Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.Dec.29.2024 - Fri.Jan.3.2024Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
Forexsignals
Gold price has 50% chance of being in the range of 2,600-2,900At the beginning of the trading session on December 26 (US time), the world gold price increased slightly after the US announced that the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications reached 219,000, a slight increase compared to the forecast of 218,000 applications. This further strengthens the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay monetary policy next year.
The world gold market is still under pressure in the context of the Fed's reversal of monetary policy. Accordingly, in the context of "persistent" inflation, the US Central Bank's interest rate cut roadmap may slow down next year.
While the interest rate stance is boosting the dollar and bond yields, experts say that won’t deter investors from owning gold in their portfolios.
Tom Bruce, macro strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management, forecasts the precious metal will rise about 10% next year and stay below $3,000 an ounce.
He said the biggest short-term challenge for gold in 2025 is the expected strong growth in the U.S. economy. However, gold prices will remain supported as central bank purchases create new momentum in the market.
World gold prices have not changed muchIn its Commodity Outlook 2025 report, TD Securities analysts noted that the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank demand for gold have pushed gold prices to record highs this year, but capital flows have not provided strong support.
"There is no shortage of compelling macro stories that have fueled gold's rally in recent months ahead of the US election. However, the gold rally has not been supported by capital flows.
Modules have maintained a 'maximum buy' status since August, confirmed by the largely unchanged COT report. In Shanghai, traders have sold nearly 35 tonnes of nominal gold in recent weeks as domestic investment opportunities have become more attractive.
Gold buying has been driven largely by traditional ETFs and China. Fund managers have largely eliminated short positions. At the same time, rising US dollar and US interest rates have reduced the attractiveness of gold to Western capital inflows in the short term."
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after a significant drop last week, has shown a reaction near the support zone and entered a corrective phase. This upward correction is expected to continue until the price reaches the specified resistance zone.
Based on the market structure, it is anticipated that after completing the correction, the price will likely reverse from the resistance zone and decline towards the identified support level.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD-GOLD | 1H | TECHNICAL CHART Hello guys, I made OANDA:XAUUSD analysis for you.
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY SELL XAUUSD-GOLD | 2,626,0 - 2,626,90
🟢TP1: 2,624,5
🟢TP2: 2,622,0
🟢TP3: 2,610,9
🔴SL: 2,642,67
Don't forget to hit the like button for this kind of analysis
EURUSD Analysis==>>Pumping Soon!?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and an Important Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , so we should expect bullish waves soon .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.049 AFTER the Downtrend line is broken , and if the Resistance zone($1.040-$1.022) is broken, we have to wait for further increases .
⚠️Note: If EURUSD breaks the Important Support line, we can also expect the break of the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022).⚠️
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 178The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce and to USD – Issue 178The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
#EURCHF 1DAYEURCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
-Trendline Resistance Breakout: The price has successfully broken above a key trendline resistance, signaling a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Forecast:
-Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, and further upward movement is likely as long as the price stays above the broken resistance.
Key Levels to Watch:
-Entry Zone: After confirmation of the breakout or on a retest of the trendline as new support.
-Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to manage risk.
-Take Profit Zones: Target the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential gains.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above resistance highlights strengthening buying pressure, supporting further upside potential.
gold buying targetgold is now in strong bullish move yesterday gold close in bullish
d1 shows that it will make buy bulls
gold buy now 2626
target 2636
target 2647
The 14- and nine-day EMAs at $2,631.40 and $2,647.4
gold buying targetgold is now in strong bullish move yesterday gold close in bullish
d1 shows that it will make buy bulls
gold buy now 2626
target 2636
target 2647
The 14- and nine-day EMAs at $2,631.40 and $2,647.4
EurNzd could rise to 1.85On October 1st, EUR/NZD reached a local low at the psychological level of 1.75, followed by a reversal that lasted until November 1st, gaining nearly 1300 pips.
A normal correction then occurred, and from mid-November, the pair started consolidating between the 1.78 and 1.80 levels.
December brought a breakout above the key 1.80 level, and since then, EUR/NZD has been in a nice uptrend.
As of now, the price is 1.8230, and it looks like a breakout above resistance is imminent.
In this scenario, the next target for the bulls is the 1.85 level.
USDCAD Analysis: Bullish MomentumThe USDCAD pair has been extremely bullish lately, which is why it caught my attention. We can see multiple breaks to the upside, indicating a strong trend. Despite expecting a potential pullback in the near term, the overall trend remains very strong. This is why I have entered a position on the 1-hour timeframe.
Using the WiseOwl Indicator, we can see that it has been capitalizing on the trend with previous wins of +3.96RR, +7RR, and +5.42RR. Currently, we are in a risk-free trade with the stop loss set at breakeven (BE).
The EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200) are all aligned to support the bullish trend. Let's see how this plays out! 💪
Gold price forecastDonald Trump’s transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
Donald Trump's transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
In the long term, gold is still expected to rise as inflation signals rise again globally. The West has seen inflation return, while many Asian countries have stepped up monetary easing and have plans to pump money.
AUD/USD: Potential Fakeout Warning
On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve broken out of the blue resistance trendline, but caution is advised. The price may face rejection at the red resistance zone, where sellers remain active.
Waiting for confirmation before opening a short position from this zone is a safer approach. Watch this level closely for clearer signals. 🎯
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year.
He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China.
World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2638
Bearish Setup in AUD/USDT: Trendline Support Under PressureAUD/USDT is currently moving in a classical bearish pattern, with the price taking temporary support at the lower trendline.
However, this support appears weak, and it is unlikely to hold for long. A breakdown from this level could lead to further downside momentum.
More bearish movement is expected as the structure remains in favor of sellers.
DYOR, NFA
Bullish bounce off overlap support?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.48501
1st Support: 1.47502
1st Resistance: 1.50045
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold is chilling due to upcoming holidays It has been awhile since gold has shown any strength to go somewhere as we can buy or sale
I am looking for a gold sale but these holidays holding gold to stay.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.82659
1st Support: 1.81404
1st Resistance: 1.84519
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could drop tp the 1st support.
Pivot: 109.58
1st Support: 108.51
1st Resistance: 110.39
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?AUD/CHF is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.55968
1st Support: 0.55661
1st Resistance: 0.56589
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price bounce from here?AUD/NZD is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.10285
1st Support: 1.09934
1st Resistance: 1.10854
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
