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EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial..EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial Fed Decision The EUR/USD pair began the week with positive momentum, hovering around the 1.1000 mark ahead of the London session on Monday. Investors are keeping a close eye on the upcoming US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision, which is expected to have a significant impact on the market later this week. The key question remains: will the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points (bps), or will it take a more aggressive approach and reduce rates by 50 bps? According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds are nearly split, with a 48.0% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. The market's indecision reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move as economic conditions remain mixed. While inflation data has shown signs of cooling, other indicators point to a resilient economy, leaving investors to speculate on the extent of monetary easing that may be announced. All eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide crucial insights into the central bank's future stance on interest rates. Should Powell signal a more aggressive easing approach, it could weigh heavily on the US Dollar, potentially pushing the EUR/USD higher. Conversely, a more cautious outlook could lead to a stronger dollar, capping any further gains for the euro. From a technical perspective, the week begins with little change in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders are still overwhelmingly long on the euro. In fact, retailer positioning is at its highest point since August 2023, signaling a potential reversal opportunity for contrarian traders. As the EUR/USD approaches a key supply area, a retest could trigger a pullback, with the price poised to drop if the supply zone holds. Given the heavy retail interest in long positions, we are looking for a short setup in the EUR/USD. A pullback from the current levels, especially around the supply area, could offer an attractive opportunity for bears. With the market bracing for the Fed's policy decision and retail traders heavily invested in long positions, the coming days could provide pivotal moments for the EUR/USD pair. As the week unfolds, the Fed's policy signals will be key to determining the next directional move for the EUR/USD. For now, traders should remain cautious and watch for any shifts in sentiment as the market digests the Fed's decision and the FOMC press conference. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
2
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain. On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD. 🕯Technical Analysis After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118 BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
by TVS-Trader
#DXY 4H On the 4-hour chart (4H) of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), the price is currently in a downtrend, indicating a strong sell opportunity. Sell Levels: 101.200 - 101.500 The price has reached a potential selling zone between 101.200 and 101.500, which is acting as a resistance range in the current bearish trend. This is a strategic area to consider short positions as the market may struggle to break above this level. Target Level: 99.500 The expected downside target for this move is around 99.500, a key support area where the price might find some buying interest or consolidation after the bearish move. Key Factors: Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the price action. Resistance: The price faces strong selling pressure near 101.200-101.500. Momentum: Indicators like RSI and moving averages suggest the trend is firmly bearish, with room to fall toward the 99.500 support. Trading Strategy: Entry: Look for short entries near the 101.200-101.500 range. Target: Aim for the 99.500 level as the profit target. Stop-loss: Consider placing a stop-loss above 101.500 to manage risk effectively. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in line with the ongoing downtrend.
TVC:DXYShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
FOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using RisologicalFOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using Risological Nice forex trade (NZDUSD) on Risological. All long trade targets done nicely on the 15m time frame. The Trailing stop is at 0.61645, so, small portion of the trade is still open for further upward profits. If the price closes (15m candle close) below the Risological trend line - the dotted line acting as trailing stop, that will be the sign of trend reversal and we will look at fresh short position. Thanks and all the best. Like and follow if this helped.
Long
by ProfitsNinja
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Chart Analysis Trade Recommendation: Sell Sell Level:1.10800 Target Level : 1.09750 Overview: The EURUSD currency pair is currently poised for a potential downtrend according to the latest daily chart analysis. We recommend entering a sell position at the level of 1.10800, which aligns with key resistance and shows signs of a potential reversal. Target Level: 1 Target Level: 1.09750 This level represents the anticipated downside target where the price is expected to find support or experience a rebound. This target reflects a reasonable expectation based on recent price action and technical indicators. Strategy: Enter the sell position at 1.10800 with a stop-loss set above the recent resistance to manage risk and protect against adverse price movements. - Monitor the price action as it approaches the target level of 1.09750. Consider adjusting your stop-loss or taking profits if the price shows signs of reversing near this target. Outlook: The bearish outlook is supported by recent trends and technical signals suggesting a potential decline. Stay updated with market news and economic events that could impact the EURUSD pair, and adjust your strategy as necessary. Feel free to refine this description based on any additional insights or analysis you may have!
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
#CADCHF 1DAYCADCHF Daily Chart Analysis Trade Recommendation: Buy Buy Level: 0.62200 Target Levels: 0.63900 / 0.64700 / 0.6600 Overview: The CADCHF currency pair has shown promising signs for a bullish trend based on recent daily chart analysis. We recommend entering a buy position at the level of 0.62100, which has demonstrated strong support and potential for upward momentum. Target Levels: 1.First Target: 0.63900 - This level represents an initial resistance point where the price is expected to test and potentially pull back. 2.Second Target: 0.64700 - A further resistance level where the price might encounter increased selling pressure, offering a second profit-taking opportunity. 3. Third Target: 0.6600 - The final target level, indicating a significant upside potential if the bullish trend continues to strengthen. Strategy: Enter the buy position at 0.62200 with stop-loss orders set below the support level to manage risk. Monitor the price action closely as it approaches each target level, and consider adjusting stop-loss or taking partial profits as needed. Outlook: The overall trend appears bullish, supported by recent price action and technical indicators. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that could impact the CADCHF pair, and adjust your strategy accordingly. Feel free to adjust any specifics or add additional details based on your analysis!
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
"DAX Index Rises Ahead of ECB Meeting"In the U.S., the consumer price index increased by 0.2% in August, while the annual rise was 2.5%, aligning with forecasts. Following the drop in inflation, the likelihood of the Fed implementing a 25 basis point rate cut next week has risen to 85%. After this data release, market risk appetite increased, leading to intensified buying activity in the DAX index. Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. Technically, on the upside if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first toward the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900. if the 18,500 level is broken to the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,285 support and then to 18.075.
XETR:DAX
by primequotes
Gold Analysis September 12Fundamental Analysis Gold prices rose on an overnight rebound from the psychological $2,500 mark and gained some positive momentum on Thursday. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its policy easing cycle and lower borrowing costs next week turned out to be a major factor acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, bearish bets on a larger Fed rate cut at the end of the September 17-18 policy meeting have pushed the US Dollar (USD) closer to its monthly peak and should limit gains for the commodity. In addition, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is likely to undermine traditional safe-haven assets and deter traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around Gold prices. Furthermore, the recent range-bound price action and repeated failures to find acceptance above the $2,530-2,532 zone or the all-time high reached in August, make it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for further gains. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold prices pushed up to 2521 in the late Asian session and as the European session began, prices are being pushed back down. The area of ​​interest is the 2512 zone as prices failed to break through until mid-European session, then BUYing back up to 2528 before the US. Breaking 2528 holds until the 2555.xx peak. In the opposite direction when the 2512 zone is broken, wait for retest to sell to 2500 and 2595. In case gold does not push to 12 but flies away, sell again in the 2528-2530 zone. SELL 2543 - 2545 Stoploss 2549 BUY 2503 - 2501. Stoploss 2498 BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 249
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
#AUDNZD 1DAYAUDNZD Daily Trade Overview Trade Setup: Buy AUDNZD Entry Point: 1.08100 Target Levels: -Target 1: 1.10200 -Target 2: 1.11200 Description: The AUDNZD pair presents a favorable buying opportunity on the daily chart. A buy entry is suggested at 1.08100, where the current technical analysis indicates potential for upward movement. This entry level is supported by recent price trends and a generally bullish outlook for the Australian Dollar relative to the New Zealand Dollar. Target Levels: 1.Primary Target (1.10200): This level serves as an initial profit-taking point. It reflects previous resistance and is a logical point for partial exit or to secure gains if the price moves in our favor. 2.Secondary Target (1.11200): This is a higher target for those looking to capitalize on a more extended uptrend. It aligns with longer-term resistance levels and broader market trends. Strategy: Entry:Pl ace a buy order at 1.08100, observing price action around this level. Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss order to manage risk and protect against unexpected price reversals. Position it below recent support to allow for normal market fluctuations. Monitoring: Continuously monitor market conditions, economic news, and price action for any signs that might affect the trade's performance. Adjust targets and stop-loss orders as necessary based on evolving market dynamics. Summary: This trade setup offers a potential opportunity to capitalize on an anticipated rise in AUDNZD. The outlined targets provide strategic exit points for profit-taking, while appropriate risk management will help mitigate potential losses..
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
#GBPCHF 1DAYGBP/CHF Daily Chart Analysis Resistance Level: 1.11300 On the daily chart for GBP/CHF, the current resistance level is established at 1.11300. This level represents a significant barrier where selling pressure has historically emerged, preventing the price from advancing further. Traders should pay close attention to this level, as a failure to break through could result in a reversal or consolidation. Target Level: 1.08700 The target level for this analysis is set at 1.08700. This level is identified as a potential support or price target, where the market may experience buying interest or find a floor. If the price declines towards this level, it could indicate a possible area of accumulation or a reversal point, providing an opportunity for traders to adjust their strategies accordingly. Summary In summary, GBP/CHF is currently facing resistance at 1.11300, which could cap the upside potential in the short term. If the price struggles to breach this resistance, the market may head towards the target level of 1.08700, where support could emerge. Traders should monitor price action around these levels to gauge potential market movements and adjust their positions accordingly.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
3
EURUSD | Long From Support ZoneFollowing a recent inner descending channel on the EURUSD we have reached a key support zone where a potential pivot could create a lower high in the overall bull trend and surge the euro back up and out of the current inner channel. With the key resistance zone lying around 1.12000 I can see price pushing to this level before either correcting back in the range or pushing above into the resistance zone and creating a higher high which would again validate the current market structure for the overall bull trend in ascending fashion. What are your thoughts?
Long
by OfficialKieranTrewick
1
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to 50% Fibo lvl area 5374.Dear colleagues, at the moment I believe that the price is in the upward impulse of wave “1”, I assume that soon it will end and the correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5374 will begin. It is quite possible that the price is already completing wave “1” and the downward movement will start soon. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Hellena_Trade
10
Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.90284 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.89547 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.91183 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which lines up wit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
1