EURJPY, Greece everyone is waiting for youLong EURJPY around the inverted head & shoulders neckline support of 136.60-90. The risk of going EUR long is the political situation with Greece. If Greece defaults, the EUR will go down like a rock off the cliff. However if Greece gets any positive resolution, EUR would shoot up like a rocket with the shorts covering.
Long EURJPY 136.70-80
SL 50-60pips
TP1 141.00
TP2 143.00
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Forexpositive
EURCAD forming a right shoulderFor EURCAD, a inverted head & shoulders pattern is emerging. The neckline resistance (in red rectangle) is clearly visible around 1.3740-60.
If EURCAD retraces to the 50% FIB level, this would coincide with a prior support zone (in green rectangle). This support zone at 1.3390-00 is tested 2 times. Look to enter a long position if EURUCAD pull backs to this 1.3390-00 support area. Hopefully, we may be able to catch the beginning of the formation of the right shoulder too.
Long EURCAD 1.3390-00
SL below 1.3350
TP1 1.3750
TP2 1.4000
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NZDUSD multiple confluenceConfluence of 2 FIB retracement levels around the same price at 0.7800-10. There is the larger retracement (in pink) at 38.2%. And the smaller retracement (in blue) at 88.6%. Look to short at the intersection of both FIB levels.
Short NZDUSD 0.7800-10
SL above 0.7850
TP 0.7600
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USDCAD has broken free!!Short USDCAD if it pullbacks to resistance zone of 1.2350-90.
My trading strategy is to to enter short at the middle zone, which is 1.2370. However, you are free to choose where to enter in the resistance zone.
Short USDCAD 1.2370
SL 1.2430
TP 1.2000
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AUDUSD showing confluence of technical buy signalsWhenever the chart shows a confluence (i.e. 2 or more) of technical indicators at about the same price zones, it is more likely to see a higher probability of a successful trade.
For AUDUSD, i see a confluence of 2 technical buys. First, AUDUSD is trading within this green rising channel. This rising channel is a classic textbook pattern. Notice that AUDUSD very nicely touches 2 times the upper line of the rising channel. Furthermore, AUDUSD is approaching point 3 of the bottom of the rising channel. AUDUSD may do a significant bounce up from point 3.
Second, there is a harmonic pattern embedded within this rising channel. Its a bullish gartley harmonic pattern. The PRZ (potential reversal zone) is at the 78.6% FIB retracement, which is about 0.7700.
With these 2 technical patterns in play, i like this trade.
Long AUDUSD 0.7690-0.7700
SL below 0.7650
TP 0.7900
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EURCAD ready to reverseEURCAD ready to reverse
EURCAD has broken below the support zone of 1.4060-90. This strong support zone has held nicely since the beginning of Feb. And of most importance, there are at least 5 touches in this red rectangular zone since Feb.
With 5 or more touches, a breakdown of this zone is a strong bearish technical indication. If EURCAD rallies to re-test this zone, expect it to become a strong resistance. Look to short if EURCAD retraces to the 38.2% FIB retracement at 1.4090-00.
Short EURCAD 1.4090-00
SL 1.4150
TP 1.3800
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NZDJPY showing multiple confluence technical signalsClear and well defined pivotal support/resistance around 89.80-90.20. Sell when NZDJPY rallies to re-test this price zone.
For a more precise entry, look to short around 90.20-30. This is the double top neckline & 61.8% FIB retracement.
Short NZDJPY 90.20-30
SL 90.80
TP1 89.00
TP2 88.00
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GBPUSD - Downside potential A poorly constructed head and shoulders is also present on this bearish chart.
Stop loss - Just above 0.236 fib - confluent with resistance
Entry - Close below 0.382 fib and yellow rectangle
Take profit - Bottom of green rectangle (immediate support)
Over 1:3 Risk Reward on this trade.
USDCAD 1.2000 not seen since 2009USDCAD has not seen 1.2000 since 2009. That's about 5 years ago. I think the market is keen to test this psychological number of 1.2000 soon. 1.2000 should hold and not be breached on its first attempt. Be aware of this trade though. As it is based on weekly time frame chart, its really a big big time frame. On the other hand, if this trade works out well, then the reward potential could be significant.
Short USDCAD 1.1990-95
SL 1.2050
TP1 1.1900
TP2 1.1800
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NZDUSD long term play0.8050-80 is the pivotal support/resistance zone established since March 2012. Look for this zone to be respected again if there is a rally to re-test this level.
Short NZDUSD 0.8060-70
SL above 0.8100
TP1 0.7900
TP2 0.7700
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GBPUSD technical rebound How the mighty has fallen!! From the lofty heights at 1.7200 to the current levels of 1.6000. A fall of 1200 pips within 3-4 months.
There could be a technical rebound around 1.5720-30. This is the 61.8% FIB retracement level and also a prior support/resistance zone.
Long GBPUSD 1.5720-30
SL 1.5660
TP1 1.5850
TP2 1.6050
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NZDJPY Bearish ScenarioSCENARIO #2 IF BEARISH NZDJPY
As a trader, we have to anticipate and play both sides. We have to consider alternative scenarios. Instead of a bullish scenario, we are thinking of the bearish scenario. What if 85.50-70 fails to hold as support? In this case, we would short when 2 conditions are fulfilled.
A) 85.50-70 support is broken downwards decisively
B) Wait for rally pullback to 85.50-70 to enter short
Short NZDJPY 85.50-70
SL above 86.20
TP final 81.40-50
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NZDJPY bullish scenarioScenario #1 IF BULLISH NZDJPY
NZDJPY pivotal support/resistance zone at 85.50-70. This 85.50-70 zone has held as support or resistance since Dec 2013. There are 2 ways to trade this. If you are bullish NZDJPY, then buy in anticipation of another rebound up from this zone.
Long NZDJPY 85.50-70
SL below 85.00
TP1 87.00
TP2 89.00
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GBPUSD to re-test breakout zoneGBPJPY breaks up above 175.00 ( the green zone) on 17th Sept. If GBPJPY pulls back to re-test this support/resistance zone 175.00, look to enter a long position. This is also the 50% FIB retracement.
Long GBPJPY 175.00-10
SL 174.50
TP1 177.00
TP2 180.00
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AUDUSD nearing neckline supportThis is the 400pips inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. The neckline support is around 0.9070-80. Look to enter long at neckline and 50% FIB retracement.
Long AUDUSD 0.9070-80
SL 0.9000
TP 0.9200
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EURUSD ready for technical reboundAfter September ECB meeting, EURUSD drop about -250pips in 1 day. I think this is the last major capitulation selloff.
EURUSD is way oversold, and a bounce up is imminent. Looking to enter long for a bounce up from the 88.6% FIB retracement. Profit target levels are the 2 resistance zones 1.3100 and 1.3300.
Long EURUSD 1.2890-1.2900
SL 1.2850
TP1 1.3100
TP2 1.3300
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EURJPY battling it out for right shoulderClearly defined support/resistance zone in EURJPY around 136.00 level. 136.00 has held as either support or resistance since May 2014.
There is also another interesting chart pattern developing. And it is the inverted head & shoulders formation. Right now, EURJPY is trying to form the right shoulder. Sometimes, right shoulders take a long time to form. Because the market is battling it out. Bulls would want to make the right shoulder form. Bears would try to push EURJPY down below 135.70 to negate the inverted H&S pattern.
Lets see who shall win. In the meantime, go with the bulls to anticipate the formation of the right shoulder. Enter a long position at 136.00. This is the 88.6% FIB retracement.
Long EURJPY 136.00-10
SL 135.50
TP1 138.00
TP2 139.00
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