NZDJPY Bearish ScenarioSCENARIO #2 IF BEARISH NZDJPY
As a trader, we have to anticipate and play both sides. We have to consider alternative scenarios. Instead of a bullish scenario, we are thinking of the bearish scenario. What if 85.50-70 fails to hold as support? In this case, we would short when 2 conditions are fulfilled.
A) 85.50-70 support is broken downwards decisively
B) Wait for rally pullback to 85.50-70 to enter short
Short NZDJPY 85.50-70
SL above 86.20
TP final 81.40-50
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NZDJPY bullish scenarioScenario #1 IF BULLISH NZDJPY
NZDJPY pivotal support/resistance zone at 85.50-70. This 85.50-70 zone has held as support or resistance since Dec 2013. There are 2 ways to trade this. If you are bullish NZDJPY, then buy in anticipation of another rebound up from this zone.
Long NZDJPY 85.50-70
SL below 85.00
TP1 87.00
TP2 89.00
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GBPUSD to re-test breakout zoneGBPJPY breaks up above 175.00 ( the green zone) on 17th Sept. If GBPJPY pulls back to re-test this support/resistance zone 175.00, look to enter a long position. This is also the 50% FIB retracement.
Long GBPJPY 175.00-10
SL 174.50
TP1 177.00
TP2 180.00
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AUDUSD nearing neckline supportThis is the 400pips inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. The neckline support is around 0.9070-80. Look to enter long at neckline and 50% FIB retracement.
Long AUDUSD 0.9070-80
SL 0.9000
TP 0.9200
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EURUSD ready for technical reboundAfter September ECB meeting, EURUSD drop about -250pips in 1 day. I think this is the last major capitulation selloff.
EURUSD is way oversold, and a bounce up is imminent. Looking to enter long for a bounce up from the 88.6% FIB retracement. Profit target levels are the 2 resistance zones 1.3100 and 1.3300.
Long EURUSD 1.2890-1.2900
SL 1.2850
TP1 1.3100
TP2 1.3300
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EURJPY battling it out for right shoulderClearly defined support/resistance zone in EURJPY around 136.00 level. 136.00 has held as either support or resistance since May 2014.
There is also another interesting chart pattern developing. And it is the inverted head & shoulders formation. Right now, EURJPY is trying to form the right shoulder. Sometimes, right shoulders take a long time to form. Because the market is battling it out. Bulls would want to make the right shoulder form. Bears would try to push EURJPY down below 135.70 to negate the inverted H&S pattern.
Lets see who shall win. In the meantime, go with the bulls to anticipate the formation of the right shoulder. Enter a long position at 136.00. This is the 88.6% FIB retracement.
Long EURJPY 136.00-10
SL 135.50
TP1 138.00
TP2 139.00
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AUDJPY retesting previous highsAUDJPY has tested 96.00-50 zone since April 2014, for more than 4 months. It has finally broken above this resistance zone.
Any pullback to 96.00-50 should hold as support zone and became a buy zone. I am looking to buy near the lower end of the support zone, which is the 38.2% FIB retracement, of 95.90-96.00
Long AUDJPY 95.90-96.00
SL 95.50
TP 97.00
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GBPCAD testing multiple FIB levelsGBPCAD consolidating within 1.7960-1.8660 since Feb 2014. It has bounce up from almost all FIB retracement levels, 38.2% 50% 61.8% 70.7% 78.6%. The only remaining FIB level not tested yet is the 88.6%. Based on the evidence of price action, i think GBPCAD should bounce up from 88.6%. Enter long around 1.8040, the 88.6% FIB retracement level.
Long GBPCAD 1.8030-40
SL 50pips
TP1 100pips
TP2 200pips
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EURUSD long at technical supportOn the fundamental side. EURUSD has come a long way down from 1.4000. Ever since ECB announced negative deposit rates, cut interest rates and a whole host of monetary policies. With easy monetary policies for Euro for the next few years, the fundamental economic factors are bearish EURUSD.
On the technical side, there is a technical support level around 1.3300. Though fundamentals are bearish, i think there may be a strong bounce up from 1.3300 support zone. Those who are short EURUSD from higher levels, would probably take profit about 1.3300. Also 1.3300 is the 141.4% FIB extension of the prior downtrend wave.
Hence going long around 1.3300 seems like a plausible trade.
Long EURUSD 1.3290-1.3300
SL 1.3250
TP 1.3500
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NZDUSD buying dip dipsI'm waiting for a big dip to buy NZDUSD. After falling 140pips from the peak at 0.8830-40, this represents a good opportunity to buy for a bounce.
0.8660-70 is the 38.2% FIB retracement level & weekly S3 pivot support.
Long NZDUSD 0.8660-70
SL 0.8610
TP 0.8840
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USDJPY Scenario #2 if bearish USDJPYScenario #2 (if bearish USDJPY)
If the pivotal support/resistance at 100.60-80 fails to hold, and USDJPY makes a clean and decisive break below this level, there could be lots of stops from long positions to be triggered in the red circle.
With the next significant support 300pips away at 97.00, market could attempt to go for the short side.
In this case, short USDJPY when USDJPY retraces to 100.60-80.
Short USDJPY 100.60-80
SL 101.50
TP 97.00
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AUDCAD following bearish channelAUDCAD following bearish channel very well. This is a counter-trend trade. But the risk/reward is good, as we going long near the lower band of the bearish channel.
Wait for re-test of 0.9940-50, which is last week's low.
Long AUDCAD 0.9940-50
SL 0.9900
TP 1.0100
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AUDNZD rising channelAUDNZD trading nicely within a very defined rising channel. This is a long time frame rising channel, which started its moves since Dec 2013.
Will AUDNZD bounce up from point 3?? Enter long position around the 78.6% FIB retracement level.
Long AUDNZD 1.0630-40
SL 1.0580
TP1 1.0800
TP 1.1000
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Scenario #1 Bullish USDCAD On the longer term daily chart, USDCAD is trading within a very strong bullish channel. This bullish channel started on Sept 2012, with 4 confirmed trend lines bounces. Could there be a 5th bounce at the support zone of 1.0560-1.0600? Enter a long position here to find out!!
Long USDCAD 1.0570-80 (middle of the support zone)
SL 50-60pips
TP1 1.0800
TP 1.0900
Bullish ascending triangle in GBPJPYBullish continuation pattern in GBPJPY
The ascending triangle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern in GBPJPY. There are 2 ways to trade this pattern.
1) Aggressive method (Long GBPJPY on breakout)
Place a buy stop order on breakout above 173.50
SL 173.00
TP 175.00
2) Conservative method (wait for retracement)
After GBPJPY breakout decisively above 173.50, wait for any pullback to 173.50.
Place a buy limit order 173.50
SL 173.00
TP 175.00