Potential bearish drop?EUR/NZD has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.84169
1st Support: 1.82679
1st Resistance: 1.85339
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Forexsignals
Gold is still a safe investment channel.After a 27% gain in 2024, gold is still making experts and retail investors confident, with the precious metal forecast to surpass $3,000 an ounce this year.
However, the rally will not happen immediately as the current consolidation phase is expected to last for several more months. Some experts predict that gold will trade in the range of $2,500-2,700 an ounce in the first half of the year, but prices will break out and surpass $3,000 an ounce in the second half of 2025.
The bullish macro picture, combined with continued geopolitical risks and strong government buying, will push gold prices to new highs in 2025.
Gold prices are largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s decision this year. “The key question for the gold market now is how quickly the Fed will ease policy following Donald Trump’s victory, with the inflationary impact of Trump’s policies likely to result in fewer rate cuts than expected.”
Nonfarm Forecast This WeekendUS Treasury yields rose to their highest since May last year, which has been a factor in the decline in gold prices. In contrast, the US dollar index fell sharply today due to concerns about the country's ballooning debt burden, which also supported gold's highs. In a new development, President-elect Donald Trump denied that he would ease new trade tariffs. Mr. Trump dismissed a Washington Post report citing his aides as saying that the new president might be more selective about new tariffs.
After rising 27% in 2024, Goldman Sachs recently dropped its forecast for gold to reach $3,000 an ounce by the end of 2025, instead forecasting 2026 due to expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less.
Investors are now looking ahead to Friday's nonfarm payrolls data, which is expected to help shape expectations for the Fed's interest rate path this year. Market watchers are also looking to private sector employment data and the minutes of the Fed's most recent policy meeting for further details.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2640 - 2638🔥
💵 TP1: 2630
💵 TP2: 2620
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2647
Overlap resistance ahead?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 11.79425
1st Support: 11.66326
1st Resistance: 11.88396
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.58
1st Support: 98.49
1st Resistance: 100.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GER40 - Short Setup My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.49222
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.49724
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.48340
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.83820
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.83155
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.84759
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 98.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 97.854
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.51145
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.51381
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.50703
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY Next Move ShortGo through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
RWG 'BIAS for next week (3-1-2025)
Current price: 97.80
"Price seems accumulating for a while,possible scenario to push lower clearing available liquidity before any big move".
"Possible expansion to 97.90 levels,then big displacement to the downside."
Disclaimer: Methods shown are
combination of time and price theory by W.D Gann combined with ICT strategy & other .If my analysis doesnt make sense for some of you feel free to skip ahead,This is a personal strategy developed after years of back-testing making the highest win-rate with high risk-to-reward.
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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gold signal Gold benefits from the broad-based US Dollar weakness and recovers above $2,630 after falling to a daily low below $2,620 in the early American session on Monday. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds above 4.6%, limiting XAU/USD upside.
he XAU/USD pair has been trading around the current level for six weeks in a row, with spikes on one side or the other being reverted, a sign investors are comfortably waiting for a powerful catalyst to justify higher highs. In the daily chart, the bright metal hovers around a flat 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) while buyers defended the downside at around a bullish 100 SMA, now providing dynamic support at $2,624.98. Technical indicators, in the meantime, remain within negative levels, albeit with uneven directional strength, reflecting buyers’ pause.
The near-term picture suggests the bullish potential is limited. The 20, 100 and 200 SMAs
Will gold fly read the captionThe chart represents a daily (1D) analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) trading on the CAPITALCOM platform. The current market prices are 2,640.70 for sell and 2,641.00 for buy. The key points of the analysis are:
1. Current Price Movement: The price is moving in a range between 2,600 and 2,670. The chart shows a consolidation pattern with potential for a breakout.
2. Resistance Level: The resistance level is marked at 2,671.79. The analysis suggests that if the price breaks this resistance, the next target is 2,700.
3. Projected Movement: The chart indicates a potential bullish move. After breaking the resistance level, the price is expected to trend upwards, potentially reaching the 2,700 mark.
4. Volume Profile: The right side of the chart shows a volume profile indicating higher trading activity around the current price range, suggesting a significant level of interest from traders at these levels.
5. Technical Indicators: No specific indicators are shown on the chart, but the pattern and breakout analysis suggest reliance on price action and volume as key tools for this analysis.
This chart reflects a bullish outlook if the price successfully breaks the resistance at 2,671, with a target set at 2,700.
EUR/USD Faces Key Rejection – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesThe daily candle is facing rejection from the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish pressure.
The daily trend remains negative, aligning with the broader bearish sentiment on the weekly chart. For bulls to regain control, EUR/USD must break above the trendline and the 100 EMA at 1.0670.
Failure to do so could lead to further downside, especially if the 1.0300 support zone is breached.
DYOR, NFA
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern.
At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance.
As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level).
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#EURCHF 1DAYEURCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Resistance Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, signaling a potential shift towards bullish momentum.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests increased buying interest, with expectations for further upward movement if the price sustains above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Consider buying after confirmation of the breakout or on a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to minimize risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci extensions for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout indicates a potential trend reversal, favoring buyers as long as the price remains above the trendline support.
#EURCAD 1DAYEURCAD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Support Trendline Breakdown: The price has broken below a key ascending trendline support, indicating potential weakness and bearish pressure.
Forecast:
Wait for Retest, Then Sell: A retest of the broken trendline as new resistance could provide confirmation for a selling opportunity.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Look for price rejection at the retest of the trendline or near resistance areas before entering a sell position.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the retest zone or recent swing high to limit risk.
Take Profit Zones: Target nearby support levels or Fibonacci extensions for potential downside moves.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Bias: The breakdown suggests sellers are gaining control, but waiting for a retest offers a safer entry point to confirm the trend reversal.
Xauusd buy Gold price attracts some follow-through sellers at the start of a new week and retreats further from a nearly three-week high, around the $2,665 region touched on Friday. The prospects for slower Fed rate cuts in 2025 keep US Treasury bond yields elevated, undermining the non-yielding yellow metal.
Xauusd buy 2625
Support 2635
Support 2645
Samll sell
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Resistance Trendline Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward the upside.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, with further upward movement likely as long as the price holds above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After breakout confirmation or a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to limit downside risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above trendline resistance reflects increased buying interest, supporting expectations for further gains.
#BTCUSD 4HBTCUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Resistance Zone: The price is currently testing a key resistance area, showing signs of selling pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Area: A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern has formed near the resistance level, indicating potential downside movement.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The presence of a bearish engulfing pattern at resistance suggests a possible rejection, signaling a short-term sell setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the resistance area after bearish confirmation.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or the high of the bearish engulfing candle to limit risk.
Take Profit Zones: Target the nearest support levels or Fibonacci retracement areas for downside targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Bias: Selling pressure at resistance highlights a potential reversal, favoring short positions as long as the price stays below the resistance zone.
Analysis for GBP/USD (4-Hour Chart)The GBP/USD pair is showing significant price movements on the 4-hour chart, providing potential opportunities for both buyers and sellers. Here’s a breakdown of the key levels and insights:
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
The price has recently bounced from a critical support level at 1.2400, indicating strong buying pressure at this zone.
This level may act as a base for a potential bullish recovery.
Resistance Levels:
The first major resistance is observed around 1.2541.
A stronger resistance zone lies at 1.2605, which could act as a barrier for further upward momentum.
Trend Analysis:
The pair is currently in a short-term bearish trend, as seen by the recent downward movement.
However, the bounce from the support level and the green indicator showing potential long positions may suggest a possible reversal or retracement.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If the price breaks above 1.2541, we might see further upside toward the next resistance at 1.2605.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above the support level at 1.2400 could lead to another leg downward, potentially targeting 1.2350.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions:
Consider entering around the support level (1.2400) with a target of 1.2541 and a stop-loss below 1.2370.
Short Positions:
Look for opportunities near 1.2541 or 1.2605 if rejection signals appear, with a target back to the support zone.
💬 What’s your take on GBP/USD? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!