BTC next move BTC gave a choch and bos conformation of small uptrend
market came without taking a supply from trend change area and there we can see FVG
so trend have to collect that FVG for continue sell trend
or break there structure for uptrend
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Forexsignals
Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6688
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6621
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.6751
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Bullish reversal?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3031
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3159
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 140.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 150.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 147.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?AUD/CHF has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.57992
1st Support: 0.57304
1st Resistance: 0.58703
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.10464
1st Support: 1.09890
1st Resistance: 1.11379
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.52213
1st Support: 0.51741
1st Resistance: 0.52620
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Short term==>>(Fundamental + Technical)Today's Fundamental analysis of the FX:EURUSD highlights several key factors:
1-Expected ECB Rate Cuts : With Eurozone inflation dropping below 2% in September, there is growing speculation about further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in both October and December. These rate cuts would likely weaken the euro, as lower borrowing costs reduce demand for the currency.
2-US Economic Performance : The recent U.S. labor market report exceeded expectations, showing solid job growth and a lower unemployment rate. This has strengthened the dollar, with investors now awaiting the upcoming U.S. CPI report(10 October), which may offer insights into future Fed policy
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Now, let's go to the technical analysis of EURUSD .
EURUSD is moving in the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , near the Support lines and 100_SMA(Daily) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise at least to near the Resistance zone($1.005-$1.0995) after breaking the Downtrend line .
Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and support lines, we can expect EURUSD to touch at least $1.0878.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
NZDJPY breaks 200-day SMA; downward movement imminent?The New Zealand dollar to Japanese yen currency pair (NZD/JPY) saw an uptrend on the daily chart from March 2020 to July 2024, gaining 66.58% over the four-year period.
Recently, however, the pair broke below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 200-day SMA, which had served as support for four years, now appears to be acting as resistance.
Additionally, the NZD/JPY formed a double top, indicating that buyers were once more unable to push the price above the 92.00 mark. This double top region coincides with the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci.
Upward trend in NZDJPY driven by RBNZ-BOJ interest rate differential
The strong upward trend had been driven by the interest rate differential between the New Zealand dollar and the Japanese yen.
New Zealand, like many countries around the world, slashed interest rates during the COVID-19 pandemic to stimulate its economy. However, as the economy began to recover, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) moved to raise rates to control inflation and avoid rampant price increases.
With inflation now under control, the RBNZ has started cutting rates, with yesterday marking the third consecutive cut, as the central bank reduced New Zealand’s key interest rate from 5.25% to 4.75%.
Japan, on the other hand, followed the opposite path, keeping its interest rate below 0 while other countries raised borrowing costs to control inflation — which is why the JPY has depreciated so much in recent years.
However, in its most recent meetings, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) — Japan’s central bank — changed its stance and raised interest rates for the first time since 2016.
With New Zealand’s interest rate declining and Japan’s interest rate increasing, there is potential for a medium-term devaluation of the NZD against the JPY.
Downward movement in NZDJPY possible in coming months
From a technical perspective, the following factors are at play:
1. Break of the uptrend on D1.
2. The 200-day SMA, which previously acted as support, is now serving as resistance.
3. A double top has formed on the daily chart.
4. The 50% Fibonacci region is bearish.
Considering these technical factors and the diverging monetary policies of the central banks in Japan and New Zealand, a downward movement in NZD/JPY is possible in the coming months.
If the price manages to break below 89.75, it is possible that it will fall to the 86.70 region in a few days.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
XAU/USD : First Long, Then SHORT ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after entering the demand zone of $2,625 to $2,632, the price was met with buying pressure and has now risen to $2,651. There are several key supply levels ahead that we need to focus on. The first and one of the most important levels is the range between $2,657 to $2,660—keep a close watch on how the price reacts to this level. The next level to monitor is $2,667.7 to $2,670.5, and the third key supply zone is between $2,673 to $2,678. Keep an eye on the price reaction at these levels! (This analysis will be updated.)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPJPY: Bullish Movement Ahead of FOMC 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY has a perfect potential to continue growing before the FOMC minutes today.
The price started to consolidate after a test of a rising trend on a 4H
and violated its neckline then.
The price will most likely heading towards 195.1 level now.
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Gbpusd downfall big dip read the caption Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with loss of downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. While corrective fall from 1.3433 might extend lower, strong support should be seen from 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) to contained downside. Above 1.3174 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound. However, decisive break of 1.3001 will carry larger bearish implications
Eurusd confirm buy trendline read the caption EUR/USD skates on thin ice near the eight-week low of 1.0950 in Wednesday’s European session. The major currency pair stays under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) gathers strength to extend its previous week’s rally further, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) hovering near a seven-week high around 102.60.
The appeal of the US Dollar has strengthened as traders have priced out expectations for the Federal Reserve
GBPUSD Will it hold the 1D MA50??The GBPUSD pair has been trading exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past two days and so far it held. Today though it appears to be making its first legitimate attempt to break it and if the 1D candle closes below it, we will have a confirmed bearish break-out.
This is similar to the August 03 2023 bearish break-out, which was the ultimate medium-term sell confirmation after a long Bullish Megaphone that dictated the trend. As you can see the two fractals are identical, initially declining by around -5% and then rising towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension through their Megaphones.
The 2023 sell signal reached the 0.786 Fib after the break-out and that will be our Target again (1.2550) if the 1D candle confirms that closing below the 1D MA50.
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Gold move range higher read the caption Tomorrow, we have the US CPI report and that could be a catalyst for either a rally or a selloff. If we get an upside surprise in the data, then we will likely see new lows in gold. Conversely, a very soft report might trigger another rally and take us to a new all-time high
CAD/JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe On the 1 hour timeframe CAD JPY has formed a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
The price is currently at the right shoulder which is our entry level, we need to wait for candlesticks confirmation from this level before taking our sell. ⏰
Note: This pattern was formed in a Daily resistance level.
World gold costs dropped sharply withinside World gold prices dropped sharply in the context of the rising USD index. Recorded at 0:00 on October 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 102,340 points (up 0.04%).
World gold prices faced a wave of selling when a senior official of Hezbollah expressed support for Lebanese officials' efforts towards a ceasefire. Market participants are seeing the news as a easing of tensions in the Middle East.
Not only gold, news about Hezbollah has "sunk" the crude oil market - a commodity that is closely related to precious metals. Nymex crude oil price decreased by about 3.75 USD/barrel to 73.5 USD/barrel.
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Fears of rising disputes reduce confidence in goldOn the opposite hand, there may be a danger of inflation, the Boston Fed president stated
Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated Tuesday that the U.S. economic system is at danger now no longer simplest from the chronic race however additionally from a recession.
Collins stated there may be nonetheless a risk the hard work marketplace might be robust whilst the taper is complete, however "it`s all at danger."
"There's plenty to preserve song of. I suppose humility is continually essential and we have got discovered that there may be surprises alongside the way," Collins stated.
On the only hand, the Federal Reserve's push to elevate hobby prices to lessen emissions has made the economic system "extra liable to negative shocks," in keeping with Collins.
"My self belief in displaying development has increased - however so has the danger of the economic system slowing once more to the diploma had to repair charge stability," she stated.
💎 XAUUSD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 XAUUSD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Gold fell sharply after no news from the fedThe positive economic data recently released has caused investors to take profits on gold, shifting their investments to profitable assets such as stocks. Investors are also selling gold because today, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of last month's meeting.
The employment report and positive economic data, investors expect the report will also have a positive assessment of the economy, as well as the interest rate policy may remain unchanged so that the Federal Reserve can maintain the conditions to bring inflation to the target of 2%.
XAU drops sharply without any newsThe USD continues to surprise the market when it has increased quite strongly in recent sessions. Along with that, countries are also lowering interest rates and looking for ways to support the weakened economy after the pandemic and the instability of production chains as well as reduced consumer demand around the world.
The price of gold rings in basic units remains the same in both buying and selling directions compared to the previous session.
According to technical analysis, the indexes reaching 50 points are an expansion level. However, at the time of assessment, consumers are more optimistic than last month, showing a positive trend, they will buy more goods and services, which will boost domestic demand, stimulate businesses and the economy to grow better.
USDCAD ShortUSDCAD looks like a sell on the H4 and has been moving steadily down from my last entry in UC. I believe that there will be a potential double top move looking to move towards the 1.35800s towards the 1.35371 prior to a pullback or further breakdown of the pair. I am looking for this mainly to be a day trade, however, I will also be placing a swing trade for my other trading accounts to bare in mind to also use PROPER risk management. RSI also indicates that we are long overdue a major short and will see it within the next few candles how far USDCAD can go.
ENTRY: 1.36595
TP 1 (Day Trade): 1.35371
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 1.34806
SL: 30 pips from entry
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