Get started

Forexmarket

Short Term XAU Trading StrategyEarlier, gold fell sharply to hit a more than one-week low, pressured by a rebound in the dollar, while investors awaited US non-farm payrolls data to determine the size of the cuts at the US Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. The dollar hovered near a two-week high, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. The market is pricing in a 63% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's next policy meeting scheduled for September 17-18, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will sharply cut US inflation is on the decline, leading observers to expect the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates sharply for the rest of the year. In fact, US inflation remains at 2.9%, far from the Fed's target of 2%. If interest rates are cut too sharply, the monetary easing policy could cause inflation to return quickly. Therefore, as soon as there is a positive signal for the US economy, investors immediately consider the possibility of the Fed delaying the interest rate cut. The USD has a chance to recover.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Oil baby, common you can do it! Do it!FA: Historically, when the Fed rate is lowered in the U.S., there is one very simple pattern - the collapse of commodities! Of course, there are nuances related to the rate of downgrade.... Prices do not start falling at once... most often there is a time lag from 2-3 months to 8 months. It is important to understand the following... The USA controls oil prices (directly or indirectly - but the fact remains). Oil reserves in the states are low but last report showed very nice numbers (actual -0.8M vs forecast -2.7M) Now catch the train of thought: US will start a cycle of rate cuts- US has more than enough oil reserves - historically rate cuts are a drop in oil prices TA: After aggressive movement till 4h gap, price went down as expected with first MS, then price went up to test BTS zone and made second shift (BoS) and came into bullish 4h fvg. Now there are 3 options: 1 - move higher till 4h fvg into premium , rebalance and final move till EQL at 71.4$ area 2 - fail 73.3 area from market opening with potential move downwards till EQL 3 - Breaking above 4h FVG with target at 77.55$, this option can be considered only after closing above 4h fvg on 1h+ time frame with candle's body
TVC:USOIL
by Almenio
Gold prices edge higher after Fed rate cut possibilityGold traders are calm on the first trading day of the week as there are several important economic events that will impact the price of the precious metal. The USD index has shown strength considering recent data, but gold traders remain optimistic that gold prices will continue to move higher as the precious metal has remained above key levels over the past week. The price of the precious metal has traded above 2,500, a level that many traders consider to be very important for a number of reasons. First, this is an important level because it shows the strength of the overall price trend. Second, gold traders believe that as long as prices continue to trade above these key levels, there is a good chance that they will continue to move higher for the rest of the year.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU drops around 2500 areaInvestors are worried about the possibility of further declines in gold prices after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cuts interest rates in September. Recent economic news has led the gold market to shape the high probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. One of the most worrying things in the short term for gold is that recent positive economic data has prevented the Fed from cutting by 50 basis points in September. One of the big questions for gold investors recently is whether the Fed can cut by 100 basis points after the end of 2024. Therefore, although gold is still trading at a high of $ 2,500 / ounce and may continue to increase, gold investors are hesitant and cannot fully pursue the upward trend of gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
DXY (1h timeframe )hello dear traders this price acton for dollar curency index .... this is my personal opinion.... fundamental reason: While British fund manager abdrn predicts that the U.S. economy will see a soft landing, there is still the risk of a prolonged slowdown in 2025, said Kenneth Akintewe, the company’s head of Asian Sovereign Debt. Is the economy already weaker than the headline data suggests and should the U.S. Federal Reserve already be easing? Akintewe questioned on CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia.” In the U.S. on Friday, data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation, ticked up 0.2% last month, as expected. The data seems to back a smaller rate cut...
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
2
XAU market awaits US CPI newsXAU Markets Await US CPI News The DXY Index rose 0.3%, reducing the appeal of holding the precious metal. The market is pricing in a 67% chance of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed and a 33% chance of a 50bps rate cut Fed Chairman Jerome Powell last week backed the start of rate cuts next month, while expressing confidence that inflation could hit its 2% target. A report on Tuesday showed that while US consumer confidence rose to a six-month high in August, Americans were also growing more concerned about the labor market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU is down slightly but still in bullish territoryGold prices surged after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke. While buyers also are careful approximately how hawkish the Fed will be Caution and profit-taking strain can be elements that save you gold from persevering with to rise. However, many latest forecasts display that the medium and long-time period fashion of gold continues to be pretty bright. Demand for this commodity is forecast to growth. Major finances withinside the global also are growing their gold reserves According to technical analysis, gold charges nevertheless generally tend to growth strongly withinside the quick time period
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
2
Gold faces pressure from investors when in high positionWhile investors are also cautious about how hawkish the Fed will be Caution and profit-taking pressure may be factors that prevent gold from continuing to rise. However, many recent forecasts show that the medium and long-term trend of gold is still quite bright. Demand for this commodity is forecast to increase. Major funds in the world are also increasing their gold reserves According to technical analysis, gold prices still tend to increase strongly in the short term
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
XAU tends to fall as investors take profitsGold prices surged in the first session of the week after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered a historic speech at the Jackson Hole conference, marking a reversal in US monetary policy. Accordingly, Mr. Jerome Powell signaled that "it is time to adjust policy", reducing interest rates to support the economy. According to Mr. Powell, inflation has gradually decreased closer to the 2% target, while expressing concerns about the US labor market. The USD immediately fell sharply, thereby pushing gold prices up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
Fed rate cut expectations unlikely to materializeSpot gold rose 0.3% to $2,518.forty seven an oz., barely underneath its preceding top of $2,531.60 an oz. hit closing week. US gold futures additionally rose 0.3% to $2,555.20. Interest charge expectancies and safe-haven call for on Middle East tensions may want to push gold better withinside the quick term, with XAU/USD forecast to go towards $2,six hundred an oz.. China`s latest halt in gold purchases has weighed at the valuable metal. However, Grant stated that although China does now no longer return, primary financial institution call for remains robust and could remain robust.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
Rate cut expectations and geopolitical concernsSpot gold rose 0.3% to $2,518.47 an ounce, slightly below its previous peak of $2,531.60 an ounce hit last week. US gold futures also rose 0.3% to $2,555.20. Interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand on Middle East tensions could push gold higher in the short term, with XAU/USD forecast to head towards $2,600 an ounce. China’s recent halt in gold purchases has weighed on the precious metal. However, Grant said that even if China does not return, central bank demand is still strong and will continue to be strong.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU slightly down after US sessionGold prices fell but remained near their recent record highs, supported by a weaker US dollar and rising expectations of a rate cut at the September meeting following dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Traders have now fully priced in a rate cut next month, with a 64% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 36% chance of a 50 basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Zaner Metals senior metals strategist Peter A. Grant said that rate expectations and safe-haven demand due to concerns about Middle East tensions could push gold prices higher in the short term, and forecasted that XAU/USD could move towards $2,600/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
The gold rally is not over yet, because FEDCurrently, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is 36.5% certain that interest rates will be cut by 50 basis points at the monetary policy meeting next month. Experts said that the move to loosen monetary policy will have a negative impact on the USD, which is good support for the upward trend of gold prices. The biggest risk for the precious metal market in the coming time is inflation data, focusing on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index in July. If inflation decreases, it will strengthen the possibility of the Fed easing monetary policy. Conversely, if inflation increases, it will be a drag on precious metals.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
gold short term trading strategyLower bond yields appropriately mirror the weakening of the macro economy. He additionally mentioned that now no longer best have jobs been lost, however even white-collar, extraordinarily professional jobs have now no longer multiplied a good deal during the last year. Investors had been amazed with the aid of using a dovish speech at Jackson Hole. The inventory marketplace reacted undoubtedly after Powell`s speech, attaining close to report highs. However, investors had been nevertheless amazed due to the fact Powell's speech went past what they expected. The Fed is probably to reduce costs with the aid of using 25 bps in September, and probably even 50 bps, relying on how the August jobs document performs out. More importantly, the transition from monetary stimulus to economic stimulus has despatched bond yields plunging, down eighty bps considering Hartnett commenced recommending bond shopping for in May. While retail income may also have multiplied in nominal terms, they've slightly grown in actual terms—that is, after eliminating the effect of inflation—which shows a weakening in client spending and spending withinside the present day monetary environment.
TVC:GOLD
by TrategySherpa
XAU will continue to increase in the coming timesaid the gold market is focused on the Fed's interest rate cut. Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased by more than 20%, as investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates soon. "Gold prices are still rising despite high interest rates. Data shows that gold prices have been stable for a long time even before the Fed did not cut interest rates When interest rates decrease, gold tends to increase. Investors see this as a tool to hedge against inflation. The strong gold market is also thanks to central banks actively buying to reduce dependence on the USD. This positively supports gold prices to reach new peaks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster