#EURGBP 4HThe EURGBP (4-Hour) chart is showing a support pattern. The price has reached a significant support level where buyers have historically stepped in, preventing further declines.
Key Observations:
- The pair has been moving downwards but is now resting at a strong horizontal support level, formed by previous lows.
- There is a potential for a price rebound from this support, as it has previously acted as a floor, pushing prices higher.
- Signs of consolidation near this support suggest that selling pressure may be weakening.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected as the price holds at this support level, with the anticipation of a bounce or reversal to the upside. Traders should look for bullish confirmation such as a strong reversal candlestick (bullish engulfing pattern) or a momentum indicator turning positive before entering the trade.
Key Levels:
- Support: The horizontal support zone where price is currently resting.
- Resistance: Look for resistance at the recent swing highs as potential targets for the upward move.
Risk Management: Place stop losses below the support zone to protect against potential breakdowns. Initial profit targets can be set at nearby resistance levels or previous highs, depending on the strength of the rebound.
Forexmarket
XAU short term trend predictionGold did not receive support from economic news or data last week but still maintained a stable price.
The US consumer price index in September 2024 did not meet the expected growth rate. The number of unemployment claims in the US increased to 258,000, higher than the forecast of 230,000.
The market is closely watching the next economic reports from the US to predict the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next month.
There is an 80% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November, while there is a 20% chance that interest rates will be kept unchanged. Lowering interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thereby supporting gold prices.
XAU short term trend predictionEconomic events this week that could impact gold include U.S. retail sales data to see if consumer spending continues to be resilient, and the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday. Markets will also be watching the Empire State manufacturing survey, weekly jobless claims, housing starts and U.S. building permits.
#EUR/USD 1DAYEUR/USD DAILY
On the daily chart of EUR/USD, we observe a bearish pattern forming, suggesting potential downward momentum in the near term. The price has been consistently testing a key support level around 1.10400 (specific level based on the chart), where buyers are struggling to maintain control. This support zone may break under strong selling pressure, leading to a continuation of the downtrend.
Key indicators such as moving averages or oscillators might also signal weakening momentum, providing further confirmation of a **sell** forecast. Traders are advised to watch for a decisive break below the support level, as this would signal an opportunity to enter short positions,
Forecast: Sell
Key support** level: 1.10400
Potential downside targets**: 1.0900, 1.0800 & 1.0700
#NAS100 1DAYNAS100 1D Analysis:
On the daily chart, NAS100 is displaying a rising wedge pattern, a bearish formation that suggests the current upward trend may be nearing exhaustion. Additionally, the price action has entered a **bearish engulfing** area, indicating strong selling pressure.
Forecast:
-Sell: With both the rising wedge and the bearish engulfing pattern in play, a sell is anticipated. A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline would confirm the bearish signal, likely leading to further downward movement.
#USOIL 4HUSOIL 4H Analysis:
Currently, USOIL is forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart. This is a bearish reversal pattern, typically indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening.
Forecast:
-Buy: You can consider buying as long as the price remains within the wedge pattern, riding the upward movement.
-Sell: However, if the price breaks down from the lower trendline of the wedge, this would confirm a bearish breakout. A sell position should be considered after this breakdown, as a significant downside move could follow.
EUR/USD: Strong U.S. Data Signals Possible Reversal AheadAs per my market review, I predict that the uptrend of the EUR/USD currency pair is about to be broken (a significant reversal) and so it is likely to decline, especially due to strong U.S. fundamentals. The weekly sweep shows that the price is in a consolidation phase; however, the market has not been able to overcome the resistance zone despite various attempts. Right now, the pair is approaching the low of the previous week, as well as closing a weekly candlestick at the bottom, which increases the risks of further downward movement. The levels of support stand at 1.0949 and 1.0900, with resistances located at 1.1000, 1.1010, and 1.1050. There now remains the question of whether or not the price will close below the 1.0949 support level and if that happens, a deeper move is expected to follow. One extreme scenario is that it is possible to expect a pullback to 1.100 before the bears resume the trend.
#ADAUSD 1DAYADAUSD (Cardano vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 Day (Daily Chart)
Pattern: Uptrend Channel
Description:
The ADAUSD pair is currently exhibiting a well-established **uptrend channel** on the daily chart. This pattern is defined by a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the price consistently moving within two parallel ascending trendlines. The lower trendline serves as dynamic support, while the upper trendline acts as resistance. The price action within this channel indicates that buyers are in control, with bullish momentum driving prices higher over time.
Forecast:
The recommendation is to take a **buy** position, as the price is expected to continue moving upward within the channel. The trend shows strong bullish signals, and unless there is a break below the lower support line, the uptrend should persist. If the price approaches the upper resistance line, it may face some temporary consolidation or correction before continuing higher.
Entry Point: A buy entry is suggested near the lower support of the channel for optimal risk-reward.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the lower support line of the channel to mitigate risks in case of a downward breakout.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target should be set near the upper resistance line of the channel, or you may trail your stop-loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A breakout above the resistance line could signal further upside potential.
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ at Key Level Break Higher or Move Lower✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Key Market Player
We'll break down recent price action and provide insights into potential future trends by analyzing critical market levels.
🚨 Previous Analysis Recap:
In our last review, we anticipated a move higher to break through the Previous Month High (PMH). Although we tapped into this level, there's still potential for price to push further into this zone.
📊 Current Market Overview:
Currently, price movement has slowed after taking out the PMH. On lower timeframes (LTF), there are opportunities to seek short entry setups targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). However, we remain aware that the market may still attempt another leg up, possibly deeper into the PMH region.
🕓 Key Levels to Monitor:
These are the critical zones that could drive price movement:
- PMH: Previous Month High
- PML: Previous Month Low
- PWH: Previous Week High
- PWL: Previous Week Low
- BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
- SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
- Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone)
These levels help identify where price may seek liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) represent areas where the market may retrace before resuming its trend.
⏰ 1Hour Outlook:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish setup, we’ll watch the lower timeframes (LTF) for price to sweep Low Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity (LSSL). Once liquidity is grabbed, we can look for our entry model to target the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL).
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A short setup is viable even now, but the optimal scenario would be to take out Buy-Side Liquidity first. Following that, we’ll watch for entry opportunities on the LTF to achieve better entries and risk-to-reward (R/R) ratios.
📝 Conclusion:
Stay flexible as market conditions evolve. By keeping an eye on these key levels and potential setups, you can refine your strategy and spot high-probability opportunities.
🔮 Looking Ahead:
Keep following as we monitor NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Expect timely updates as trends unfold.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#XAGUSD 4HXAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) pair on the 4-hour chart is showing a support pattern, indicating that the price is holding firm at a particular level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
Pattern Description:
The market seems to have established a solid support level, where downward momentum is being halted. After a period of selling pressure, the price has tested and bounced off this support zone multiple times, signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. This consistent defense suggests that a reversal might be imminent, as the market sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish.
Forecast:
Given the strength of the support level, the current outlook is bullish, with a potential move to the upside. The price is likely to break higher as buying momentum gathers strength. This makes it a favorable opportunity to buy, targeting the next resistance levels. However, it's important to keep an eye on any additional price action and volume confirmation before entering the trade.
Key Indicators:
- Strong support
- Price consolidating near support, indicating indecision before a potential breakout.
- RSI and other momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, supporting the bullish forecast.
Recommendation:
Consider entering a buy position near the support level, with a stop-loss placed just below the support zone to manage risk effectively. Potential price targets could be set at key resistance areas above.
#NZD/USD 1DAYNZD/USD 1D – Support Turned Resistance
On the daily chart of the NZD/USD pair, a significant **support-turned-resistance** pattern has been identified. This is a bearish continuation signal, suggesting that the price is likely to move lower after retesting a previous support level, which is now acting as resistance.
#Pattern Overview:
-Support Becomes Resistance (SBR): After a breakdown below a key support level, the price has retraced to retest this level. What was once support has now turned into a resistance zone, confirming the bearish outlook.
#Forecast:
-Sell Signal: The forecast indicates a sell opportunity as the price is expected to reject the newly formed resistance level and resume its downward trend. This type of setup often leads to further declines in the price.
### Trading Strategy:
-Entry Point: Enter a sell position when the price fails to break above the resistance level (previous support) and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlesticks or other technical confirmations).
Targets: The initial target for the downside move would be the next significant support level below the current price. Look for price action lows or Fibonacci extensions for potential target areas.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above the resistance level to protect against any potential bullish breakout that might invalidate the bearish setup.
This pattern indicates a continuation of the bearish trend in NZD/USD, with selling opportunities emerging as the previous support level now acts as a resistance barrier.
#AUD/USD 1HAUD/USD 1H – Falling Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour chart is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern indicates that the price, currently in a downtrend, may soon reverse and move higher.
#Pattern Overview:
-Falling Wedge: The pattern is defined by two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. The price moves within this narrowing range as selling pressure weakens over time, which often leads to a bullish breakout.
#Forecast:
-Buy Signal: The anticipated move is a breakout above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge. This breakout is considered a strong buy signal, suggesting the price will move upward as the bearish momentum fades.
#Trading Strategy:
- *Entry Point: Enter a buy position when the price decisively breaks out of the wedge and closes above the resistance line.
- Targets: Initial targets for the move upward could be based on nearby resistance levels or prior price action highs.
-Stop Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low inside the wedge, ensuring protection in case of a false breakout.
This setup points to a buying opportunity upon breakout, as the AUD/USD pair is likely to climb after confirming the bullish reversal.
#GBP/AUD 1HThe **GBP/AUD** 1-hour chart is displaying a **channel pattern**, where price is moving between parallel support and resistance levels. This is indicative of a market in a range-bound state, with the price respecting both the upper (resistance) and lower (support) boundaries of the channel.
### Forecast: Sell When Touching Resistance
In this scenario, the forecast is to initiate a **sell position** when the price reaches the upper boundary (resistance) of the channel. The key elements to consider for this setup are:
1. **Channel Structure**: The price is consistently oscillating between a well-defined resistance and support zone. The resistance level represents a strong selling zone where price struggles to break through.
2. **Trend and Momentum**: Momentum tends to weaken when the price approaches resistance, leading to reversals back toward the support line. This offers a potential short-selling opportunity.
3. **Risk Management**: A stop-loss order should be placed just above the resistance level in case of a breakout, while profit targets can be set near the lower boundary (support).
It’s essential to confirm the sell signal by observing price action near resistance and looking for reversal patterns, such as bearish candlestick formations, or divergences in momentum indicators.
#GBP/JPY 4HThe GBP/JPY 4-hour chart is showing the formation of a triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation or consolidation pattern. This pattern suggests that the market is experiencing a period of indecision, as buyers and sellers battle for control. In this case, we are seeing lower highs and higher lows converging into the apex of the triangle, indicating that the price is squeezing into a tighter range.
Forecast: Sell
Given the overall market sentiment and technical analysis, a **bearish breakout** from this triangle pattern is anticipated. If the price breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle, it could signal a strong selling opportunity. Key factors supporting this sell forecast include:
1. Downtrend Continuation: If the previous trend was bearish, a breakout to the downside aligns with the continuation of that trend.
2. Volume: A spike in volume upon the breakout is expected to confirm the sell signal.
3. Key Support Levels: Watch for the price to test and potentially break key support levels after the breakout.
It's important to set proper risk management levels, including stop-loss orders just above the upper trendline in case of a false breakout, and to monitor the market for any significant news events that may impact the currency pair.
short term trading strategy for goldWorld gold prices rose again to around $2,640/ounce. High inflation data may cause the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates at a low level at its upcoming meeting in November. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is expecting an 84.9% chance that the Fed will cut 25 basis points at its November meeting.
Peter A. Grant, Vice President and Senior Metals Strategist at Zaner Metals, predicts that gold prices may soon reach $2,700/ounce and even $3,000/ounce as safe-haven demand continues to increase. Some other experts also expect gold prices to continue to increase in the near future due to global economic and geopolitical instability. Despite the pressure from US interest rate fluctuations and geopolitical tensions, precious metals are still a safe choice for long-term investors.
Swiss bank UBS predicts that the ongoing easing of monetary policy, not only by the Fed but also by other central banks globally, will continue to support gold prices.
#CADCHF 1DAYOn the CAD/CHF daily chart, the price has reached a critical support level. This level represents an area where the price has historically found buying interest, preventing further declines. The support zone indicates a potential bullish reversal as buyers step in to defend this level.
Forecast: Buy
A buy opportunity is expected as the price holds at the support level. Traders may consider entering a long position if the price remains above support, with potential targets set at nearby resistance zones. It's important to confirm that the support holds, as a breakdown below this level could negate the bullish outlook.
#EURJPY 1DAYOn the EUR/JPY daily chart, the price is testing a significant resistance level. This area has historically acted as a barrier, where selling pressure increases, preventing the price from moving higher. The resistance level suggests that the current uptrend may stall or reverse, creating a potential opportunity for sellers.
Forecast: Sell
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price approaches the resistance zone. Traders may consider entering a short position if the price is rejected from this level, with a downside target toward previous support areas. It is essential to wait for confirmation of the price failing to break above resistance to avoid false breakouts.
#GBPUSD 4HOn the GBP/USD 1-hour chart, the price has bounced off a key support level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The support bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further decline and possibly initiating an upward move.
Forecast: Buy
A buy opportunity is expected as the price rebounds from support. Traders may consider entering a long position with the anticipation that the price will move higher, targeting nearby resistance levels. It’s important to monitor price action for confirmation that the support is holding, as a breakdown below the level could invalidate the buy setup.
#GBPAUD 1HOn the GBP/AUD 1-hour chart, the price is currently testing a channel resistance level. This resistance is part of a parallel channel where the price has been moving between support and resistance lines. The channel resistance marks an area where sellers typically emerge, halting further upward movement and pushing the price lower.
Forecast: Sell
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price approaches the upper boundary of the channel. Traders may consider entering a short position if the price is rejected from this resistance line, with a potential downside move towards the channel's support level. It's crucial to wait for confirmation of rejection at the resistance before executing the trade to avoid false breakouts.
#AUDUSD 1HOn the AUD/USD 1-hour chart, the price has reached a key support level. This level represents an area where buying interest has previously stepped in, preventing further declines in price. The support zone indicates a potential reversal point, as the selling pressure may weaken and buyers could start to dominate.
Forecast: Buy
Given the strong support level, a buy opportunity is anticipated. Traders may consider entering a long position if the price holds above this support, with a potential upside toward nearby resistance levels. It's important to monitor the price action closely for confirmation that the support is holding before executing the trade.
Gold prices plummet after CPI newsGold is currently trading around $2,608 an ounce, down 1.7% this week. This is largely due to rising US Treasury yields, which have dampened expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 50 basis points.
Minutes of the Fed's recent meeting showed that Chairman Jerome Powell faced some opposition to the rate cut in September. Some officials expressed that the rate cut should be smaller than the 50 basis points. Separately, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Wednesday that monetary policy easing should be done at a slower pace after last month's cut.
Markets are awaiting CPI data due later Thursday. If inflation continues to decline, this will support the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the near future.
#GBPCAD 1DAY#GBPCAD 1-Day Forecast Sell based on a Trendline Breakdown
On the daily chart for #GBPCAD, we are witnessing a bearish trendline breakdown, signaling a potential sell opportunity. The price has consistently respected a key upward trendline, but recent price action has seen a decisive break below this level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Key Insights:
1. Trendline Breakdown:
- After a prolonged period of following an upward trendline, the price has now broken below this support, confirming the loss of bullish momentum.
- This breakdown marks the beginning of a potential downward trend, with increased selling pressure.
2. Bearish Momentum:
- Following the breakdown, the price is showing signs of bearish momentum, with lower highs and lower lows forming, reinforcing the potential for further downside.
- Confirmation of this sell signal can be strengthened by bearish candlestick formations, such as engulfing or rejection patterns near the trendline.
3. Volume Confirmation:
- A rise in volume during the trendline breakdown adds credibility to the sell signal, showing stronger participation from sellers.
4. Stop-Loss Considerations:
- For a sell trade, place a stop-loss above the broken trendline, in case of a false breakdown or a sudden reversal.
#Trading Strategy:
-Entry: Look for short positions after confirming the breakdown with a retest or strong bearish price action below the trendline.
-Take Profit: Target lower support levels or previous swing lows as potential profit zones.
-Stop Loss: Place stop-loss above the broken trendline to limit risk if the price reverses back above the trendline.
This technical analysis highlights a sell bias on #GBPCAD for the daily timeframe, with a strong signal from the trendline breakdown suggesting further downside potential.
#XAUUSD 30MIN#XAUUSD 30-Minute Forecast Sell with an Order Block Pattern
On the 30-minute chart for #XAUUSD, we are seeing a shift in momentum towards a downward trend, signaling a potential sell opportunity. Price action has broken key levels, and the market is now favoring bearish sentiment. We are closely watching **two order block areas** for further downside continuation.
#Key Insights:
1. Order Block Pattern:
- The price has moved into an identified bearish order block, an area where large institutions or traders have placed significant sell orders in the past.
- These areas often act as resistance, with the potential to push the price lower once retested.
2. Momentum Shift:
- The recent price action indicates that bullish momentum has weakened, with sellers now gaining control of the market. This shift supports a sell bias.
3. Continuation Areas:
- We are monitoring two critical areas within the order block for further price rejection. If the price fails to break above these zones, it confirms a strong bearish continuation.
4. **Volume Confirmation**: Increased volume near these order block zones would strengthen the sell scenario, as it confirms stronger participation from sellers.
5.Stop-Loss Considerations: For a short trade, placing a stop-loss above the order block area is recommended to protect against potential bullish reversals.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry: Look for sell signals near the identified order block areas with confirmation from bearish price action (e.g., rejection candlesticks or lower highs).
-Take Profit: Target lower support levels as potential areas to take profit.
-Stop Loss: Set stop-loss above the order block areas to manage risk in case of a bullish breakout.
This analysis highlights the potential for bearish continuation in #XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe, with focus on the identified order block areas for monitoring price action and sell entries.