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XAU stands firm in the face of world politicsWorld gold prices are under great pressure in the context of the unstable world political situation. Domestically, the price of gold rings has increased sharply compared to gold bars - experts recommend that investors should be cautious when buying if the goal is to invest for profit, because the risk is high. World gold prices are under pressure to decrease due to profit-taking activities and the USD has increased quite strongly again. Gold prices also decreased because investors were cautious before the US economy announced important figures. These figures are believed to be able to provide clues about the scale of the interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) expected to take place at the end of the year. In addition, the USD's increase has also pulled money back to the greenback.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
Bullish Bias Supported by Key Market Factors on 04/10/2024 on UJUSD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Bias Supported by Key Market Factors on 04/10/2024 Today, USD/JPY shows potential for a slightly bullish bias due to a confluence of fundamental factors driving USD strength against the Japanese yen. Key drivers, including strong US economic data, a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, and the Bank of Japan’s accommodative policy, are reinforcing positive sentiment around USD/JPY. This article outlines the factors that could support the USD/JPY bullish outlook in today’s trading session, helping traders anticipate potential market movements and leverage these insights in their strategies. 1. Strong US Economic Data Boosts Dollar Demand The US economy has shown resilience with recent data releases indicating solid growth. Reports on employment, consumer spending, and manufacturing output have exceeded expectations, showcasing sustained economic strength. These data points are bolstering demand for the USD, with traders positioning themselves for potential further gains in USD/JPY. The strong economic indicators align with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and reinforce USD appeal. 2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Policy Outlook The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish outlook, with officials signaling a commitment to higher interest rates to curb inflation. This stance increases the yield differential between the US dollar and the Japanese yen, as Japan’s Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-low interest rate policy. With a higher expected return on USD holdings, USD/JPY sees further upward pressure, attracting buyers and reinforcing a bullish perspective. 3. Dovish Bank of Japan Policy Limits Yen Appeal The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has retained its dovish policy stance, focusing on stimulus and maintaining low interest rates to encourage economic growth. This stance contrasts starkly with the Federal Reserve's hawkish approach, which benefits the USD/JPY pair. With the BoJ’s commitment to accommodative measures, the yen’s appeal remains limited, creating favorable conditions for a bullish USD/JPY outlook today. 4. Technical Analysis Suggests Upward Momentum Technical indicators align with the fundamentals, signaling a possible continuation of upward momentum for USD/JPY. The currency pair has recently tested and bounced off significant support levels, with indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages suggesting bullish momentum. With USD/JPY trading above key moving averages, the technical setup points towards further bullish potential in the near term. Conclusion: Bullish Bias for USD/JPY on 04/10/2024 Given today’s USD/JPY analysis, the factors of a strong US economy, the Fed's hawkish outlook, the Bank of Japan's dovish stance, and supporting technical indicators create a bullish bias for the pair. Traders should monitor these factors closely as they continue to influence USD/JPY dynamics throughout the trading session. Keywords: USD/JPY analysis, bullish bias, US dollar strength, Japanese yen, Federal Reserve hawkish policy, Bank of Japan dovish stance, USD/JPY technical analysis, forex market, USD/JPY trading insights, USD/JPY bullish trend, USD/JPY 04/10/2024.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPAUD potential drop and continuation of the down trendGBPAUD has been respecting the upward trendline for over a month but now appears poised to break through, potentially triggering a significant sell-off. On the daily timeframe, the price action looks quite bearish. The formation of a consolidation zone just above the trendline suggests the market is preparing for a potential breakout. Consequently, the market could drop from this resistance zone toward lower levels. The target is the support level at 1.93080
Short
by RTED_Investing
4
DreamAnalysis | US30 On the Edge Don’t Miss These Key Levels!✨ Today’s Focus: A Critical Asset in the Market – US30 (Dow Jones) We’re diving into its recent price action and breaking down what might come next, based on key market levels. 📊 Current Market Overview: After a strong expansion upward, marking the Previous Month High (PMH), US30 is now gradually retracing lower. The price has formed Equal Highs (EQH) on the buy side and sits near the Previous Week Low (PWL) on the sell side. Let’s explore how these levels shape both bullish and bearish scenarios. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Here are the crucial zones we’re monitoring: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) These levels represent key areas where price might accumulate liquidity or retrace for order collection. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are potential zones for the market to rebalance before continuing its trend. 📈 Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish bias and seek long positions, we need to see Sell-Side Liquidity cleared. The nearest target is the Previous Week Low (PWL), a critical SSL level. Once price dips below it, we can look for entries on lower timeframes (LTF) and target the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For a bearish play, we’re watching the Equal Highs (EQH) on the buy side. If the price takes these out, we’ll look for lower-timeframe entry models and aim to target Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). 📝 Conclusion: As always, adaptability is key. Keep an eye on these critical levels to refine your strategy and identify potential opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Stay tuned for updates as we track NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends develop. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by DreamAnalysis
#AUDUSD 4HAUD/USD 4-Hour Chart Forecast: The AUD/USD pair is showing bullish potential on the 4-hour chart, signaling a buy opportunity. The price action appears to be testing a key resistance level, which, if broken, could lead to further upside movement. Key factors supporting the buy forecast: Resistance Breakout: The pair is challenging a significant resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above this level would likely trigger strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to new highs in the short term. Bullish Pattern Formation: The chart may be forming a bullish technical pattern, such as an ascending triangle or inverse head and shoulders, which often indicates an impending breakout. Momentum Indicators: Technical indicators like the RSI or MACD might be showing bullish divergence or a breakout above key levels, reinforcing the potential for further gains. Traders looking to take advantage of the buy opportunity should watch for a confirmed breakout above the resistance level before entering the trade. Stop-loss orders can be placed below the breakout level or recent swing lows to manage risk. Profit targets should be set at key resistance levels or prior highs. Monitoring for any failure to break resistance is essential, but overall, the technical outlook supports a buy strategy for AUD/USD on the 4-hour chart.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#EURAUD 1 DAYEUR/AUD 1-Day Chart Forecast: The EUR/AUD pair on the 1-day chart is showing signs of bearish momentum, presenting a potential sell opportunity. The market appears to be in a downtrend, with price action favoring further declines in the short to medium term. Here are the key factors supporting the sell forecast: Downtrend Continuation: The pair is likely respecting a downward trendline or consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong selling pressure. Bearish Indicators: Technical indicators such as the RSI or MACD could be signaling bearish divergence or oversold conditions, confirming the potential for continued downside movement. Key Resistance Levels: The pair may have recently bounced off a key resistance zone, providing an attractive entry point for short positions. Traders considering a sell trade should place stop-loss orders above recent swing highs to manage risk, while targeting previous support levels as potential take-profit areas. Monitoring the market for any signs of trend exhaustion or reversal is crucial, but overall, the **technical outlook favors a sell strategy for EUR/AUD on the 1-day chart.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#CADJPY 1HCAD/JPY 1-Hour Chart Forecast The CAD/JPY pair is showing **bullish potential** on the 1-hour chart, suggesting an opportunity to enter a **buy trade**. The pair may have been experiencing upward momentum, with key technical indicators pointing toward continued strength. The following key elements support the buy forecast: Uptrend Formation: The pair is likely respecting an upward trendline or breaking above recent resistance, indicating strong buying pressure. Momentum Indicators: Oscillators such as the RSI or MACD may confirm bullish momentum, signaling that there is room for further upside. Support Levels: The pair could be bouncing off a key support zone, offering an attractive entry point for buyers looking to ride the trend higher. Traders looking to enter a buy trade should consider setting stop-loss orders below recent swing lows to manage risk in case of a pullback. Targeting previous highs or key resistance levels is recommended as potential take-profit areas. Keeping an eye on any shifts in sentiment or market conditions is essential, but overall, the technical picture supports a **buy forecast** for CAD/JPY in the short term.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
XAU slightly increased after a sharp decline in the previous sesWorld gold regains momentum World gold prices recorded a slight increase of 2,636 USD/ounce, showing a recovery compared to the previous session. In the previous trading session, the price had fallen to 2,629.5 USD/ounce due to pressure from the signal of a moderate pace in the Fed's next interest rate easing cycle. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at the annual meeting of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), emphasizing that the economy is in a solid state and the Fed will continue to carefully evaluate input data when considering the next policy adjustment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
XAU drops to record low after Fed newsThe global XAU price has retreated from a recent record high on September 30, but is still set for its biggest quarterly gain in more than eight years on geopolitical tensions and a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. Investors are looking ahead to this week’s US jobs report and non-farm payrolls data due later this week. Bullion’s gains on Monday were limited by some profit-taking and a boost in risk sentiment after Chinese stocks were poised for their best day in 16 years, analysts said.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
DreamAnalysis | EURUSD Approaching Key Levels – Big Moves Ahead!✨ Today’s Focus: A Critical Asset in the Market – EUR/USD We'll break down its recent price movements and provide insights on what to expect next, based on key market levels. 📊 Current Market Overview: EUR/USD is showing notable upward momentum, with price targeting buy-side liquidity. Recent sweeps include the Previous Month High (PMH), and price is now nearing the Previous Week High (PWH). A potential sweep of this level is expected, but overall, the outlook remains bearish, suggesting a move lower to target sell-side liquidity. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Here are the essential zones we’re tracking: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap (a potential retracement zone) - Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) These levels mark critical areas where price may accumulate liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) highlight zones where the market may retrace to collect orders before continuing its trend. 📈 Bullish Scenario: Although we don't see immediate triggers on higher time frames (HTF), lower time frames (LTF) present potential opportunities. A better entry may emerge after a sweep of higher time frame sell-side liquidity (SSL), leading to a long setup targeting the Previous Week High (PWH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: On lower time frames (LTF), a valid entry model could play out to target sell-side liquidity. Key levels to watch include Relative Equal Lows, the Previous Week Low (PWL), and potentially a tap into the Daily Imbalance for further downside. 📝 Conclusion: As always, remain adaptable to changing market conditions. Monitoring these key levels and scenarios will sharpen your strategy and help identify opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Stay tuned for updates as we continue to monitor NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends unfold. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by DreamAnalysis
Gold is being supported to increase in price from many sides.Notably, the US manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for September fell short of forecasts and the previous month. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for August fell sharply from 2.5% in July to 2.2% year-over-year. The PCE price index for August also fell from 0.2% to 0.1%. Personal spending fell sharply from 0.5% in July to 0.2%. Personal income also fell from a 0.3% increase in July to 0.2% in August, below the forecast of 0.4%. The PCE index is a measure of inflation based on changes in personal consumption and is used by the Fed as its preferred indicator of inflation. Personal spending can reflect consumer optimism.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD 1-Hour Chart Analysis Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Focus on Selling at Pullbacks Forecast: Sell Outlook for Next Week: Good Luck On the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar), the market is exhibiting a bearish bias, with sellers maintaining control over price direction. Given this downward pressure, the strategy revolves around selling at pullbacks. Pullbacks represent short-term upward retracements that offer opportunities to enter short positions before the price resumes its decline in line with the prevailing bearish trend. Key resistance levels, previous support zones that have turned into resistance, or Fibonacci retracement levels will serve as optimal points to watch for potential pullback reversals. These pullbacks provide traders with better entry prices for their short positions, maximizing the potential for profit while minimizing risk. Actionable Insight: Traders should patiently wait for price pullbacks towards resistance areas or key retracement levels. Once price action shows signs of weakening bullish momentum, these points can serve as entry zones for selling. Stop-loss orders should be placed above resistance levels or the highs of the retracement to protect against potential reversals. Look for confirmation patterns such as bearish candlesticks or momentum indicators to validate entry decisions. Good Luck for the Next Week: Stick to the plan, and may your trades align with the bearish trend for a profitable outcome!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
#USDCHF 1HUSDCHF 1-Hour Chart Analysis Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Focus on Selling at Pullbacks Forecast: Sell Outlook for Next Week:Good Luck On the 1-hour chart of USDCHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc), the market bias remains bearish, indicating downward pressure on the pair. In this context, the focus will be on identifying short opportunities during pullbacks. Pullbacks are temporary moves against the prevailing downtrend, offering traders favorable entry points to initiate sell positions before the trend resumes. Identifying key resistance levels during these pullbacks, such as previous support turned resistance or Fibonacci retracement levels, will provide strategic points for short entries. These pullbacks often present opportunities to sell at better prices within the overall bearish momentum. Actionable Insight: Traders should wait for price pullbacks to resistance zones and look for signs of weakening bullish momentum to enter sell positions. It's important to manage risk by placing stop-loss orders above resistance or retracement highs to safeguard against potential reversals. Watch for confirmation signals like candlestick patterns or technical indicators to solidify the bearish continuation before committing to a trade. Good Luck for the Next Week: Stay sharp, and may your trades follow the trend profitably!
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
4
#GBPJPY 1HGBPJPY 1-Hour Chart Analysis Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Focus on Selling at Pullbacks Forecast: Sell Outlook for Next Week: Good Luck On the 1-hour chart of GBPJPY (British Pound/Japanese Yen), the market is showing a clear bearish bias, with sellers in control of the overall price direction. In this environment, the primary strategy will be to focus on selling opportunities during pullbacks. These pullbacks are temporary upward movements that retrace part of the decline before the bearish trend continues. By identifying key resistance levels and zones where price retraces, traders can prepare to enter short positions when the upward retracement weakens and the price resumes its downward move. This approach aims to capitalize on the prevailing downward momentum while avoiding entering trades at potential lows. Actionable Insight: Traders should be patient and vigilant for signs of pullbacks towards resistance levels or Fibonacci retracement zones. Once price hits these areas and shows signs of resuming its bearish trend, it can provide an optimal entry point for a sell trade. Using tight stop-loss orders above resistance areas or retracement highs can help manage risk effectively. Good Luck for the Next Week: Stay disciplined, and may your trading week be successful!
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#NAS100USD 1HNAS100USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Sell Focus on Pullbacks Forecast: Sell Outlook for Next Week: Good Luck On the 1-hour chart of NAS100USD (NASDAQ 100 Index), the market bias is strongly bearish, indicating a downward trend in price action. Given this bearish environment, the strategy focuses on looking for opportunities to sell during pullbacks. Pullbacks are temporary reversals in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend, offering entry points for short positions before the market resumes its downward movement. By identifying areas of resistance and key levels during these pullbacks, traders can time their entries more effectively, taking advantage of price retracements before the bearish momentum reasserts itself. Actionable Insight: Traders should be patient and wait for pullbacks or retracements towards resistance levels or prior support-turned-resistance zones to initiate sell positions. It’s crucial to monitor these levels closely, as a failure to respect them could signal a potential shift in trend. Proper risk management, such as stop-loss placement above resistance areas, is essential to mitigate losses in case of unexpected market movements. Good Luck for the Next Week: Stay focused, and may your trades be profitable!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER