Investors need to continue to closely monitor economic data.retail investors are bullish on gold’s potential upside. Industry experts are split on short-term bullish and bearish sentiment.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, predicts that gold prices will trend sideways this week. Gold has hit its target of $2,600 an ounce after the Fed cut interest rates. The gold market will be less active as investors take profits.
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XAU price at all time highThe trend of monetary easing and gold buying by central banks, along with geopolitical tensions, have boosted the price of this precious metal.
The main event this week that has a strong impact on gold prices is the US core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index for August, which is an important inflation measure of the Fed.
Gold up slightly after FOMC dropThe half-point decision was made after considering inflation, economic data and risks. Along with the policy pivot, many economists noted that there will be more than one rate adjustment this year. Accordingly, the dot-plot chart shows the central bank expects rates to fall to 4.4% by the end of the year, down from the 5.1% estimate in June.
XAU recovers after news-driven plungeGold rose slightly in early trading after reversing sharply lower yesterday. Gold benefited from the sharp decline in the US dollar and government bond yields following the Fed policy decision, with the metal surging more than $30 to a new all-time high of $2,600.14. However, the recovery in the US dollar and yields during and after Mr. Powell's press conference pushed gold back down to around $2,550. At the end of yesterday's session, gold adjusted to $2,556, recording a decline of more than $10.
Gold prices fall sharply after news from the FedGold prices are always sensitive to US interest rate adjustments. A weaker USD makes gold more attractive to investors. In case the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, gold prices could reach the target of $2,700/ounce by early 2025.
Gold prices broke the technical level above $2,550/ounce. Investors are optimistic about the prospect of the Fed preparing to cut interest rates.
XAU plunges after FOMC newsMarkets are looking ahead to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, followed by a press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Investors are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. The CME FedWatch tool predicts a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, with 63% for a 50 basis point cut and 37% for a modest 25 basis point cut. This would be the Fed's first rate cut in four and a half years (since March 2020).
World gold price is moving sideways around 2,573 USD/ouncePressured by a rebound in the US dollar and a slight rise in US government bond yields, the yellow metal lost 0.5% after hitting an all-time high of $2,589 an ounce earlier in the week. Traders are now waiting to see whether the US Federal Reserve will pivot policy at this meeting as expected.
Following a series of optimistic data, financial markets are predicting the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates more aggressively in its first interest rate cut since 2020. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is certain about the possibility of easing monetary policy with 63% predicting a cut of 50 basis points.
“It’s time to act” and be ready for more rate cutsThe Fed raised interest rates to curb inflation, which peaked at a historic 9.1% in June 2022. Maintaining very high interest rates over the past two years has caused many difficulties for Americans, and the economy has recently shown many negative signs, affecting the labor market. Many experts are worried that the US economy will fall into recession. Over the past month, Fed officials have sent many signals that the bank will cut interest rates.
The clearest signal was on August 23 when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave a speech saying that "it is time to adjust monetary policy", when inflation in the US has decreased significantly and the labor market has also cooled down to normal levels. Mr. Powell said that the Fed "will do everything" to support a strong labor market. This statement was immediately interpreted as the Fed will begin the process of cutting interest rates from the September meeting.
XAU rises high waiting for investors to take profitAccording to signals from the Fed and the market, in this meeting, the US Central Bank will cut the operating interest rate for the first time since March 2020. Previously, the Fed had raised interest rates 11 times, from March 2022 to September 2023, bringing interest rates from a record low of 0-0.25%/year to the current 5.25-5.5%.
The Fed raised interest rates to curb inflation, which peaked at a historical peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Maintaining interest rates at very high levels in the past 2 years has caused many difficulties for the American people and the economy has recently shown many negative signals, affecting the labor market. Many experts are worried that the US economy will fall into recession. Over the past month, Fed officials have sent many signals that the bank will cut interest rates.
Gold after Fed rate cut?Gold could confirm a breakout and unless something major happens in other markets, this would be a bullish sign. So far, nothing has happened in the precious metals sector, while the DXY has fallen. This is a bearish factor, but before we jump to conclusions, let’s dig deeper.
XAU at 2586, very high price at the time of waiting for FEDThe US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period last year, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the CPI report in August shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Gold hits record high as USD/JPY drops nearly 150 pipsGold prices are on track for their biggest weekly gain since mid-August, rising 2.8% to a record $2,570 an ounce. The gains were fueled by a weaker dollar. Gold was last up 0.4% at $2,568 an ounce.
The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index rose 0.53%.
US stock futures rose 0.1%, following gains in currency indexes on Thursday.
XAU hits record high as USD falls"The market is currently pricing in a moderate FOMC rate cut outside of a recession. We, along with the majority of US economists, do not expect the US economy to fall into a recession."
Global stocks rose for a fifth straight day, posting a 0.2% gain. This was helped by gains in European stocks, where the STOXX 600 index rose 0.4%, heading for a 2.6% weekly gain and its biggest one-month gain.
XAU price makes history in financial terms of price increaseThe consensus among analysts, economists, and market watchers is that a rate cut is almost certain. According to CME FedWatch, the market is currently pricing in a 73% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 27% chance of a 50 basis point cut.
XAUUSD BUY market opening analysis As Gold prices continue their support area 2565_2560 target 2600
Gold selling area 2600 it target 2540_2520 unstoppable run higher scaling new all-time record highs for a fourth consecutive quarter in a row conclusive evidence shows that we are just in the early stages of a new historic Supercycle for Gold
Gold price increased sharply to set a recordThe August CPI report showed that core US inflation remains high, which is unlikely to prompt the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Inflation has not fallen as expected, and if the Fed cuts by 50 basis points next week, it will mean that the US Central Bank is surrendering to inflation.
Most economists participating in the survey believe that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Only 9 out of 101 economists predict the Fed will cut by 50 basis points.
short term strategy when XAU is highCentral bank demand for gold is a key factor that has been a catalyst for the gold price rally. She said that gold continues to outperform other commodities as demand for the precious metal increases, especially from central banks in emerging markets.
The precious metal's role as a natural hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. At the same time, in an environment of geopolitical tension, gold remains the top choice.
XAU spikes after newsPreviously, gold was under pressure from expectations of a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at its policy meeting next week, which is cooling down after the August consumer price index report increased.
According to the latest report, the US CPI in August increased by 2.5% compared to the same period, lower than the forecast of 2.6% and down significantly from 2.9% in July.
According to experts, the August CPI report shows that the US core inflation is still high, not enough to make the Fed decide to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Forecasts are reinforcing the view that the Fed is about to cut Despite short-term volatility, the precious metal remains an attractive investment in the long term as global government debt rises and interest rates fall. The direction of gold in the coming period will largely depend on the Fed's interest rate policy. If the next US economic data remains gloomy, the Fed will cut more. This will help gold prices conquer new highs.
XAU continues to increase slightlyExperts predict that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is increasing, which could make gold prices vulnerable in the coming time. The August jobs report is forecast to be insufficient for the Fed to cut by 50 basis points on September 18. This is unlikely to help gold reach new peaks.