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AUDJPY Bullish Channel Still Intact, Eyeing Breakout Above 95.00AUDJPY continues to respect its ascending channel, with the current bounce occurring right at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and lower trendline support. The structure supports further upside as long as price holds above the 94.00–93.80 zone, with targets set toward 94.77 and 95.36, potentially extending to 95.63 highs. 🧠 Fundamentals: AUD Strength Drivers: RBA remains relatively hawkish vs other G10 banks. Australia's data this week (retail sales, NAB confidence) were mixed, but no rate cut pricing in the near term supports AUD. Iron ore demand showing resilience despite Chinese slowdown concerns. JPY Weakness Drivers: BoJ remains ultra-dovish. No action expected in July. Japan’s inflation remains tame; the yield gap with other majors keeps widening. Risk-on sentiment reduces demand for safe-havens like JPY. 🔍 Technical Structure: Strong upward channel since early June remains valid. Current pullback held the 61.8% Fib retracement of the June-July leg. Bullish engulfing near support confirms entry. Immediate resistance at 94.77 → 95.36 → potential breakout to 95.63. Invalid if price closes below 93.80 (channel break). ⚠️ Risk Factors: Risk-off shift (e.g., geopolitical escalation or U.S. CPI surprise) may boost JPY. China growth fears can weigh on AUD. A sudden dovish shift from the RBA would invalidate bullish fundamentals. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: AUDJPY typically leads other yen crosses (e.g., NZDJPY, CADJPY) during risk-on moves. It’s also a barometer for broader risk sentiment, often following moves in equity indices like US500 or commodity-linked assets. ✅ Trade Bias: Bullish TP1: 94.77 TP2: 95.36 TP3 (aggressive): 95.63 SL: Below 93.80 Event to Watch: China data this week + U.S. CPI (Jul 11) 📌 Watch for a strong bullish daily candle above 94.77 for continuation confirmation. Stay nimble around key global risk events.
Long
by ultreosforex
Swiss Vault Job: GBP/CHF Entry Blueprint Unlocked🕵️‍♂️💼 GBP/CHF: The Swiss Vault Infiltration Protocol 💼🕵️‍♂️ (Swing/Day Plan — Executed in Silence, Paid in Profits) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Silent Operators, 🤑💰💸✈️ Welcome to the Thief Trading Syndicate's Strategic Playbook – today’s mission targets the GBP/CHF vault. We’ve cooked up a master plan powered by our signature blend of technical finesse and stealthy macro-insight. This setup is based on institutional footprints and high-stakes zones where liquidity flows like digital gold. 📊 Current Bias: 🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play. 📈 Entry Strategy: Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required. Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.” 🛑 Stop Loss Placement: Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope. 🎯 Profit Extraction Target: Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams). Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up. 📰 Strategic Conditions: This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps. → For full details: Fundamental macros, COT leaks, sentiment drift, and institutional zones — check your sources. 🚨 News & Risk Protocols: No new entries during red-folder events. Use trailing stops to lock loot and run. 💥 Boost Our Bandits! Smash that ❤️ to strengthen our robbing force. Each tap fuels future missions. No indicators. Just raw street-smart trading edge. 👀 More heists incoming. Stay low. Stay sharp. Stay profitable. 🐱‍👤🎯📈
Long
by Thief_Trader
7
AUDCHF: Bullish Flag from PRZ — Rally to 0.54444?AUDCHF ( OANDA:AUDCHF ) bounced from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , which aligns with the Yearly Support(1) and the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous bullish impulse. From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective , AUDCHF appears to be breaking out of a Bullish Flag Pattern , which may suggest the continuation of the previous uptrend . This bullish reaction also confirms the importance of the Support zone(0.51166 CHF-0.49773 CHF) , where buyers stepped in aggressively. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that AUDCHF has completed the bearish waves and we should wait for the bullish waves . I expect AUDCHF to continue rising after a successful breakout from the flag’s upper boundary . If momentum sustains, the target could be around 0.54444 CHF . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = 0.51972 CHF Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc Analyze (4-hour time frame). Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
7
NZDJPY Technical + Fundamental Short Alignment = Short SetupToday, I want to review the NZDJPY ( OANDA:NZDJPY ) pair short position from a fundamental and technical perspective . It seems to be in a good zone for a short position. Do you agree with me? ---------------------------------------- First, let's look at the fundamentals of NZDJPY. New Zealand (RBNZ): The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the OCR by 25bps in May and hinted at further easing if inflation continues to cool. Recent CPI data has shown clear disinflation trends, increasing the likelihood of more rate cuts in the second half of 2025. Consumer confidence is also declining, and retail sales have been weaker than expected. Japan (BoJ): The Bank of Japan is under growing pressure to tighten monetary policy. Inflation remains above 2%, and market expectations for a rate hike later this year are building. Any shift from ultra-loose policy supports JPY strength, especially against weaker yielders like NZD. Macro Summary: Diverging monetary policies: RBNZ easing, BoJ possibly tightening. NZD weakened by soft data, JPY strengthened by policy expectations. Risk sentiment is currently neutral-to-negative, favoring safe-haven JPY. Conclusion: Short NZDJPY is fundamentally justified. The pair aligns with macro forces: NZD is pressured by rate cuts and weak growth, while JPY is poised to strengthen with upcoming policy shifts. ---------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the NZDJPY chart on the 4-hour time frame . NZDJPY is currently trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . In terms of classic technical analysis , it appears that NZDJPY has successfully formed a Rising Wedge Pattern . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. Based on the above explanation , I expect NZDJPY to drop to at least 87.159 JPY if the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern and the Support zone(86.50 JPY-87.00 JPY) are broken, the second target could be 86.043 JPY . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 88.378 JPY Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. New Zealand Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analyze (NZDJPY), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸 "Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉 🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!) 📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST! 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route) Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!) 🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!) ⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab 👀 Only scalp LONG! Big wallets? Raid straight in. Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery. Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰 📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Want the full intel? Check our bio0 for linkks! 👉👉 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨 News releases = volatility spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Use Trailing SL to lock profits. 💖 Support the Heist Crew! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 More boosts = easier money steals! Strengthen our robbery squad! Every day is a heist—profit with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
"CHF/JPY Bullish Trap? We’re Stealing Profits Anyway!"🔥 Swiss-Yen Bank Heist: Bullish Loot Grab! (CHF/JPY Master Plan) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a bullish heist on the CHF/JPY "Swiss-Yen" Forex Bank. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is our golden ticket! Target? The high-risk Red Zone—where police traps, overbought signals, and bearish robbers lurk. But we’re sneaky thieves… and we always get the loot! 🏆💸 📈 Entry: "The vault is wide open!" Swipe bullish gains at any price—the heist is LIVE! Pro Tip: Place buy limit orders within 15-30 min (swing lows/highs). 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief-style SL at recent 4H swing low (174.100) (Day/scalping trade) Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target: 177.200 (Time to cash out!) 🧲 Scalpers: Eyes here! 👀 Only scalp LONG. Big money? Charge in! Small budget? Join swing traders and execute the robbery. Trailing SL = Your money’s bodyguard. 💰 Why CHF/JPY? Bullish momentum fueled by: Fundamentals (COT reports, macro trends) Sentiment + Intermarket analysis (Check our bioo for deep dives! 🔗👉👉👉) ⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Chaos! 📰🗞️🚫 Avoid new trades during major news. Trailing stops = Profit protector. 💖 Support the Heist! Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Strengthen our robbery squad. Steal profits daily with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💪🚀 Stay tuned—another heist drops soon! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Market next move 🔍 Disrupting the Original Bullish Bias The original analysis assumes a bullish reversal from the support zone aiming for a resistance target near $3,360. However, let’s challenge that with an alternate (bearish or neutral) perspective: --- ⚠️ 1. Support May Not Hold Price has tested the support zone multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown. Repeated testing weakens support levels; a breakdown below $3,280 could trigger panic selling or stop-loss hunts, accelerating the drop. --- 📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Dominant The overall trend is downward, with lower highs and lower lows. The current bounce could be a dead cat bounce — a short-lived recovery before another drop. --- 📊 3. Volume Analysis There's no significant bullish volume spike at the support, which weakens the bullish thesis. This suggests lack of strong buying interest, a red flag for bullish continuation. --- 🔄 4. Resistance May Hold Strong The resistance area around $3,360 has shown previous strong rejections. Even if price rises, it could stall or reverse before reaching the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 📉 Disruption: Bearish Outlook Contradiction 1. Resistance Zone Rejection: The price action is repeatedly failing near the 107,800–108,000 resistance zone. The chart shows several long upper wicks, indicating strong selling pressure when BTC tries to move higher. 2. False Breakout Risk: The recent bullish candle with a long lower wick could be a bull trap—designed to lure buyers before a reversal. Price may retest the red box (support turned resistance) and fail to hold above it. 3. Volume Analysis: Despite a small recovery, volume is not increasing significantly, which is not typical of a strong bullish move. A lack of strong buyer volume could indicate exhaustion. 4. Lower High Structure: The chart is still forming lower highs, a sign of a downtrend continuation unless it breaks above 108,000 convincingly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
1
Market next move Disruptive (Bearish) Scenarios: 1. False Breakout Risk The recent bullish candles could be a bull trap. Price may test the “support” trendline, fail to hold, and break downwards instead of continuing upward. Watch for rejection near the target area or sharp sell-offs on high volume. 2. Overhead Resistance Zone Price is approaching historical resistance near the $3,350–$3,355 area. If it fails to close above this level on strong volume, it may reverse sharply. 3. Divergence Warning (Check RSI/MACD) If you check oscillators like RSI or MACD, and they show bearish divergence (price makes higher highs, indicator makes lower highs), that could signal a weakening bullish momentum. 4. Volume Decline The volume spikes on the recent bullish move, but volume drops afterward could indicate lack of buying interest to sustain the rally. 5. Fundamental Triggers Any sudden macroeconomic news (e.g. strong USD data, interest rate hikes, geopolitical developments) could trigger a sharp selloff in gold, invalidating the bullish setup.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBPUSD Price Action Analysis | Sell Setup Below 1.36106In this GBPUSD market overview, we break down recent price action following yesterday’s strong bullish rally from the momentum low. The session was highly emotional across major forex pairs, which is typical when a major wave structure reaches its end. This often results from incomplete auctions on one side of the market, causing order flow imbalances that drive sharp price movements. The key price level we're watching on GBPUSD is 1.36326. Price approached this zone with momentum, and the rejection at 1.36267 triggered a classic TCP (Trend Changing Pattern), followed by a single upside break, confirming exhaustion at the highs. 📉 Sell Setup: According to the Waves of Success execution model, the best short entry is below 1.36106, in alignment with the prevailing bearish structure. ⚠️ Alternative Scenario: We are not looking for long setups on GBPUSD at this time — our bias remains bearish unless significant structure changes occur. This analysis combines wave structure, trend confirmation patterns, and institutional price levels for a professional, risk-managed approach. 🔑 Key Levels: Resistance: 1.36326 Rejection High: 1.36267 Sell Trigger: 1.36106
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
GBP/CAD: Smart Money Heist Strategy – Ready for the Breakout?💼💣 GBP/CAD Forex Bank Heist Plan 🚨 | "Thief Trading Style" 💹💰 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Welcome to all strategic traders, market tacticians & opportunity seekers! 🧠💸 Here’s our latest Forex blueprint based on the exclusive “Thief Trading Style” – a blend of tactical technicals, smart fundamentals, and stealthy price action moves. We’re preparing for a potential breakout heist on the GBP/CAD a.k.a “The Pound vs Loonie”. 🗺️ Heist Strategy Overview: The market is forming a bullish setup with signs of consolidation, breakout potential, and trend reversal dynamics. We're eyeing a long entry, but timing is everything. This setup seeks to "enter the vault" just as resistance is breached and ride the move until the ATR High-Risk Zone—where many market players may exit. 🎯 Entry Plan: 📈 Primary Trigger Zone: Watch for a break and close above 1.87000. 🛎️ Set an alert! You’ll want to be ready when the opportunity knocks. 📍Entry Tips: Place Buy Stop orders above the moving average or Use Buy Limit entries on pullbacks near recent 15/30min swing lows. (Perfect for both scalpers and swing traders!) 🛑 Stop Loss Placement: Thief Trading Style uses a flexible SL system: Recommended SL at the nearest 4H swing low (~1.85700) Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk appetite & number of orders 🎤 Reminder: Set SL after breakout confirmation for buy-stop entries. No fixed rule—adapt to your style but manage risk wisely. 🎯 Target Zone: 🎯 Primary TP: 1.89000 🏃‍♂️ Or exit earlier if price enters a high-risk reversal area 🧲 Scalpers: Stick to long-side trades only and protect your profits with a trailing SL. 🔍 Why GBP/CAD? (Fundamental Notes): Current momentum is bullish, supported by: 📊 Quant & Sentiment Analysis 📰 Macro Fundamentals & COT Data 📈 Intermarket Trends & Technical Scoring Get the full data klick it 🔗 ⚠️ Caution During News: To avoid volatility spikes: Refrain from entering new positions during high-impact news Use trailing SLs to protect running profits ❤️ Show Support & Stay Tuned: Smash the 🔥Boost Button🔥 if you love this kind of analysis! Support the strategy, strengthen our community, and let’s continue this journey of smart, stylish trading. Stay tuned for the next “heist plan” update—trade smart, stay alert, and manage your risk like a pro. 🏆📈🤝
Long
by Thief_Trader
GBPNZD BUY BIAS • Supply Zone (Red Box): Price tapped into a clearly defined supply area around 2.27000–2.27474, indicating potential for bearish reversal. • Rejection Candles: Bearish rejection formed at the top of the zone with clear upper wicks, suggesting selling pressure. • 200 EMA (Curved Line): Price rallied into the supply from below the EMA, increasing the probability of a mean reversion move. • Risk/Reward Box: A short trade is shown with: • Entry: Just under 2.27000 • Stop Loss: -2.27474 • Target: 2.22349, aligning with previous structure and EMA
Short
by RayForexlyfe
GBPUSD London Session | Live Forex Analysis & Trade ideasIn today’s London session, we conducted a detailed intraday analysis on the GBPUSD currency pair using wave structure analysis on the 5-minute (M5) timeframe. Price action confirmed a break below bullish market structure that had previously formed the Asian session high, signalling a potential shift in market sentiment to the downside. This breakdown confirmed short-term bearish momentum shift. Following the completion of the bearish wave, the price retraced to form a structural pullback (trend reset), providing a discounted price zone for new short positions and offering profit-taking opportunities for earlier sellers. Our trading plan for this session is to sell GBPUSD at 1.3488, anticipating a move below the midline (ML) support at 1.3462. The technical target for this trade, based on our London-New York session projection, is set at 1.3417. The stop-loss for this setup is placed above MH of the bearish structure at 1.3505, maintaining proper risk management. This trade idea aligns with our trend-following strategy and is supported by real-time price action analysis. 📉 Short Bias Confirmed 🎯 Entry: 1.3488 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3505 ✅ Take Profit: 1.3417 Trade safe, manage your risk, and stay blessed.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
NZDJPY “Kiwi Poised to Fly as Japan Muddles ThroughNZDJPY shows a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, with bullish structure holding near 87.20–87.25. Key resistance targets: 87.97 (Previous high) 88.64 (Next resistance / projected fib target) Two upside scenarios are shown: Conservative target: ~87.97 Aggressive swing: ~88.64 If 87.00–87.20 zone holds as support, expect bullish continuation. 🧩 Current Bias: Bullish 📌 Key Fundamentals Driving NZDJPY NZD Side (Strengthening): RBNZ hawkish hold: RBNZ recently kept rates at 5.50% and warned that inflation remains persistent, requiring prolonged tight policy. Resilient NZ GDP: Stronger-than-expected GDP print signals economic resilience. Terms of trade improvement: Commodity exports holding firm, China consumption rebound showing hints of demand recovery (see recent 618 festival sales data). AUD correlation: AUD and NZD are moving together; if AUD strengthens, NZD often follows. JPY Side (Weakening): BoJ remains ultra-dovish: Despite inflation trends, BoJ is hesitant to tighten further, preferring gradual tapering. Yen under pressure from yield differentials: Global central banks (like RBNZ, Fed) remain hawkish while BoJ is not. Geopolitical funding flows: JPY used as a funding currency amid global volatility (carry trade boost for NZDJPY). ⚠️ Risks That May Reverse the Trend BoJ surprise tightening rhetoric (e.g. bond purchase taper announcement). China data deterioration, hurting Kiwi sentiment. Sharp equity sell-off and geopolitical escalation (Yen safe-haven reversal). 📅 Important News to Watch 🇳🇿 NZ Trade Balance (upcoming) 🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI (Jun 28) – Critical for BoJ policy speculation. RBNZ or BoJ member speeches (hawkish or dovish shifts) Fed tone shift or US dollar strength spillover 🏁 Who Leads the Move? NZDJPY could lead among yen crosses due to the RBNZ’s clear inflation fight versus BoJ’s passive stance. NZDJPY is also more responsive to commodity and global risk-on flows than EURJPY or USDJPY.
Long
by ultreosforex
GBPUSD Sell Limit Activated June 17 2025This trade was taken today, (tuesday- june 17, 2025). Based on 1H timeframe Supply. I wait for London Session and check for possible liquidity sweep in 15 min and 5min timeframe. I noticed a CHOCH followed by tap in Supply zone of the schematics. I decide to create a sell limit order during New York Session to maximize the Risk to Reward Ratio. (Check the charts for detailed label and movement). 1:7RR Wyckoff schematics in 1H timeframe--> confluence of supply in lower timeframes for validity. RR:7 Another classic distribution. patience is the key :) #wyckoff #sell #supplyanddemand
Short
by glyrad
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Rejection from Demand ZoneEURUSD remains supported by strong eurozone fundamentals and broad USD softness. The pair has retraced into a key demand zone around 1.1490 and is showing signs of bullish rejection. With the Fed likely to pause further rate hikes and the ECB maintaining a steady tone, the bias favors further upside toward recent highs. ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran conflict) have introduced mild safe haven demand, but so far the USD has underperformed versus the euro, suggesting EUR remains relatively insulated. Watch for confirmation and entries within the blue demand box. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Structure: Clear uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price retraced to a well-defined 1H demand zone between 1.1490–1.1500. Setup: Anticipating a bounce from the demand zone targeting the recent high near 1.1620–1.1630. Entry Zone: 1.1490–1.1500 (bullish reaction area) Target: 1.1620–1.1630 (previous supply zone) Stop Loss: Below 1.1439 (recent swing low) Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.5 🧠 Fundamental Context (as of June 16): EUR Bias: Bullish – ECB has paused cuts; euro is resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. USD Bias: Bearish – Fed is on pause; soft inflation data and geopolitical risks weigh on dollar strength. Key Drivers: Fed dovish tone (FOMC pause, lower CPI) Strong EU resilience despite global tensions CHF and JPY attracting safe haven flows over USD 📅 Key Events to Watch: US Core PCE (next major inflation readout) FOMC commentary and Fed speakers Eurozone CPI and sentiment data
Long
by ultreosforex
27
USDJPY – Triangle Complete? Wave (v) Setup BuildingWave (iv) appears to be ending with an (e) wave tag into the 0.764 retracement. 📉 Price remains capped within the contracting triangle — watching closely for breakdown confirmation. If this plays out, wave (v) of C could now begin unfolding with initial focus on 140.00 and below. 🧩 Structure: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) triangle complete 📏 Final wave (e) aligns with 0.764 retracement and structural resistance ⚠️ RSI divergence + weakening momentum support the bearish scenario
Short
by EWaveInsights
1