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Market Cycles ExampleEarlier this morning I was working with a student covering the 3 main types of market cycles in FOREX and I figured I would share it. Using USD/JPY 4hr as an example, you can see three differently colored zones. Green/Red reference bullish and bearish price action. The blue zones represent consolidation. Price action is defined as, "basic movements of the price, to generate signals of entry and exit in trades and that stands out for its reliability and for not requiring the use of indicators". Price action is simply how prices change - the action of price. It mostly relates to the pure psychological intention of the majority of traders (Bulls vs. Bears). Consolidation zones (blue) occur simply because buyers and sellers within the market are in agreement. You will see much less volatility and liquidity during times of consolidation. We use this to our advantage with the strategy we have developed, by looking for secondary retests at the bottom or top of areas where consolidation has previously occurred to predict price action before it happens. I suggest that you pull up a 4hr chart and begin to back test by drawing the three types of zones to get more aquatinted with being able to spot these out. This will help you always maintain awareness of which current state the pair you are trading or analyzing is in. 03:05:59 (UTC) Sat Jan 4, 2020
by TayFx
15
Example of an Ascending Broadening WedgeThe ascending broadening wedge is considered to be a reversal pattern, and is bearish in nature. Though the pattern is typically a signal of reversal, continuation of the uptrend is still possible. When present as a continuation pattern, the wedge will still slope to the upside, but the up-slope will typically be found as a pullback within a downtrend. When present as a reversal, the pattern will slope to the upside within an uptrend. Regardless of continuation or reversal, ascending broadening wedges are always bearish in nature. All information and material is for educational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. 01:22:09 (UTC) Sat Jan 4, 2020
by TayFx
7
10's & 03's to invert again in 2020?FRED:FEDFUNDS 01:37:23 (UTC) Fri Jan 3, 2020 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ This is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Seek a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not responsible for losses or gains that may or may not occur in the marketplace. Forex carries a high level of risk not suitable for all investors.
TVC:US10YShort
by TayFx
1
Inverted Head & Shoulder Patterns can be profitable (+145 pips)This pattern has four main sequential steps for it to complete itself and signal the reversal: 1. The left shoulder is formed when the currency pair reaches a new high and then retraces slightly to a new low. 2. The formation of the head occurs when the currency pair reaches a higher high then falls back near the low that was formed as part of the left shoulder. 3. The right shoulder is formed with a high that is slightly lower than the high formed in the head but is again followed by a fall back to the lows of the left shoulder. 4. The price then breaks the neckline/trend-line. In other words, price falls below support going on to break the level of the three lows created by the previous head and left shoulder. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ No part of this book may be reproduced or used in any manner without written permission of the copyright owners except for the use of quotations in a book review. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, trade discussions, or other information contained on this website are educational in nature and merely provided as a presentation of trading strategies. Commentaries made on this website reflect our own opinions and trading techniques and do not constitute investment advice. All information and material is for educational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. I'm not a registered investment advisor. 02:19:27 ( UTC ) Thu Jan 2, 2020
Long
by TayFx
Take advantage of institutionalization Commercial & Investment Banks The greatest volume of currency is traded in the interbank market. This is where banks of all sizes trade currency with each other and through electronic networks. Big banks account for a large percentage of total currency volume trades. Banks facilitate forex transactions for clients and conduct speculative trades from their own trading desks. When banks act as dealers for clients, the bid-ask spread represents the bank's profits. Speculative currency trades are executed to profit on currency fluctuations. Currencies can also provide diversification to a portfolio mix. Central Banks Central banks, which represent their nation's government, are extremely important players in the forex market. Open market operations and interest rate policies of central banks influence currency rates to a very large extent. A central bank is responsible for fixing the price of its native currency on forex. This is the exchange rate regime by which its currency will trade in the open market. Exchange rate regimes are divided into floating, fixed and pegged types. Any action taken by a central bank in the forex market is done to stabilize or increase the competitiveness of that nation's economy. Central banks (as well as speculators) may engage in currency interventions to make their currencies appreciate or depreciate. For example, a central bank may weaken its own currency by creating additional supply during periods of long deflationary trends, which is then used to purchase foreign currency. This effectively weakens the domestic currency, making exports more competitive in the global market. Central banks use these strategies to calm inflation. Their doing so also serves as a long-term indicator for forex traders. Investment Managers and Hedge Funds Portfolio managers, pooled funds and hedge funds make up the second-biggest collection of players in the forex market next to banks and central banks. Investment managers trade currencies for large accounts such as pension funds, foundations, and endowments. An investment manager with an international portfolio will have to purchase and sell currencies to trade foreign securities. Investment managers may also make speculative forex trades, while some hedge funds execute speculative currency trades as part of their investment strategies. Multinational Corporations Firms engaged in importing and exporting conduct forex transactions to pay for goods and services. Consider the example of a German solar panel producer that imports American components and sells its finished products in China. After the final sale is made, the Chinese yuan the producer received must be converted back to euros. The German firm must then exchange euros for dollars to purchase more American components. Companies trade forex to hedge the risk associated with foreign currency translations. The same German firm might purchase American dollars in the spot market, or enter into a currency swap agreement to obtain dollars in advance of purchasing components from the American company in order to reduce foreign currency exposure risk. Additionally, hedging against currency risk can add a level of safety to offshore investments. Individual Investors The volume of forex trades made by retail investors is extremely low compared to financial institutions and companies. However, it is growing rapidly in popularity. Retail investors base currency trades on a combination of fundamentals (i.e., interest rate parity, inflation rates, and monetary policy expectations) and technical factors (i.e., support, resistance, technical indicators, price patterns). How Forex Trading Shapes Business The resulting collaboration of the different types of forex traders is a highly liquid, global market that impacts business around the world. Exchange rate movements are a factor in inflation, global corporate earnings and the balance of payments account for each country. For instance, the popular currency carry trade strategy highlights how market participants influence exchange rates that, in turn, have spillover effects on the global economy. The carry trade, executed by banks, hedge funds, investment managers and individual investors, is designed to capture differences in yields across currencies by borrowing low-yielding currencies and selling them to purchase high-yielding currencies. For example, if the Japanese yen has a low yield, market participants would sell it and purchase a higher yield currency. When interest rates in higher yielding countries begin to fall back toward lower yielding countries, the carry trade unwinds and investors sell their higher yielding investments. An unwinding of the yen carry trade may cause large Japanese financial institutions and investors with sizable foreign holdings to move money back into Japan as the spread between foreign yields and domestic yields narrows. This strategy, in turn, may result in a broad decrease in global equity prices. The Bottom Line There is a reason why forex is the largest market in the world: It empowers everyone from central banks to retail investors to potentially see profits from currency fluctuations related to the global economy. There are various strategies that can be used to trade and hedge currencies, such as the carry trade, which highlights how forex players impact the global economy. Segal, Troy. “Forex Folk: Who Trades Currency and Why.” Investopedia, Investopedia, 18 Nov. 2019, www.investopedia.com
by TayFx
2
The Basics of a Candle Stick (for Beginners)Candlesticks represent where price action opens and closes in a given time period.For example, when looking at a 1HR timeframe, each candle will represent 1HR of price action and also show where the opening and closing price of that hour was. Green candles show buy pressure Red candles show sell pressure. The larger the candle, the more variance in price action. Wicks are the thinner lines above and below candles that show where highs and lows of price action has reached during the timeframe of a candle. Wicks on the upside represent the highest price it was traded for during that time. Wicks on the downside represent the lowest price it was traded for during that time. Keep in mind that these wicks can be on both the upside and downside of a candle at the same time. Remember, the top wick is the highest the price was traded at, the bottom wick is the lowest that it was traded at. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ No part of this book may be reproduced or used in any manner without written permission of the copyright owners except for the use of quotations in a book review. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, trade discussions, or other information contained on this website are educational in nature and merely provided as a presentation of trading strategies. Commentaries made on this website reflect our own opinions and trading techniques and do not constitute investment advice. All information and material is for educational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. I'm not a registered investment advisor. 00:58:48 ( UTC ) Thu Jan 2, 2020
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TayFx
2
The Famous Double Bottom (+130 pips)A double bottom is simply the opposite of a double top . This pattern normally occurs during a downtrend and is a signal of a reversal of the downtrend toward an uptrend. It’s easily recognizable by its resemblance to the letter “W”. The initial downward move will find a support at the first bottom and then the price action will rally off the support to a temporary new high (the middle of the “W”). Another selloff will often take place that will reach the same support level of the first bottom, consequently sparking another upward rally. The trend is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper resistance to complete the pattern and reversal as displayed below. These are the most basic pattern structures of double tops and bottoms that you’re likely to come across. ( cont in our course) Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, trade discussions, or other information contained on this website are educational in nature and merely provided as a presentation of trading strategies. Commentaries made on this website reflect our own opinions and trading techniques and do not constitute investment advice. All information and material is for educational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended to provide financial advice. I'm not a registered investment advisor.
TVC:DXYLong
by TayFx
3
CHFJPY READY FOR NEXT MOVE.In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful. LAST TIME WE SHARE THIS PAIR AS SHORT NOW MOVING UP JUST BECAUSE LAST TIME ANALYZE IN 4h BUT IT FOLLOWING 1D , SO WE NEED TO FOLLOW MAJOR TREND. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED TO FOLLOW RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY. HOW TO TRADE ON OUR SIGNALS. We Explain above you use that lot size whatever Capital you have. Let say, for example, you have 4000 Dollars Capital. We Posted Trade which has 4 Take Profit. We will use 0.20 Total lot size We will divide it in 4 Orders. 0.20 lot Divided by 4 Take profit = 0.05 Lot size. So we will open 4 Trade with 0.05 Lot size for each trade. Let See How We will do. 1st Trade 0.05 Lot: Stop loss Same >> Take profit will set to First target. 2nd Trade 0.05 Lot: Stop loss Same >> Take profit will set to Second target. 3rd Trade 0.05 Lot: Stop loss Same >> Take profit will set to the Third target. 4th Trade 0.05 Lot: Stop loss Same >> Take profit will set to the fourth target. Let Say Our First Target Hitted Then you need to Move All Remaining Trade stop loss to Entry. If Our Second Target Hitted Then You Need to move All Remaining Trade stop loss to First Target. If our Third Target Hitted then You need to move All Remaining Trade stop loss to Second Target and So On. Note: This is only for Educational Purpose this is not Investment advice. Thanks Adil Khan.
Long
by Make_Money_Guru_Bitcoin
AUD/NZD AnalyticsHello Traders! AUD/NZD has reached a strong resistance level on 1.06200. As you can see in the past the price was strong rejected on this level this year on: 08.01.2019, 22.01.2019, 25.04.2019, 08.05.2019, 31.05.2019, 21.08.2019. We set up a possible sell zone around 1.06150. If the price will break this resistance zone we will update our analytics and let you know with all the new possible sell or buy zones! Stay tuned for more! Regards RoTradeAlerts!
Long
by UnknownUnicorn5293721
1
EUR/JPY AnalyticsHello Traders! As you can see on the EUR/JPY chart, the price tried to make a bearish break at the 117.550 support zone. After a 90 pip fall the price went up over 117.550, which shows us that the sell power is decreasing. We are looking for a possible bullish breakout, after this breakout we will wait the price correction, and the new support zone retest. We set up a possible buy zone above the triangle line. Stay tuned for more! Regards RoTradeAlerts!
Long
by UnknownUnicorn5293721