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USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation) • Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence). • Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip. ⸻ 2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce • Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down. • Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone. ⸻ 3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure • Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context. • Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly. ⸻ 4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally • Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case. • Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support. ⸻ 5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break • Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move. • Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range. Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection. 2. Support Zones Too Close Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias 4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections 5. Lack of Fundamental Context • Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
Long
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias 1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram. This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation. 2. Oversold Market Conditions Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion. A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187. 3. Failed Breakdown Possibility Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap. If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap. 4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading. If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement. 5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles. Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown. Alternative Bullish Scenario If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be: 3,293 (Resistance) Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
Canadian Dollar vs US Dollar: Recovering from The Bearish HugsIn previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key factors that have driven the U.S. outperformance over the past decade. The U.S. market dominance is largely due to the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach, and significant investor inflows. Underperforming Internationally Markets outside the U.S. have faced challenges such as multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger U.S. dollar, and the decline of high-growth tech sectors. The Valuation Gap By 2025, U.S. equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend) Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also heavily dependent on the US dollar. Factors include optimism around the following three main themes. DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION. De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the dominant global reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend involves a shift away from the centrality of the US dollar in global economic transactions and towards alternative currencies, assets or financial systems. Reasons for De-dollarization The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors: Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses the dollar's dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty. Rise of emerging economic powers: Emerging economies such as China and groups such as the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to US influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures. Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts such as the war in Ukraine have increased efforts by countries such as Russia to withdraw dollars from their reserves to avoid sanctions. Summary De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the US dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce reliance on the dollar. Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization is challenging the entrenched role of the dollar, but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon. Instead, it is leading to a more multi-polar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments in the US. Technical Test The main technical chart is presented in a weekly perspective, reflecting the performance of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD over the long term. With the positive dynamics of the relative strength indicator RSI(14) continuing, a breakout of flat resistance near the level of 0.72 is noted, with the prospect of a possible price increase to 0.80, parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to historical maximums, in the horizon of the next five years. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
1
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD). Key Technical Highlights: - Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection. - Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity. - Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal. Projected Move: The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance. If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone. Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
TARGET SUCCESSFUL This chart displays a successful bullish breakout on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the previous consolidation range. Key Levels & Zones: -Resistance Zone: Around 95,576, which was clearly broken with strong bullish momentum. Support Level: Maintained around 93,592, where price previously bounced from. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Efficiently filled, providing the base for the bullish rally. Target Achieved: The price decisively hit and exceeded the projected target of 95.576, confirming the bullish setup. Market Sentiment: Strong bullish bias with volume surge, indicating continued interest above resistance. Conclusion: The breakout and target completion validate the strength of the structure and buyer control in this range. Further bullish continuation could be expected if momentum sustains.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
BTCUSD (BTC/USD) highlights a consolidation phase within clearly defined support and resistance zones, with price currently poised for a potential move upward. Key Technical Zones: - Resistance Area: Around 95,576, which has been tested multiple times with rejections—indicating strong supply. - Support Level: Strong buying interest observed near the 92,500 region, keeping the structure intact. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price filled the FVG recently, suggesting equilibrium and potential for another leg up. Current Outlook: - Price is holding above the FVG and is attempting a bullish rebound. - If price maintains support above the recent lows, we may see continuation toward the target at 95,576. Next Target: 95,576 Watch For: Rejection at resistance or volume confirmation to validate a breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD UPWARD COMING SOON Gold (XAU/USD) shows the price currently trading within a defined range between the support level at 3272.581 and the resistance zone around 3367.926. Technical Highlights: - Support Level: Strong demand seen around 3272.581 where price has previously rebounded. - Resistance Zone: 3367.926 marks a key supply area that has held several past tests. - Current Structure: A bullish corrective move appears underway with the potential to test the target area at 3338.838, aligning with a minor resistance zone. - Price Behavior: Recent rejection from the support zone indicates bullish pressure; if momentum holds, price is likely to challenge the next resistance. Next Target: 3338.838 Outlook: If gold sustains above the mid-range support, bullish continuation toward 3338.838 is favored. However, price must break minor resistance cleanly for further upside confirmation. Would you like a social media caption or short signal text for this as well?
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context: Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe). Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332 Current Price: 3,312.650 🔍 Technical Analysis: 1. Trend & Moving Averages: EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment. Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term. 2. Key Zones: Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370 Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders. Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305 Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers. Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275 A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested. 3. Price Action: Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness. A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal. 4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection): Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts). A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected. This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management. 📈 Trade Outlook: 🟢 Bullish Bias: If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly. Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone. 🔴 Bearish Bias: If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower. Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250. ✅ Conclusion: Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds. Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295. Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
5
#USDCAD 1HUSDCAD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken above a key resistance level and is currently showing signs of a retest. A successful retest of the broken resistance as support indicates that buyers are maintaining control, suggesting potential for further upward movement. Forecast: A buy opportunity can be considered if the price confirms the retest and starts to show bullish momentum, supporting the continuation of the breakout move. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Look for buying signals around the retest area of the previous resistance turned support. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the retest support zone to manage downside risk. - Take Profit: Aim for higher resistance zones or key Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets. Market Sentiment: The breakout followed by a retest suggests a shift toward bullish sentiment. However, proper confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators is advised before entering the trade.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
#USOIL 4HUSOIL (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The chart is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, which often signals a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is an important support zone to monitor. Forecast: A sell opportunity may be considered if the price breaks and closes below the neckline with confirmation. This breakdown could indicate the start of a bearish trend continuation. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Look for a sell setup once the neckline is broken and retested as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Positioned above the right shoulder to minimize risk. - Take Profit: Target nearby support zones or use a measured move technique based on the pattern's height. Market Sentiment: As long as the neckline holds and the breakdown is confirmed, bearish momentum is likely. A failure to break below the neckline would delay or invalidate the selling setup.
TVC:USOILShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
#XAGUSD 1HXAGUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is approaching a key resistance zone on the 1-hour timeframe. Previous reactions at this level suggest that sellers have been active, making it an important area to monitor for potential price rejection. Forecast: A sell opportunity may be considered if the price gets rejected from the resistance area with bearish confirmation signals. A failure to break above the resistance could lead to downward movement. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Consider selling near the resistance zone after clear confirmation of rejection. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Positioned above the resistance area to protect against unexpected breakouts. - Take Profit: Aim for nearby support levels or previous lows. Market Sentiment: As long as the price respects the resistance level and bearish confirmations appear, selling pressure could increase. A clear breakout above resistance would invalidate the current bearish setup.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
USOILOil shows price moving between a clear support level and a strong order block resistance above. Currently, price is trading inside a resistance zone around 63.25. The chart indicates a potential bullish move, targeting the 64.22 level, where the order block resides. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Strong demand area near 62.00. - FVG (Fair Value Gap): Gap filled below current price. - Resistance Zone: Price facing resistance around 63.00-63.50. - Order Block: Major target area near 64.22. Target Projection: $64.22 Outlook: If buyers sustain momentum above the resistance zone, we could see a rally toward the 64.22 target at the order block. Confirmation of a breakout and retest would strengthen the bullish bias. Would you like me to also create a quick short caption for social media posting?
TVC:USOILLong
by EXPERT117Ai
BTCUSD Bitcoin (BTC/USD) highlights price movement between a key resistance zone and a strong support level. Price has currently pushed back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 94,600, setting up a potential short-term reversal. The expectation shown on the chart is for price to react from the FVG/resistance area and move lower toward the support level, targeting around 92,947. Key Technical Points: - Resistance Zone: 95,500 -95,750 - FVG Area: Current price is testing imbalance at 94,600. - Support Level: Strong demand zone near92,750. - Target Projection: $92,947 Outlook: Price is likely to face selling pressure around the FVG and resistance zone, leading to a possible drop towards the support zone. Traders should monitor bearish confirmations for potential short opportunities. Would you also like me to create a short caption for posting this chart on social media?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EXPERT117Ai
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) shows price action ranging between a strong support level and a visible order block above. Price recently tested the support zone near 3,260.000, showing potential signs of a bullish reaction. The chart highlights a possible upward move toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, targeting around 3325.626. Key Technical Points: - Support Level: Price bounced from the 3,260.000 zone. - FVG Area: Gap available for price to fill up toward 3325.626. - Order Block: Major resistance near the 3,440.000 region. - Structure: A potential bullish short-term recovery setup. Target Projection: $3325.626 If buyers maintain control around the current support, we could see a move into the FVG before facing major resistance at the order block above. Watch closely for bullish confirmations or possible rejections around the FVG area.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
Will the EUR/USD find support and rally or give up it's run?In this video I go over EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, NVDA & SPX. With an overall bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar, I'm watching for support to hold above 1.1200 on the EUR/USD in order to continue the rally. Although a pullback was expected after an aggressive up move over the span of 3 weeks, this will be interesting with a good amount of economic data set to release beginning on Tuesday. We'll see if Bulls hold up or if Bears decide to show some strength. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
2