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#XAUUSD/H4 GOLD had good trading on the second dayAsia-Europe session analysis on 12/08/2024: Gold forms a double bottom at 238x and experienced a rebound last week. Currently, gold is rising in the short term; however, technically, gold is expected to correct deeply in the near future. The main trading trend for today is BUY. Key price levels to watch: 2400-2405; 2407-2411 and 2455-2460. Resistance zone at 2433-2437 is unlikely to be today’s peak. Attention should be given to the 2455-2460 zone for a potential long-term sell order. Recommended Orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2407-2411 SL 2405 TP 2414 - 2430 - 2455. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2403-2405 SL 2399 TP 2410 - 2430 - 2437 - 2455. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2457-2460 SL 2463 TP 2450 - 2437 - 2400 - open.
FX:XAUUSD
by wetdyerap
Investors hope gold will increase in the coming time.Most industry experts predict that gold prices will remain flat. Most retail traders expect gold prices to rise. The market will be paying attention to some notable economic news this week, including the July PPI, July CPI, July retail sales and weekly jobless claims, the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment survey for August, etc. The market is currently focused entirely on the prospect of a September interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Gold investors will pay close attention to the Fed's speaker list this week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU Rising Strongly After Deep FallGold (XAU/USD) rose on Thursday, snapping a four-day losing streak, although it lacked momentum and remained below $2,400 heading into the European session. Investors remain concerned about the economic slowdown in China and the possibility of a US recession. This, coupled with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, should act as a supportive factor for gold. Moreover, expectations of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept the US dollar on the defensive, confirming the positive outlook for the non-yielding precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU increased sharply in today's US sessionDespite a slight decline from the early morning, the yellow metal has pared its gains from the day amid selling pressure amid concerns that demand will be sluggish in the coming period. Investors’ concerns were heightened as the official report released on Wednesday showed that the People’s Bank of China continued to hold steady in July. Thus, the bank’s reported gold reserves have remained unchanged for the third consecutive month. According to Krishan Gopaul, senior analyst at the World Gold Council, China’s gold holdings remain at 2,264 tonnes and still account for about 5% of its total reserves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU falls as investors sell offGold prices fell today (August 6) as investors continued to sell gold to cover losses in the stock market. Markets are also continuing to feel the negative impact of the cancellation of the "yen carry trade" as well as concerns about a recession in the US and globally, reducing demand for precious metals. Stock markets plunged from Asia to North America as investors fled riskier assets while betting that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will need to cut interest rates quickly to boost US economic growth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU plunged this morningGold prices “plummeted” at the start of the week because of robust promoting stress as traders persevered to promote gold to cowl losses withinside the inventory marketplace. The inventory marketplace “wobbled” on the cease of ultimate week as recession fears unfold following a disappointing jobs report. The S&P 500 fell almost 4%, with maximum of the promote-off taking place on Thursday and Friday. The Nasdaq ended the week down almost 5% from its excessive and formally entered undergo marketplace territory. Although taken into consideration a secure haven in instances of uncertainty, specialists say gold become now no longer proof against the promote-off on Monday as traders dumped property throughout the board. Despite the pointy fall in gold prices, analysts stated gold, which has won extra than 16% this year, may want to regain momentum withinside the future, because of chronic financial and political uncertainties in addition to expectancies of a price reduce via way of means of the United States Federal Reserve, which could gain bullion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU continues to rise amid tensions in the Middle EastMost investors expect the precious metal to continue to rise next week. Experts are also optimistic about the gold price increase. After the jobs report was released, the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) wants the economy to achieve a soft landing is very low. US growth depends largely on consumption, so sluggish consumption will lead to slow growth. The disappointing jobs data shows that the Fed made a policy mistake by waiting too long to cut interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
World gold expands growth momentumamid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Gold prices continued to extend their gains, hovering around $2,451 an ounce, thanks to safe-haven demand amid concerns over escalating tensions following the assassination of a Hamas leader in Iran. The war in Gaza and the deepening conflict in Lebanon have left the entire region in turmoil. The precious metal's gains were further fueled by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's hint that a rate cut could be discussed as early as September if inflation remains in line with expectations. Traders are now awaiting the US payrolls report due out on Friday for further clues on the Fed's policy path.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
Gold rose and held at 2454 todayExperts say that the direction of gold this week will depend on the data released last week when the market lacked important new data. The most anticipated report of the week is the purchasing managers index (PMI) in the service sector for July. A majority of economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Fed to cut rates twice this year, starting in September. Traders are currently pricing in about a 63% chance of a September rate cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Unlocking the Power of Option Analysis for Forex TradingFiltering Options by Sentiment: A Key to Profitable Trading As traders, we're constantly on the lookout for ways to gain an edge in the markets. Option portfolios analysis is not a magic solution for success itself, but it can and should be a great tool to add to your trading strategy. Learning how to analyze the option portfolios of big and successful players on one of the world's biggest exchanges can really improve your market awareness and give you more confidence when reading the current market trends. The Power of Option Analysis Option analysis is not just about identifying bullish or bearish sentiment. It's about understanding the nuances of market psychology and identifying opportunities that others may be missing. By filtering options by sentiment, we can identify portfolios that are more likely to result in profitable trades. Key Factors to Consider When filtering options by sentiment, there are several key factors to consider: 1. Size and value of the option portfolio 2. Distance from the central strike (Delta) 3. Time to expiration 4.Appearance on the rise/fall of the underlying asset By considering these factors, we can identify option portfolios that are more likely to result in profitable trades. As mentioned above, option portfolios with names such as vertical spread, butterfly, and condor (in English - VERTICAL SPREAD, IRON FLY/FLY, CONDOR/IRON CONDOR) have predictive sentiment regarding the direction of the asset's price movement. However, it is critically important to be able to filter out such sentiment, since similar portfolios are widely used and appear almost daily in CME exchange reports, but only a small percentage of them have predictive value. Portfolios that are traded during a price movement with an obvious trend have low value. On the other hand, if a portfolio appears in a sideways market before the start of a trend and meets other conditions, which will be discussed later, it is reasonable to fix such a portfolio on the chart and subsequently track its correction (closure/partial closure/re-sale). If you "caught" such a portfolio that is already generating profit for its owner, i.e., the price is moving in the desired direction, you get an additional bonus: by tracking changes in this portfolio, you can understand whether the price movement will continue in the chosen direction or whether the movement is fading or has exhausted its potential and it's time to close your position. It is necessary to track changes daily using QuickStrike and GlobexTradeBrowser by CME GROUP. If you track less frequently, you can lose the thread of sentiment. I recommend performing analysis on a regular basis. Some examples: On July 17th, there was a really big beat on the Japanese yen in the options market for October. The bed was based on the idea that the yen futures would go up (or the dollar/yen forex rate would fall). As we saw, the bat started to pay off almost immediately, and the yen came really close to the target in just a few days! Could we have used this information for forex trading? Absolutely. The risk-reward ratio on this trade was about 1 : 3, but importantly , when we made this trade, we had real insider information. Insiders are required by the exchange to disclose their trades, just like other market participants. Not using this free information in your trades would be a big mistake for a serious trader who doesn't want to gamble in market. Another example: In April this year, we saw a strong bullish option sentiment for Silver prices rising between $32 and $35, based on a large options portfolio stated at around $27.5. We released our forecast for Silver, and you can find a copy of it with our reasoning at the link Cooper example: The forecast was made after analyzing option activity on the CME exchange on April 2. You can check the results yourself and see if the time we spent studying option sentiment and analyzing was worth it. In conclusion, as you can see, incorporating option analysis into your toolkit can really help you make more informed trading decisions. To all serious traders, I wish you patience and dedication on your journey to trading success. Remember that mastering the art of trading takes time, effort, and perseverance. Don't be discouraged by setbacks or losses, but instead, use them as opportunities to learn and improve. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and stay committed to your goals.
Education
by ClashChartsTeam
4
Gold prices skyrocketed and lastedEscalating tensions in the Middle East push gold prices Gold and crude oil prices rose sharply on escalating tensions in the Middle East and concerns about a wider conflict. Any escalation in tensions in the Middle East or a dovish statement from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tonight could send both commodities higher. Iran's leadership has made strong statements: President Masoud Pezeshkian warned that Iran would "make the occupiers (Israel) regret this cowardly act". Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei added: "We consider it our duty to avenge him". These provocative statements are raising concerns about the possibility of a wider conflict in the region. Above all, the prospect of a full-scale war in the Middle East is causing more worries about the potential impact on global energy markets and international relations.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
US Treasury yields have fallen sharply, dragging gold prices upGold prices rose more than 1.0% on Thursday, helped by a sharp decline in US Treasury yields after the release of US labor market data. Specifically, the number of jobless claims in the second week of November rose more than expected, reaching 231,000, higher than the forecast of 220,000. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits also surprised by rising to 1,865,000 - the highest in nearly two years, showing the difficulty of the US labor market. Weak economic data, along with CPI and PPI data released earlier in the week, reinforced the view that the Fed's rate-hiking cycle is over. This has had a strong impact on US Treasury yields, causing the 10-year Treasury yield to fall below 4.45%, approaching its lowest level since late September. With the market expecting the Fed to gradually ease monetary policy, gold prices could maintain an upward trend in the short term. This scenario will be confirmed if US economic data continues to weaken.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU rises on Fed policy and geopolitical tensionsGold prices rose above $2,400 ahead of the Fed's policy meeting, according to Sagar Dua, a financial analyst at Fxstreet. The central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% for the eighth consecutive time. In the monetary policy statement and press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to reiterate that inflation has returned to the bank's 2% target. Powell may also highlight rising risks to the labor market. It will be difficult for Powell to set a timeline for a rate cut as the fight against inflation is far from over and the US economy is growing at a strong pace.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Inflation returns and sends XAU soaringThe strength of the US labor market appears to be fading as a restrictive policy framework remains in place. The unemployment rate in June, at 4.1%, was recorded as the highest in more than two years. In addition, JOLTS Open Jobs data increased almost steadily in June. The number of job vacancies in June reached 8.18 million compared to expectations of 8.03 million but lower than the previously released figure of 8.23 ​​million, indicating that demand for jobs has been waning. On the other hand, bullion also benefited from safe-haven buying after an airstrike killed a Hamas leader in Tehran, Iran. Israel is believed to have carried out the assassination. The news angered Iran and its proxy groups across the Middle East.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa