THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted price to reject the high and give us the short into the red box defence during the early session levels 2730-35. We did get that move but it was achieved via the gap on open giving traders a couple of opportunities to take the long trade from the level following the path. We're yet to complete the first bullish target but we're on our way so we'll stick with the plan!
Based on the structure and range at the moment we're not discounting another dip into the low but will look for pull backs into the 2735 region to hold to continue the move upside.
Support 2735, resistance 2750 could give a reaction for the short scalp. Keep an eye on the red boxes, pinned below, they're working really well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Forexindicators
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we wanted to short from the 2630-35 region into the lower levels, which worked but we only managed to get 2613 when we wanted 2610. Ideally, we wanted lower to then access the price action and look for the long, however, that long came early and we managed to capture the move both down and then up completing our bias target levels plus the extra pip capture into the highs to end the week.
A great week not only on gold but we completed 32 targets giving our traders a phenomenal pip capture across the markets. Nice, easy, clean trading!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We've had some more geopolitical news over the weekend so there is a chance that we will see some opening gaps on the markets. We also have NFP this week, so towards the end of the week can expect the usual pre-event price action and ranging to form.
Now, due to us expecting these potential gaps, best practice is to let Monday early session do what it needs to do, instead plot the levels and look for the RIPs to capture the scalps, ideally on the red boxes.
We have the immediate levels above at 2665/7 resistance, which is a crucial level price needs to reject to continue the move downside! For that reason, we are giving a bias level of bearish below 2670 provisionally with an extension of the move into 2675 which is the flip. If we attack these levels, and get the reaction we need, we feel these levels will represent opportunities to short into the lower levels 2650-55 and below that 2630-35.
If broken above, we get that flip and we’ll be looking to target that 2701 level and above that we have 2707, which is where we may get further opportunities to attempt the short again.
Important: There is an extension of this downside move, and it’s below our bias level bullish above 2630-35. Oddly enough, we also have an Excalibur target sitting down there active! We will want to see how the market opens and what they do in the early session before we make up our minds on that move. NFP could through a spanner in the works for traders!
For now, we’ll stick with the above and as usual we’ll update traders through the week.
Look out for KOG’s bias of the day, KOG’s red boxes and the indicator levels which are published for the wider community.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2670 with targets below 2650 and below that 2635
Bullish on break of 2675 with target above 2685 and above that 2701
RED BOXES:
2665 break above for 2672 / 2685 / 2701 / 2707
2650 break below for 2635 / 2624 / 2620
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
December 1 2023 - GBPUSD Buy Trade ActivatedHi guys!
I have here a simple trade this week, checking the daily TF of pound dollar, i noticed a supply above (nov. 29 2023) -Nov. 30 move.
After checking the bullish move on daily---> 4h---> 3h-->2h--> 1h. I checked for possible demand zone and set a pending order in my mt5 raw account.
Nov 30 2023--> it reacted to my POI (point of interest) . so i wait until my pending order was activated . Indeed it really touched the price im aiming for and then i look for validity and proof of the zone. wyckoff accumulation on 5 min and 15 min tf. (please check chart for reference.
RR: 1:8
1% of capital aiming for 8 % on this trade.
Another great trade and wisdom from GOD. :)
Patience is always the key.
Forex Trading Basics: Charting Your Way to SuccessIntroduction
Forex trading is the practice of buying and selling different currencies to profit from market fluctuations. This financial market is the largest in the world, with an average daily trading volume of $6.6 trillion, making it an attractive arena for traders. In this article, we'll cover some fundamental principles of forex trading, and show you where charts can help you understand and apply these principles.
Forex Trading Principles
Understanding Forex Market:
The Forex market is a decentralized global marketplace where participants buy, sell, exchange, and speculate on the value of different currencies. Currency pairs are traded, such as EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) or USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen). The first currency in the pair is the base currency, and the second is the quote currency. Understanding how currency pairs are quoted and the concept of exchange rates is essential for Forex trading. Factors that influence the Forex market include economic indicators, geopolitical events, interest rates, inflation, and market sentiment. Traders need to keep abreast of these factors to make informed trading decisions.
Trading Strategy:
A Forex trading strategy provides a systematic approach to navigate the complexities of the market. It helps traders identify entry and exit points, manage trades, and minimize emotional decision-making. Different trading styles, such as day trading (short-term), swing trading (mid-term), and position trading (long-term), require distinct strategies. Some popular Forex trading strategies include trend following, breakout trading, range trading, and carry trading. Traders must align their chosen strategy with their risk tolerance, available time for trading, and personal financial goals.
Risk Management:
Effective risk management is vital to protect your capital and survive in the Forex market. It involves determining the appropriate position size based on your account balance and risk appetite. Setting stop-loss orders is crucial to limit potential losses if a trade goes against you. Additionally, traders should consider setting profit targets to secure gains and practice sound money management principles. Risk management ensures that no single trade or a series of losses can wipe out a substantial portion of your trading account.
Use of Indicators:
Technical indicators are tools used to analyze price charts and identify potential trading opportunities. Fractals, for example, are indicators that highlight potential reversal points in the market. They consist of five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing the highest (or lowest) price. Traders can use other indicators like Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Bollinger Bands, among others. However, it's essential not to rely solely on indicators but to combine them with other forms of analysis and market context for more accurate decision-making.
Applying Charts in Forex Trading
Identifying Patterns:
Forex charts are instrumental in recognizing chart patterns, which are recurring formations that can indicate potential market movements. The 'head and shoulders' pattern showed on the chart below is just one example. Other common patterns include double tops and bottoms, wedges, flags, and pennants. Each pattern has its own implications for price direction and can help traders anticipate trend reversals or continuations. Understanding these patterns and incorporating them into your analysis can significantly improve your trading decisions.
Using Indicators:
Indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price and volume data, providing additional insights into market trends and potential entry or exit points. Besides fractals, traders often use indicators like Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Bollinger Bands. These indicators help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, trend strength, and potential trend changes. However, it's important to use indicators wisely and not overload charts with too many indicators, as it can lead to conflicting signals and confusion.
Determining Entry and Exit Points:
Charts serve as a primary tool for determining optimal entry and exit points for trades. Technical analysis tools, along with support and resistance levels, can guide traders in identifying areas of potential buying or selling interest. By combining technical analysis with their trading strategy, traders can time their entries and exits more effectively, enhancing the risk-reward ratio of their trades.
Risk Management:
Effective risk management is critical in Forex trading, and charts play a significant role in this aspect. By visualizing price movements and key levels on the chart, traders can determine appropriate stop-loss levels to limit potential losses. They can also calculate the position size based on their risk tolerance and the distance between their entry point and stop-loss level. Charts allow traders to assess the risk-reward ratio of a trade before executing it, ensuring they only take trades with favorable risk-to-reward profiles.
Conclusion
In conclusion, achieving success as a Forex trader requires a holistic approach that encompasses several critical elements. Understanding the basic principles of the Forex market sets the foundation for making informed decisions. Recognizing the role of currency pairs, exchange rates, and the factors influencing the market provides a solid framework for effective trading.
Developing a robust trading strategy tailored to your trading style and risk tolerance is paramount. Whether you opt for day trading, swing trading, or position trading, having a well-defined plan will guide your actions and protect you from impulsive decisions driven by emotions.
Charts serve as indispensable tools in Forex trading, enabling traders to visualize market data and identify key patterns and trends. Mastering the art of chart analysis empowers traders to spot potential opportunities, determine entry and exit points, and manage risk effectively.
However, success in Forex trading is not solely reliant on theoretical knowledge and technical skills. Consistency and discipline play a crucial role. Maintaining consistency in your trading approach and adhering to your trading plan even during challenging market conditions can lead to long-term success.
Discipline is essential in curbing the temptation to deviate from your strategy due to fear or greed. Practicing patience and avoiding overtrading are equally vital aspects of maintaining discipline.
Moreover, the Forex market is dynamic and subject to constant change. Staying updated with market trends, economic events, and geopolitical developments is indispensable. Continually refining your trading strategies and adapting to evolving market conditions will keep you ahead of the curve.
Additionally, never forget the importance of risk management. Preserving your trading capital through proper position sizing, setting stop-loss orders, and managing risk prudently is the key to surviving in the Forex market over the long term.
In conclusion, the journey to becoming a successful Forex trader is a continuous process of learning, analyzing, and improving. Embrace a comprehensive approach that combines knowledge, strategy, chart analysis, consistency, discipline, and risk management. By doing so, you position yourself for success in the ever-changing and exciting world of Forex trading.
ICHIMOKU AND RVI BEGINNERS PLAY BOOKNow ichimoku is relatively simple look for buys above the cloud and look for sells under the cloud. so when we backtest that over our 5/5 winners with rvi we get two less entrys, however as a beginner to avoid them whipsaw movements that isnt always a bad thing. The cloud itself offers dynamic support and resistance based of averages. price breaking through the cloud signals a breakout and a change in the trend usually. if new to trading I recommend learning about ichimoku on youtube, its not the all time great plan but if you have no plan its better than that. to keep discipline and entry requirements.
RVI TUTORIAL OIL EXAMPLE 5/5 WINNERSSo I am going to breakdown an indicator that I have featured alot in my trades, so if we look at the crude oil chart here, we can see that in total we have 5 notable crosses of the rvi indicator, 3 bearish trades and 2 bullish trades for a total of 510 pips, 5 winners out of 5. Now the magic of the indicator is that it is both an entry signal and an exit signal, enter on cross exit on cross to maintain maximum pips. Personally i find relative vigor index very useful when used in conjunction with good trading ideas and good structure analysis.