NZDCAD 11/4/19NCAD Short Idea DAILY TF
Overall higher timeframe price action has been bearish and we will be looking for potential short opportunities around key resistance
Current price action has currently rejected the 38.2% daily fib level and weekly resistance around 0.85000
Another entry opportunity could present itself soon on a lower time-frame retest/retracement
Look to target toward the monthly support level around 0.82500 followed by a target of the -27% daily fib level around 0.80650
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NZDUSD 11/4/19NZDUSD Short Idea
Higher timeframes still suggests a strong bearish trend so we will continue to look for short positions off key levels
Current price action has rejected a major resistance level/Daily 38.2% fib level and is looking to head south
This daily bearish engulfing is a very good sign and is 1 confirmation of a large bearish move yet to come
Look to target toward the -27.2% daily fib level and monthly support around 0.6000-0.6045
EURUSD by Elliott WavesIn the last 3-4 weeks EURUSD has made a nice upward move.
The decision on interest rates last night gave an additional boost
to the European currency against its US rival.
Assuming that the market is in the middle of wave A,
then we can expect wave 5 of 3 to reach 1.1250 - 1.1300.
EURUSD FED Decision At the beginning of the day, EURUSD is trading in the range,
in anticipation of the FED announcing its interest rate decision later today.
Currently EURUSD is trading at 1.1115.
The US monetary policy meeting will end today and markets expect
the FED to cut interest rates for the third time this year,
amid trade tensions affecting US economic growth.
Over the last few days, the dollar has gained ground against major currencies
amid rising hopes of a US-China deal. However, an administration official said
the deal may take a little longer to finalize and sign.
AUDCHF – Buyers getting stronger (waiting for news)AUDCHF – Buyers getting stronger (waiting for news)
Trend:Strong Buy
Support/Resistance:
R3: 0.68791
R2: 0.68502
R1: 0.68292
S1: 0.68205
S2: 0.68006
Price action:
Buyers are ready to break higher by showing strong momentum. Till the news are not reliased, we can't know the next move in any way (recommended).
Potencial trade idea:
Bulls targets:
T1: 0.68502
T2: 0.68791
NOTE – We are trading AUDCHF via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURCAD – Sellers trending continuationEURCAD – Sellers trending continuation
Trend: Sell/Neutral
Support/Resistance:
R2: 1.45330
R1: 1.44905
S1: 1.44756
S2: 1.44357
S3: 1.44205
Price action:
This case might be for amaterur very tricky. As you can see buyers didn't give us reaction, so the next target for sellers is recent Lower Low and might be even deeper to 1.44357 level.
Potencial trade idea:
Bears targets:
T1: 1.44357
NOTE – We are trading EURCAD via the preferred trading setups by EliteFxAcademy
EURNZD Good time for correction!After successfully done its triangle,
the currency pair EUR/NZD lost around 400 pips of its value.
From 1,7700 to 1,7335.
Now EURNZD meets 3 support lines in one zone:
EMA;
D1 trendline (third touch);
Horizontal support line from previous bottom.
We expect a downtrend to continue,
but before that, a correction around 1,7420 - 60,
where are 38.2 Fibo and many horizontal resistance lines.
USD / JPY How to trade Head & Shoulders?First of all, head and shoulders is a reversing trend formation!
Second, there are two types of formations - Head and Shoulders and Reverse Head and Shoulders!
Head and Shoulders may be at the end of an uptrend, while Reverse Head and Shoulders may be at the end of downtrend!
As i mentioned, H&Sh is reversing trend formation! So if we talk about uptrend, we have to see Head & Shoulder, not Reverse Head and Shoulder!
In USDJPY case, we have Reverse H&Sh.
So, how to trade it?
Draw a neck line on the left and right shoulder.
Wait until neckline break and test it. Always is better to test the line.
(Sometimes the price will not allow for a line test, then we may just miss trading the figure.)
If we have a good entry point, we are making a deal.
There are two places to put the Stop Loss:
1. Below right shoulder - more secure!
2. Below neckline breakpoint - less secure!
Something very important - Stop loss is always placed under the tail of the candles, so before entering into a deal, check that the risk / profit ratio is profitable!
Take Profit - Measure the height of the head and project at the breakthrough point,
not the point of entry into the deal (there is a difference)! Take out 10% and put the Take Profit!
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AUDJPY DAILY 10/20/19
AUDJPY Short Idea
Price action has been primarily bearish on higher time-frames and we will continue to look for potential short entries
Current price action is at key daily resistance around 74.500 as well as the daily 61.8% fib level
Ideally we would like to see a strong bearish signal at this level before targeting lower. A bearish engulfing or evening start would be prime confirmation and would solidify a daily double top pattern
Look to target toward the weekly support around 70.00 as well as the -27.2% & -61.8% fibb level
Buy Limit CAD/NZD @ 1.1870Buy Limit
CAD/NZD @ 1.1870
SL - 1.1800 (-70 pips)
TP1 - 1.2040 (+170 pips]
TP2 - 1.2100 (+230 pips)
Fundamental Analysis
i. 10.15.2019 COT Reports show ~67,000 orders from non-commercial entities (Banks) Longing the CAD and ~56,500 orders shorting the NZD.
ii. 2Y Canadian Bonds show a Bearish trend.
iii. If the price of the 2y Bond goes down, the Yield goes up. If Yield goes up, the price goes up.
Technical Analysis
iv. Daily chart shows Support @ 1.1855 and Resistance @ 1.2050.
v. To play it safe and get a cheaper price; 4H chart shows a good level of entry just above the 1.1855 Support between 1.1860 and 1.1880, hence the buy limit @ 1.1870.
vi. Fibonacci Retracements from the swing low to the swing high show the 1.1855 Support right in between the 0.236 and 0.382 levels.
vii. SL placed @ the 0.382 level (1.1800). *Thought about placing SL at the 0.05 level of 1.1695 but due to the quality of information from the COT reports i didn't see a necessity for it. Hopefully I'm right. *fingers-crossed*
viii. TP1 placed 10 pips below the 1.2050 Resistance (1.2040).
ix. TP2 placed 10 pips below what looked like another resistance just below the 1.2128 swing high.
EUR/JPY Are 4 resistances enough?The currency pair EURJPY is in downtrend form many days,
the reason is partly because of the drop in the EUR and a rise in JPY.
Now we see 4 resistance from downtrend, horizontal level, fibo and so on.
But also there is forming a new trend in the border of old one!
We see a bottom around 116.00, after that the price forming a top around 119,70,
The next bottom is higher from previous, and the next top too.
This is first indication when the new trend is forming!
Who will win?
AUDJPY LONGI like this set up for multiple reasons.
My confluences are :
Bearish structure has been broken
62% on Monthly fib
70% on weekly fib
Red box = Mitigation zone on smaller time frame.
Discounted price for a buy
Accumulation
Above price currently there are more areas of liquidity and imbalance to feel which grows my confidence in believing this to be a high probable trade set up.
This is a trade i have been holding now since 9th October and intend on holding this taking partials along the way.
Really like this set up so so lets see what happens!
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GBPAUD 4hour 10/14/19GBPAUD Long Idea
Price action has been bullish since mid July so we will stick with the trend until we see Higher Lows being broken on the larger time-frame trends
Current price action has swiftly broken through key resistance last week due to positive gbp news so we will look to enter on a retest of that resistance now turned support which will also line up with the 38.2% 4hour fib level
Our target will be the monthly resistance around 1.87250 followed by our target at the -27% fib level around 1.885
AUDUSD 4hour 10/14/19AUDUSD Short Idea
Price action for AU has been majorly bearish on larger time-frames so we will look to short in favor of the trend
Current price action has rejected the 50% fib level & key resistance around 0.688 the current pattern looks a lot like a head & shoulders pattern as well
Upon enough confirmation we will look to short and target the monthly support and -27% 4hour fib around 0.66- 0.657
EURJPY DAILY 10/13/19EJ Short Idea
Price action has been majorly bearish on the daily and weekly timeframes and we are waiting for a confirmed reversal around one of our prz level. Currently price is at the 50% weekly fib but we would ideally like to see the 61.8% fib level hit and rejected
Our target will be the monthly support level around 116.000 followed by the -27% fib level around 113.850
NZDCAD DAILY 10/13/19NZDCAD Short Idea
Price action on the daily and weekly time-frames have been majorly bullish but have yet to form structure after this extended push to the downside
According to our rules we would like to see price action come up to the 38.2% fib level at least before continuing. Ideally a push to our weekly resistance and 38.2% around 0.85000 would be indication to short after a confirmed rejection from this level.
We will look to target the -27% daily fib and weekly support around 0.8650 & 0.80250