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XAUUSD NEXT MOVE Over-Reliance on Double Top Projection • The chart assumes a price move straight up to form a “double top” around 3,540–3,550 without acknowledging possible market hesitation or intervening resistance zones. • A double top pattern requires a confirmation of rejection at the same level; assuming it prematurely can be misleading. 2. Support Zone Might Not Be Strong Enough • The “Strong Support and Bullish Area” is drawn around 3,200–3,230, but the bounce shown in the chart is still not well-established. A break below this would invalidate the bullish thesis. • There is no confirmation of higher lows, which is critical for a trend reversal. 3. Overlooked Bearish Pressure • The previous high (around 3,540) led to a sharp selloff, indicating strong supply. This area could be a distribution zone rather than just resistance. • Market sentiment might still be bearish unless a higher high is confirmed. 4. Resistance Area Is Vague • The “Resistance” zone between 3,340–3,360 is too narrow and lacks confluence with indicators like moving averages or volume spikes. • A pullback from this zone is plausible, and it should be treated as a decision area, not just a step before price rallies. 5. Economic Events Are Ignored • There is an icon showing a U.S. economic event, but the chart doesn’t factor in fundamental catalysts, which could disrupt technical patterns significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPJPY – Breakout Buy Setup (Macro Alignment)GBPJPY long setup backed by rising LEI, strong macro trend, JPY weakness, and bullish seasonal window approaching after April 24. Waiting for breakout confirmation above resistance to validate entry. 🧠 Macro + Model Alignment LEI score rising → 33 (April), macro outlook improving Exo+LEI = 1153 → strong bullish signal JPY COT: Overbought → reversal risk GBP fundamentals outperform JPY across April Seasonality: GBP bearish till April 24, then bullish into month-end 📌 Best entry window = April 25+ 📊 Technical Setup – 1H Chart Price testing key resistance zone ~190.00 Watching for breakout & candle close above resistance for confirmation Clear R:R with defined structure zones 📥 Entry: Break and close above 190.284 ⛔ Stop Loss: 187.414 🎯 Take Profit: 192.608 🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+ Confirmation required before entry ✅
Long
by wajahatarif
4
XAUUSD | Bearish Order Block Rejection in Premium | Short Setup🔥 XAUUSD – 5M Timeframe Smart Money Setup | April 30, 2025 Gold just printed the kind of setup Smart Money waits for: liquidity sweep + order block retest + Fibonacci confluence — all in the Premium Zone. 📍 Price Action Breakdown: We marked a Clear Bearish Order Block after a strong move down. Price retraced cleanly back into the 61.8%–79% Fibonacci Premium Zone — the exact area where Smart Money sells to retail buyers. Price wicked into the OB, filled the imbalance, and showed strong bearish rejection. Entry triggered on confirmation candle after tap. 🎯 Key Setup Elements: ✅ OB in Premium ✅ Bearish BOS before entry ✅ Fibonacci rejection (61.8–79%) ✅ Clean mitigation of the OB ✅ Low time frame confirmation entry 🧠 Smart Money Flow: Retail: “Gold’s recovering! Time to buy!” Smart Money: “Thanks for the liquidity. Here’s your SL.” 🫡💸 Every wick into that OB zone is a buy stop getting sniped by institutions. 💥 Trade Setup: Entry: OB rejection zone at 3,328–3,332 SL: Above 3,332 (wick high / OB invalidation) TP: TP1: 3,314 TP2: 3,306 TP3: 3,299 (full RR completion) Risk:Reward ~ 1:3+ 📈 Risk Management Note: Trailing SL advised once we reach TP1. Let price prove itself. Gold is volatile, but this structure is textbook. 🔮 What to Watch Next: BOS below 3,320 confirms further bearish momentum. Any re-entry into OB without momentum = trap. 🎤 Final Thoughts: This is a play straight out of the institutional handbook — it’s not about chasing, it’s about letting price come to you. Patience = Profit. 🧠💰 🗣️ Drop “GOLDEN SNIPER” in the comments if you caught this too. 💾 Save this chart — it's a lesson in precision. 👥 Tag your scalping squad — no excuses on this clean setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
EURNZD strong daily demand level at 1.89. Long biasSupply and demand imbalances are the driving forces behind price movements in the Forex market. By identifying these key zones or imbalances, traders can anticipate high-probability reversal or continuation setups. Today, we’ll analyze the EURNZD cross pair, which has recently formed a strong demand imbalance at $1.89—the most significant impulse in months. The Power of Supply & Demand Imbalances Supply and demand trading revolves around identifying areas where price has made a strong, impulsive move (demand or supply zone) and then waiting for a retracement into that zone for a potential reversal or continuation. Key Characteristics of a Strong Imbalance: ✅ Extended Range Candles (ERC): Strong, wide-bodied candles indicate institutional buying/selling. ✅ Strong Imbalance: A clear shift in market structure after a strong rally or drop. ✅ Fresh Zone: The imbalance has not been tested yet or has only been tested once.
by AlfonsoMoreno
XAU/USD - H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 23-04-2024⚙️ Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 🧭 Current Market Bias (H1) Check if price is above or below 50 EMA and 200 EMA Above both = bullish bias Below both = bearish bias Between = range / indecision ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Buy the Dip) Entry Zone: $2,340 – $2,350 (recent demand zone) Entry Signal: Bullish engulfing / hammer / RSI bounce from 40 Stop Loss: $2,325 (below recent swing low) Take Profit 1: $2,370 Take Profit 2: $2,390 Risk:Reward: At least 1:2 ❌ Bearish Trade Setup (Sell the Rally) Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,400 (strong resistance) Entry Signal: Bearish engulfing / shooting star / RSI rejection from 70 Stop Loss: $2,415 (above previous swing high) Take Profit 1: $2,360 Take Profit 2: $2,340 📌 Extra Tips Use MACD crossovers or RSI divergence for confirmation. Avoid entering during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP). Consider partial closes and trailing stops if price action moves in your favor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn
EURNZD - at major Resistance: Will it drop to 1.9000?OANDA:EURNZD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering some strong bearish momentum. This zone can be a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.9000 level . However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and mean further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Short
by TrendDiva
19
GBPUSD in Correction Phase – Potential for a Short OpportunityGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) , Support lines and Important Support line . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , GBPUSD appears to have completed the microwave 5 of the main wave 3 with the help of the Ending Diagonal Pattern and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 is likely to have a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect GBPUSD to decline at least to the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) and Support lines . Note: If GBPUSD goes above $1.30 we should expect more pumping. The worst Stop Loss(SL) for a SHORT position could be $1.30. Note: If GBPUSD falls below $1.2760, we should expect more dumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound/U.S. Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal): Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward. Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish. Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs. 2. Range-Bound Movement: Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940. Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum. 3. Bullish Divergence Possibility: Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows. Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal. 4. Fundamental Risk: Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Long
by mrsamfx81
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential: Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area). Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070. 2. Support Holding Strong: Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range. Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection. 3. Sideways Consolidation: Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves). Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario. Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward. Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated. Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
XAUUSD BUY AGAIN ALL TIEM HIGHFakeout Possibility: The price has sharply surged, but it may be a liquidity grab before a reversal. If buyers fail to hold above the first support zone, a deeper drop could occur. Resistance Strength: The resistance zones above are historically strong, making a breakout difficult. If momentum weakens before reaching the first target, a rejection is likely. Potential Double Top Formation: If price retests resistance without breaking, a double top pattern could form. This could trigger a reversal towards the lower support levels. Volume Confirmation: If there is decreasing bullish volume as price climbs, it may indicate a false rally. Strong bearish volume appearing at resistance would support a reversal
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish) Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal. If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally. Support Failure Instead of Bounce The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead. A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below). Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal. The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop. Fundamental Risks Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally. If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
TVC:USOILLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection. If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce. 2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic. Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move. 3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying. RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal. 4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.). If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones. Possible Alternative Scenario A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
Long
by mrsamfx81
1
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBP/CAD Potential short opportunity 📉 Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for: ✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4 ✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) ✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers ⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup. 📊 What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
Short
by theunscriptedacademy
2
EURUSD Hits Support Zone—Is a Bullish Reversal Coming!!!As I expected , the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) fell to the target I set yesterday. EURUSD is moving near Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and 100_SMA(4-hour) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the EURUSD has succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) , and we should wait for the EURUSD to rise again. One of the signs of completion can be a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern with a suitable volume . I expect EURUSD to rise to Resistance zone($1.0534-$1.0448) after breaking the Resistance lines . Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.0333, we can expect more dumps . Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15