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GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance). However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable. Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur. 2. Support Zone Over-Reliance The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because: The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes. A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing. If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move. 3. Resistance Breakout Bias The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation. However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning: A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally. 4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation. No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging. Alternative View Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider: Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal. Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal. Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely analysis 1. Support and Resistance Reliability The analysis assumes a strong support zone at the lower level and a firm resistance at the top. However, support and resistance levels are not static—they can be invalidated if momentum is strong If the price revisits support too many times, it could break down instead of bouncing. 2. Repetitive Range-Bound Expectation The chart predicts multiple rejections at the middle resistance before a breakout. Markets don’t always behave in such a predictable pattern—sideways action could lead to a sudden breakdown instead of a breakout. 3. Lack of Volume & Trend Confirmation There's no volume analysis to confirm if support and resistance levels are strong. A higher time frame (1H or 4H) analysis would help validate if this is just consolidation or a genuine trend reversal. 4. Breakout vs. Fakeout Possibility The projection assumes a clean breakout above resistance. However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, where price moves above resistance, traps buyers, and then reverses sharply. A liquidity grab above resistance could lead to a drop instead of a rally. Alternative Perspective Instead of assuming a clear upward movement, consider two scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: If volume supports the breakout, enter after a successful retest of resistance as support. 2. Bearish Case: If the breakout fails (fakeout), expect a retest and breakdown, leading to a lower support level
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone: The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop. The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum. 2. Bearish Projection Bias: The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly. The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames. 3. Support Level Stability: While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down. It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance. 4. Short Time Frame Limitations: The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise. A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends. 5. Missing Confirmation Factors: No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis. Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal. Alternative View: Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered. A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on gold? Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend. The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position. Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level. The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications. What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth? 🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥 💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis 🔍 Market Insights: 🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline. 🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box). 🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box). 📈 Two Potential Scenarios: 📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀. 📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline) ✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone) 💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇 #gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
Gold buy target This chart represents a trade setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe using technical analysis. The analysis includes key trading levels: Entry Point (Yellow - 2,938.690): The planned entry price for a buy (long) position. Stop Loss (Red - 2,927.485): The price level to limit losses if the trade goes against the trader’s expectation. If the price drops to this level, the position will be automatically closed to prevent further losses. Target (Blue - 2,962.046): The price level where the trader aims to take profit. If the price reaches this level, the position will be closed to secure gains. Analysis & Strategy: The setup anticipates a bullish move, expecting the price to rise from the entry level to the target. The stop loss is placed below a support zone to minimize downside risk. If the price respects support and bounces, the trade aims to capture a significant upward move toward the target price. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, meaning potential profits outweigh the risk taken. This setup follows a technical breakout or reversal strategy, aiming to capitalize on a potential price increase in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
1
USDCAD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:USDCAD has broken below a major support level, signaling a shift in momentum. If the price will retest the zone at 1.42600, which previously served as support, this area may now act as resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.41130 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider: 1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through. 2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside. 3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider: A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally. A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction. A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply. 4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices. 5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPJPY SURELY FALL 1. Resistance Break Possibility The analysis suggests a rejection at resistance (191.878) leading to a drop. However, price could break above resistance, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a bullish rally. Instead of a reversal, watch for a liquidity grab above resistance before deciding on direction. 2. Support Area Failure Risk The support zone (near 189.000) is assumed to hold, but if market momentum is strong, price could break through, leading to further downside. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider monitoring for confirmation before entering long trades. 3. Bullish Trend Continuation Possibility Price recently made a strong move upwards, suggesting buyers are active. The expected rejection at resistance may fail, leading to a higher breakout instead of a reversal. The small consolidation near 190.296 could indicate accumulation for a bullish continuation. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of dropping immediately, price may range between 190.762 and 191.878 before a strong move in either direction.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
3
EURUSD selling zone 1. Resistance Area Weakness The resistance zone is marked as a strong rejection area, but there's a possibility that instead of reversing, price could break through. A break above could indicate bullish momentum rather than a reversal. Instead of assuming a rejection, watch for liquidity grabs above the weak high. 2. Support Area Strength Overestimation The support zone is considered a strong level for reversal, but if the market is in a strong bearish trend, the support may fail. Instead of assuming a bounce, consider the possibility of a breakout below support, leading to a further drop 3. Market Structure Bias The analysis focuses on a bearish move from the resistance area, but the recent rally before resistance suggests that buyers were strong. A "Change of Character" (ChoCH) may not always lead to a reversal; sometimes it can be a trap before continuing higher. 4. Alternative Scenarios Instead of the expected drop, price could range between resistance and support before a bigger breakout. Liquidity could be built up near the resistance zone, causing a fakeout before an actual move.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
1
XAUUSD strong bullish soon opportunity again all time high This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. The main elements include: Support Area: Marked in green below the current price level, indicating a zone where buying interest may emerge. Resistance Area: Marked in green above, representing a potential supply zone where selling pressure might increase. Price Action Projection: The pink arrow suggests a bullish move from the support zone towards the resistance area. Disruptions or Alternative Perspectives: 1. False Breakout Possibility: Price might break below the support area before reversing, creating a stop-hunt scenario. Watch for a strong rejection before confirming the bullish bias. 2. Resistance Strength: The resistance zone (around 2,961) has been tested multiple times. If price reaches it again, sellers might dominate. A clean breakout above resistance with strong volume is needed for further upside. 3. Alternative Scenario - Bearish Case: If price struggles to hold the support zone, it could break lower, leading to further downside. Invalidation of bullish bias occurs if price closes below the support zone with high volume. 4. Macroeconomic & Fundamental Factors: Gold is highly sensitive to economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. A sudden change in fundamentals could override technical analysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
JPY USD 1. Support May Not Hold The analysis assumes that the price will bounce from the support area, but what if selling pressure is strong? Instead of a reversal, the price could break below support and continue down. A breakdown below 0.006580 would invalidate the bullish outlook. 2. False Support Bounce Possible The price could initially react at support, giving the illusion of a bullish reversal, but fail to gain momentum and break lower. This could trap early buyers. 3. Liquidity Grab & Fakeout Scenario The market makers could push the price below the support zone, trigger stop-losses of long positions, and then reverse higher. A deeper liquidity grab could occur before a real move up. 4. Resistance May Strengthen Even if price bounces, the resistance zone could become stronger, leading to a sideways range rather than a clear bullish breakout. Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion before assuming a continuation upward. Alternative Outlook If price breaks below 0.006580, the downtrend could extend further. A bounce from support should be confirmed with strong bullish candles before assuming a rally.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
GBPUSD SELLING MODE OPPORTUNITY FULL OF FALL ASLEEP 1. Resistance May Not Hold The analysis assumes the resistance zone is strong and will lead to a reversal. However, if bullish momentum continues, there could be a breakout above resistance instead of rejection. A breakout above 1.2680 could invalidate the bearish outlook. 2. Trendline Breakout Is Not Always Reliable While the breakout from the support area led to a strong uptrend, it doesn't guarantee a reversal at resistance. Sometimes, price consolidates and continues higher rather than reversing sharply. 3. Liquidity Grab Possibility The price could fake a drop below support, trapping sellers, before reversing higher. The marked "selling zone" might be a liquidity area where big players accumulate positions before a breakout. 4. Fundamental Factors Can Change Direction News events, interest rate decisions, or economic reports can disrupt technical patterns. A major announcement favoring GBP could push the price higher instead of following the predicted bearish move. Alternative Outlook If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2680, it could invalidate the bearish setup and target 1.2720+ instead of dropping. Instead of expecting a hard rejection at resistance, traders should watch for signs of consolidation or a fake breakout before making a decision.
Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
ETHUSD surely flying around Resistance Might Hold Stronger Than Expected: The analysis assumes a breakout above the resistance area. However, if market sentiment weakens, sellers might defend this level aggressively, leading to a rejection and price reversal. 2. Liquidity Grab and Fake Breakout: Instead of a clean breakout, price could exhibit a false move above resistance to trigger stop-losses before reversing sharply downward. 3. Support Might Not Hold: The identified support area assumes bullish strength, but if macroeconomic factors or market conditions worsen, ETH could break below support and trend lower. 4. Trendline Trap: The projected price movement suggests a higher high formation. However, if institutional traders manipulate price action, we might see a deeper retracement before any actual bullish continuation
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Btcusd strong sell 1. Breakout Possibility Instead of Rejection The chart assumes Bitcoin will face resistance at ~99,000 and drop towards the 96,000 support zone. However, Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum leading up to this point. If the buying pressure continues, BTC could break out above resistance instead of reversing. A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone as new support could send BTC toward 100,000+ rather than declining. 2. Liquidity Trap & Fakeout Risks Market makers often target areas with high liquidity. If many traders anticipate a drop from resistance, a fakeout could occur—where BTC briefly dips, then reverses upward, liquidating short positions. Instead of a clean sell-off, price could wick down to shake out weak hands before continuing higher 3. Support May Not Hold The identified support area near 96,000 assumes buyers will step in. However, if market sentiment shifts (e.g., news events, macroeconomic data), BTC could crash through support instead of bouncing If BTC closes below support, the next downside target could be around 94,000 or lower. 4. Fundamental & External Factors Technical patterns are useful, but external factors like news, ETF inflows, and macroeconomic conditions can disrupt traditional price movements If a major bullish event (e.g., institutional buying, regulatory clarity) occurs, BTC could invalidate the expected bearish retracement and continue surging Conclusion: While the given analysis suggests a bearish correction from resistance alternative scenarios include A bullish breakout above resistance A fakeout drop before continuation higher A failed support level leading to deeper declines. External catalysts overriding technical expectations
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 107.28 1st Support: 106.21 1st Resistance: 108.28 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURUSD Hits Resistances—Reversal Incoming?As I expected in the previous post , the EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) touched my Targets and is creating the second top of the ascending channel. The EURUSD is in the Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) near the Monthly Resistance(1) and the upper line of the ascending channel. In terms of Elliott wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect the EURUSD to start falling soon, and it is likely to form a Head and Shoulders Pattern to continue the decline. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.055, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9