Forexsignals
EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
breakdown of the setup! Read CaptionThis is a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showing a bullish channel with price currently trading near its upper boundary. Here’s a breakdown of the setup:
Market Structure:
Trend: Gold is in a strong uptrend, moving within a well-defined ascending channel.
Current Price: Around $2,998, with a recent high of $3,000.55.
Key Target: A potential bullish breakout targeting $3,020+.
Support Zones: Highlighted between $2,930 - $2,860 as possible retracement levels.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the midline of the channel, a push toward $3,020 - $3,050 could be expected.
Pullback & Retest: A minor correction toward $2,970 - $2,960 before resuming its uptrend.
Deeper Retracement: A stronger pullback could lead to a test of $2,930 or even $2,860, aligning with the lower trendline.
Trading Plan:
Buy on dips if price retests lower support zones within the channel.
Breakout trade above $3,020 could indicate further upside potential.
Risk management: Watch for bearish rejection candles near resistance.
This setup favors bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback is possible before the next leg up. 📈🔥
CHFJPY: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the CHFJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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OIL BUY TARGET SUCCESSFUL READ IN CAPTIONSThe chart shows WTI Crude Oil (CFDs) on a 1-hour timeframe, displaying an upward trend in a well-defined channel. Here are key observations:
1. Resistance: The price is currently testing the upper resistance zone around 67.80, with a series of pullbacks indicating a potential reversal. This resistance level has been tested multiple times, and a rejection here could lead to a further downward movement.
2. Support Level: The support level is clearly marked at 66.50, and the price has bounced multiple times from this zone. It acts as a key level to monitor for price reversals.
3. Order Block: An order block is formed around 67.20, suggesting that there is significant buying activity at this level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate further weakness.
4. Target: The target is set at 67.64, just below the current price action. If the price breaks below the order block at 67.20, we could expect a pullback toward this target.
5. Potential Downward Move: The price has formed a lower high around 67.50, which suggests the possibility of a bearish reversal. If the price fails to break the resistance at 67.80 and fails to hold above 67.20, it may move toward the target at 67.64.
EUR/JPY Trade Setup: Buying the Dip Toward 160 for a 1:2.5 R/RSince reaching a low around 155 at the beginning of August, EUR/JPY has been trading within a defined range.
Earlier this March, the pair once again tested the lower boundary of this range and, as before, rebounded strongly. A higher low was established at the start of this week, suggesting that 159 may now serve as a new base of support.
In my view, EUR/JPY is likely to continue its upward trajectory, and a move toward 165 could materialize in the near future.
Conclusion:
Pullbacks toward the 160 area should be considered potential buying opportunities. With a stop-loss set around 158 and a target at 165, this setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5.
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EURUSD Head and Shoulders triggering a sell.The EURUSD pair is about to complete a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and so far it is keeping the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) intact. The last H&S formation we saw was completed on January 30 and it resulted in a -3.06% drop.
Given that the longer term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone with the H&S being on its top and the 4H RSI displaying the same Bearish Divergence it did in late January, we expect a similar pull-back to occur. Our Target is 1.06150, representing both a potential -3.06% drop and a contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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EURUSD Further Upside potentialThe EUR/USD pair continues to consolidate after experiencing strong bullish momentum. Since Tuesday, the price has primarily been moving sideways, remaining within a defined range. The market is currently positioned at a key resistance zone, yet no significant pullback was observed last week.
At this stage, the price appears likely to continue ranging before making a decisive move. An ABC pullback is in formation, and once completed, there is a strong potential for the trend to resume. A dip below last week's low is anticipated, followed by a rebound from the support level near 1.07800 and the upward trendline. The next potential target is the resistance zone around 1.10000
NZD/USD Poised for Bullish Breakout: Key Levels to WatchNZD/USD pair is currently forming a bullish breakout setup on the 4-hour timeframe. The price has been consolidating within a descending wedge pattern (marked by blue trendlines), which is a bullish reversal signal. Historically, similar wedge breakouts have led to significant upward movements, as seen in previous instances on this chart.
Breakout Confirmation & Entry:
The price has tested the descending resistance line multiple times and is now attempting to break above it.
A successful breakout and retest of this level could confirm a bullish continuation.
The entry zone aligns with the breakout area above the wedge pattern, providing a high-probability long setup.
Target Levels:
First Take Profit (TP1): 0.57705 - 0.57715 (Previous high & key resistance)
Second Take Profit (TP2): 0.58165 (Next major resistance level)
Final Take Profit (TP3): 0.59001 - 0.59003 (Strong supply zone & key resistance)
Risk Management:
Stop-loss placement: Below the recent swing low (~0.55965), as a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
The risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) appears favorable, with a well-structured green risk-reward box showing higher potential upside than downside.
UsdJpy bullish continuation I was patiently waiting for price at 147.842 last week but it didn't come to my point of interest.
Nothing spoil, I'll watch how price reacts at 148.033, that's my assumed poi for the bullish continuation. If price didn't respect that zone then I'll be expecting price at 147.842
My draw on Liquidity 🧲 is the current higher high 149.193.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
USDCHFHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDCHF?
In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has broken a key support level, which has now turned into resistance.
The pair is currently forming a pullback to the broken level, retesting it as resistance.
We expect the price to complete its pullback to the broken level and then continue its decline toward the specified target.
Will USD/CHF resume its downtrend after the pullback, or will buyers regain control? Share your thoughts below!
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AUDCHF: Strong Bullish Continuation 🇦🇺🇨🇭
It looks to me that AUDCHF will continue rising.
A confirmed breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern
on a 4H time frame provides a strong bullish signal.
The price will likely reach at least 0.5627 level soon.
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BTCUSD UPWARD UPCOMING READ IN CAPTIONS (BULLISH) TREND SOONThe chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing a concept of "Breaker Block" after a liquidity sweep. A breaker block is a failed order block formed when liquidity is swept. The chart highlights key points for identifying a breaker block:
1. Liquidity Sweep: A sweep of liquidity in the market before the price reversal.
2. Last Opposite Color Candle of Leg: The last candle of a different color before the reversal.
3. Failed Order Block: The block that fails to hold, indicating a reversal.
4. Market Structure Shift (ICT MSS): A shift in market structure, signifying a potential change in trend direction.
5. Inducement: A price move that induces traders to enter before a reversal.
The chart highlights areas marked SiBi (Swing In/Buy) and BiBi (Break In/Buy), which indicate possible zones where these events occur. The Resistance area is also shown as a key level for potential price rejection. Traders should look for confirmation of price action near these levels to assess the likelihood of further movement toward the Target around 84,000.
#USOIL/WTI 1 DAYUSOIL/WTI (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently trading near a key support level, which has previously acted as a strong demand zone. Buyers may step in at this level, leading to a potential reversal or bounce.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected if the price holds above the support level and shows signs of bullish momentum. Confirmation through price action, such as bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume, can strengthen the trade setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider buying near the support level if the price confirms a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to manage downside risk.
- Take Profit: Target resistance levels or previous swing highs for potential gains.
Market Sentiment:
If the support level holds, the market sentiment may shift towards the upside, leading to a potential bullish move. However, a breakdown below support could indicate further weakness, requiring reassessment.
NZDUSD at Key Resistance Level - Will It Drop To 0.56990?OANDA:NZDUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction if sellers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, we could see a potential drop toward the 0.56990 level. However, a break and close above this resistance zone would invalidate the bearish bias and could signal further upside continuation.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or increased selling volume before considering short positions.
Do you agree with this analysis? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4475
1st Support: 1.4156
1st Resistance: 1.4736
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could revere to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5827
1st Support: 0.5695
1st Resistance: 0.5915
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold buy Target 3050 on this analysis Contrarian Perspective (Bearish Case)
Instead of a breakout, the price could fail to sustain above the resistance and reverse downward.
The double top formation suggests a potential bearish reversal rather than a continuation.
If price breaks below the support level, it could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a decline towards 2,900 or lower
2. Fundamental Disruptions
Macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes, inflation data, or geopolitical instability could change the trend unexpectedly.
Unexpected news (such as central bank decisions on gold reserves) could cause volatility, disrupting the predicted movement.
3. Market Manipulation Risks
Whale activity or institutional traders might push the price in the opposite direction to trap retail traders.
False breakouts could occur before the actual move, stopping out early traders.
4. Alternative Technical Patterns
Instead of following the expected support bounce, price might consolidate in a range.
The resistance zone might turn into a supply zone, leading to a prolonged sideways movement
US30 Rebounds from Key Support – Bulls Eyeing New HighsKey Support & Trendline Confluence:
The price recently bounced off the long-term ascending trendline, which has been a strong support level since late 2023.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($40,205) provided additional confluence for a potential reversal.
Resistance Levels & Breakout Potential:
Immediate Resistance: $42,000 – A break above this level could confirm a bullish continuation.
Major Target: $45,065 – If momentum sustains, this all-time high could be tested soon.
Bullish Scenario:
A successful breakout above $42,000 could lead to an accelerated move toward $45,065 and beyond.
The trendline’s support indicates that bulls remain in control, and the recent rebound suggests renewed buying interest.
Risk Management & Confirmation:
Bullish confirmation: Sustained price action above $41,500 with strong volume.
Invalidation level: A breakdown below $40,000 could indicate a potential trend reversal.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Short-Term: Monitor price action around $42,000 for breakout confirmation.
Mid-Term: Expect a bullish move toward $45,000+ if the trendline holds.
Long-Term: If price breaks all-time highs, further upside potential is possible.
🚀 Bullish Confirmation Above $42,000 | ⚠️ Caution Below $40,000
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Bullish BreakoutCurrent Market Overview:
Price: $83,295
24h Change: -1.24% (-$1,043.43)
Exchange: Binance (2-Day Timeframe)
Technical Breakdown:
Support Levels:
38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$77,262 – This level has acted as a significant support area.
Trendline Support: Bitcoin is currently bouncing off a key ascending trendline that has been respected since mid-2023.
Major Fibonacci Support: Lower retracement levels at $67,346 (50%), $57,430 (61.8%), and $50,539 (70%) indicate potential deeper corrections if the trendline breaks.
Resistance Levels:
Key Resistance at $106,183 - $109,588: A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally toward new all-time highs.
Psychological Level at $100,000: A critical milestone for BTC that could act as temporary resistance.
Bullish Scenario:
If Bitcoin maintains support above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and trendline, a potential breakout above $109,588 could push prices toward $130,000.
The upward projection aligns with historical price action and Fibonacci extensions.
Bearish Scenario:
A break below $77,262 could lead to further downside, with possible retracements to $67,346 (50%) or lower levels like $50,539 (70%).
The long-term trendline breakdown would be a major bearish signal.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Short-Term: Look for confirmation of support at $77,262 before entering long positions.
Mid-Term: If BTC breaks $109,588 with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward $130,000 is likely.
Risk Management: A drop below $77,000 could invalidate the bullish setup, prompting caution.
🚀 Bullish Outlook Above $109,588 | ⚠️ Caution Below $77,000