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Buying into a Daily Supply Zone can be Risky / GBPJPYWe have a clean traffic range up to 157.7. However this is also a Daily Supply zone we are trading at and price can just suddenly reject any of these prices and take us into a range or bearish for the rest of the week . approaching this pair at the current time is difficult because it just raised interest rates (on GBP) but then also we have Putin/Ukraine Tensions sentiment in the markets. looking for a retest of prices 156.5 and 156.250 for a Runner Position
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Price action is Proving Bears Wrong? // EURUSDI think we saw sell opportunities already early in the week during the first few sessions, These Higher Lows rejecting our Daily Zone @ 1.1275 are very aggressive. was this the bottom wick on the Weekly timeframe and now we will begin to see higher prices for the rest of the week? IDK but I'd bet on it until proven wrong. It is disappointing, If I were still a Seller, to see this kind of price action, given the fears with Putin/Ukraine, priced in already?, the Dollar strength as of late?
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Market Fear Causes Respect of > [ 157.3 ] Weekly Zone / GbpJpyThis is my bias as we move into the new week of trading. I was confident after Thursday Daily candle closure that we would finally get a close above 157.300 on the Weekly and Daily Timeframes. The News on Friday caused us to respect this zone on the HTF's . I'm looking for Sells for the first few sessions of the week. My bias will change uf we get a strong 4hr close above 156.845. Looking for limit orders entries as I don't thnk these prices can hold given current market sentiment and fud. I like 156.845
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1
as US Oil Maintains Market Structure, will USDCAD fall in Sync?Was not expecting this much volatility from CAD, given the fact that we were expecting US OIL strength. But we go with the flow and market structre was pointing bearish so that suggests we could touch the daily and 4hr lows again, we had clean traffic for a 30 pip move bearish . I caught 18 pips on 1 position, got out. Where do we go from here? tough range on the daily timeframe between 1.26650 and 1.27650, large range i suppose, 100 pips. As long as US Oil maintains market structure, USDCAD may continue bearish sentiment for the week and come down to 1.262
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Demystifying a Fakeout ; Fake Breakout ; Wyckoff Theory / EURCADIn this Analysis I break-down what everyone knows and hates most. The Fakeout. The fakeout is simple. I hope this conveyed in the Chart. 1. We are in a Range 2. We closed outside the Range, we get candle closure confirmation. The 3 C's. 3. Shortly after we print candles back inside the range, closing strongly 4. At this stage you can wait for a retest of the bottom of the range (like me) or you can just place an entry right then .. because the Fakeout structure has initiated at this point Thoughts on where we are going form here anyone? I'm Looking to 148 for swing trading. We must stay above 146 now since we closed above this zone on Friday's NFP day.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
GBPJPY Day Trade Idea // Price Action TradingGbpjpy can move quite a bit. It can be a blessing and curse. Mentioned previously in the > JPY Weakness Post, we discussed potential JPY weakness , given current market sentiment leading up to interest rate announcments for the GBP and the EUR. Very bullish Price action confirming our bias, this means buy the pullback >> and aim for good risk reward >> be confident in your decision >> embrace a probabilistic mindset >> When you take wins, don't be surprised because that's what you were looking for in the market. >> Losses suggest higher volatility that you didn't anticipate correctly, or you are simply outright wrong with your analysis, and you should go to the Higher time frames , and this will give you your answers, with appropriate reasoning and logical thinking
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD ; Less than 24 Hours to NFP / 1.14550 > Range > BreakoutEURUSD is looking quite bullish as EURO buyers showed up quite strong early in the week and have maintained a stronghold on the order flow. This shift in Sentiment from the prior week can feel quite drastic, on an intraday basis. But thats the nature of the Lower Time Frames. The lower time frame gives more detail and more noise so you cant get one without the other. However , create a bias for direction on the Higher time frame, and look for confirmation of your bias on the smaller timeframes. This takes time, experience, resilience, reviewing your losses, dealing with life outside trading etc. It is possible, not syaing it will happen, but we could come up to 1.153 tomorrow as NFP closes the week off, just based on momentum and fundamentals sentiment, etc. cheers everyone
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
8