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GBPUSD in Correction Phase – Potential for a Short OpportunityGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) , Support lines and Important Support line . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , GBPUSD appears to have completed the microwave 5 of the main wave 3 with the help of the Ending Diagonal Pattern and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 is likely to have a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect GBPUSD to decline at least to the Support zone($1.286-$1.278) and Support lines . Note: If GBPUSD goes above $1.30 we should expect more pumping. The worst Stop Loss(SL) for a SHORT position could be $1.30. Note: If GBPUSD falls below $1.2760, we should expect more dumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound/U.S. Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
GBPUSDThe chart shows British Pound (GBP/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key levels of support and resistance, and an area of Fair Value Gap (FVG). Here’s the detailed analysis: Key Observations: 1. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The chart highlights two FVG zones. One is located above the current price, indicating a gap in price action that could act as a resistance level. The price has recently failed to break this upper FVG, suggesting possible selling pressure around this level. - The second FVG zone is below the current price level, around 1.29314, which is acting as a potential support zone. This suggests that the price might retrace toward this level before continuing its movement. 2. Price Action: - The price action shows a rejection near the upper FVG zone, leading to a potential retracement towards the lower FVG zone. This is a typical market behavior where after an initial move, the market often retraces to fill the FVG before continuing in the same direction. - The price is currently sitting near 1.29461, which is just below the upper FVG and might act as a level of resistance. If the price holds below this level, it could continue moving downward to 1.29314.- The target is marked at 1.29314, which is just above the lower FVG zone. If the price retraces toward this level, it could find support and potentially reverse its trend to the upside. 4. Volume: - The volume bars at the bottom show that there is decreasing volume during the upward movement and a spike in volume during the recent price pullback. This may indicate that there is increased selling pressure at the upper FVG zone, which could lead to further downside movement. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Pullback: - The price is currently facing resistance near the upper FVG zone, and a retracement to the lower FVG zone at 1.29314 is likely. If the price tests this level and holds, it could provide a strong buy signal for the next bullish move. 2. Bullish Reversal: - If the price retraces to 1.29314 and shows strong buying pressure (such as a bullish candlestick pattern or an increase in volume), it could continue its bullish move towards the upper FVG zone and potentially higher levels. 3. Breakdown Below Support: - If the price fails to hold the 1.29314 support and breaks lower, it may continue its downward movement toward further support levels below 1.2900. Conclusion:
Short
by Joan_Pro_Trader
GOLD NEXT MOVE Bullish Breakout Potential: Alternative Scenario: Instead of the bearish move toward the lower targets, the price might break through the strong resistance (highlighted at the "double top" area). Trigger: A strong bullish volume surge could invalidate the resistance zone, leading to an upward breakout toward a potential new high, around 3,050–3,070. 2. Support Holding Strong: Alternative Outlook: The "Target Breakout" support level may serve as a key reversal zone, forming a higher low. If buyers defend this level aggressively, it could lead to a trend reversal back to the top of the range. Trigger: Bullish momentum around the support could push the price back toward 3,040 and invalidate the bearish arrow projection. 3. Sideways Consolidation: Alternative Setup: The price might remain range-bound between 3,020 and 3,040 for some time due to market indecision, as traders assess macroeconomic factors (e.g., inflation, central bank moves). Trigger: Lack of clear bullish or bearish momentum could lead to whipsaw action, trapping both buyers and sellers.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
GOLDThe chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a bullish trend and key levels that traders should monitor. Here's a detailed breakdown: Key Observations: 1. Bullish Momentum: The price is currently in an uptrend, with a clear bullish breakout from the support zone near 3,000.000. This upward movement shows strength, indicating that gold is in a bullish phase, heading toward a higher target. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The chart marks an FVG (Fair Value Gap), an area where price imbalances occurred. This gap may act as a support area if price retraces, potentially providing buying opportunities. The FVG area is located around 3,022.790, and if the price pulls back into this zone, it could present a good opportunity for a rebound. 3. Order Block: The order block is located above the FVG zone, near 3,030.000, marking a potential resistance level. This is where price might face selling pressure. If the price struggles to break through this order block, there could be a slight pullback or consolidation before continuing the upward movement.4. Target: The target is set at 3,004.000, which is the next key level. This price level might be a point where the price could face resistance or a potential reversal if it moves too quickly toward this level. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario: If price breaks the order block at 3,030.000 and continues upward, it could target the 3,004.000 level. If the bullish momentum continues, we could see further movement above 3,040.000 in the near term. 2. Bearish Reversal: If the price fails to break the order block and starts to retrace, there is a potential for a pullback to the FVG around 3,022.790. This would be an opportunity for traders to buy the dip, especially if the price holds above the FVG zone. Conclusion: The chart shows a bullish outlook for gold with a target at 3,004.000. Watch for the price to either break the order block for continuation of the bullish trend, or retrace back to the FVG support zone for a potential bounce. Traders should focus on these key levels and look for confirmation of price action to decide on entry points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Joan_Pro_Trader
GBPUSD DOWN NEXT MOVE BIG FALL SOON Bullish Breakout Scenario (Reversal): Alternative Idea: Instead of reversing at the strong selling zone, GBP/USD could break above the resistance level at 1.2940 and continue upward. Trigger: If strong bullish momentum emerges (e.g., fueled by positive UK economic news or weak US dollar sentiment), this could invalidate the bearish setup and turn the trend bullish. Next Target: A breakout might push the price toward 1.3000 or higher, targeting previous swing highs. 2. Range-Bound Movement: Alternative Setup: GBP/USD may fail to show any clear breakout and instead consolidate within a tight range between 1.2880 and 1.2940. Trigger: Lack of volume or mixed economic data could lead to sideways movement, trapping traders expecting immediate directional momentum. 3. Bullish Divergence Possibility: Technical Suggestion: Check for a potential bullish divergence on momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, where price is making lower lows, but the indicator shows higher lows. Implication: This could signal weakening bearish pressure, increasing the chances of a reversal. 4. Fundamental Risk: Macroeconomic Impact: The chart analysis could be disrupted by upcoming events like central bank decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments that may favor either currency
Long
by mrsamfx81
xAUUSD Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience📊 XAUUSD WEEKLY INSIGHT | Structure, Sentiment & Strategic Patience As we close out a volatile trading week, let’s zoom out and assess what’s really happening with gold. The recent price action on the higher timeframes is revealing important signals — and it’s time to take a strategic pause before the next move. 🔍 WEEKLY SNAPSHOT: Gold experienced a sharp correction of over $50, followed by a late-session recovery into the weekend. The result? ✅ Long upper wicks on both the W1 and D1 candles, ✅ Signs of rejection from all-time highs, ✅ Yet price still managed to close above the 50% candle body range — momentum is cooling, but not reversing (yet). The big question now is: Is this a healthy pullback within the uptrend… or the beginning of something deeper? 📐 Key Takeaways: Structure on higher timeframes remains bullish – price is still moving within the primary ascending channel Short-term retracement has reached the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone on H1 and H2 – a potential decision area End-of-week buying indicates positioning by informed participants, not random volatility No confirmation of a major reversal yet – but conditions are developing 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zones: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056 Support Zones: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986 🧠 Mindset Going Into Next Week: Don’t rush it. Let Monday’s open reveal the volume story — whether through gaps, spikes, or clean structure. The best setups form after the market shows its hand, not before. This is where strategic patience beats emotional trading. 📣 Final Note: Stay focused on structure. Respect your levels. Watch how price reacts — not just where it goes. And remember: sometimes no trade is a powerful trade when the market is indecisive. More insights coming soon on market psychology and execution discipline. 💬 Feel free to leave a comment, follow for updates, or share your own views below. Wishing everyone a strong and clear start to the new week, — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
oil trap two seller but bullish soonThe chart shows WTI Crude Oil (CFDs) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a clear bullish momentum currently in play. Here’s a detailed breakdown: 1. Bullish Momentum: The price is rising steadily within an ascending channel, breaking above previous resistance levels. The next target is set at 68.90, suggesting continued upward movement if the trend holds. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Two FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones are marked, with one occurring at 68.04. If the price closes a candle below this level, it could trigger a pullback toward filling the gap, offering a potential area for buying or a retracement before further upside movement. 3. Order Block: A strong order block is marked near 67.20, suggesting significant buying interest in this zone. This level can act as support if the price revisits it, providing further confirmation of the bullish trend if the price holds above this level. 4. Target: The next target is set at 68.90, just below the resistance zone. If the price continues its upward movement, this could be the next major point where traders expect price action to react. A breakout above this level could extend the bullish momentum further.5. Price Action & Resistance Levels: The resistance zone around 68.50 is marked as a critical level. Price has recently tested this level and could either face rejection or break higher. Traders should monitor this level closely for any signs of reversal or continuation. Summary: The current chart shows a bullish outlook with a target at 68.90. However, there is an FVG gap at 68.04 that could be filled if price retraces. Order blocks and previous support zones further suggest that any pullback toward these levels could provide opportunities to enter long positions before the next leg up. Monitoring 68.50 resistance and the 68.90 target will be key for traders.
TVC:USOILLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move. Support Might Not Hold The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200. Bearish Volume Presence The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside. Resistance Overhead is Strong The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
all tiem high gold target 3080Double Top Resistance May Hold – The chart assumes a breakout above the double top resistance, but double tops often indicate a reversal rather than a continuation. A strong rejection from this level could lead to a bearish move instead of the projected bullish scenario. Volume Divergence – The recent price action does not seem to show strong bullish volume compared to the previous rally. If buyers are weaker at this level, a fake breakout could trap longs before reversing downward. Support Might Break Instead of Holding – The analysis assumes that the support zones will hold, but if price retests the nearest support and breaks below it, the entire bullish scenario could be invalidated. Bearish Scenario Missing – The chart focuses heavily on an upward move but lacks a strong bearish alternative. If sellers step in near resistance, a drop toward lower supports (like $3,020 or lower) becomes a valid possibility.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
EURUSD Bulls Eyeing FOMC–Will Powell’s Dovish Tone Fuel a Rally?As we approach the much-anticipated FOMC rate decision and Powell’s press conference , market sentiment is shifting, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) traders are closely watching for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move . With recent economic data pointing to signs of slowing growth and cooling inflation, the Fed might adopt a more dovish tone , fueling further upside for EURUSD . Key Factors Driving the Bullish Outlook : Inflation & Economic Data : CPI and PPI data indicate a gradual cooling of inflation, which strengthens the case for a potential rate cut later this year. If Powell acknowledges this shift, it could weigh on the dollar. Market Pricing of Rate Cuts : Investors are already pricing in multiple Fed rate cuts for 2024. A dovish Powell could accelerate these expectations, weakening USD and pushing the EURUSD higher. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 2-hour time frame . EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) and Yearly Resistance(1) . Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is the Double Three Correction(WXY) . The main wave 5 is likely to complete near the upper line of the ascending channel(possible) and Monthly Resistance(4) . I expect EURUSD to rise in the coming hours to the targets I have indicated on the chart, although the Federal Reserve Conference could create long shadows , but I think the supply and demand zones will still work but still pay more attention to money management today . Note: If EURUSD can break below the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , there is a possibility of further decline in EURUSD. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
3
BTCUSD UPWARD TARGET SUCCESSFUL DONE The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with several key levels and trade zones highlighted: 1. Resistance: The price is currently testing a key resistance zone around 83,500 - 84,000, where price has previously faced rejection. The chart shows a series of BiBi (Break In/Buy) zones below this resistance, indicating price has bounced off those levels in the past, making them areas of interest for potential long entries if the price pulls back to those levels again. 2. BiBi Zones: Multiple BiBi zones are identified at lower levels, which are areas where price has previously bounced. The most recent BiBi zone is at 82,800, with a previous BiBi at 82,400, marking possible support levels where price may find demand and move higher. 3. Support Level: The Support Level is clearly marked at 82,400, a key level where price has reversed upward in previous moves. A break below this level could signal further downside potential, testing lower support areas. 4. Price Action: The price has recently faced a small rejection from the resistance zone around 83,500, and a BiBi zone at 82,800 is acting as support. If price holds above this support, a bullish move towards the resistance zone could be expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
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by terencej
1
breakdown of the setup! Read CaptionThis is a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showing a bullish channel with price currently trading near its upper boundary. Here’s a breakdown of the setup: Market Structure: Trend: Gold is in a strong uptrend, moving within a well-defined ascending channel. Current Price: Around $2,998, with a recent high of $3,000.55. Key Target: A potential bullish breakout targeting $3,020+. Support Zones: Highlighted between $2,930 - $2,860 as possible retracement levels. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the midline of the channel, a push toward $3,020 - $3,050 could be expected. Pullback & Retest: A minor correction toward $2,970 - $2,960 before resuming its uptrend. Deeper Retracement: A stronger pullback could lead to a test of $2,930 or even $2,860, aligning with the lower trendline. Trading Plan: Buy on dips if price retests lower support zones within the channel. Breakout trade above $3,020 could indicate further upside potential. Risk management: Watch for bearish rejection candles near resistance. This setup favors bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback is possible before the next leg up. 📈🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
XAUUSD - Short Trade after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)Short after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010) 📌 Entry: Sell within the $3,005 - $3,010 range if there is a clear rejection and price weakness. 🎯 Take-Profit 1: $2,985 (immediate support) 🎯 Take-Profit 2: $2,970 (recent lows) 🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,015 (above resistance) 🔹 Probability: High – Confirmed by weak volume on rallies and strong resistance. Trade Rationale: Key Resistance Zone ($3,005 - $3,010): This level has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers step in to push prices lower. If price action shows rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles), it confirms a high-probability short setup. Weak Volume on Rallies: Volume analysis suggests that bullish momentum lacks strong participation. A rising price with decreasing volume often signals an exhaustion of buyers, increasing the probability of a reversal. Technical Indicators Align: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Overbought or showing bearish divergence, signaling potential downside pressure. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Losing bullish momentum or forming a bearish crossover, indicating potential for a pullback. Donchian Trend & Moving Averages : Price is testing upper Donchian bands and key moving averages are suggesting overextension. Risk-Reward Ratio: > The stop-loss at $3,015 ensures protection against false breakouts. > The first take-profit ($2,985) targets the nearest support, locking in quick profits. > The second take-profit ($2,970) aligns with recent swing lows, maximizing the downside potential. Final RRR (TP2) is 1 : 3,4 Conclusion: A rejection from the $3,005 - $3,010 resistance zone presents a solid short opportunity, backed by weak bullish momentum, technical confluence, and favorable risk-reward. If the price fails to break higher and shows signs of rejection, this trade setup has a strong probability of success. ⚠️ Final Warning: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. What do you think about this setup? Would you take this trade? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VidaDeTraderPT
EURUSD Faces Resistance zone – Will Bears Take Over?The EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) has reached the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) as I expected in my previous post . Can the EURUSD break the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) ? EURUSD is moving near the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916) , the Resistance line , and Yearly Resistance(1) . According to the Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD seems to have completed 5 impulse waves and we can expect Corrective Waves . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the EURUSD to decline to at least the Support zone($1.0817-$1.0760) in the coming hours after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . One of the EURUSD targets could be as wide as the ascending channel . Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance zone($1.0983-$1.0916), we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
5
XAUUSD BUY AGAIN ALL TIEM HIGHFakeout Possibility: The price has sharply surged, but it may be a liquidity grab before a reversal. If buyers fail to hold above the first support zone, a deeper drop could occur. Resistance Strength: The resistance zones above are historically strong, making a breakout difficult. If momentum weakens before reaching the first target, a rejection is likely. Potential Double Top Formation: If price retests resistance without breaking, a double top pattern could form. This could trigger a reversal towards the lower support levels. Volume Confirmation: If there is decreasing bullish volume as price climbs, it may indicate a false rally. Strong bearish volume appearing at resistance would support a reversal
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish) Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal. If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally. Support Failure Instead of Bounce The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead. A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below). Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal. The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop. Fundamental Risks Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally. If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
TVC:USOILLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPJPY Buy Analysis: GTEGBPJPY has successfully broken out of the descending trendline, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals a potential continuation to the upside, with price now targeting the next resistance zone around 192.50 - 193.00. As long as price holds above the breakout level near 191.30, the bullish momentum remains intact. The breakout suggests further upside movement, with buyers stepping in to push price toward the previous highs. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes to strengthen the move.
Long
by US30EMPIRE