Get started

Forexmarket

#DXY 1DAYDXY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken below the uptrend support, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum. This breakdown indicates that buyers were unable to sustain the upward trend, leading to increased selling pressure. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed, further confirming bearish sentiment. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the breakdown of uptrend support and the sell engulfing pattern suggest further downside movement. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: After a confirmed breakdown and possible retest of the broken support as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the broken support or recent swing high. - Take Profit: Target lower support zones for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The combination of the uptrend support breakdown and a sell engulfing pattern indicates that bearish momentum is increasing. Waiting for confirmation of continued selling pressure will help align with the prevailing market trend.
TVC:DXYShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
GBP/CAD Fall of the Pound A Bearish Trap Has Been Set Rising Channel Breakdown The chart previously exhibited a rising channel with two parallel white trendlines containing the price movement. The price broke below the channel, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. Bearish Momentum Confirmation After the breakdown, the price retested the lower trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming resistance. A strong bearish rejection followed, indicated by the red shaded area showing selling momentum. Short Entry & Risk-Reward Setup The short position was entered near 1.78981, slightly below the breakdown point. The stop-loss is set at 1.80996, positioned above the breakdown level to avoid whipsaws. The take-profit target is 1.75724, aligning with previous support and a logical demand zone. Indicators & Confluence EMA or Trend-Based Indicator. The red shading suggests the price is trending below a dynamic moving average, reinforcing bearish sentiment. Bearish Candlestick Formation, A series of red candles and a retest failure further confirm selling pressure. Trade Rationale & Risk-Reward Analysis Trade Type: Short Entry: 1.78981 Stop Loss: 1.80996 (~200 pips above entry) Take Profit: 1.75724 ( 325 pips below entry) Always book Profit every 10% Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.6 , indicating a solid risk-adjusted trade with a favorable reward potential. This trade capitalizes on the bearish breakdown of the rising channel, with a clear stop-loss placement and a logical take-profit target. If momentum sustains, the price could continue trending lower towards 1.75724 or even extend further.
Short
by wolfchemist
1
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is trading near a strong resistance level, where selling pressure has historically increased. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed in this area, indicating a potential bearish reversal. This pattern suggests that sellers may take control, leading to a possible move lower. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the price faces rejection from resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals bearish momentum. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the resistance level after confirmation of continued bearish pressure. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick. - Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The combination of strong resistance and a sell engulfing pattern suggests bearish sentiment. Confirmation of further downside movement strengthens the case for a short position while ensuring alignment with market trends.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#EURJPY 1DAYEURJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently trading near the support of a well-defined channel, indicating a potential buying opportunity. This support level has previously acted as a strong demand zone, suggesting that buyers may step in again to push the price higher. Forecast: A buy opportunity is expected if the price holds above the channel support, signaling a potential move toward higher levels within the channel. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the channel support after confirmation of bullish signals. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support or the recent swing low. - Take Profit: Target the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential upside movement. Market Sentiment: As long as the price remains above the channel support, the bullish structure remains intact. Waiting for confirmation of a bounce ensures alignment with market momentum before entering a trade.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
NZD/USD Bears Box Borken Take the Lead After Trendline BreakThe New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar currency pair on the two-hour chart has broken below an ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The short position was taken after price action failed to sustain above the trendline, confirming bearish strength. The entry was executed near 0.57076, following the breakdown, with the stop-loss placed above recent highs to manage risk effectively. The take-profit target is positioned at 0.55459, aligning with a previous demand zone that may act as support. This setup reflects a trend reversal as buyers lose control and sellers gain momentum. As long as the price remains below the broken trendline, the short position remains valid, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio supporting the trade's potential.
Short
by wolfchemist
2
#CADJPY 1DAYCADJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently respecting a channel support level, indicating that buyers are defending this zone. This support has previously acted as a strong area for reversals, suggesting the possibility of a bullish move if the price holds above it. Forecast: A buy opportunity is expected if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling potential upside movement within the channel. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the channel support after confirmation of bullish signals. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support or the recent swing low. - Take Profit: Target the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential upward movement. Market Sentiment: The channel support level suggests that buyers may take control if the price holds above this area. Confirmation of a bounce is recommended before entering a trade to align with the prevailing market structure.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
#CHFJPY 1DAYCHFJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken down below the support line of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This breakdown suggests that buyers were unable to hold the support level, leading to increased selling pressure. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the price moves below the broken support line, confirming bearish momentum. Further downside movement is likely if the price remains below this level. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: After a confirmed breakdown and possible retest of the previous support as resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the broken support line or recent swing high. - Take Profit: Target lower support zones for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle support indicates increased bearish pressure, with sellers likely to maintain control. Waiting for confirmation of sustained bearish momentum ensures alignment with market trends before entering a trade.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
GBP/JPY Breakdown Bears Take Control After Trend ReversalThis chart represents the British Pound to Japanese Yen currency pair on the two-hour timeframe. A clear breakdown from a previously established uptrend structure has triggered a short position. The trade setup is based on price action breaking below a key support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum. The short entry was taken after the price broke below the ascending trendline and retested the level as resistance. The stop-loss is positioned above the recent high to mitigate risks in case of an invalidation. The take-profit target is set near 188.311, aligning with a key demand zone and a possible area of price reaction. The trade exhibits a strong risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring a balanced approach to downside potential. With momentum favoring sellers, this setup remains valid as long as the price sustains below the broken support level. A clean follow-through to the downside would confirm further selling pressure.
Short
by wolfchemist
#EURJPY 1DAYEURJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is moving within an uptrend channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. However, it is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel, where selling pressure may increase. A potential rejection from this resistance area could lead to a short-term bearish move within the channel. Forecast: A sell opportunity is anticipated if the price faces rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a potential pullback toward lower levels within the channel. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the upper boundary of the channel after confirmation of bearish signals. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high. - Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: Although the overall trend remains bullish, a temporary correction within the channel is possible. Confirmation of rejection at the resistance is essential before entering a sell position to align with market momentum.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market? The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements. Influence Of the Global Events: The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role: - Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows. - Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence. - Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment. What Happens When News Is Published? When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events: Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations. Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs. Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders. Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend. Major Events: Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends. Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it. Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble. GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation. Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF One's Loss, Another's Win: When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro. For example, ---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop. ---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro. Key strategies for trading events: •Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news. • Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react. • Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves. • Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend. • Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike. Drawbacks of Trading News: High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting. Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs. Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices. Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses. Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases. In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
Education
by forextidings
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
#NZDCHF 2HNZDCHF (2H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is trading within a defined channel pattern, indicating consistent lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong selling pressure and a potential reversal toward the lower boundary. Forecast: A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price reacts to the sell engulfing area near the channel resistance, signaling a likely move toward the channel's support. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish momentum. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick. - Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The combination of the bearish channel and the sell engulfing pattern indicates strong bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control. Waiting for confirmation ensures alignment with market momentum before entering the trade.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#AUDNZDAUDNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is moving within a well-defined channel, with lower highs and lower lows indicating a bearish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the channel's resistance level, which has historically acted as a strong barrier for upward movements. Forecast: A sell opportunity may arise if the price reaches the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the channel resistance after confirmation of rejection or bearish signals. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The bearish channel structure suggests selling pressure dominates. Waiting for the price to touch the resistance and confirm rejection provides a strategic entry point aligned with the overall trend.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER