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GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance). However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable. Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur. 2. Support Zone Over-Reliance The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because: The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes. A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing. If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move. 3. Resistance Breakout Bias The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation. However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning: A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally. 4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation. No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging. Alternative View Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider: Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal. Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal. Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider: 1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through. 2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider: A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally. A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction. A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply. 4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices. 5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally. Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction. 2. Support Area Failure Risk The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades. 3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal. The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include: Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge. Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase. Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area. Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives: 1. False Breakout Possibility: Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario. Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias. 2. Resistance Strength: The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate. A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside. 3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case: If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside. Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume. 4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors: Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa