Usdjpy bearish big dip expected read the caption USD/JPY has been struggling to break past the resistance level at 149.55 despite repeated attempts over the past five trading sessions. The Japanese yen remains under pressure as the Federal Reserve signals a more moderate approach to interest rate cuts in its upcoming meetings, contrasting with the broader expectations of more aggressive rate reduction
Forexsignal
This XAUUSD rally still seems to have a lot of momentum.According to the World Gold Council (WGC), the weakening USD was the main factor driving the XAUUSD higher, as the Fed's big rate cut caused the USD to decline significantly.
Rising geopolitical risks with the worsening situation in the Middle East also boosted safe-haven buying.
The biggest drag on XAUUSD last month was the "momentum factor". A higher XAUUSD in the previous month tends to put downward pressure on the price in the following month and vice versa. Other gold pairs also recorded strong gains.
Gbpusd confirm trendline read the caption The US Dollar (USD) gains support from increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will avoid aggressive interest rate cuts, following a strong jobs report and concerns of sticky US inflation. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are currently pricing in an 88.2% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, with no anticipation of a larger 50-basis-point reduction
Gold prices are testing resistance levels.Ames Stanley - senior marketplace strategist at the Forex market stated that traders took income after US financial reviews together with CPI and USD elevated sharply. The promoting circulate of traders won't be over yet. Gold costs are trying out resistance levels.
Economic occasions this week that effect gold costs encompass US retail income statistics and the European Central Bank`s economic coverage choice on Thursday.
The marketplace is likewise inquisitive about the Empire State production survey, weekly unemployment claims, housing begins offevolved and US constructing permits.
Besides, buyers and traders are listening to the Chinese marketplace. The u . s . a . plans to announce an financial stimulus package deal from authorities bonds, really well worth 283 billion USD.
🔥 XAUUSD buy 2632 - 2630 🔥
✔️TP1: 2642
✔️TP2: 2655
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2622
🔥 XAUUSD sel 2652 - 2654 🔥
✔️TP1: 2642
✔️TP2: 2632
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2662
Gold today analysis confirm buy target read the caption This disappointment was followed by China’s consumer and factory-gate price inflation data on Sunday, which showed the extension of the disinflation trend in the world’s biggest consumer, sapping investors’ confidence.
Additionally, intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran and also between China and Taiwan remain a cause for concern for investors, and hence, they scurry for safety in the USD at the expense of the Gold pri
BANKNIFTY ProjectionBased on the demand of a follower here, we decided to look into BANKNIFTY for the first time ever...
We anticipate BANKNIFTY heading to either of the two zones up there marked with a blank line, the we expect a great fall on BANKNIFTY...
Should this align with your analysis, endeavour not to miss out on it!
XAUUSD_2Hhello👋
📊Analysis of Gold
The market can enter a new upward wave due to the completion of the correction and the breaking of the descending channel line.
The important number of this week is 2640 dollars, and by maintaining this number, the market can move towards the targets of 2700 and 2730 dollars.
Usdcad bear and bull analysis read the caption The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024 – see the red numbered circles on the chart below)
Nzdusd confirm buy here is a opportunity read the caption The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low on Wednesday saw the price move back to the 200-day MA where sellers leaned, putting a lid on the pair.
#ADAUSD 1DAYADAUSD (Cardano vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 Day (Daily Chart)
Pattern: Uptrend Channel
Description:
The ADAUSD pair is currently exhibiting a well-established **uptrend channel** on the daily chart. This pattern is defined by a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the price consistently moving within two parallel ascending trendlines. The lower trendline serves as dynamic support, while the upper trendline acts as resistance. The price action within this channel indicates that buyers are in control, with bullish momentum driving prices higher over time.
Forecast:
The recommendation is to take a **buy** position, as the price is expected to continue moving upward within the channel. The trend shows strong bullish signals, and unless there is a break below the lower support line, the uptrend should persist. If the price approaches the upper resistance line, it may face some temporary consolidation or correction before continuing higher.
Entry Point: A buy entry is suggested near the lower support of the channel for optimal risk-reward.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the lower support line of the channel to mitigate risks in case of a downward breakout.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target should be set near the upper resistance line of the channel, or you may trail your stop-loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A breakout above the resistance line could signal further upside potential.
#XAGUSD 4HXAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) pair on the 4-hour chart is showing a support pattern, indicating that the price is holding firm at a particular level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
Pattern Description:
The market seems to have established a solid support level, where downward momentum is being halted. After a period of selling pressure, the price has tested and bounced off this support zone multiple times, signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. This consistent defense suggests that a reversal might be imminent, as the market sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish.
Forecast:
Given the strength of the support level, the current outlook is bullish, with a potential move to the upside. The price is likely to break higher as buying momentum gathers strength. This makes it a favorable opportunity to buy, targeting the next resistance levels. However, it's important to keep an eye on any additional price action and volume confirmation before entering the trade.
Key Indicators:
- Strong support
- Price consolidating near support, indicating indecision before a potential breakout.
- RSI and other momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, supporting the bullish forecast.
Recommendation:
Consider entering a buy position near the support level, with a stop-loss placed just below the support zone to manage risk effectively. Potential price targets could be set at key resistance areas above.
XAU/USD : CPI is Coming, More Bullish Move ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the desired demand zone, the price started to rise and is currently trading around $2,617. Considering that the US CPI data will be released today and I expect the actual value to be equal to or lower than the forecasted rate, I anticipate an upward movement in price to fill the liquidity void mentioned in the previous analysis. Based on the previous analysis, the key supply zones remain as follows: $2,625, $2,636.6, $2,646, and $2,655 to $2,660. I hope you make the most out of this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#NZD/USD 1DAYNZD/USD 1D – Support Turned Resistance
On the daily chart of the NZD/USD pair, a significant **support-turned-resistance** pattern has been identified. This is a bearish continuation signal, suggesting that the price is likely to move lower after retesting a previous support level, which is now acting as resistance.
#Pattern Overview:
-Support Becomes Resistance (SBR): After a breakdown below a key support level, the price has retraced to retest this level. What was once support has now turned into a resistance zone, confirming the bearish outlook.
#Forecast:
-Sell Signal: The forecast indicates a sell opportunity as the price is expected to reject the newly formed resistance level and resume its downward trend. This type of setup often leads to further declines in the price.
### Trading Strategy:
-Entry Point: Enter a sell position when the price fails to break above the resistance level (previous support) and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlesticks or other technical confirmations).
Targets: The initial target for the downside move would be the next significant support level below the current price. Look for price action lows or Fibonacci extensions for potential target areas.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above the resistance level to protect against any potential bullish breakout that might invalidate the bearish setup.
This pattern indicates a continuation of the bearish trend in NZD/USD, with selling opportunities emerging as the previous support level now acts as a resistance barrier.
#AUD/USD 1HAUD/USD 1H – Falling Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour chart is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern indicates that the price, currently in a downtrend, may soon reverse and move higher.
#Pattern Overview:
-Falling Wedge: The pattern is defined by two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. The price moves within this narrowing range as selling pressure weakens over time, which often leads to a bullish breakout.
#Forecast:
-Buy Signal: The anticipated move is a breakout above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge. This breakout is considered a strong buy signal, suggesting the price will move upward as the bearish momentum fades.
#Trading Strategy:
- *Entry Point: Enter a buy position when the price decisively breaks out of the wedge and closes above the resistance line.
- Targets: Initial targets for the move upward could be based on nearby resistance levels or prior price action highs.
-Stop Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low inside the wedge, ensuring protection in case of a false breakout.
This setup points to a buying opportunity upon breakout, as the AUD/USD pair is likely to climb after confirming the bullish reversal.
#GBP/AUD 1HThe **GBP/AUD** 1-hour chart is displaying a **channel pattern**, where price is moving between parallel support and resistance levels. This is indicative of a market in a range-bound state, with the price respecting both the upper (resistance) and lower (support) boundaries of the channel.
### Forecast: Sell When Touching Resistance
In this scenario, the forecast is to initiate a **sell position** when the price reaches the upper boundary (resistance) of the channel. The key elements to consider for this setup are:
1. **Channel Structure**: The price is consistently oscillating between a well-defined resistance and support zone. The resistance level represents a strong selling zone where price struggles to break through.
2. **Trend and Momentum**: Momentum tends to weaken when the price approaches resistance, leading to reversals back toward the support line. This offers a potential short-selling opportunity.
3. **Risk Management**: A stop-loss order should be placed just above the resistance level in case of a breakout, while profit targets can be set near the lower boundary (support).
It’s essential to confirm the sell signal by observing price action near resistance and looking for reversal patterns, such as bearish candlestick formations, or divergences in momentum indicators.
#GBP/JPY 4HThe GBP/JPY 4-hour chart is showing the formation of a triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation or consolidation pattern. This pattern suggests that the market is experiencing a period of indecision, as buyers and sellers battle for control. In this case, we are seeing lower highs and higher lows converging into the apex of the triangle, indicating that the price is squeezing into a tighter range.
Forecast: Sell
Given the overall market sentiment and technical analysis, a **bearish breakout** from this triangle pattern is anticipated. If the price breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle, it could signal a strong selling opportunity. Key factors supporting this sell forecast include:
1. Downtrend Continuation: If the previous trend was bearish, a breakout to the downside aligns with the continuation of that trend.
2. Volume: A spike in volume upon the breakout is expected to confirm the sell signal.
3. Key Support Levels: Watch for the price to test and potentially break key support levels after the breakout.
It's important to set proper risk management levels, including stop-loss orders just above the upper trendline in case of a false breakout, and to monitor the market for any significant news events that may impact the currency pair.
Gold cross 2700 slowly but surely read the caption Gold price is looking to build on the previous recovery from three-week lows of $2,604 early Friday. Broad risk aversion and a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick support Gold price heading into the US Producer Price Index (CPI) data release due later on Friday.
US jobs worries outweigh hot inflation, lifting Gold price
Gold price continues to cheer the unfazed odds of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in November. Markets currently price in about an 86% chance of such a move next month
EUR/JPY October Market Outlook: Bearish Setup with Key Sell Sign
EUR/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Insights
The monthly structure for EUR/JPY in October shows an open high-low-close pattern, which is indicative of a potential sell setup. However, we are currently waiting for confirmation in the form of a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, which will signal when to enter sell positions.
Key Points to Note:
1. Bearish Divergence: From August 16, 2024, through the current market high, we observe a clear bearish divergence. This is often a precursor to downward movement and strengthens the case for a sell setup.
2. Daily Timeframe Open High Structure: The daily chart for October reflects an open-high structure, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the month.
3. Overbought Market Conditions: Since the bullish breakout on October 1, 2024, the price has been in an overbought zone. This suggests that a reversal is likely as the market corrects from these elevated levels.
4. Double Top ('M') Pattern: There is a visible double top pattern, also known as an 'M' pattern, on the daily chart. The second leg of this 'M' pattern looks particularly strong, further signaling a potential bearish move.
5. TDI Cross as Confirmation: A bearish TDI cross will serve as a confirmation of the presence of sellers. This signal is essential to validate the entry for sell trades.
Take Profit Levels:
- Take Profit 1: 161.600
- Take Profit 2: 160.500
Trading Advice:
It is important to exercise patience and wait for valid confirmation signals, such as the TDI cross, before entering any trades. Always approach the market with caution, utilizing sound risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, commenting, and following for future updates. I will gladly return the follow. Best of luck with your trades!
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#EURJPY 1DAYOn the EUR/JPY daily chart, the price is testing a significant resistance level. This area has historically acted as a barrier, where selling pressure increases, preventing the price from moving higher. The resistance level suggests that the current uptrend may stall or reverse, creating a potential opportunity for sellers.
Forecast: Sell
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price approaches the resistance zone. Traders may consider entering a short position if the price is rejected from this level, with a downside target toward previous support areas. It is essential to wait for confirmation of the price failing to break above resistance to avoid false breakouts.
#GBPUSD 4HOn the GBP/USD 1-hour chart, the price has bounced off a key support level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The support bounce suggests that buyers are stepping in at this level, preventing further decline and possibly initiating an upward move.
Forecast: Buy
A buy opportunity is expected as the price rebounds from support. Traders may consider entering a long position with the anticipation that the price will move higher, targeting nearby resistance levels. It’s important to monitor price action for confirmation that the support is holding, as a breakdown below the level could invalidate the buy setup.
#GBPAUD 1HOn the GBP/AUD 1-hour chart, the price is currently testing a channel resistance level. This resistance is part of a parallel channel where the price has been moving between support and resistance lines. The channel resistance marks an area where sellers typically emerge, halting further upward movement and pushing the price lower.
Forecast: Sell
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the price approaches the upper boundary of the channel. Traders may consider entering a short position if the price is rejected from this resistance line, with a potential downside move towards the channel's support level. It's crucial to wait for confirmation of rejection at the resistance before executing the trade to avoid false breakouts.
#AUDUSD 1HOn the AUD/USD 1-hour chart, the price has reached a key support level. This level represents an area where buying interest has previously stepped in, preventing further declines in price. The support zone indicates a potential reversal point, as the selling pressure may weaken and buyers could start to dominate.
Forecast: Buy
Given the strong support level, a buy opportunity is anticipated. Traders may consider entering a long position if the price holds above this support, with a potential upside toward nearby resistance levels. It's important to monitor the price action closely for confirmation that the support is holding before executing the trade.
Bullish divergence on EUR/USD 4hHello guys,
As you can see on the #EURUSD chart in the 4H time frame, it is consolidating within the liquidity box and has formed an RSI bullish divergence pattern. I’m going to open a trade with an R/R of 6 and a stop loss of 8 pips when break-out happened above the box.
Don’t forget to keep your risk at 1% per trade. That’s a crucial rule that could be the key to your success.
Good luck!