Gold prices went upstream, surpassing the 2,400 markGold prices (XAU/USD) continued their recent correction from record highs hit last week and fell to their lowest in more than a week on Monday. US President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 Presidential election has increased the likelihood of Donald Trump becoming the next US President, increasing expectations of a looser regulatory environment. This, coupled with the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) surprise interest rate cut on Monday, has fueled investor appetite for riskier assets and put heavy pressure on gold - safe haven assets.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump's second presidential term is expected to push long-term inflation expectations higher, leading to an increase in US government bond yields. This has had a positive impact on the USD and contributed to promoting money flow away from gold - a non-yielding asset. However, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September limited USD gains and supported XAU/USD in climbing back above the $2,400 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Forexpositive
Pay attention to the core personal consumption expenditure indexThe latest Kitco News survey shows that Wall Street analysts expressed cautious views on gold prices this week.
Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, believes that gold prices will move sideways in the short term. However, information related to the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starting a cycle of interest rate cuts can cause gold to increase.
Currently, investors are paying attention to the upcoming core personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). This is the index used as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.
According to CME's FedWatch tool, more than 90% of the market thinks the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to happen later this summer.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said that gold prices will continue to decline. According to this expert, through the weekly price chart, gold is still in a downtrend in the medium term. Last week, gold prices fell, ending a streak of 3 consecutive weeks of increases, which is completely consistent with the usual technical pattern.
World gold recovered slightly and is fluctuating around 2406World gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week.
While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations.
Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
Short term trading strategy for todayXAUUSD charge dropped sharply on the quit of remaining week, however that is the adjustment length of the H1 and H4 frames, long-time period gold remains in an uptrend.
Price regions to be aware of subsequent week are
the resistance place 2408 - 2410 and the help place 2356 - 2360.
Gold buying opportunity#XAUUSD Update..!
Gold price sharply goes down to retest the support zone. Before checking the 2310 - 2312 support zone I expect the price will reach the upper Fvg zone. This time I'm looking for a sell opportunity.
Buy opportunity I expect from 2310 - 2396 - 2389 zone. Because there is also a reasonable Fvg waiting for the price. Let's see guys. The lower time frame has many imbalances in the whole price action. So be aware trading with a lower time frame.
The world XAU market turned around after rising higherAs mentioned to readers in yesterday`s edition, gold has suffered a downward correction after the Relative Strength Index operated withinside the overbought area, indicating that the room for rate will increase is now no longer too great. big and require modifications after a protracted length of rate will increase.
Currently, gold is likewise working pretty low however does now no longer have an effect on the primary fashion of rate growth with the rate channel as the quick-time period fashion and long-time period fashion. In the quick time period, the truth that gold can get better to keep above the technical stage of 2,430 USD might be an excellent signal for it. On the alternative hand, if gold recovers lower back above $2,449, it's going to mark the stop of the downward adjustment cycle.
During the day, gold may want to preserve to accurate similarly as soon as it's miles bought below $2,420 with a next drawback goal of around $2,400.
The downward correction cycle from the uptrend of gold expenses might be observed once more via way of means of the subsequent technical levels. Support: 2,420 - 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 - 2,449USD
Gold prices decreased for two consecutive sessionsGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields.
Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers.
The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly.
Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
EURNZD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Gold increased sharply after US economic data weakenedXAU stays near historic peak, domestic gold skyrockets after more than 2 months of "immobility"
World gold prices continue to climb and are at a historic peak due to the further weakening of the USD.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is betting on a 100% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 18.
Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that recently released data "increases confidence" that inflation is falling sustainably toward the Fed's target level.
Many Fed policymakers also said they are increasingly optimistic that inflation is on track and falling toward the 2% target mark.
XAU increased to a record high everXAU price increased quite strongly to near historical peak after the instability taking place in the world
World gold continues to increase and moves towards the historic peak of 2,450 USD/ounce recorded on May 20 after the US announced that total retail sales remained unchanged in June. In May, revised figures showed total retail sales increased 0.3%.
In fact, economists forecast that total retail sales decreased by 0.3% in June. Thus, the number announced last month exceeded expectations. However, this is not positive information.
The US economy tends to send signals that are no longer as strong as in the first few months of the year.
Previously, the US announced that inflation continued to cool down and the labor market tended to deteriorate with the unemployment rate increasing.
Cash flow will pour into gold and gold prices will reach recor hGold is assessed to benefit in the context of increased risks after the incident of former US President Donald Trump being suspected of shooting during an election campaign in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13. If Mr. Trump wins the election next November, the USD may weaken, thereby also pushing up gold prices.
Macroeconomic data that is no longer bright is the basis for US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to recently signal a reversal in monetary policy. Mr. Powell expressed concern about the weakening of the economy and the risk of recession.
In a testimony before the US Congress last week, the most powerful man in the world's financial industry said that the US will cut interest rates and not wait until inflation is clearly heading towards the 2% target.
The USD has recently declined following signals from the Fed, thereby putting pressure on gold.
Gold also increased in price thanks to positive signals from technical analysis. The upward price momentum has been established after precious metals rose quite firmly above the threshold of 2,400 USD/ounce over the past several days. Upward momentum is being confirmed and gold is forecast to set a new all-time high, possibly as soon as this week.
At this point, a rate cut in September looks very likely.A range of critical financial reviews can be launched via way of means of americaA this week. Experts expect that the gold marketplace will now no longer alternate an awful lot after those reviews.
However, the fashion of gold continues to be at the upward push because of expectancies that americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) will loosen economic coverage whilst the June customer charge index file is published.
FxPro senior marketplace analyst Alex Kuptsikevich stated that the reality that gold nonetheless continues the $2,400/ounce mark is a superb sign. He stated that presently the indicators displaying the opportunity of hobby charge cuts via way of means of the Fed have become clearer.
In any other analysis, gold is likewise expected to boom sharply via way of means of experts. Accordingly, worries approximately instability earlier than and after elections in many nations round the arena will guide the upward push of gold, pushing valuable metallic expenses to new records.
GOLD XAUUSD Next possible movemets #XAUUSD ( Update..! )
The pair is currently running in a confused situation. According to that I can expect two scenarios. The most possible scenarios are most possible.
Sell now : Reason ❔
Broker the low time frame 5M descending channel
Broker the low time frame 15M descending channel
15M Structure break successfully
5M resistance break successfully
Buy now : Reason ❔
Running bullish trend in 1H timeframe
Making reasonable Fvg with huge range
Rebound from 1H trendline
Rebound from 1H support zone
My recommendation is just waiting for the local bearish or bullish confirmation to enter the market. This is a very dangerous situation. Be careful guys.
The gold market witnessed a strong increaseThe gold market is witnessing a strong bullish reaction to better-than-expected inflation data
Inflation is falling towards the Fed's 2.0% target and makes it more likely that the central bank will start cutting interest rates - a positive development for gold.
Interest rates have done a good job of bringing inflation back to the Fed's 2.0% target.
Asked about the timing of future Fed rate cuts and whether he would wait until the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), falls below target Fed before taking action, Powell said he would not do so, because "inflation has a certain momentum" and "you don't want to wait until inflation falls to 2.0%".
Gold decreased to a strong increaseAfter last week's US jobs report, market forecasters said the Fed would cut interest rates in September from 50% to 70%.
World gold prices fell sharply due to profit-taking pressure from investors. Analysts say that this is normal activity when gold prices are at high levels in recent sessions.
According to experts, in the long term, gold prices still tend to increase. Precious metals are being supported by last week's statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell about loosening monetary policy. It is likely that the Fed will cut interest rates in September and will likely cut again in December.
After the gold price increased sharply to 2,391 USD/oz, many investors quickly took profits, especially in May and June 2024, China had 2 consecutive months of not buying gold. This week, the market's attention will be focused on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement in testimony before Congress and US inflation data scheduled for release on July 11.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
World gold prices soared as the USD cooledWorld gold prices soared as the USD cooled after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made less hawkish statements on monetary policy.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell expressed satisfaction with the pace of cooling in US inflation over the past year. This is a less hawkish signal about monetary policy.
The DXY index - measuring the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies - fell from 106 points to 105.4 points on the US market. Gold prices immediately increased.
Investors are betting on the possibility that the Fed will have to consider the possibility that cutting interest rates too late could affect the recovery and growth of the US economy.
audhpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
XAU plummeted without stoppingXAU dropped sharply in the context of investors being cautious before the US announced important information about the economic situation. Money flows betting on the USD as US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials remain hawkish, determined to step up the fight against inflation.
After each statement by a Fed official, the USD strengthens, thereby putting downward pressure on gold prices.
The USD is also supported by efforts to cut interest rates early by many major central banks in the world, including the ECB of Europe and Canada...
Recently, the USD is not only stable at a high level but also tends to increase in price.
Buying gold between 2351.00 - 2357.00 XAUUSD Next expectation
Buying gold between 2351.00 - 2357.00
Be ready and Keep monitoring and once the price is reached, execute the trade with minimum risk. I am also monitoring but however if I missed you guys can go remind me.
The gold Currently running with bullish movement next resistance key levels are 2375.00 and 2386.00. And support located at 2351.00 and 2336
*MY PERSONAL TARADING PLAN ONLY. Enter with confirmation