EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness
The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal.
Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high.
2. Support Area Strength Overestimation
The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail.
Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop
3. Market Structure Bias
The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong.
A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher.
4. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout.
Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Forexmarket
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include:
Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge.
Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase.
Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area.
Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives:
1. False Breakout Possibility:
Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario.
Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias.
2. Resistance Strength:
The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate.
A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside.
3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case:
If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside.
Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume.
4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors:
Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events.
A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected:
The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal.
2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout:
Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward.
3. Support Might Not Hold:
The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower.
4. Trendline Trap:
The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold
The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook.
2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable
While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply.
3. Liquidity Grab Possibility
The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout.
4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction
News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move.
Alternative Outlook
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping.
Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection
The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing.
A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining.
2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks
Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions.
Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher
3. Support May Not Hold
The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing
If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower.
4. Fundamental & External Factors
Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements
If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging
Conclusion:
While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include
A bullish breakout above resistance
A fakeout drop before continuation higher
A failed support level leading to deeper declines.
External catalysts overriding technical expectations
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon)
1. Resistance Area May Not Hold
The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs.
If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal
2. Support Areas Could Fail
The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment.
A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback.
3. Alternative Scenarios
Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction.
A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move.
4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed
The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
#GBPCHF 4HGBPCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. This suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, and a potential downside move could follow if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakdown from the rising wedge pattern, signaling increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered after a confirmed breakdown below the wedge support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key support levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The rising wedge indicates potential bearish momentum. A confirmed breakdown with strong price action can provide better validation for the sell setup.
#EURNZD 4HEURNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation pattern. This indicates that the market is in a temporary consolidation phase before potentially resuming its previous upward trend.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the flag resistance, confirming bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward movement. Waiting for a breakout confirmation will help validate the trade setup.
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold
The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong?
Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
2. False Support Bounce Possible
The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers.
3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario
The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher.
A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up.
4. Resistance May Strengthen
Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout.
Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward.
Alternative Outlook
If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further.
A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
USDJPY - Feb 19 2025 Sell position- CLASSIC!Hey everyone!
It's been a while since I last posted—I've been busy refining my prop firm account this 2025.
Since January 9, USDJPY has been in a successful distribution phase, so I'm now shifting my HTF bias to a sell position.
- Currently riding sell positions targeting 1:2R, 1:3R, and 1:5R (intraday trades).
Check the charts for details—just a simple price manipulation setup. This time, though, London got manipulated instead of the Asian session. Classic 1:5RR move!
#consistency
#tradeforaliving
#rightpsychology
#GBPJPY 1DAYGBPJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating consolidation and decreasing volatility. This pattern suggests that the market is in indecision, and a breakout in either direction could lead to a strong move.
Forecast:
A breakout on either side will determine the next direction. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered if the price breaks above the upper trendline, while a sell position can be considered if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target key support or resistance levels based on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests that momentum is building up, and a strong move is expected after a breakout. Waiting for a clear confirmation will help avoid false signals.
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased market volatility and potential bearish movement. This pattern suggests that price swings are widening, with lower lows and higher highs, often leading to a strong directional move once a breakout occurs.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern signals possible downside movement, especially if price rejects a key resistance area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the upper boundary of the expanding pattern or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The expanding pattern reflects increasing price fluctuations, and if sellers gain control, a strong bearish move can follow. Confirmation through price action and volume analysis will help validate the trade setup.
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.
#GBPJPY 4HGBPJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a key support level, indicating potential buying interest. If the support holds, buyers may step in to push the price higher, leading to a possible bullish move.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price shows signs of rejection at the support level, confirming that buyers are defending this area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered if the price holds above the support level and shows bullish confirmation.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The support level is a key area where buying pressure may increase. Confirmation through bullish price action will provide more confidence in a potential upward move.
#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
ETHUSDT 4HETHUSDT (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a phase of indecision in the market. This formation suggests that the price is preparing for a breakout, but the direction is uncertain until a confirmed move occurs.
Forecast:
A breakout in either direction will determine the next potential trend. Traders should wait for a clear breakout with volume confirmation before entering a trade.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A breakout above the resistance trendline may indicate a buying opportunity, while a breakdown below the support trendline could signal a selling opportunity.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance or support levels, depending on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
A symmetrical triangle reflects market consolidation, and a breakout will confirm the next move. Waiting for confirmation helps avoid false breakouts and aligns trades with the prevailing momentum.
#EURGBP 4HEURGBP (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating market consolidation and reduced volatility. This pattern suggests that the price is preparing for a breakout, but the direction remains uncertain. A breakout on either side will provide further clarity on the next potential move.
Forecast:
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout in either direction before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A breakout above the resistance trendline may signal a buy opportunity, while a breakdown below the support trendline may indicate a sell opportunity.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed beyond the breakout level to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key support or resistance levels, depending on the breakout direction.
Market Sentiment:
A symmetrical triangle represents market indecision, and a breakout in either direction will determine the next trend. Waiting for confirmation ensures alignment with the prevailing market movement.
#GBPUSD 1DAYGBPUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above the downtrend resistance, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, but further confirmation is needed before entering a position.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise after a retest of the broken resistance level, which could now act as support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of the breakout level and confirmation of support before considering a buy position.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target higher resistance levels or key areas for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout above the downtrend resistance is a sign of potential bullish movement, but patience is needed to ensure the price holds above the retested level before entering a trade.
Next week Idea The rejection at 33.165 was massive. I saw it late that's why I didn't share in my insight before the massive drop form that point of interest.
Next wee might just be bearish for most of the days, probably Tuesday would be the weekly high, Thursday and Friday weekly low.
What's your insights on Silver?
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴