Potential bullish rise?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 17.3355
1st Support: 17.1641
1st Resistance: 17.59060
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Forexsignals
Usdchf dropping area confirm sell read the caption week ago today, the USDCHF made a break to the upside and out of the "Red Box" that had confined the pair going back to August 20. The US jobs report was the catalyst for the move higher, but by Monday, the price fell back to the high of that "red box" and even moved within the topside edges of it.
Sellers should have entered on that breach, but the momentum was very modest, and sellers turned back to buyers into Tuesday and reached session - and week - highs on late Wednesday and into Thursday's trade. Those highs reached a swing area between 0.86078 and 0.8619. The high price reached 0.86067.
#Silver bearish counter trend opportunityAs seen in the chart, silver has formed a 5-wave bullish impulsive move and has since begun a bearish move, which could be labeled as wave A.
As we know, corrective waves typically occur in three waves. I believe we are nearing the completion of wave B, which could lead to another bearish leg to complete wave C.
This entire 3-wave bearish move could then form wave 2 of 5 on a higher degree.
Therefore, while we might be looking at a short-term bearish move, according to Elliott Wave theory, there is still significant bullish potential in the coming weeks.
#GBPCHF potential reverse head and shoulder patternIn this chart, as you can see, we might be dealing with an inverse head and shoulders pattern. If confirmed, this pattern could lead to higher prices.
However, before taking any positions, it would be prudent to wait for a shift in the lower timeframe market structure toward a bullish trend to ensure stronger confirmation of the move.
#Silver near the end of wave 3 of 5 of 3 From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that the price has formed wave 3 in an impulsive bullish move. Therefore, we can anticipate a bearish corrective move to complete wave 4.
Based on the principle of alternation, since wave 2 was a sharp correction, wave 4 could potentially be a more prolonged, time-consuming corrective phase. This suggests that the upcoming wave 4 correction may develop as a more complex or sideways movement before resuming the uptrend for wave 5.
It's important to note that bullish move is still on. However, we may now see a bearish corrective move.
#Silver Elliot wave analysis Based on this Elliott Wave analysis, we are likely at the beginning of a bullish wave 5. This suggests that corrective wave 4, which formed as a regular flat pattern, has concluded, and a new bullish move is set to begin.
As a result, any bearish corrective move should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity.
Let me know if you like Elliot wave analysis.
AUD/USD – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout on 4H On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has broken through the neckline of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The first target is the initial resistance level, with the potential to reach a second resistance.
Trading Scenarios:
1. Long: Take advantage of the breakout to target the first resistance.
2. Short: At the second resistance, consider reducing positions or opening a short if the price shows signs of reversal.
DXY SELL TO BUY XXXUSD Hey Traders,
lets get ready to see the dollar index (DXY) take some step down
simple what are we waiting for on the XXXUSD we are anticipating a BUY from the bottom
price fixing below
EMA's
Conversion line
200ema
is a good sign to sell this and BUY ALL XXXUSD at a right point
thanks for reading,if you want more content like this drop a comment below thanks once again!!!!!!!!!!!!
EUR/USD: Strong U.S. Data Signals Possible Reversal AheadAs per my market review, I predict that the uptrend of the EUR/USD currency pair is about to be broken (a significant reversal) and so it is likely to decline, especially due to strong U.S. fundamentals. The weekly sweep shows that the price is in a consolidation phase; however, the market has not been able to overcome the resistance zone despite various attempts. Right now, the pair is approaching the low of the previous week, as well as closing a weekly candlestick at the bottom, which increases the risks of further downward movement. The levels of support stand at 1.0949 and 1.0900, with resistances located at 1.1000, 1.1010, and 1.1050. There now remains the question of whether or not the price will close below the 1.0949 support level and if that happens, a deeper move is expected to follow. One extreme scenario is that it is possible to expect a pullback to 1.100 before the bears resume the trend.
Usdcad bear and bull analysis read the caption The USDCAD has been trending to the upside since bottoming on October 2 near 1.3472. The momentum over the last eight trading days has taken the price up to a high of 1.37826. That took the price to the low of the next swing area target between 1.3784 and 1.38036 (going back to April 2024 – see the red numbered circles on the chart below)
Nzdusd confirm buy here is a opportunity read the caption The NZDUSD traded above and below the 100-day MA this week but above the 200-day MA (green line) into the mid-week RBNZ rate decision. The central bank cut rates by 50 basis points and that sent the pair below the 61.8% but buyers came in against the 61.8% retracement. The subsequent bounce off the low on Wednesday saw the price move back to the 200-day MA where sellers leaned, putting a lid on the pair.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
XAU/USD : CPI is Coming, More Bullish Move ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after entering the desired demand zone, the price started to rise and is currently trading around $2,617. Considering that the US CPI data will be released today and I expect the actual value to be equal to or lower than the forecasted rate, I anticipate an upward movement in price to fill the liquidity void mentioned in the previous analysis. Based on the previous analysis, the key supply zones remain as follows: $2,625, $2,636.6, $2,646, and $2,655 to $2,660. I hope you make the most out of this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPJPY - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 GBPUSD Analysis on 15m chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- Simple trade on HHs HLs
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 194.393
- Stop Loss = 194.110
- TP1 = 194.680
- TP2 = 194.937
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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DXY: A Bullish Outlook for the USDThe US Dollar Index (DXY), a critical gauge of the dollar's performance against a basket of major currencies, recently encountered a significant demand area at 100.53. This pivotal point has historically acted as a fulcrum, influencing the currency's trajectory. Interestingly, this interaction coincides with a notable downturn in the commitment of traders (COT) report for retail traders, suggesting a pivotal shift in market sentiment.
Retail Traders Retreat Amidst Bullish Signals
Retail traders, often seen as contrarian indicators, have shown a marked decrease in their positions at this juncture, reaching notably low levels. This trend typically suggests a lack of confidence among smaller market participants, which can often precede a reversal when combined with other factors. It's crucial to consider these dynamics within the broader context of market sentiment and economic indicators.
Institutional Insights: Fund Managers and Commercials Buying the Dip
Conversely, the behavior of more significant market players such as fund managers and commercial traders provides a stark contrast. Fund managers have maintained or increased their bullish positions, demonstrating a robust confidence in the strength of the USD. Simultaneously, commercial traders, known for their strategic depth and market knowledge, have started accumulating positions, "buying the dip." This accumulation by commercials is often a reliable indicator of foundational strength in the market, suggesting that these savvy traders anticipate a forthcoming rise in the dollar's value.
Technical and Seasonal Factors Align for a Bullish Scenario
From a technical perspective, the DXY has shown signs of being oversold. When a financial instrument reaches such conditions, it often suggests that the selling momentum might be overextended, priming the market for a bullish reversal. This technical signal, in conjunction with the identified demand area, provides a compelling case for an impending upward movement.
Moreover, seasonality also plays a critical role in the dynamics of currency markets. Historical data and patterns can influence trader expectations and market movements significantly. For the DXY, seasonal trends around this time of year have frequently aligned with strengthening trends, reinforcing the current analysis that an uptick could be on the horizon.
Looking Forward: A Bullish Forecast for the USD
Considering these multifaceted insights—from the COT data illustrating a shift away from retail bullishness to the strategic accumulations by institutional players, and the supportive technical and seasonal indicators—the stage is set for a potential long-term increase in the value of the USD. Traders and investors would be wise to monitor these developments closely, as the confluence of these factors could lead to significant opportunities in the forex markets.
The current landscape of the DXY presents a textbook scenario where understanding the interplay between different trader behaviors and technical indicators can provide a strategic advantage. As we move forward, keeping a pulse on these shifts will be crucial for capitalizing on the anticipated upward trajectory of the USD.
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USDHKD One of the best buys in the market.The USDHKD pair just formed a 1W Death Cross this week but the current 1W candle is a green one. The reason is that it is rebounding after reaching last week the 2-year Support Zone. We believe that we will see an aggressive rise next that will approach the Lower Highs trend-line. Our target is just below it at 7.82500.
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USDCAD Approaching our sell entry.The USDCAD pair has been rising since the September 25 Low, all inside a 2-year Rectangle pattern of a wide range. The 1D RSI is about to enter the 70.00 overbought zone and every time it has done so within this pattern, a little later it got rejected to at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, we will wait until 1.38500 and sell, targeting 1.36000 (which would be a -1.86% decline from the top, the minimum from the group of similar declines) or take the profit if the price hits the 1D MA50 before 1.36000.
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