies too far up. People second-guess themselves buying at such high prices while sellers sell confidently, causing a downward trend. This means you can see a clear reversal in the Bump-and-Run Reversal Top Pattern. Although this pattern is considered a single entity, it consists of three separate parts or phases:
1) Normal and steady trend, called the “Lead-in Phase.” Imagine it as walking up a mountain.
2) Market participants going crazy with greed, called the “Bump Phase.” You can imagine this one as an ascent to the mountain’s peak.
3) The price falling and causing bloodshed of candles, called the “Run Phase.” At last, you ski down the snow, collecting profits on your way.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to have successfully completed five impulse waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
After breaking the support trend line and Neckline , I expect EURUSD to fall at least to the Support zone($1.0820-$1.0776) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
USDCAD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupUSDCAD forms a false breakdown of resistance, reached the resistance zone, but was subsequently pushed back down.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USD/CAD on a 1-hour timeframeThe current price is around 1.36830-1.36841, which is near the support zone.
The recent price action indicates that the market has found support at the 1.3660 level and is consolidating above it.
The blue highlighted area around the 1.3660 level, represents a strong support zone.
The price has tested this area multiple times and shown a tendency to bounce back from it.
The projection indicates a potential bullish move from the support zone up to the 1.37777 level.
This suggests an expectation of a price increase after possibly forming a base around the support.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking at the key levels to give us RIPs. We started the week with a decent short into the support levels where we suggested the move could take us back into the 2350-55 region if 2370 was broken. That move gave us a wonderful opportunity to then capture that long trade we wanted taking us up into the Excalibur targets. During the week, we updated traders with our plans and continued to look long completing the week where we are now, but not the whole move!
A wonderful week for us on Gold and all the other pairs we trade and post targets for in Camelot.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
This week we’ll keep it simple and say expect more aggressive price action as well as a potential gap on opening! We have the key levels above sitting at 2420 and above that 2430-35 resistance. Below we have 2402 and 2395-90 support which need to hold price up in order for us to continue upside in attempt to create a new all time high.
We’ll start the week with caution and suggest going long up here is a little risky, so instead, we’ll be looking for the resistance level to hold down the price, and upon a confirmed reversal, we feel there may be a short trade on the cards into the lower support levels. The first level we feel there may be a small RIP is the 2430-35 region, but only for scalping into immediate support levels. It’s that level above, 2460-75 which is a huge region that is sticking out to us at the moment, and if propelled into, could give us the opportunity for a nice short trade. If held and upon a clean set up.
On the flip, we need to break below 2395 and close below it in order to then see lower pricing, so if there are any aggressive whipsaws, expect price to target that region and take the BE traders from Friday.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2390 with targets above, 2430 and above that 2350
Bearish on break of 2390 with targets below 2375 and below that 2365
As we said above, it’s a simple and quick report this week, we’ll update traders as we usually do through the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In Last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price tap into the lower support region marked as bullish above and for the long trade to present itself, which worked a treat. We then said we would be looking into the order region resistance level for the short trade to carry the price back down, which also worked well but although we achieved a huge return on the trades, price used that same 2320 level to hold and give the push up, which we updated traders with. We managed to capture the short and the long before we update the plans and continued to trade upside until NFP.
The NFP report gave 3 levels we were looking to either buy from or sell from, the lower level we suggested we’d get a RIP from tapped and bounced perfectly taking price into the region we had suggested for the long trade. Again, both those who were long and short got the near pip perfect entry and exits on their trades before the market closed.
A blinding week in Camelot not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade, analyse and Excalibur tracks.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Another jam packed week on the news front but we should start with clean gradual movement. We have some key levels this week 2405-10 being a major hurdle and 2370-75 being a key level for support. We would like to see price attempt that high in the coming session, and if achieved and rejected we feel the move downside into the support region 2380 and below 2370 in extension are on the cards. It’s these support levels that need to hold price up for us to continue the bullish move, if broken below we’ll again be seeing 2350-55 which is where the move started from.
On the flip, if we do start the week with a move downside, we’ll be looking at those support levels to reject, give us the RIP for the trade upside to clear that liquidity before then assessing the PA above 2400 to establish whether we can see higher or not. It’s a simple one with two plans, up first and we’ll look to short it, down first, and unless broken we’ll look to long it. If we get that long from below and break above that 2310 region, we would suggest traders hold long trades for further advances looking at least towards the 2450-55 region.
Our view still remains with caution on the upside movement, so please play this carefully, we’re still within this sideways movement and accumulating on a large scale, that’s all. It needs to confirm the move to go at target the all time highs and at the moment it could just be another range high before a big swoop towards the range low. We’ll trade it how we see it, level to level and continue to stay the right side of it. Monthly however, suggesting higher at the moment, so lets see.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Comprehensive GBPUSD Analysis Ahead of UK General ElectionThis is a comprehensive analysis of the GBPUSD ahead of the UK General Election scheduled for Thursday, 4th July 2024. The chart has been marked to highlight key levels (Decision-Making Points) on the weekly, daily, and H4 timeframes. Below is a summary based on the price analysis:
Weekly: Strong Bearish
The wave structure on the weekly chart indicates a bearish expectation.
Daily: Bearish Wave Structure
The daily chart shows a second bearish wave structure with a lower low.
H4: Bearish Wave Structure with Pullback
The H4 chart has completed a bearish wave structure and shows a valid pullback.
H1: Bearish Momentum
This morning, a momentum low was made, and the current pullback aligns with the second bearish wave structure.
EURUSD Analysis===>>RR=2.41EURUSD managed to break the Resistance line and Resistance zone($1.0734_$1.0716) with the help of the Breakaway Gap . ( Of course, now the resistance zone has turned into a support zone ).
According to the Elliott wave theory , EURUSD has successfully completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect the EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.0806_$1.0780) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Intraday Trend Analysis - CADJPY, GBPUSD & AUDUSDToday, we're analysing CADJPY, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD.
Key Note: Price is the leading indicator and reflects trader perception. We use price structures/wave structures to determine high probability price directions in the short, medium, and long term.
CADJPY:
Bullish trend continuation after a structural reversal.
Look to buy after every pullback above 117.50.
GBPUSD:
Intraday downtrend.
Strong momentum high yesterday.
Sharp rejection during the New York session.
Expect price to trade below 1.2620 after a correction.
AUDUSD:
Strong downtrend.
Directional bearish wave structure.
Look for a correction to break above wave structure 4 before shorting.
High probability of a new momentum low below today's current low.
EURUSD is Ready to Go Up!!!EURUSD is moving in the Support zone($1.070-$1.062) and near the Support line .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its 5 downward waves and we should expect upward corrective waves .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Forex Price analysis - GU, AU, UC, UJ and CJWelcome to this week's Forex Price Analysis for the week starting June 30, 2024. We're analysing GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, and CADJPY.
GBPUSD:
The bullish wave structure is broken.
High probability sell at 1.2654 targeting 1.2612.
AUDUSD:
A bearish wave suggests a buy at the low.
A strong rally on Friday.
Prefer buying after a correction to the 0.6640 buy zone.
USDCAD:
A bearish move on Friday indicates a revisit to 1.3734.
Expect lower prices to 1.3627 before buying.
USDJPY:
Strong uptrend last week.
Bullish wave failed; trend change pattern with a corrective wave in Fibonacci sell-zone.
Trade below 160.70 suggests further decline.
A break above 160.96 negates selling.
CADJPY:
Similar to USDJPY.
Potential downside after Thursday's high.
A strong break of the high on Friday suggests an uptrend continuation.
A break below 117.43 indicates a selling opportunity after a pullback.
weekly timeframe inverse head and shoulder in #CADCHFWe are probably dealing with an accumulation phase in the CAD/CHF chart.
The appearance of an inverse head and shoulders pattern in this phase would likely increase the probability of a long-term bullish move in this pair.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we highlighted the significance of that 2320 level and said that it needed to be broken forcefully, otherwise if supported, we would be looking to long back up into the higher levels as well as Excalibur targets and price will attempt to take liquidity from that 2370-75 region. During the first half of the week, we continued to long into those higher resistance levels giving us a fantastic trade(s), tapping into that 2370-75 region where we got a RIP from our level and the short trade presented itself not only completing KOG’s bullish bias levels but also the first target region for the bearish target.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold and Silver, but all the other pairs we trade as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move on Friday, we would say caution on shorting the market down here, instead, we’ll look for bounces in the early part of the week to take the price up to correct at least some of this move. Unless we have gaps on opening due to the geopolitical news over the weekend, it’s very possible we will establish a small range here again. For that reason, we will be looking for confirmation at the below levels 2310-12, which if held during the early session could represent an opportunity to long the market back up to the 2325-27 region which for us is the level to watch, with extension of the move into the 2335-40 region. These levels are of importance as that’s where we again will want to be looking for the swing short into the lower support regions, in attempt to break below that 2300 level!
We’ll stick with the bias level bearish below for now and look for lower pricing unless broken above, in which case its likely we will again, target the top of the range and correct the whole move.
On the flip, a push up straight off market open, we’ll look at those 2325-7 and 2330-35 regions to attempt the short, as long as we have a clean set up.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2310 and below that 2295
Bullish on break of 2335 with target above 2370!!
It’s a frustrating sideways chop for traders, so please be careful, every time they look to take it down, they swing up and every time they look like they’re going to break up, they swing it down. Traders need to make sure their risk models are up to scratch and they’re playing the range the way it should be. There is a post on trading the range, please check it out.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG