TradeCityPro | EURCAD Analysis Reaching the Daily Box Target👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s dive into the forex market and analyze this popular pair, outlining key triggers for trading this week.
🌍 Fundamental Overview
EURCAD reflects the economic interplay between the Eurozone and Canada, influenced by:
🇪🇺 Eurozone Fundamentals (EUR):
ECB Policies: The European Central Bank's monetary stance (hawkish or dovish) significantly impacts the Euro’s strength.
🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar Fundamentals (CAD):
Oil Prices: CAD is sensitive to oil fluctuations due to Canada’s major oil exports. Rising oil prices typically strengthen the CAD.
Geopolitical tensions, trade balances, and global risk sentiment often sway EURCAD. The Euro acts as a reserve currency, while the CAD is risk-sensitive.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
1.4888 is the critical resistance, marking the top of the daily box (1.4888–1.5171). After breaking this level, the pair hit its target at 1.4556, a significant support level. The rejection at this resistance highlights its importance.
The 1.4731 level, broken yesterday but reclaimed today, offers a potential trigger for entries.
📉 Short Position Trigger
clear short trigger exists below 1.4731. Breaking this support could lead to further downside, targeting 1.4556.
📈 Long Position Trigger
While momentum-driven long entries are possible if the RSI enters overbought, a more reliable entry comes from consolidating within the current range or forming higher highs and lows.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Forexmarket
TradeCityPro | EURNZD Ideal Short Setup for Next Week👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze EURNZD as the forex market wraps up this week and prepare our triggers for next week’s positions!
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Euro (EUR):
Benefiting from the ECB's cautious tightening policies aimed at inflation control.
Mixed economic data, such as weak industrial output, limits bullish momentum.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD):
Supported by stronger commodity prices and a resilient domestic economy.
The RBNZ maintains a balanced policy outlook, strengthening the NZD further.
The contrast between the ECB's inflation focus and the NZD's solid fundamentals tilts the bias toward NZD. Global risk sentiment and commodity trends are pivotal in determining price direction.
🕒 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
EURNZD is consolidating within a range between 1.7836 (support) and 1.8063 (resistance).
Last week saw minimal movement, but this consolidation suggests the pair is gearing up for a breakout.
The price didn’t reach the resistance this time and got rejected earlier.
It is now testing the support level.
📉 Short Position Trigger
If 1.7836 is broken with strong momentum, it would trigger a short position, targeting lower levels.
📈 Long Position Trigger
If the 1.7836 support holds for an extended time, buyers could step in.
A break above 1.8063 would confirm a long opportunity, especially if the price forms higher highs and higher lows in lower timeframes.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
gbpcad buying opportunity.OANDA:GBPCAD
buying opportunity for gbpcad. i always post after i get triggered on the retracement but usually price does not tap twice on the entry point thats why i have posted ahead of the time as i am gonna have entry on the retracment. the way i will enter is i am gonna be entering below the 50% of fibonacci retracement.
EUR/USD: Strong U.S. Data Signals Possible Reversal AheadAs per my market review, I predict that the uptrend of the EUR/USD currency pair is about to be broken (a significant reversal) and so it is likely to decline, especially due to strong U.S. fundamentals. The weekly sweep shows that the price is in a consolidation phase; however, the market has not been able to overcome the resistance zone despite various attempts. Right now, the pair is approaching the low of the previous week, as well as closing a weekly candlestick at the bottom, which increases the risks of further downward movement. The levels of support stand at 1.0949 and 1.0900, with resistances located at 1.1000, 1.1010, and 1.1050. There now remains the question of whether or not the price will close below the 1.0949 support level and if that happens, a deeper move is expected to follow. One extreme scenario is that it is possible to expect a pullback to 1.100 before the bears resume the trend.
NZDUSD Potential Up correction from crossing of supportsNZDUSD recently showed a false breakout below its previous support and has reached a demand zone on the daily timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback. On the 4H chart, bullish divergence at the support level supports the likelihood of a retracement. The price may move higher to retest the resistance zone around 0.5880, which has been tested multiple times. This setup indicates a potential for a short-term recovery
GBPAUD Potential channel breakout to the downsideGBPAUD is exhibiting bearish momentum, characterized by lower lows and lower closes. The pair is currently testing the previous daily low; a close below this level could lead to a decline toward the channel's lower boundary. The previous day's candle featured a long tail, indicating potential for a retest of the round number at 1.9300. If bearish momentum persists, the price may break through the channel and move lower. The target is the support level at 1.9310
AUDJPY Correction to the Down side after channel breakoutAUDJPY has recently broken and closed above a descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. However, the overall market trend remains sideways, suggesting consolidation. The price is approaching a resistance level near 101.00, where previous sell-offs occurred, indicating that bears may be active in this zone. If the price rejects this resistance and the upward trendline, a decline toward the support zone around 100.75 is possible. Given the current sideways movement, the market may bounce off the top of the range and subsequently move toward the channel border. Monitoring price action around the 101.00 resistance level will be crucial to confirm a potential reversal
#GBPNZD 4HGBPNZD 4-Hour Analysis
The GBPNZD pair is trading within a downtrend channel on the 4-hour chart and is nearing the channel's lower support line. This support zone has historically provided opportunities for bullish reversals within the channel. Waiting for the price to touch this level ensures a safer entry for a potential buy position.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Downtrend Channel Support
- Forecast: Bullish (Wait for Support Touch, Then Buy)
- Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position near the channel’s support line after confirmation of a reversal signal.
Traders should watch for confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns or indicators like RSI reflecting oversold conditions. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below the support line to guard against a potential breakdown. Targets can be set at the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential profit.
#AUDCAD 4HAUDCAD 4-Hour Analysis
The AUDCAD pair is approaching the lower boundary of a well-defined channel on the 4-hour chart, which acts as a key support level. This support zone has historically triggered bullish reversals, but waiting for the price to touch the channel support ensures a more reliable entry point.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Channel Support
- Forecast: Bullish (Wait for Support Touch, Then Buy)
- Entry Strategy: Buy near the channel support line after confirmation from price action.
Traders should look for bullish signals such as a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing) or indicators like RSI showing oversold conditions to validate the buy setup. Proper risk management is crucial, with stop-loss orders placed below the channel support to protect against potential breakdowns. Target the upper boundary of the channel as the next resistance level.
NZD/CAD Buy Opportunity Our market update already hit TP on NZD/CAD before with the sell position, which played out well. Now, we're shifting gears with a BUY possibility!
Entry: 0.82530
Take Profit: 0.84505
Stop Loss: 0.81089
This setup is based on a careful analysis of the current market conditions. As always, trade responsibly and manage your risk wisely! This is not financial advice.
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection.
There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
After a sharp drop yesterday and breaking below its ascending channel support, gold has now stabilized slightly. It is expected that after a correction and pullback to the broken support level, gold may resume its downtrend towards specified lower levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long on XAUUSDI am entering a long position on XAUUSD as we're hitting an interesting support zone on the 1h timeframe.
Bollinger band are not wide anymore, and the price action is showing that price is trying to go back.
If the support zone is broken, we'll immediately leave the idea with a small loss.
I also placed a buy limit order on the following price : 2655.31.
NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Global NZDUSD Daily Analysis: Slight Bullish Bias Expected Amid Global and Domestic Influences 08/11/2024
Introduction
Today's analysis on NZDUSD presents a potential slight bullish bias, driven by recent fundamental and macroeconomic factors that influence the currency pair. In this article, we’ll dive into the primary factors shaping NZDUSD's movement, helping you make more informed decisions. Key drivers include New Zealand’s economic data, U.S. dollar strength, and global risk sentiment.
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Key Drivers Influencing NZDUSD Today
1. New Zealand Economic Data and RBNZ Policy
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a stable interest rate, but recent comments hinted at a potential for future hikes if inflationary pressures persist. Positive employment data and steady GDP growth are also supporting the NZ dollar (NZD). This dovish stance from the RBNZ suggests economic resilience, giving a slight bullish momentum to the NZD.
2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics and Interest Rates
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has recently experienced fluctuations due to a series of mixed U.S. economic data points. With the Federal Reserve showing caution on additional rate hikes, the USD is facing downward pressure. A weaker USD directly supports NZDUSD’s bullish trend, especially if U.S. bond yields remain low.
3. Commodity Market Impact
New Zealand is a major exporter of dairy, meat, and other agricultural products, and a rebound in these sectors contributes to the NZD's strength. Rising dairy prices in global markets add further support, as they tend to attract investors looking at NZD as a commodity-driven currency.
4. Risk Sentiment and Market Confidence
Risk sentiment in the financial markets remains cautiously positive. The NZD, typically perceived as a risk-on currency, benefits from any signs of global economic stability. Positive risk sentiment fuels demand for the NZD, positioning NZDUSD for further bullish pressure.
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Technical Analysis Indicators Supporting a Bullish Outlook
Moving Averages
NZDUSD has been trading above its 50-day moving average, often interpreted as a bullish indicator. If it maintains this level, it could suggest sustained upward momentum.
RSI and MACD Indicators
Currently, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is within a neutral to slightly bullish range, indicating potential room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line has crossed above the signal line, supporting the bullish outlook.
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Conclusion
Given the factors of strong domestic data, dovish U.S. monetary policy signals, and positive commodity prices, NZDUSD could exhibit a slight bullish bias today. However, market participants should monitor risk sentiment and any changes in the USD's strength, as these will likely influence NZDUSD's direction.
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USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic !USDJPY Daily Outlook: Bearish Bias Expected Amid Key Economic Drivers (07/11/2024)
Overview
On November 7, 2024, USDJPY appears to be leaning toward a slight bearish bias as various fundamental factors impact the pair. This article delves into the primary drivers shaping USDJPY today, including central bank policy stances, global market sentiment, and economic data releases. Traders and investors on TradingView can benefit from a close analysis of these influences to navigate the USDJPY pair’s movement.
Keywords: USDJPY forecast, forex trading, Japanese yen, U.S. dollar, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates, technical analysis, forex market
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Key Factors Supporting a USDJPY Bearish Bias Today
1. Dovish Stance from the Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve has recently shifted toward a more cautious tone on rate hikes, with key policymakers indicating a preference for a "wait-and-see" approach. This cautious stance could limit USD strength, particularly as traders anticipate no further rate hikes unless inflation surges unexpectedly. A softer dollar environment could weigh on USDJPY.
2. Bank of Japan’s Slightly More Hawkish Outlook
While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has traditionally maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, recent comments from BoJ officials suggest a growing willingness to adjust policy if inflation stays persistently higher. This subtle shift in tone has sparked interest in the yen as traders reassess Japan’s inflation and policy outlook, which could add bearish pressure on USDJPY.
3. Rising Risk Aversion
Risk sentiment has turned cautious in global markets, with equities slightly under pressure and investors showing renewed interest in safe-haven assets. The yen, as a traditional safe-haven currency, often benefits in times of risk aversion, making USDJPY more vulnerable to downside movement when risk sentiment fades.
4. Weak U.S. Economic Data
Recent U.S. economic indicators, such as declining consumer sentiment and slower employment growth, are casting doubt on the resilience of the U.S. economy. Softer data contributes to concerns that the Fed may pause or even reverse its tightening, further pressuring USD and potentially driving USDJPY lower.
5. Technical Analysis Insights
On the technical side, USDJPY is trading near significant resistance at the 150.00 level, a historically sensitive price area. If sellers defend this resistance, USDJPY could turn bearish, with initial support around 148.00. Technical indicators such as the RSI suggest USDJPY may be overbought, aligning with a potential pullback.
USDJPY Today: What to Watch For
- U.S. Initial Jobless Claims – Today's release of U.S. jobless claims data may further affect USD sentiment, particularly if the data reveals a labor market slowdown, adding to USDJPY’s bearish potential.
- BoJ Commentary – Any fresh statements from BoJ officials about policy flexibility could strengthen the yen and add further pressure on USDJPY.
Conclusion
Today, USDJPY shows signs of a bearish bias due to dovish signals from the Fed, a potentially more hawkish BoJ, risk aversion, and weaker U.S. data. As always, traders should monitor key data releases for potential market-moving surprises that could impact USDJPY.
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NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key FundamentalNZDUSD Daily Outlook: Bullish Bias Expected Amid Key Fundamental Drivers (07/11/2024)
Overview
On 7th November 2024, NZDUSD is showing signs of a slight bullish bias, driven by key economic data releases and broader market sentiment. This article provides an in-depth look at the factors shaping NZDUSD today, including central bank commentary, global market trends, and recent shifts in risk sentiment.
Keywords: NZDUSD forecast, New Zealand dollar, forex trading, USD, economic data, central bank policy, risk sentiment, technical analysis, forex market
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Key Factors Supporting NZDUSD Bullish Bias Today
1. Federal Reserve Dovish Outlook
Recent Federal Reserve statements have taken a slightly dovish tone, with policymakers emphasizing a "wait-and-see" approach to further rate hikes. The possibility of a Fed pause on interest rates provides support to the New Zealand dollar, as market sentiment leans towards a softer USD.
2. RBNZ’s Hawkish Stance on Interest Rates
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently signaled a focus on inflation control, reinforcing a hawkish stance relative to the Fed. This contrasts with other central banks, positioning NZD as an attractive currency in the current global environment. Markets are pricing in a limited chance of a rate hike from the RBNZ in the near term, which could further support NZD.
3. Improved Risk Sentiment
Global markets have seen an increase in risk appetite, with equities rebounding and commodities trading higher. This shift often benefits the NZD due to its reputation as a commodity-linked and high-yield currency. As investors seek yield, demand for the New Zealand dollar may rise, enhancing NZDUSD.
4. Strong New Zealand Economic Data
New Zealand’s recent economic data, including employment figures and business confidence, indicate resilience in the economy. Solid domestic growth and low unemployment rates suggest underlying strength, which could further boost NZD demand against USD.
5. Technical Analysis Indicators
From a technical standpoint, NZDUSD is approaching key support levels around 0.5900, showing upward momentum and signaling a potential reversal. RSI (Relative Strength Index) levels indicate that the pair may have room to move higher before hitting overbought territory, aligning with a bullish outlook.
NZDUSD Today: What to Watch For
- US Initial Jobless Claims – Scheduled later today, these figures may influence USD if they show a labor market slowdown, potentially adding to the Fed’s dovish stance and supporting NZDUSD.
- NZDUSD’s Resistance Levels – Key resistance near 0.6050 could be tested if bullish momentum continues, while support at 0.5900 could offer a base.
Conclusion
Given the softer stance from the Federal Reserve and favorable economic data from New Zealand, NZDUSD shows signs of a slight bullish bias. As always, forex traders should monitor any significant data releases closely, as these could prompt volatility in NZDUSD.
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NZDUSD: Bullish scenario The 4H market structure is bullish
Also as you can see on the chart the 15 min chart is bullish.
So it can be a good opportunity to buy on the demand zone with LTF confirmation.
Please pay attention, both demand zones are valid, we can enter to the position with LTF confirmation.
Analysis Dollar / DXYConsidering that elections were held yesterday, the market was manipulated overnight.
What I see from my analysis is that the Dollar is in the POI (Point of Interest) zone. Today, I will monitor the movement of EUR, GBP, as well as Gold. The forecast for these currencies is bullish.
USD/JPY on the Rise: Aiming for 154 and Beyond if 151 HoldsHere’s the lowdown: USD/JPY is hanging out at the 151 support level. If this zone holds, we’re looking at a nice ride up to 152.47—and possibly higher! First take-profit at 154.23, and if we break that, we’re cruising to 155.80 and even 157.
Simple Breakdown:
Solid Support at 151
Right now, 151 is the key spot to watch. If we hold above this, it’s a good sign USD/JPY has the strength to keep climbing.
Target Levels on the Way Up
First Stop: 152.47
This is our first target, so keep an eye on the price action here to see if we’ve got the momentum.
Take-Profit Zone 1: 154.23
If we reach this level, it’s a great spot to lock in some gains. Think of it as the first surf break!
Take-Profit Zone 2: 155.80
If 154 clears, next stop is 155.80. This is where the ride gets exciting.
High-End Target: 157
If USD/JPY stays strong and keeps moving, 157 is the ultimate stretch goal on this wave.
Trading Tip
Stay flexible with your levels. If 151 holds, ride the trend and take profits at each level to keep it smooth. Relax, set your zones, and let the market show you the way!
MINDBLOOME TRADING / KRIS
Where Trading Meets Wellness : Mindbloome Exchange
USDCHF possible long for 0.8710#usdchf weekly chart forming higher high and higher low. Daily chart price near to resistance level. Buy limit 0.8630 & 0.8610, stop loss below the last weekly bar low i.e. 0.8600, target: 0.8710. 4h time frame bullish order block as demand zone is as 0.8630-0.8610 as well. place stop loss below the bullish order block i.e. 0.8600.