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Market next move 1. Bearish Rejection from Resistance Disruption: The price has struggled to break above the 3,240–3,250 area multiple times. This could indicate strong resistance. Implication: If the price fails again, we may see a rejection and a move down towards the 3,180–3,160 support range instead of a bullish breakout. --- 2. Volume Analysis Caution Disruption: The volume during recent upward moves is not significantly higher than the downswings. Implication: Weak buying volume might not support a strong breakout, suggesting a fakeout could occur. --- 3. False Breakout Possibility Disruption: A possible fake breakout above the red box might lure in buyers before a reversal. Implication: Watch for a "bull trap" where the price briefly breaks up and then reverses sharply downward. --- 4. Macro Events Ahead Disruption: The timing (around May 20) could align with macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed minutes, CPI, etc.). Implication: News can trigger volatility and negate technical expectations. --- 5. RSI or Momentum Indicators? Disruption: Without checking RSI or other momentum indicators, the analysis might lack confirmation. Implication: Overbought/oversold conditions could shift the bias unexpectedly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next move Disruption Analysis: Bearish Risk Perspective 1. Sideways Consolidation (Red Box Zone): The price is consolidating in a tight range between roughly 32.20 and 32.40, showing indecision and potential for either a breakout or breakdown. Repeated rejections near the top of this box can signal exhaustion of buying pressure. 2. Volume Observation: There’s no strong volume surge indicating accumulation; volume appears mixed and doesn't strongly support a bullish breakout. A potential fakeout risk exists if the price spikes above the consolidation range only to fall back in (bull trap). 3. Potential Bearish Breakdown: If the price breaks below the red box, especially under 32.20, it could trigger stop-losses and initiate a short-term bearish trend. First downside target: 32.00 psychological level, followed by 31.80 support from previous lows. 4. Wick Rejection on Top: The recent candles inside the box show long upper wicks — signs of selling pressure at higher levels.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next move Bearish Disruption Perspective: 1. Failure to Break Above Supply Price is struggling near 32.40–32.50, a visible resistance area from prior swing highs. Repeated rejections here can signal seller strength or profit-taking. 2. Exhaustion Patterns The price is forming sideways consolidation (highlighted in red). A failure to break upward from this box and a false breakout wick would suggest buyer exhaustion. 3. Bearish Breakdown Scenario If price breaks below the red box support (~32.30), this range could flip into resistance. A clean drop below 32.30 would likely open the path toward 32.00 and potentially 31.80. 4. Volume Spike on Red Candle Volume on red bars (10.64K) suggests aggressive selling pressure creeping in. Watch for confirmation if next candles close red with high volume.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Next target Bearish Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk Price is hovering near the recent highs but hasn’t made a convincing higher high. A fakeout above 32.42 followed by a sharp rejection could trap buyers and trigger a sell-off. 2. Exhaustion at Resistance The current level (~32.33–32.42) was a previous distribution zone on May 13–14. Low volume follow-through may indicate weak buying interest, increasing the odds of a reversal. 3. Bearish Divergence (Potential) If RSI or MACD shows lower highs while price pushes up, that’s a bearish divergence—a common reversal signal. (You’d need to check indicators for confirmation.) 4. Support Flip to Resistance If the price breaks back below the red box (~32.25), the same zone could act as resistance, turning into a supply zone. 5. Volume Clue Volume appears lower during the recent bullish attempts, hinting at buyer fatigue. Higher volume on red candles would validate a bearish shift.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Silver next move Weak Demand Zone Bounce The current price action shows only a minor bounce from the demand zone. A lack of strong bullish candles or volume confirmation may indicate weak buying interest. 2. Lower High Structure The chart appears to be forming lower highs, suggesting a possible downtrend continuation. If price fails to break the recent swing high near 32.70, bears might gain control. 3. Volume Concern Recent bullish candles have decreasing volume, while the latest red candle has higher volume—this could signal a bearish divergence. 4. Bearish Trap Possibility The current consolidation above support might turn into a distribution zone, leading to a fake breakout downward.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold next move The price is currently at a prior resistance level (~3,229) which may act as a supply zone. The market has already failed to break above this level multiple times in the past, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Volume Divergence If we analyze the volume at the most recent peaks, there's a possibility of lower buying volume despite higher prices—this could signal weakening bullish momentum. 3. False Breakout Risk The chart suggests a possible pullback to the red demand zone before continuation. However, if the price fakes out into the zone and fails to hold above ~3,210, this could trigger a deeper selloff. 4. Double Top Formation Risk There appears to be a potential double top pattern around 3,250–3,260, which may signal a bearish reversal if neckline support (~3,210) is broken. 5. Macroeconomic Influence Unless supported by strong fundamentals (e.g., dovish Fed signals, rising inflation), any bullish breakout might lack fuel to sustain a rally beyond resistance. Disruptive Bearish Scenario: Price breaks below the red demand zone (~3,210). Retests it as resistance. Targets the next major support zone near 3,175–3,180.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation) • Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence). • Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip. ⸻ 2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce • Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down. • Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone. ⸻ 3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure • Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context. • Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly. ⸻ 4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally • Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case. • Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support. ⸻ 5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break • Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move. • Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
EURUSD NEXT MOVE. BIG FALL SOON Overreliance on Double Top Resistance Disruption: The “Double Top Resistance” at around 1.13600 may not be reliable unless confirmed by volume or reversal patterns. It’s only touched twice and could also be part of a broader consolidation range. Counterpoint: If buyers are still showing strength near resistance (as seen in volume spikes), this might signal an eventual breakout rather than a strong rejection. 2. Support Zones Too Close Disruption: The “Support” and “Strong Support” levels are relatively close (about 30-40 pips apart). This could reduce the predictive value of the support levels, especially in a volatile market like forex Alternative: A single, broader support zone with a midpoint could provide a more flexible analysis. Downtrend Line Interpretation Disruption: The downward trendline assumes continued bearish pressure. However, the price has been forming higher lows, suggesting a possible trend shift Alternative Perspective: If price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish bias 4. Volume Ignored in Prediction Path Disruption: The prediction path in light blue doesn’t incorporate volume behavior. Without volume confirmation, price movement patterns can be misleading Improvement: Use volume at key resistance/support areas to validate breakouts or rejections 5. Lack of Fundamental Context • Disruption: The chart is entirely technical. Upcoming economic data (like ECB or Fed announcements) could drastically change market behavior, rendering technical patterns ineffective.
Long
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias 1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram. This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation. 2. Oversold Market Conditions Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion. A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187. 3. Failed Breakdown Possibility Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap. If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap. 4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading. If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement. 5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles. Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown. Alternative Bullish Scenario If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be: 3,293 (Resistance) Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
GOLD UPWARD SOONThis chart showcases a liquidity grab followed by a potential bullish reaction in Gold (XAU/USD). Key Technical Highlights: - Resistance Zone: Clearly defined around the 3,370 level, where price has consistently faced rejection. - Support Level: Identified near the 3,220–3,230 zone, which was recently swept to collect liquidity. - Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below support to trigger stop-losses before rebounding, signaling a possible bullish reversal. Projected Move: The chart suggests a bounce toward the next target at 3251.225, aligning with a previously broken support now turned resistance. If momentum sustains, further upside could be explored toward the mid-supply zone. Summary: The recent liquidity sweep hints at a potential short-term bullish move, with a target retracement to 3251.225. Traders should monitor price reaction at that level for confirmation or rejection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai