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World gold prices went down as the market increasingly lowered eWorld gold prices went down as the market increasingly lowered expectations that the US would cut interest rates. On the other hand, the need to safely hide capital in precious metals has also gradually decreased as the Iran-Israel conflict has calmed down. Any major stable addresses continue to support gold and any escalation would take prices up to $2,500 an ounce. This precious metal will only stop if central banks continuously buy or return to investing in risky assets. World gold prices are forecast to increase sharply at any time if the Middle East becomes more unstable. On the other hand, precious metal products are also being slowed down thanks to a rising USD on a global scale. A strong USD puts pressure on gold, thereby restraining the rise of this metal commodity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrTrongVo
GBP/AUD Exhibits Signs of Reversal Amid Positive UK Economic DatThe GBP/AUD pair has recently shifted its trajectory, transitioning from a recovery phase initiated at 1.08600 in January to a downward trend. Currently hovering around the 1.9158 level, the pair encounters significant resistance marked by the Point of Control (POC) value and Fibonacci levels. This convergence suggests the potential for a pullback before resuming its upward momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates proximity to oversold conditions, further supporting the anticipation of a correction. In response, we've opted to position two Buy limits in anticipation of the impending reversal. The UK manufacturing sector delivered a surprising expansion in March, following a contraction spanning 20 consecutive months. This growth was primarily fueled by robust domestic demand, elevating business optimism to its highest level since April 2023. Notably, 58% of manufacturers anticipate an increase in production levels over the next 12 months. Concurrently, British house prices surged by 1.6% in March, marking the sharpest increase since December 2022. Despite prevailing higher interest rates, the real estate sector demonstrates resilience, contributing to overall economic stability. In light of these developments, we foresee a potential pullback in the GBP/AUD pair, followed by a resumption of its upward trajectory.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
Betting on a Stronger Dollar Greenback Gets ExpensiveThe US dollar is soaring, and investors are scrambling to jump on the bandwagon. This surge in demand is reflected in the options market, where the cost of betting on further dollar appreciation has reached its highest point since November 2023. This trend highlights the growing confidence in the US economy's resilience, prompting a flight to safety in the greenback. Several factors are fueling the dollar's current strength. Firstly, the US economy continues to demonstrate surprising resilience in the face of global headwinds. Recent data, such as stronger-than-expected retail sales figures, has prompted investors to pare back bets on aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This shift in expectations has bolstered the appeal of the dollar relative to other currencies. Secondly, the turmoil in global markets is driving investors towards safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation across the globe are creating uncertainty, pushing investors to seek the relative stability offered by the US dollar. The dollar's long-standing reputation as a reserve currency makes it a natural destination for these risk-averse investors. This surge in demand for the dollar is evident across the foreign exchange market. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of major currencies, has climbed to a five-month high. The dollar has already notched up impressive gains against major rivals like the yen, reaching a 34-year high, and strengthening significantly against the euro, pound, and several other currencies. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar is spilling over into the options market. Investors seeking to profit from a continued rise in the dollar's value are increasingly turning to call options. However, this increased demand comes at a cost. The premium, or the upfront cost, of buying these call options has risen significantly. This surge in option prices indicates that investors are willing to pay a higher price to secure their bets on a stronger dollar. The trend in the options market presents a mixed bag for investors. On the one hand, the rising cost of call options suggests that the market is anticipating further dollar appreciation. This could be a lucrative opportunity for those who correctly predict the dollar's trajectory. On the other hand, the higher premiums eat into potential profits, making successful bets on the dollar more challenging. Looking ahead, the future path of the dollar hinges on several key factors. The trajectory of the US economy, the actions of the Federal Reserve, and the evolution of global geopolitical and economic conditions will all play a role in determining the dollar's strength. Despite the uncertainties, the current trend suggests a continued period of dollar dominance. Investors, however, should carefully consider the increased costs of betting on the dollar in the options market and ensure their strategies account for these elevated premiums. This is a dynamic situation, and close monitoring of both economic data and market movements will be crucial for navigating the ever-evolving currency landscape.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
EUR/USD Update: Interplay of Market Dynamics and Economic NewsThe EUR/USD pair has continued its downward trajectory, in line with our previous weekend analysis, now hovering around the 1.06100 mark. This decline coincides with a convergence of multiple technical indicators and recent economic developments. Notably, the price action has entered a potential Fibonacci reversal zone, coupled with an oversold condition signaled by the RSI indicator. Additionally, there are indications of a possible Harmonic pattern Gartley formation, adding complexity to our forecast. On the economic front, market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's policy stance in June is predominantly static, with the CME FedWatch Tool reflecting an approximate 80% probability of the Fed maintaining its current policy rates. This consensus suggests that the USD may have further room to appreciate, particularly if Fed Chair Powell adopts a more hawkish tone in upcoming communications. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions initially acted as a restraint on the USD's upward momentum during Monday's early trading session, contributing to a slight uptick in the EUR/USD pair. However, this sentiment shifted following the release of robust Retail Sales data from the US for March, resulting in a surge in US Treasury bond yields and subsequently bolstering the USD's strength. Considering these factors, our analysis is inclined towards a potential long setup for the EUR/USD pair, although we remain vigilant of any shifts in market dynamics and geopolitical developments that could influence currency movements in the near term.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
eurusd 📉 signal 📈hello guys... as I said before: from my point of view, this pair is bearish! why?! you can see the ascending channel broke! the price formed a QM pattern twice! the first QML(1) was touched and if the blue trenline breaks up the QML(2) will be touched too! so I believe this coin wanna touch the QML area and then start the downward movement due to engulfing the last lower low! ___________________________ 💻📞☎️ always do your research. 💌📫📃 If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. 📊📌❤️And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Short
by melikatrader94
6
GBPUSD → Trade Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
1
Will safe harbor demand accelerate next week?Gold is losing ground as traders lock in the time aggressively. The US Dollar tested a multi-month high today. Normally, a strong dollar would lower gold prices, but the current situation is unique as gold prices are driven by central bank demand and rising geopolitical tensions. In case gold falls back below $2,350, it will head towards the nearest support, which is in the $2,295 – $2,305 range. But with the current unstable war situation, combined with the fact that the FED is seriously considering cutting interest rates in the coming period, gold will consolidate its current position and it will be difficult for it to fall deeply.
TVC:GOLD
by MrTrongVo
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce. The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time. After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction. Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce. Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GBP/USD Analysis and Forecast Post-US CPIAs the GBP/USD pair continues its sideways movement, investors eagerly await the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. The outcome of this crucial economic indicator will undoubtedly influence market sentiments and provide insights into the Federal Reserve's potential actions regarding interest rates. However, amid this anticipation, it's imperative for traders to formulate strategies to navigate the landscape effectively. The current sideways movement of the GBP/USD pair, coupled with its reaction to key levels such as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the presence of a bearish channel, underscores the importance of a comprehensive approach to trading. While technical analysis provides valuable insights into price action, it's equally essential to consider fundamental factors that could impact market dynamics. The slight improvement in the appeal for the Pound Sterling, driven by optimistic projections for the UK economy, adds another layer of complexity to the trading equation. The forecasts of modest growth, despite lingering geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, highlight the resilience of the UK economy. However, it's essential to monitor upcoming economic releases, particularly the UK monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factory data for February, to gauge the economy's trajectory accurately. Looking ahead, traders should prepare for potential market volatility following the release of the US CPI data. A higher-than-expected inflation figure could fuel speculation about an earlier-than-anticipated interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, potentially strengthening the US dollar against its counterparts, including the British pound. Conversely, a lower-than-expected CPI reading may prompt a reversal in market expectations, exerting downward pressure on the dollar and supporting the GBP/USD pair. In response to these potential scenarios, traders may consider adopting a balanced approach that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis. Establishing clear entry and exit points based on key support and resistance levels, while also monitoring economic developments and central bank statements, can help mitigate risks and capitalize on trading opportunities. Furthermore, maintaining discipline and adhering to risk management principles are paramount in navigating the post-CPI market environment. Emotions can run high during periods of heightened volatility, leading to impulsive decision-making and potential losses. By maintaining a composed and rational mindset, traders can better execute their trading strategies and safeguard their capital. In conclusion, the upcoming release of the US CPI data presents both challenges and opportunities for GBP/USD traders. By leveraging a comprehensive approach that integrates technical analysis, fundamental insights, and prudent risk management practices, traders can navigate the market dynamics effectively and capitalize on potential market movements. As always, staying informed, adaptable, and disciplined remains key to success in the ever-evolving forex market landscape.
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/JPY: A Closer Look at Growing Momentum - SHORTAnalyzing market trends and identifying potential opportunities is crucial for making informed decisions. One such opportunity currently presenting itself is the bearish setup on GBP/JPY, indicating a significant shift in momentum. As the price of GBP/JPY reached the 193.000 value, it coincided with the 78.8% Fibonacci level, marking a critical point of confluence. This convergence suggests a strong resistance level, indicating a potential reversal in the upward trend. Analyzing the price action and technical indicators, it appears that a bearish impulse is likely to follow. The confirmation of this downward movement is supported by our previous analysis of this currency pair, which highlighted 189.000 as the first target for a bearish trend. This analysis underscores the importance of understanding key technical levels and their significance in predicting market movements. The confluence of the 193.000 value with the 78.8% Fibonacci level serves as a strong indication of impending bearish momentum. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action of GBP/JPY in the coming days, as it is likely to follow a downward trajectory towards the 189.000 target. Our Previous Idea
Short
by FOREXN1
3
USD/CAD: USD Strength and CAD Weakness: Exploring Factors BehindThe Canadian Dollar (CAD) faced downward pressure as a result of a juxtaposition between a robust US employment report and lackluster Canadian labor figures. While initially faltering, the CAD began to recuperate lost ground as the immediate impact of the data subsided. Currently trading at 1.3599, the CAD contends with a resolute US Dollar (USD) poised for potential continuation of its bullish trajectory. The price maintains its position within a bullish channel characterized by higher highs and lower lows. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report for March surpassed expectations, propelling US Treasury yields and the USD upwards. Despite the bullish market response, a closer examination of the data unveiled a slowdown in yearly wage growth, prompting speculation regarding the possibility of future Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. This speculation persists despite the hawkish commentary from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman. In contrast, Canada witnessed a decline in net employment levels in March, contrary to initial expectations. This divergence in economic performance between the US and Canada reinforces expectations for a bullish continuation of the USD. Looking ahead, market participants will monitor evolving economic indicators and central bank rhetoric for further insights into the trajectory of the CAD and USD. Amidst this uncertainty, a bullish bias towards the USD prevails, supported by favorable economic data and Fed policy expectations.
Long
by FOREXN1
3