XAU the world plummeted without stoppingXAU the world plummeted without stopping
Gold prices continued to fall without stopping, reaching a low of 2,370 USD/ounce at the beginning of the Asian session on Thursday morning. Thereby, world gold recorded a decrease of nearly 5% from the peak of 2,483 USD, or about 113 USD/ounce in just 7 trading sessions.
Last night, the fluctuations after the release of the preliminary PMI report were not too significant. Besides, before the opening of the 5-year US government bond auction, gold prices increased slightly as yields decreased. But soon after, the 10-year government bond yield increased 2 bps to 4,274%, putting pressure on gold prices. Although the USD weakened slightly, the impact was insignificant.
CME's FedWatch tool shows a 100% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in September; while market forecasts suggest the Fed could cut interest rates by a total of 53 bps in 2024
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XAU rebounded after the FED pivoted its policyGold had a strong sell-off after current US President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal from the race for the White House.
The pressure to sell gold increased after this commodity increased previously and investors took advantage of taking profits in the context that they wanted to listen to more impact assessments of the rapid changes in world politics.
The decline of many stock markets also caused gold to be sold to compensate for stock purchase contracts. However, bottom-fishing demand quickly increased again for gold. Mr. Biden's abandonment of his bid to run for re-election as US President has paved the way for another Democrat, most likely Ms. Kamala Harris.
XAU is at a low price compared to last weekThe XAU price fell to its lowest in more than a week today as traders await more US economic data and comments from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials this week for further action. more clarity on the timeline for interest rate cuts.
Markets see a more than 90% chance the Fed will cut interest rates in September, down from a previous forecast of 98%.
Senior market analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich said that the simultaneous decline in the gold and US stock markets recently is not a good omen for this precious metal.
The gold market increased slightly compared to the first day of While the current rally became pushed with the aid of using bodily factors, strategists say cash flows will gas the following rally. They notice that this modification is beginning to appear, predicting that gold fees may want to attain 2,650 USD/ounce with the aid of using the fourth region of 2024.
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The XAU fee fell to its lowest in extra than every week nowadays as investors watch for extra US financial records and feedback from US Federal Reserve (FED) officers this week for similarly action. extra readability at the timeline for hobby fee cuts.
Markets see a extra than 90% danger the Fed will reduce hobby fees in September, down from a preceding forecast of 98%.
Senior marketplace analyst at FxPro Alex Kuptsikevich stated that the simultaneous decline withinside the gold and US inventory markets lately isn't always a very good omen for this valuable metal.
Strategy to sell XAU when the market dropsA combination of factors dragged gold prices to their lowest in more than a week on Monday.
Bets that the Fed will cut interest rates in September provided some support and helped limit losses.
#US Q2 GDP on Thursday and US PCE data on Friday will be eyed for fresh momentum.
Gold prices went upstream, surpassing the 2,400 markGold prices (XAU/USD) continued their recent correction from record highs hit last week and fell to their lowest in more than a week on Monday. US President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 Presidential election has increased the likelihood of Donald Trump becoming the next US President, increasing expectations of a looser regulatory environment. This, coupled with the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) surprise interest rate cut on Monday, has fueled investor appetite for riskier assets and put heavy pressure on gold - safe haven assets.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump's second presidential term is expected to push long-term inflation expectations higher, leading to an increase in US government bond yields. This has had a positive impact on the USD and contributed to promoting money flow away from gold - a non-yielding asset. However, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September limited USD gains and supported XAU/USD in climbing back above the $2,400 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Pay attention to the core personal consumption expenditure indexThe latest Kitco News survey shows that Wall Street analysts expressed cautious views on gold prices this week.
Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, believes that gold prices will move sideways in the short term. However, information related to the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starting a cycle of interest rate cuts can cause gold to increase.
Currently, investors are paying attention to the upcoming core personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). This is the index used as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation.
According to CME's FedWatch tool, more than 90% of the market thinks the Fed's interest rate cut is likely to happen later this summer.
Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said that gold prices will continue to decline. According to this expert, through the weekly price chart, gold is still in a downtrend in the medium term. Last week, gold prices fell, ending a streak of 3 consecutive weeks of increases, which is completely consistent with the usual technical pattern.
World gold recovered slightly and is fluctuating around 2406World gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week.
While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations.
Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
Short term trading strategy for todayXAUUSD charge dropped sharply on the quit of remaining week, however that is the adjustment length of the H1 and H4 frames, long-time period gold remains in an uptrend.
Price regions to be aware of subsequent week are
the resistance place 2408 - 2410 and the help place 2356 - 2360.
The world XAU market turned around after rising higherAs mentioned to readers in yesterday`s edition, gold has suffered a downward correction after the Relative Strength Index operated withinside the overbought area, indicating that the room for rate will increase is now no longer too great. big and require modifications after a protracted length of rate will increase.
Currently, gold is likewise working pretty low however does now no longer have an effect on the primary fashion of rate growth with the rate channel as the quick-time period fashion and long-time period fashion. In the quick time period, the truth that gold can get better to keep above the technical stage of 2,430 USD might be an excellent signal for it. On the alternative hand, if gold recovers lower back above $2,449, it's going to mark the stop of the downward adjustment cycle.
During the day, gold may want to preserve to accurate similarly as soon as it's miles bought below $2,420 with a next drawback goal of around $2,400.
The downward correction cycle from the uptrend of gold expenses might be observed once more via way of means of the subsequent technical levels. Support: 2,420 - 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 - 2,449USD
Gold prices decreased for two consecutive sessionsGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields.
Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers.
The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly.
Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024.
reinforce market sentiment when gold rises too highInterest rate expectations: Investors expect the FOMC will start cutting interest rates from September onwards.
Geopolitical instability: Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East continue to destabilize markets, causing investors to seek haven assets such as gold.
Central banks diversify reserves: Central banks are proactively increasing the amount of gold in their reserves, reducing dependence on the USD. Although China recently paused gold purchases, a World Gold Council (WGC) report shows that 20 other central banks still plan to increase their gold holdings.
Rising demand: Demand for gold from people in India and China shows no signs of slowing down. India's gold reserves are at their highest level in two years, and a real estate market downturn in China is driving up gold demand.
XAU increased to a record high everXAU price increased quite strongly to near historical peak after the instability taking place in the world
World gold continues to increase and moves towards the historic peak of 2,450 USD/ounce recorded on May 20 after the US announced that total retail sales remained unchanged in June. In May, revised figures showed total retail sales increased 0.3%.
In fact, economists forecast that total retail sales decreased by 0.3% in June. Thus, the number announced last month exceeded expectations. However, this is not positive information.
The US economy tends to send signals that are no longer as strong as in the first few months of the year.
Previously, the US announced that inflation continued to cool down and the labor market tended to deteriorate with the unemployment rate increasing.
Investors wait for the consumer price index in JuneThe market is expecting the first interest rate cut to take place in September. In general, the market believes that Powell's statements do not contain any new hawkish information. Maybe Mr. Powell will not offer any surprises in his comments.
Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday (July 9) echoed Mr. Powell's comments by saying that the US labor market is no longer driving inflation in the country. Traders and investors are now awaiting the June US consumer price index and producer price index reports released this week.
Elsewhere, in the Middle East, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said that if Hamas reaches a ceasefire agreement in Gaza with Israel, Hezbollah will stop its activities without separate negotiations. Previously, the group began shooting at Israeli targets on the border in support of the Palestinians after their ally Hamas launched an attack on Israel on October 7, leading to the war in Gaza.
The world XAU continues to increaseWorld gold prices today (July 11) continued to increase after the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's report on the health of the US economy.
In reporting the nation's economic health to the House panel, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US job market had "cooled significantly". This further increases speculation that the Fed will cut interest rates later this year.
The market is expecting the first interest rate cut to take place in September. In general, the market believes that Powell's statements do not contain any new hawkish information. Maybe Mr. Powell will not offer any surprises in his comments.
Gold decreased to a strong increaseAfter last week's US jobs report, market forecasters said the Fed would cut interest rates in September from 50% to 70%.
World gold prices fell sharply due to profit-taking pressure from investors. Analysts say that this is normal activity when gold prices are at high levels in recent sessions.
According to experts, in the long term, gold prices still tend to increase. Precious metals are being supported by last week's statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell about loosening monetary policy. It is likely that the Fed will cut interest rates in September and will likely cut again in December.
After the gold price increased sharply to 2,391 USD/oz, many investors quickly took profits, especially in May and June 2024, China had 2 consecutive months of not buying gold. This week, the market's attention will be focused on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement in testimony before Congress and US inflation data scheduled for release on July 11.
Trading strategy when gold increasesThe awareness now turns to nonfarm payrolls launched on Friday (US time), so one can be critical in assessing whether or not americaA hard work marketplace stays resilient amid multi-12 months excessive hobby rates. decade or not.
Gold expenses are down 5% from a report excessive of $2,449.89 an oz reached on May 20, a rally pushed with the aid of using safe-haven call for fueled with the aid of using geopolitical and monetary uncertainty. financial system in addition to the continuing shopping sports of principal banks, an critical call for group.
Gold expenses fell barely nowadays as Treasury yields remained unchanged, at the same time as buyers digested remarks from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and awaited US jobs data. The US can be introduced later this week for similarly alerts on US hobby charge cuts.
XAU suddenly increased sharply todayWorld gold spot price stands around 2,321.6 USD/ounce
World gold prices suddenly increased sharply after being "hurt" by a statement from a US Federal Reserve (Fed) leader that caused the USD to increase in price, taking away XAU's significant strength.
The Fed keeping interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time may be enough to control inflation, and the Fed may even raise interest rates further if inflation continues to rise.
Currently, investors are paying attention to the US May inflation report published later this month. They expect that after the report, the direction of gold will be clearer.
CAD CPI forecast#USDCAD CPI Update..!
The pair are currently running with a ranging market and already broke the middle range. With an upcoming fundamental event,
I expected usdcad ready to reach the next 4H support level located at 1.35563 level. However Fvg still didn't fill. Analyze recommends opening selling at 1.3698 level. Good luck guys
use at your own risk
GBPUSD Analysis For Next WeekMarket Direction-- Down⬇️
Level to Look Out--1.25900 -1.25700 Targets
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Short gold, target 2303
The market is changing rapidly. Gold bulls are just a flash in the pan. Rebounds are a better opportunity to short. The gold short trend has not changed. We continue to wait for the bears to exert their strength. Will gold hit a new low today? Let's wait and see.
At present, the short-term rebound has not reached 2320, so short below 2320.
Target 2303-2300
Daily free strategies have been updated. If you agree with my suggestions, please pay attention