XAU continues to rise due to tensions in the middle eastIn the Middle East, tensions continue to escalate and could spread after the US announced it would send troops and advanced anti-missile systems to Israel to protect its ally. Earlier, Israel's air defense system was hit by a supersonic missile from Iran and a military base was attacked by drones from Hezbollah.
Forexsignals
Gold will above 2687 2695 read the caption price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685.
The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US election.
Although the Fed officials are divided on the number of rate cuts until the end of the year, the central bank remains on track for more policy easing
Gold will above 2687 2695 read the caption price came just ticks ahead of new record high ($2685) during European trading on Wednesday, in fresh extension of bull-leg from $2602 higher low of Oct 10 and the bottom of corrective phase from $2685.
The metal remains strongly supported by growing prospects for global monetary policy easing, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding nearing US election.
Although the Fed officials are divided on the number of rate cuts until the end of the year, the central bank remains on track for more policy easing
#NZDCAD 1DAYThe **NZDCAD** currency pair on the 1-day chart is showing an **uptrend breakdown**, signaling a potential reversal from its previous bullish momentum. After a prolonged upward movement, the price has failed to maintain its higher highs and higher lows structure, indicating weakening bullish strength.
The pair has likely breached a key support level or trendline, confirming the **breakdown** of the uptrend. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control, and further downward pressure may follow. Traders may anticipate a shift towards bearish momentum and a **sell** opportunity, targeting lower price levels.
Key points to consider:
- The breakdown of the uptrend is confirmed by the breach of support.
- Momentum indicators may show bearish divergence or a shift in direction.
- Conservative traders might wait for a retest of the broken support before entering a sell trade.
The overall forecast points towards further declines in the short to medium term.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
DXY USDOLLAR Supply Demand Analysis-Price inside daily/weekly supply + trend = sideways.
-Buyers still in control wait for selling confirmation
of price breaking upward trend lines + removing opposing pivot demand
zones.
-We could see price break to the upside and then reverse
(liquidity search/stop run).
GBPJPY Potential Trend ContinuationThe market is currently testing a key psychological support level at 193.000 after a period of consolidation following recent bullish momentum. If GBPJPY closes above the 194.000 level, it could indicate continued upward movement, setting the stage for a retest of the resistance zone above this level. Given the recent bullish sentiment, a clear break and close above 194.000 would likely signal further bullish moves, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels within the resistance zone. The target is the resistance at 194.500
EURUSD Possible further Drop after a small up correctionThe market broke through the 1.1000 round number following the negative NFP data for EURUSD, pushing the price below the September low. There's a strong possibility it could retest the next round number at 1.0900. The weekly candle reflects growing bearish momentum, and zooming out reveals that this level has historically acted as a key support multiple times. If the price is rejected at this resistance zone again, it could signal further bearish movement. The overall outlook remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.1000. The target is the support level at 1.09050
#US30 1HFor the US30 on the 1-hour chart, a bearish engulfing pattern has formed, signaling potential selling pressure. This candlestick pattern occurs when a large red (bearish) candle completely engulfs the previous smaller green (bullish) candle, indicating a shift from buying to selling momentum. It suggests that sellers have taken control, and the market may see a further downward move.
Forecast: Sell
Given the engulfing pattern, the expectation is for a bearish continuation, with potential downside targets as the selling pressure builds. Traders may look for confirmation through additional indicators or price action before entering sell positions.
GBP/JPY : Technical Analysis and a signal!hello guys!
it is a risky position!!
Rising Channel:
The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. However, it is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel.
Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Strong resistance is seen around the 196.117 level.
The price attempted to break through this resistance but faced rejection multiple times, suggesting a bearish reversal could be imminent.
Support Levels (Green Area):
There’s a key support level of around 187.953.
This support aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, making it a potential target for any upcoming bearish move.
Bearish Momentum:
The price shows signs of weakness as it struggles below the red resistance zone.
A corrective move downwards is expected, with the first target around the 190.000 psychological level, followed by a potential drop to the 187.953 support zone.
Risk-Reward Setup:
The chart shows a clear risk/reward scenario, where a break below the 194.462 zone may trigger a sell-off towards lower levels.
Gold is moving higher because of a stong bullish momentumHello traders.
Today I'm going to try.I'm gonna try to give my analysis about the gold market. As you can see from the chart, the there is a high or big.Bullish momentum that that.Pushing the market to move higher after.There are many corrections that happened recently and from from a top down analysis point of view I can see.The bullish The high bullish momentum is getting involved in the market and the the buyers are taking over the.The gold market to push it higher to reach the 2700 something spot.And.From the weekly and the daily and the 4 hours.Chart you can see that there is a high probability to move higher and to reach all time high record.
XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chartXAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD break the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,666.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,660.30 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,682.30 ($17.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
#NZDJPY 4HNZD/JPY (4H) Analysis: Rectangle Support
Pattern:
The NZD/JPY pair has been trading within a well-defined rectangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, with horizontal support forming the base. The price has consistently bounced off this support level, indicating strong buyer interest at this zone.
Forecast: BUY with pattern
The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the rectangle, presenting a buying opportunity. The support zone has held multiple times, suggesting a potential upward move towards the top of the rectangle. A buy entry is recommended near the support, targeting the upper resistance of the rectangle. To manage risk, stop losses should be placed just below the support zone.
Key factors to consider:
- Repeated tests of the support level without a significant breakdown.
- Potential for price to move back towards the top of the rectangle.
- Well-established risk-to-reward ratio with a clear support base.
USD/CAD Rebounds from Demand Zone: Bullish Continuation in SightThe USD has shown a strong and positive response to today's economic news, signaling potential for further gains. After a temporary pullback yesterday, the Dollar is now demonstrating resilience, looking ready to recover and continue its bullish movement. This performance aligns well with our previous market analysis, where we anticipated a potential surge in the USD/CAD pair. After the pair found solid support at a key demand area, it now seems primed for an upward continuation.
From a technical perspective, the rebound on the demand zone has set a solid foundation for further growth. This area has proven to be a reliable point of reversal in the past, and the pair's recent price action suggests a renewed bullish momentum could be unfolding. The USD/CAD pair’s ability to hold above this critical zone increases the probability of a sustained upward trend in the days to come.
Adding to the technical picture, the COT (Commitment of Traders) Report reflects a market sentiment that favors the USD. According to the report, large institutional players have been positioning themselves in favor of the Dollar, while retail traders appear to be on the opposite side of the trade. This divergence between the smart money and retail positions is often a key indicator of a potential continuation of the trend. As institutional traders continue to build bullish positions, the likelihood of further upward movement in USD/CAD increases.
Additionally, seasonal patterns for this currency pair are historically aligned with periods of strength for the USD during this time of year. Over the years, USD/CAD has shown a tendency to rise during similar market conditions, adding another layer of confidence to the bullish outlook. While seasonality alone is not a decisive factor, when combined with strong technical and sentiment indicators, it provides valuable insight into the market’s potential direction.
Overall, the combination of technical analysis, market sentiment, and seasonal trends suggests that the USD/CAD is in a favorable position for continued growth. Traders looking for long opportunities may find this to be an ideal setup, especially as the pair navigates through what appears to be the beginning of a bullish momentum. As always, keeping a close eye on upcoming economic data and market events will be crucial in confirming the strength of this potential trend.
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Gold will knock 2700 confirm read the caption There hasn’t been any catalyst this week for the rally in gold although we had a key technical breakout which might have increased the bullish momentum.
The lack of bearish catalysts though is helping to keep the bid going as the market has finished to reprice the aggressive rate cuts expectations that weighed on gold in the past weeks as it contributed to lift real yields.
In fact, in the bigger picture, gold remains in a bullish trend as real yields will likely continue to fall amid the Fed’s easing cycle. The pullbacks will likely be triggered by a repricing in rate cuts but unless the Fed’s reaction function changes, the uptrend should remain intact
GBPJPYGBPJPY is in a correction phase. If the price can hold above 193.12, it is likely to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 149.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.33
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 148.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Bearish drop?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3787
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3826
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3749
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.