NzdUsd could rise to 0.58 (swing trade)The final quarter of 2024 was particularly challenging for the NZD, with the currency declining by 800 pips from its peak to its lowest point. More significantly, this drop represents a devaluation of over 12%, which is substantial for a major currency pair.
As 2025 begins, however, OANDA:NZDUSD has entered a consolidation phase, holding above the critical support zone near 0.5550. This level is noteworthy and deserves attention as a potential turning point.
While the overall trend remains bearish, a rebound from this key support area is likely. If this occurs, the pair could move higher toward the 0.58 resistance level.
In summary, dips near the support zone present buying opportunities with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a return of at least 1:2.
Forexsignals
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has reached its price ceiling and currently shows signs of being unable to break above this resistance level. It is anticipated that gold will start a correction from the identified resistance zone and decline toward the specified levels.
A downward correction is expected from the resistance area, potentially leading to a decline to key support levels.
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GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair has found support upon reaching the bottom of the channel and a key support zone. A bullish move is anticipated from this level, with the price expected to rise at least to the top of the channel and the specified resistance area.
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0426
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0343
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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XAU/USD : Key Levels $2717 and $2727 to Define Next Move! (READ)Analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we observe that after rising to approximately $2725, gold underwent a correction down to $2703. Currently, gold is trading around $2708, and the key level to watch over the next two hours is $2717.
If gold fails to breach and stabilize above $2717, we may expect further corrections. Alternatively, gold might move above $2727 to collect liquidity, followed by a potential reaction to this liquidity pool, leading to a correction.
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 50% Fibo lvl 2655.Colleagues, I believe that wave “3” of the higher order is developing quite actively, but I expect a correction in wave “2” of the middle order.
I believe that the price will reach the area of 50% Fibonacci level 2655 or earlier. We should be careful, because the price may stop at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. Around this area I should set trades to breakeven.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USDJPY: Intraday Bearish Confirmation 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Earlier on Friday, I shared with you a confirmed structure
breakout on USDJPY on a daily.
This morning, retesting a broken structure, the price formed
a strong bearish confimation on an hourly.
I see a double top pattern and a violation of its neckline.
With a high probability, the price will fall and reach 155.57/ 155.18 levels.
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The Aussie has a strong bearish momentum, could it drop further?The price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6250
1st Support: 0.6144
1st Resistance: 0.6301
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order.
I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104.
The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 155.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 154.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 156.61
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish reversal?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 192.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 193.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 190.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Swissie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a swing high resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support
Pivot: 0.9195
1st Support: 0.9016
1st Resistance: 0.9284
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6179
1st Support: 0.6130
1st Resistance: 0.6284
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 88.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 89.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 87.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0332
1st Support: 1.0175
1st Resistance: 1.0464
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Update: Bulls in Control? Watch This Key Move Unfold!We’re back with an update on our GBPJPY trade on January 20th, Martin Luther King Day. If you haven’t seen our previous breakdown, be sure to check it out to see how everything unfolded step by step.
We’re still holding strong at the 190.02 level, and despite a wick on the weekly candle, there’s a lot of selling pressure within that move. Scaling down to the daily timeframe, we saw a liquidity sweep at 189.54, which provided confirmation for potential upside.
On the H4 timeframe, a bullish engulfing candle confirmed a break of structure on H1, pushing price to 190.40. We patiently waited for a pullback and entered our first position on Friday, with stops placed below the 189.38 level, targeting a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward, which was successfully hit at 190.97.
Today, January 20th, we added a second position after the breakout of the 190.40 level, entering at 190.53, with stops secured below the 189.88 area. This position has also reached its 1:1.5 target, and we’re now riding it risk-free, aiming for further liquidity grabs.
We’ve already cleared liquidity at the 190.91 and 190.50 levels, with the next targets set at 192.40 and potentially 193.00, where we anticipate consolidation before a push to 194.70, a key liquidity zone.
Currently, we’re floating at 82 pips in profit, and our first target is secured while we hold for potential further gains. Let’s see how this unfolds!
📈 If you found this helpful, make sure to like, boost, and share it with your fellow traders. Stay tuned for more updates!
GBPAUD: Consolidation Trading 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is consolidating.
The price is stuck with a horizontal parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
We see a strong bullish reaction to its support.
The pair formed a cup & handle pattern.
With a high probability, the market will keep rising and reach the resistance of the range.
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GBP/JPY The Cup is Full, and the Handle is ReadyPattern Formation
This chart presents a classic cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a bullish continuation setup. The "cup" reflects a rounded bottom, showing gradual recovery from bearish momentum, while the "handle" consolidates before a potential breakout.
Key Levels
1. Resistance Turned Support (Neckline)
The breakout level at 191.528 marks a critical horizontal resistance, now acting as support post-breakout.
2.Entry Point
Entry was triggered above the neckline at 191.528, confirming the breakout with strong bullish momentum.
3. Stop Loss
Placed at 189.230, below the handle's low, providing a buffer against invalidation of the setup.
4. Take Profit
Positioned at 194.712, based on the measured move projection of the cup-and-handle pattern. Also make sure to close position by taking profit gradually and after first tp you book move SL to entry
Risk-to-Reward (R:R)
This trade offers a favorable R:R ratio of approximately 1:3, aligning with sound risk management principles.
Technical Indicators
Trendlines
A prior descending trendline was invalidated, strengthening the bullish bias.
Momentum
The strong upward candles leading to the breakout signal buyer dominance.
Trade Psychology
The pattern represents market accumulation, as buyers steadily absorbed selling pressure. The breakout indicates renewed interest and potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Market Context
Given GBP/JPY's strong upward momentum and confirmation of the breakout, this setup aligns with both the technical pattern and prevailing trend.
Disclaimer
Ensure to monitor price action and adjust the trade plan if market conditions change. Always use proper risk management.
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.