Gbpusd slip on the floor hit on the bottom read the caption Hot US inflation report justified the Fed’s pushback against early and aggressive interest rate cut expectations, triggering a fresh rally in the US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar. In light of this, GBP/USD reversed sharply from the weekly high of 1.2681 to as low as 1.2572
The correction in the currency pair gained momentum on Wednesday after the annual CPI inflation in the UK remained unchanged at 4.0% in January, against the market forecast of an increase to 4.2%. reported month, missing estimates of 5.3%.
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eurusd time short big downfall coming read the caption The EURUSD continued its run from earlier today, but did run into resistance at the 100-day MA at 1.0782. The price has since rotated lower and is now back down testing its 200 and 100-hour MAs at 1.0751 and 1.0747. Those levels are now the next barometer for this pair. Buyers have a shot to stall the fall and work back to the 100-day
xauusd will hit below 1950 read the caption On the flip side, the 100-day SMA, currently around the $1,993-1,992 area, could act as immediate support ahead of the $1,985 region, or a two-month low touched on Wednesday. This is followed by the very important 200-day SMA, currently pegged near the $1,967 area, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish trades. The Gold price might then accelerate the fall towards an intermediate support near the $1,955-1,951 zone en route to the November 2023 low, around the $1,938-1,935 region.
Audusd W chart always down read the caption zone around the 0.6050 level following the hot US CPI report. We continue to have a rangebound price action between the 0.6051 support and the 0.6151 resistance. The buyers will likely step in here with a defined risk below the support to position for a rally back into the resistance. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the 0.56
Usdcad ready to fly read the caption Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside at this point. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.3172to 1.3541 from 1.3352 at 1.3582 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.3721. On the downside, break of 1.3437 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat
Gbpjpy going to above line read the caption Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point, for consolidations below 190.05. Break 190.15 will resume larger up trend. However, break of 187.82 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 185.22 support instead.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.92 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.33 support holds. Next target is 195.85 long term resistance
Xauusd below 2000 best zone sell read the caption Gold On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the price has been consolidating ever since the big drop from the US CPI report. We now have a minor resistance zone around the 1999 level which is what the buyers will need to break to start targeting the 2015 resistance next. The sellers, on the other hand, will keep on defending the level with a defined risk above it to position for a drop into the 1973 level.
Audusd like a snake but snake go down read the caption The AUDUSD fell sharply yesterday, and that selling continued in the Asian session today. However after reaching into a key swing area between 0.6445 and 0.6455, momentum slowed, the price bottomed and a rebound was started.
That move has now taken the price of 0.64912. Just ahead is a broken 61.8% retracement of the move-up from the October low to the December high. That level comes at 0.64992 (let's call it 0.6501). Moving above that level would have traders looking toward a swing area near 0.6524 and the 100-day moving average of 0.65325
Crude oil slip dips below sell trend read the caption Crude oil today marked a new high for February, reaching $78.73 which exceeded the 38.1% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward move from the September peak at $78.14 (see chart above). This surge represented a significant bullish momentum for the commodity and was a positive tilt for the technical bias.
Uadchf move up here is opportunity read the caption The USDCHF moved sharply higher yesterday after the stronger-than-expected CPI. The move to the upside extended above the 50% retracement of the move down from the October high. That level comes in at 0.8789. The 100-day moving average. That level comes in at 0.8805, and the 200-day moving average. The level comes in at 0.88464
The breaks of those key targets tilted the bias more in favor of the buyers. The best-case scenario going forward is for the 200-day moving average to hold support. Stay above 0.88465 is the most bullish scenario.
Gbpjpy big bullish up trend read the caption Gbpjpy big bullish Unfavorable base effects were expected to lift headline and core CPI last month but in both cases, they stayed at the same level. A small win but a win nonetheless for the BoE.
It was already expected to fall back to target in the second quarter before rebounding a little later in the year and this now increases the possibility of inflation undershooting the 3% target
Xauusd stay below 2000 target 1950 read the caption The sharp move higher in Treasury yields and the dollar yesterday resulted in a steep drop in gold. Of note, the fall took out the January low as well as the $2,000 mark. But at least for the time being, buyers are able to hang on as the 100-day moving average (red line) at $1,989.80 is
Eurusd time short big sell move coming like yesterday read the cEUR/USD news to watch will be the second estimate from Europe. Economists expect the data to show that the economy stalled in Q4. Eurostat will also release the latest weak industrial production data.
The EUR/USD pair made a strong bearish breakout this week. It moved below the lower side of the bearish flag pattern. The pair also retreated below the support at 1.0722, its lowest point on February 6th. It has moved below the 50-period and 24-period moving averages while the
Gbpusd surely Fall big dips read the caption The GBP/USD pair retreated slightly after the latest US inflation data. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.2% in January, higher than the expected 2.7%. Core inflation rose by 3.8%, higher than the expected drop to 3.6%.
These numbers mean that inflation is still high in the country and that it will likely struggle to get to Fed’s target of 2.1%. It has remained between 3.2% and 3.3% in the past few months as the Fed has maintained rates at a 22-year high
Gbpusd below line now big dipsThe GBP/USD pair retreated slightly after the latest US inflation data. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3.2% in January, higher than the expected 2.7%. Core inflation rose by 3.8%, higher than the expected drop to 3.6%.
These numbers mean that inflation is still high in the country and that it will likely struggle to get to Fed’s target of 2.1%. It has remained between 3.2% and 3.3% in the past few months as the Fed has maintained rates at a 22-year high
Usdcad ready to fly read the caption If they stay higher for longer, it could chase out some springtime home buyers and put a fresh chill on the market. Moreover, Canada's broader economy isn't weathering high rates as well as the US Prolonging high rates could lead to a rougher recession or . if Canada cuts and the US keeps rates high -- open up wider rate differentials. That's something that could re calibrate USD/CAD higher and lead to a challenge of the 2023 highs near 1.3874
Gbpusd PIPS rain coming Sell zone read the caption On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the recent price action with the pair ranging between the 1.2612 support and the 1.2643 resistance. We can notice that the price has already broken the triangle to the downside, but we will need also a break below the support zone to confirm the breakout. Watch out for the data today as it will add extra confirmation for a breakout on either side.
Eurusd bottom is coming downfall read the caption EUR/USD’s consolidation from 1.0722 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0895 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0732 will argue that whole rise from 1.0446 has completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to target this low
Usdchf ready to break all time high read the caption Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside despite loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD. Current rise from 0.8333 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9244 to 0.8333 at 0.896. On the downside, below 0.8724 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.8551 support holds.
Another buy target of BTC 52000 read the caption BTC hit 50000 but another target 52000
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Never sell audusd confirm buy read the caption The AUDUSD is trading higher and lower in trading today in a narrow range. The high prices, however, have been able to stay below its 100-day moving average at 0.65316 The high price for the day came in at 0.65305. Also in play is a swing area at 0.65239. That level goes back to November through February where there have been several swing lows/highs at the level.
Xauusd up down move on CPI read the caption Gold up down move
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system.
It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008.
Nzdusd going up more than expected read the caption Nzdusd lower more than expected
The RBNZ’s steep rate-tightening cycle, which has raised the benchmark rate to 5.4%, has significantly lowered inflation but there is more work to be done. Orr & Co. wouldn’t mind maintaining rates in restrictive territory in order to continue pushing inflation lower.
We’ll get a look at New Zealand inflation expectations for the first quarter on Tuesday, which could move the New Zealand dollar. In the fourth quarter, inflation expectations eased to 2.75%, down from 2.82%, which was its lowest level in two years.