Forexmarket
CAD/CHF Loonie Heist: Sniping Swiss Profits with Thief Trading!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
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Target 🎯: Aim for 0.61400.
💵 CAD/CHF is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key market drivers. ☝
Unlock the full picture—dive into Fundamentals, Macro Insights, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Trends, and Future Targets. Check 👉🌎🔗.
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NEXT MOVE Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Support Breakdown Risk
The chart highlights the 145.000–145.200 area as a support zone.
If price breaks below this support with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the bullish reversal expectation.
A close below 144.800 would confirm weakness, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds.
📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart)
Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming:
Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure.
Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process.
Triangle Contraction Zone:
Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern.
Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails.
Key Bearish Targets:
TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support.
TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low.
Trade Setup (as per chart):
Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300.
Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high).
Targets:
TP1: 1.1090
TP2: 1.0890
🌐 Macro Context
USD Side:
Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs
Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed.
Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off.
Euro Side:
Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned
Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term.
✅ Conclusion
EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Is ETH - Next 3,000?ETHUSDT – Market Insight & Price Structure
Ethereum has been shaping a falling wedge pattern over the past 2 to 3 months—a structure that typically suggests a bullish reversal. Recently, price action confirmed a breakout above the key resistance zone between $2034 and $2040, along with a clean break of the upper trendline of the wedge. These movements point to a strong bullish signal, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Currently, Ethereum is approaching a significant resistance level around $2860. If price reaches this zone, we’ll be watching closely for confirmed reversal signals to consider a potential short/sell setup.
On the other hand, the primary bullish trend trade remains valid near the $2160–$2150 support range. A long position will only be considered upon confirmation, such as a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, market structure shift (MSS), or other trusted technical signals.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
CAD/USD growing more bullishIn this chart we can see the CAD/USD conversion rate has formed a bullish divergence.
This pattern is formed when price action creates lower lows whereas simultaneously the RSI creates higher lows.
This divergence is indicative of a future sharp and sudden rise in price.
Entered (2) 6CM contracts at .72145
Target price of .72645
GBP/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?The GBP/USD has been in a strong uptrend since early 2025, rallying from around 1.2100 to a recent peak near 1.3450.
The daily chart shows a pullback from this high, indicating consolidation or a corrective phase. Despite short-term bearish pressure, the broader trend remains intact above key support at 1.3200 and 1.3000.
On the hourly chart, price action reveals a consolidation range between 1.3260 and 1.3400, forming lower highs and signaling potential bearish continuation if support at 1.3320 breaks. Conversely, repeated rejections below 1.3400 without major selloffs suggest buyers may still be present.
The 15-minute chart highlights tight intraday consolidation between 1.3335 and 1.3355, forming a potential bear flag or ascending triangle. A break below 1.3320 could target 1.3280–1.3250.
A breakout above 1.3380–1.3400 may resume the uptrend toward 1.3450–1.3500.
The higher-probability scenario is a bullish continuation, but caution is advised given decreasing momentum.
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection
• The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones.
• A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading.
2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough
• The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis.
• There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal.
3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure
• The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance.
• Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed.
4. Resistance Area Is Vague
• The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes.
• A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies.
5. Economic Events Are Ignored
• There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation)
• Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence).
• Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip.
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2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce
• Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down.
• Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone.
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3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure
• Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context.
• Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly.
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4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally
• Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case.
• Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support.
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5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break
• Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move.
• Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance
Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range.
Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection.
2. Support Zones Too Close
Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias
4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections
5. Lack of Fundamental Context
• Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias
1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows
The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram.
This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation.
2. Oversold Market Conditions
Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion.
A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187.
3. Failed Breakdown Possibility
Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap.
If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap.
4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context
This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading.
If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement.
5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet
None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles.
Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be:
3,293 (Resistance)
Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
GBPAUD possible bearish for 2.0360#GBPAUD made a new high, then moved in a range 2.0685-2.1010 for a whole month. now support level 2.0685 broken. better to wait for correction/pullback to test the imbalance area between buyers and sellers. ideal level for short is 2.0960-65. stop loss: 2.1050, target: 2.0450 & 2.0360.
Canadian Dollar vs US Dollar: Recovering from The Bearish HugsIn previous posts, we have already begun to look at the key factors that have driven the U.S. outperformance over the past decade.
The U.S. market dominance is largely due to the rapid rise of tech giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), which have benefited from strong profit growth, global market reach, and significant investor inflows.
Underperforming Internationally
Markets outside the U.S. have faced challenges such as multiple stifling sanctions and tariffs, slowing economic growth, political uncertainty (especially in Europe), a stronger U.S. dollar, and the decline of high-growth tech sectors.
The Valuation Gap
By 2025, U.S. equities will be considered relatively expensive compared to their international peers, which may offer more attractive valuations in the future.
Recent Shifts (2025 Trend)
Since early 2025, international equities have begun to outperform the S&P 500, and European and Asian equities have regained investor interest. Global market currencies are also heavily dependent on the US dollar.
Factors include optimism around the following three main themes.
DE-DOLLARIZATION. DE-AMERICANIZATION. DIVERSIFICATION.
De-dollarization is the process by which countries reduce their reliance on the US dollar (USD) as the dominant global reserve currency, medium of exchange, and unit of account in international trade and finance. This trend involves a shift away from the centrality of the US dollar in global economic transactions and towards alternative currencies, assets or financial systems.
Reasons for De-dollarization
The move towards de-dollarization is driven by geopolitical and economic factors:
Backlash against US economic hegemony: The US often uses the dollar's dominance to impose sanctions and exert political pressure, encouraging countries to seek financial sovereignty.
Rise of emerging economic powers: Emerging economies such as China and groups such as the BRICS are seeking to reduce their vulnerability to US influence and promote regional integration and alternative financial infrastructures.
Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts such as the war in Ukraine have increased efforts by countries such as Russia to withdraw dollars from their reserves to avoid sanctions.
Summary
De-dollarization is a complex, ongoing process that reflects a gradual shift away from the global dominance of the US dollar. It involves diversifying reserves, using alternative currencies and assets, and creating new financial systems to reduce reliance on the dollar.
Driven by geopolitical tensions and the rise of emerging economic powers, de-dollarization is challenging the entrenched role of the dollar, but is unlikely to completely replace it anytime soon.
Instead, it is leading to a more multi-polar monetary system in international finance, increasing demand for alternative investments in the US.
Technical Test
The main technical chart is presented in a weekly perspective, reflecting the performance of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar FX_IDC:CADUSD over the long term.
With the positive dynamics of the relative strength indicator RSI(14) continuing, a breakout of flat resistance near the level of 0.72 is noted, with the prospect of a possible price increase to 0.80, parity in the currency pair and strengthening of the Canadian dollar to historical maximums, in the horizon of the next five years.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Technical Highlights:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection.
- Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Projected Move:
The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance.
If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone.
Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TARGET SUCCESSFUL
This chart displays a successful bullish breakout on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the previous consolidation range.
Key Levels & Zones:
-Resistance Zone: Around 95,576, which was clearly broken with strong bullish momentum.
Support Level: Maintained around 93,592, where price previously bounced from.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Efficiently filled, providing the base for the bullish rally.
Target Achieved: The price decisively hit and exceeded the projected target of 95.576, confirming the bullish setup.
Market Sentiment: Strong bullish bias with volume surge, indicating continued interest above resistance.
Conclusion: The breakout and target completion validate the strength of the structure and buyer control in this range. Further bullish continuation could be expected if momentum sustains.
XAU/USD Trade Plan 30/4/2025XAUUSD Trade Setup:
We are watching the 3260 resistance level closely. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for a buy opportunity, targeting the 3390 level.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of rejection, we will consider a sell setup, with a potential move down toward the next support at 3200.