GBPUSD ANALYSISFrom the gap in the market coming into a new week we could see the market make a push to the down side, but right now i'm currently sitting on the fence as to how the market can trade for the early parts of this week i.e monday .
Forexmarket
NZD/USD Bears Box Borken Take the Lead After Trendline BreakThe New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar currency pair on the two-hour chart has broken below an ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The short position was taken after price action failed to sustain above the trendline, confirming bearish strength.
The entry was executed near 0.57076, following the breakdown, with the stop-loss placed above recent highs to manage risk effectively. The take-profit target is positioned at 0.55459, aligning with a previous demand zone that may act as support.
This setup reflects a trend reversal as buyers lose control and sellers gain momentum. As long as the price remains below the broken trendline, the short position remains valid, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio supporting the trade's potential.
gbpjpy buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
#CADJPY 1DAYCADJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a channel support level, indicating that buyers are defending this zone. This support has previously acted as a strong area for reversals, suggesting the possibility of a bullish move if the price holds above it.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling potential upside movement within the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel support after confirmation of bullish signals.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support or the recent swing low.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential upward movement.
Market Sentiment:
The channel support level suggests that buyers may take control if the price holds above this area. Confirmation of a bounce is recommended before entering a trade to align with the prevailing market structure.
#CHFJPY 1DAYCHFJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken down below the support line of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This breakdown suggests that buyers were unable to hold the support level, leading to increased selling pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price moves below the broken support line, confirming bearish momentum. Further downside movement is likely if the price remains below this level.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After a confirmed breakdown and possible retest of the previous support as resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the broken support line or recent swing high.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle support indicates increased bearish pressure, with sellers likely to maintain control. Waiting for confirmation of sustained bearish momentum ensures alignment with market trends before entering a trade.
GBP/JPY Breakdown Bears Take Control After Trend ReversalThis chart represents the British Pound to Japanese Yen currency pair on the two-hour timeframe. A clear breakdown from a previously established uptrend structure has triggered a short position. The trade setup is based on price action breaking below a key support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment toward bearish momentum.
The short entry was taken after the price broke below the ascending trendline and retested the level as resistance. The stop-loss is positioned above the recent high to mitigate risks in case of an invalidation. The take-profit target is set near 188.311, aligning with a key demand zone and a possible area of price reaction.
The trade exhibits a strong risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring a balanced approach to downside potential. With momentum favoring sellers, this setup remains valid as long as the price sustains below the broken support level. A clean follow-through to the downside would confirm further selling pressure.
#EURJPY 1DAYEURJPY (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is moving within an uptrend channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. However, it is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel, where selling pressure may increase. A potential rejection from this resistance area could lead to a short-term bearish move within the channel.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated if the price faces rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a potential pullback toward lower levels within the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the upper boundary of the channel after confirmation of bearish signals.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
Although the overall trend remains bullish, a temporary correction within the channel is possible. Confirmation of rejection at the resistance is essential before entering a sell position to align with market momentum.
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market?
The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements.
Influence Of the Global Events:
The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role:
- Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows.
- Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence.
- Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment.
What Happens When News Is Published?
When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events:
Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations.
Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs.
Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders.
Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend.
Major Events:
Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends.
Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it.
Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble.
GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation.
Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF
One's Loss, Another's Win:
When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro.
For example,
---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop.
---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro.
Key strategies for trading events:
•Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news.
• Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react.
• Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves.
• Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend.
• Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike.
Drawbacks of Trading News:
High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting.
Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs.
Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices.
Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses.
Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases.
In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR/JPY Tests Key Resistance: Breakout or Pullback?EUR/JPY Analysis
Key Resistance Zone:
The price is currently testing a key resistance zone near the 164 level, which has previously acted as a strong barrier. A successful breakout above this zone could signal further bullish momentum.
Rising Trendline Support:
The price has consistently found strong support from the ascending trendline, confirming the overall bullish structure of the market.
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
Approaching the 1.618 resistance on GBPCADGBPCAD is on it's way to reaching the 1.618, we'll see how price reacts to this area but for now, we'll wait and see what price action will do from here on out.
#NZDCHF 2HNZDCHF (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is trading within a defined channel pattern, indicating consistent lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has formed near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong selling pressure and a potential reversal toward the lower boundary.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price reacts to the sell engulfing area near the channel resistance, signaling a likely move toward the channel's support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the high of the sell engulfing candlestick.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of the bearish channel and the sell engulfing pattern indicates strong bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control. Waiting for confirmation ensures alignment with market momentum before entering the trade.
#AUDNZDAUDNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is moving within a well-defined channel, with lower highs and lower lows indicating a bearish structure. Currently, the price is approaching the channel's resistance level, which has historically acted as a strong barrier for upward movements.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price reaches the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel resistance after confirmation of rejection or bearish signals.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The bearish channel structure suggests selling pressure dominates. Waiting for the price to touch the resistance and confirm rejection provides a strategic entry point aligned with the overall trend.
#CHFJPY 4HCHFJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is moving within a downward trend channel, consistently creating lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is near the lower boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic support level. This suggests the potential for a short-term bounce or reversal to the upside.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is anticipated if the price confirms a bounce from the channel's lower boundary, targeting the midline or upper boundary of the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel's lower boundary after confirmation of a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the channel's lower boundary or the recent swing low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or upper boundary of the channel for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The downward trend channel suggests an overall bearish structure, but a temporary bullish move is possible near the channel's support. Confirmation of a bounce is necessary before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAUUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is testing a trendline resistance, which has consistently acted as a strong barrier to upward movements. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick pattern has formed in this area, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential reversal to the downside.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the confluence of trendline resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals a bearish shift in market sentiment.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the trendline resistance or after confirmation of sustained bearish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of the trendline resistance and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish outlook, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Confirmation of continued selling pressure is recommended before entering the trade.
#EURCHF 4HEURCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a rising wedge pattern, which is a bearish reversal setup. This pattern indicates weakening bullish momentum as the price narrows toward the upper boundary. A breakout below the wedge support suggests the potential for a bearish move.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated if the price breaks below the rising wedge support, signaling the start of a downtrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price breaks below the wedge support and confirms the breakout with a retest.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high or the upper boundary of the wedge.
- Take Profit: Target key support levels below or Fibonacci retracement levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The rising wedge pattern suggests bearish sentiment as buying momentum weakens. Waiting for a confirmed breakout and retest ensures a more strategic entry aligned with market direction.
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
#EURNZD 2HEURNZD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing the upper boundary of a channel, which acts as a key resistance level. This indicates a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above and instead respects the resistance.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the channel resistance and confirms rejection, signaling the potential for a move toward the channel's lower boundary.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the channel resistance and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the channel resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or the lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The current price action at the channel resistance indicates a bearish bias, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Waiting for confirmation of a retest ensures a strategic entry aligned with market momentum.
XAUUSD ON A BULLISH TREND PARALLELFX:XAUUSD Good Afternoon trader, my idea for DOGEUSDT. 2H on 17/01/2025.
I think this pair is strong bullish, but i have 2 opinion about this pair ;
1. XAUUSD will bounce up and break the parallel trend to chase the price at 2,743.75 and create support at the price of 2,702
2. XAUUSD will continue to fall after passing Fibonacci 0.618 at the price of 2,699.07 and looking for new support in the 2,691-2,699 price area before continuing the bullish trend.
Lets discuss about this, comment on below
#USDCHF WEEKLYUSDCHF (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing two significant resistance levels: the first being the upper boundary of a channel, and the second a key horizontal resistance zone. Additionally, the formation of a sell engulfing candlestick pattern suggests increased selling pressure at these levels.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the price reacts to the dual resistance zones, with bearish momentum likely to push the price lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the resistance levels or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the second resistance level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or lower boundary of the channel for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The confluence of the channel resistance, horizontal resistance, and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to dominate the market in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market momentum.
