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EURUSD analysis week 21📌After strong gains on Wednesday, EUR/USD struggled to maintain upward momentum and closed slightly lower on Thursday. The pair rebounded on Thursday with USD weakness following the news. Unemployment claims announced. Up to now this pair has remained relatively calm, holding around the 1.0870 level. 📌The ECB is weighing the extent of interest rate cuts after the initial cut planned for next month. While inflation is gradually decreasing toward the 2% target, much uncertainty remains. Officials are particularly focused on wage growth, which remains rapid, as well as geopolitical threats such as tensions in the Middle East. 📌The RSI fell on Thursday but remained steady above 60, suggesting the recent pullback may have been a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. 📌EUR/USD still maintains a short-term uptrend. The pair has dropped below 1.0860, but is currently trading well above the 34.89 EMA on the 1H chart at 1.0802. Besides, the recent bullish momentum has brought EUR/USD back above the 34.89 EMA on the daily chart at 1.0799. Compared to recent lows around 1.0600.EUR/USD is currently aiming for the March peak of 1.0980. This is considered an important resistance level. If buyers want to push EUR/USD back up to the psychological level of 1.1000, they will have to overcome this barrier. Trading signals SELL zone 1,093-1,095 SL 1,097 BUY zone 1,081-1,079 SL 1,076
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD analysis week 21📌GBP/USD entered a technical correction and closed Thursday down after gaining 0.75% on Wednesday. The pair continued to rebound on Friday and traded near the 1.2700 resistance level. 📌Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic acknowledged inflation progress in April but noted that the Fed has not yet begun to ease policy. In a similar tone, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester noted that monetary policy was on track while they review more data, and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barking told CNBC that the Index data The latest consumer prices (CPI) show that inflation is not at a low level. The Fed tried to get. 📌The 34, 89 EMA is an important support level for GBP/USD at 1.2630. If the pair touches and confirms this as support, buyers will likely enter the market. In a bullish scenario resistance levels may appears at 1.2700 with a level of 1.2780 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline) if crossed will move towards the psychological level of 1.2800. Vice versa, if GBP/USD closes below 1.2630. This could attract sellers and usher in an extended correction towards 1.2600 (and 1.2540 🕯Trading signals SELL zone 1.27800-128000 SL 1.28300 BUY zone 1.26000-1.25800 SL 1.25500
by TVS-Trader
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world. Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce. And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs. The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways. Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined. According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold is forecast to continue to decline deeplyGold prices steadied in Asian trading today after posting strong overnight gains as some mild inflation data dragged the dollar to a one-month low and raised expectations of a rate cut. capacity. The yellow metal has now returned to record highs reached in May, as traders bet more that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will start cutting interest rates as soon as September. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday on this view, which should benefit overall metal prices. Gold prices are up more than 1% from Wednesday after data showed US consumer price index inflation fell in April from March, while core CPI also fell from the previous month. The figures, followed by weaker-than-expected retail sales data, raised hopes that inflation will ease in the coming months, giving the Fed more confidence in starting to cut interest rates. The CME Fedwatch tool shows traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, at nearly 54%. High interest rates push up the opportunity cost of investing in gold and other precious metals because they do not bring direct profits. The yellow metal could also benefit from increased safe-haven demand if the US economy cools further this year.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Slight fluctuations after a series of increasing daysWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold dropping 9.5 USD to 2,375.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,380.90 an ounce, down $14 from the bright spot. According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, gold turned around due to normal pressure after recent gains. On that side, the recovery of the US Dollar index also added strength to gold. The dollar rose 0.2% after hitting a multi-month low in the previous session as the latest data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April. Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said that the positive news surrounding the cooling off job is not enough for the US Central Bank to make an early decision to slow down. Although gold turned down, most experts are still optimistic about gold in the future, predicting that this precious metal will soon conquer new records in the coming months. MarketGauge's director of trading education and research Michele Schneider said that while it doesn't want to start a cycle of monetary policy easing just yet, it's clear the Fed also doesn't want to push interest rates higher and that conditions will eventually deliver. solid level of support for the precious type
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to go up, entry buy todayCooling US inflation pushed gold prices up nearly 30 USD an ounce, and helped Wall Street set a new record. Closing the trading session on May 15, each ounce of world gold for immediate delivery increased by 27 USD to 2,385 USD. During the session, gold price at one point touched 2,390 USD - the highest in nearly a month. The market went up due to the weakening of the USD and falling US government bond yields, after the country announced that April inflation increased more slowly than forecast. This data has strengthened the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates. The US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% last month. In February and March, the increase was 0.4%. This shows that inflation has restored its downward trend, giving investors more confidence that the Fed will lower interest rates from September. CPI "may be an early indicator showing that in the long term, inflation will cool down and the Fed will have the first decision to reduce interest rates," said Phillip Streible - market strategist at Blue Line Futures. CME FedWatch tracker shows that investors currently place a 74% chance of a Fed rate cut in September. The index tracking USD prices with a basket of major currencies - Dollar Index yesterday decreased 0.6%, reaching its lowest level in more than a month. This makes gold more attractive to buyers outside the US. The 10-year US government bond yield also fell to a one-month low.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Still determining the upward price trend, today's trading strateWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low. The CPI data “could be an early sign that over time inflation will cool and the Fed will make its first rate cut,” Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said. The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year. Technically, bullish gold futures have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff wrote in a note that bulls' next upside target is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance. probably at 2,400 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
EURNZD - Monster 900pip Move Coming!EURNZD is currently in an ABC correction. We've completed wave B and now we're in wave C. The completion of wave B can be used as a strict invalidation level for our short play. We can use a channel to gauge the target for wave C, which happens to be the -27 fibonacci extension of wave A. Trade Idea: - Watch for a correction to appear - Enter on break of correction with stops either above correction or above invalidation - Targets: 1.745 (600pips), 1.71 (900pips) If this setup gets enough traction, we'll make sure to send updates and let you guys know when its active! Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
7
Trading strategy after PPI news, gold increased sharply againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning. Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset. The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trading strategy today, identify uptrendWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 27.2 USD to 2,335.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,342.2 USD/ounce, down 32.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. Short-term futures traders rushed to book profits after recent gains put pressure on the yellow metal in early trading of the week. Meanwhile, the market is still waiting for further data to know more about the interest rate direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Currently, traders and investors are waiting for important US inflation data for April with the producer price index to be released on May 14 and the consumer price index on May 15. 5. PPI is forecast to increase 0.3% over the previous month, compared to a 0.2% increase in the March report. CPI is forecast to increase 0.4%, unchanged from the March report. CPI Annual growth in April is forecast to increase by 3.6% compared to a 3.8% increase in the March report. Recently, Fed officials have said that the Fed will loosen monetary policy if there is evidence that inflation declines sustainably. Therefore, this data is very important and is expected to have a great impact on the future direction of gold. In a recent interview with Kitco News, global investment strategist Tim Hayes of Ned Davis Research expects gold prices to eventually surpass last month's record high above $2,448 an ounce, but the breakout could may not happen until the Fed actually cuts interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold confirms uptrend, entry buy todayGold prices fell in today's Asian session, consolidating some recent gains as traders turned more biased towards the dollar ahead of key US inflation data later in the week. The yellow metal saw some strength last week as some signs that the US economy was cooling sparked speculation of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (FED). capacity in 2024. However, gold remains below record highs hit in April and is expected to trade in a tight range ahead of this week's inflation data. The broader gold and metals market is ahead of key US inflation indicators this week. Producer price index data for April will be available on Tuesday, while more closely watched consumer price index data will be available on Wednesday. Any signs of inflation trouble are likely to further dampen expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut this year, boosting the dollar and pressuring metals prices. The greenback stabilized after recent fluctuations. Data on Friday showed US consumer confidence weakened significantly in May, but inflation forecasts remained high next year. Rising precious metals prices were also pressured by this week's inflation figures, as higher interest rates for longer increased the opportunity cost of investing in metals markets.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Prices to Continue the Bullish Trend During 2024As 2024 unfolds, gold prices are poised for a significant surge due to the economic and geopolitical forces that underline a strong bullish trend in the market. Despite the challenges posed by a strengthening U.S. dollar and hawkish stances from the Federal Reserve, gold has maintained robust performance. This strength is further supported by a marked increase in global demand, as highlighted in reports from the World Gold Council. Investments in the over-the-counter markets, steadfast buying by central banks, and rising demand from key Asian economies like China and India underscore gold’s dual role as a traditional safe haven and a crucial hedge against currency risk and inflation. These factors, combined with an uncertain geopolitical landscape and the potential for softened Federal Reserve policies, are crafting an environment ripe for gold’s value to climb, making it an increasingly attractive investment for 2024 and beyond. 💵 SELL TVC:GOLD 2365-2367💵 ✔️TP 2355 ✔️TP 2345 ❌SL 2375 💵 BUY TVC:GOLD 2340 - 2342💵 ✔️TP 2350 ✔️TP 2360 ❌SL 2333
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrTrongVo
Understanding the Technical Bullish OutlookTechnical analysis of gold also shows bullish prospects. Gold prices have charted an ascending widening wedge pattern since 2016, starting from a low of $1124.30. This pattern is often recognized for its expanding trend lines and suggests increasing volatility and bullish sentiment as price makes higher highs and lows. Furthermore, another bullish pattern has emerged within this ascending expanding wedge pattern: the formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, often considered a reversal pattern indicating a transition from the market price reduction to price increase. The head of this pattern formed at $1622.20, with shoulders completed at $1673.30 and $1810.80. The key aspect of this pattern is the break above the neckline at $2075 in March 2024, signaling a strong long-term breakout. This breakout is significant because gold prices have stabilized below the key pivot point of $2075 for several years. A successful breach above this level suggests a potential rally to $3000, marking the initial target set by the ascending expanding wedge pattern. 💵 SELL OANDA:XAUUSD 2365-2367💵 ✔️TP 2355 ✔️TP 2345 ❌SL 2375 💵 BUY OANDA:XAUUSD 2340 - 2342💵 ✔️TP 2350 ✔️TP 2360 ❌SL 2333
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrTrongVo
Geopolitical tensions push gold prices higherCadastral tensions have boosted XAU prices This weekend, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales will be released and may give some hints about the economic outlook and inflation trajectory. broadcast. Senior FED officials have given information that cutting interest rates in 2024 is appropriate, citing inflation still rising in the first few months of the year. Cutting interest rates in 2024 is appropriate, given that inflation remained elevated in the first few months of the year. On the other hand, the Israeli army announced that it conducted military operations in northern Gaza overnight and "precision operations" targeted the east, near the Rafah border, as well as in the Zeitoun neighborhood, the center Gaza Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have contributed to the increase in the price of gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrategySherpa
Will XAUUSD come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices last week mainly maintained a recovery trend. At the beginning of the trading week, precious metal prices were listed above 2,300 USD/ounce and spent most of the trading week in the range of 2,310-2,330 USD/ounce. During the trading session on May 10, the world gold price at one point recovered to 2,375 USD/ounce. However, the upward momentum did not last long, causing the gold price to fall by 15 USD and end the weekend session at 2,360 USD/ounce. Over the past week, precious metals increased by 2.5% thanks to US employment data supporting dovish views on monetary policy. In addition, military tensions are increasing in both the Middle East and Ukraine; At the same time, data also shows that gold demand from central banks and other needs are all on the rise. Experts assess that gold is still receiving positive support in the coming time as more and more central banks appear willing to lower interest rates, thanks to the above factors. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey finds industry experts are bullish on the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Will gold come back or continue to increase strongly?World gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 3,362.9 USD/ounce. Last week, the yellow metal posted modest gains as expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would loosen policy this year increased following weak economic data. Experts say that next week is an important time to decide whether gold will reach a new record or not when the market receives the April consumer price index and producer price index reports. Recently, The Fed emphasized that America's inflation war is not effective when inflation is still much higher than the target level of 2%. In addition to the consumer price index and producer price index, this week the market will wait for the US retail sales report, the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications, and the statement of Fed Chairman Powell in Amsterdam. According to Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report, the US is in a persistent inflation war, where all asset classes will see "significant" revaluations and as Therefore, capital flows in the market will gradually shift to hard assets. “This is the time when the Fed takes action, which creates a bullish scenario for hard assets,” he said. McDonald believes that some metals have significant price increases and predicts gold prices will reach $3,000-3,500/ounce in the next 12-18 months.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster