XAUUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on GOLD ?
Gold is currently oscillating between two key support and resistance zones
Resistance Zone: A significant resistance level is identified around the $2,680 mark. The price has tested this level multiple times and bounced back. If this level is broken and the price stabilizes above it, we could see a further upward movement. You can consider entering a buy position after confirming the breakout.
Support Zone: The key support level is around $2,630. If this support zone is broken and the price stabilizes below it, a drop toward the $2,576 level is likely. In this case, you might look for sell opportunities.
As long as the price is fluctuating between these two zones, it's better to avoid entering trades and wait for a breakout. A break above the resistance signals a buy, while a break below the support signals a sell.
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Forexsignals
EUR/JPY: Bullish trendline breakOn the daily chart, there is a clear break of a downtrend line with a confirmed weekly close above it - unlike during the liquidity grab where the price broke higher but then closed the week under the trendline.
This broken trendline and Friday’s low at 161 is now support. Should the price be able to break above the August peak, a next possible upside target is 167.5 (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-August drop.
But that’s just what we think, do you agree or disagree?
Send us a message and let us know
Happy Trading!
Jasper, WeTrade Market Analyst and Founder of Trading Writers.
EUR/USD Potential Rejection at Resistance ZoneAlthough EUR/USD isn't yet approaching the resistance zone, I'm anticipating that when the price returns to this level, we could see a rejection. This could lead to a pullback, offering a potential short opportunity once the price reaches this resistance.
Nas100 Buy Setup Pending Bullish TDI ConfirmationNasdaq 100 (Nas100) has begun September with a bearish trend, mirroring the OLHC structure observed last month. We are currently awaiting strong support on the daily timeframe to confirm a potential buy opportunity. Buyers are expected to enter the market once a bullish TDI cross appears on the daily chart . I have identified three targets for this setup:
- First Target: 18,160.95
- Second Target: 19,031.30
- Third Target: 19,445.56
Exercise extreme caution and wait for clear signals before making any moves. Patience is key.
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"USD/JPY Buy Setup Pending Strong Support Confirmation"USD/JPY monthly structure is currently exhibiting an OLHC (Open Low High Close) pattern, signaling a potential buy setup. At the moment, we are still following the short-term sell trend until a significant support level is established, which will mark a favorable point for buying. This strong support is expected to form with the appearance of a bullish TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross on the daily timeframe.
Currently, two key confirmations are present on the daily chart: a bullish divergence and an Open Low structure. The only element missing for a full buy confirmation is the bullish TDI cross, which will indicate increased buying momentum in the market. My target level for this trade is 145.895 , aligning with the Monthly Open.
Please trade with caution. If you find this analysis helpful, kindly support it with a like, share, or comment.
USD/JPY Poised for Gains as DXY StrengthensThe US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its upward momentum as Treasury yields recover from recent losses, bolstering the Greenback’s strength. However, this rally may soon face headwinds, with growing market expectations of additional rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024.
Traders are now focusing on the upcoming US Flash Manufacturing PMI, which is due for release within the hour. The PMI data will offer a fresh perspective on the health of the US manufacturing sector, and any surprise in the numbers could influence the Greenback’s near-term trajectory. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to show a slight improvement, reflecting stabilizing economic conditions, but traders remain alert for any deviations from the forecast.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 50% probability that the Fed could reduce rates by as much as 75 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of the year. This potential easing has kept some investors cautious, as it could curb the USD’s long-term gains.
From a technical standpoint, we are seeing a key opportunity in the USD/JPY pair, which has rebounded from a strong demand area. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are still heavily short on the USD/JPY, while institutional "smart money" appears to be shifting its stance, reducing its bearish exposure. This setup aligns with our previous analysis, where we highlighted the potential for a long position as the pair regains upward momentum.
As the USD/JPY continues to rebound from this demand zone, the conditions remain favorable for a long trade. The shift in sentiment among institutional traders, combined with the recovery in Treasury yields and the strength of the DXY, supports the case for further upside. However, traders should remain cautious as the Fed’s rate cut expectations may still influence broader USD sentiment in the months ahead.
For now, the focus remains on the US PMI release and its impact on both Treasury yields and the USD. Should the data come in stronger than expected, it could provide additional fuel for the DXY’s rally, further reinforcing the bullish outlook for USD/JPY. Conversely, weaker-than-expected PMI data could reignite concerns about the Fed’s dovish outlook, potentially pausing the Greenback's current rally.
We continue to monitor the situation closely, with a bullish setup in USD/JPY remaining a key focus in the near term.
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GBPJPYAs per our last mind we asked you guys which pair you want and analysis for. The public has asked for GBPJPY . Here is our view.
As of now, GBPJPY is sitting at our PBA 2 (Pullback Area). If we break above 193.290 (October 1st highs) we will continue to the upside .
However ,
If we break below our PBA 2 192.000 , we could see a downside move to our PBA 1 . Breaks below could also result in lower prices.
We advise you not to enter in any trades until breaks of either 193.290 or 192.000 .
We will send out the update once a break happens.
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has fallen to our PBA 2.
- Important levels to break are 193.290 or 192.000.
- Break above 193.290 would confirm higher highs.
- Break below 192.000 would confirm lower lows.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Trade Idea: AUD/USD Bounce at Support ZoneAUD/USD is currently moving downward, and I anticipate a bounce when the price reaches the upcoming support zone. This level has shown strength in the past, making it a likely spot for a rebound. I’m ready to take advantage of this potential upward move once it hits this support.
USD/CHF Recovers Inside Demand Zone, Fed Rate Cuts LoomIn the early European session on Monday, USD/CHF was trading at 0.8429, with the price sitting inside a key demand area. The pair is showing signs of recovery after a two-day losing streak, but its upside potential could be capped due to increasing market expectations for further aggressive rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Investors will closely watch comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Governor Michelle Bowman later today for additional insights into the Fed’s next moves.
From a technical perspective, the USD/CHF pair remains in a demand zone, which could provide support for a possible bullish move. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders are still largely bearish on the pair, while institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—have switched to long positions over the past week. This shift suggests a potential bullish impulse may unfold in the short term.
On the fundamental side, the slowing Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index inflation data for August has fueled expectations that the Fed will maintain a rapid pace of rate cuts as inflationary pressures ease closer to its 2% target. This dovish stance could weaken the US Dollar (USD) in the near future, making USD/CHF's upside limited. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a nearly 54% probability of a half-point rate cut in November, with a 46% chance of a smaller quarter-point reduction.
Given these factors, traders should remain cautious but open to the possibility of a short-term bullish move for USD/CHF. The combination of technical demand zone support and shifting smart money positions suggests the potential for a recovery, though macroeconomic events and rate cut expectations may temper this momentum.
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USDJPY / BY BREAKING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has broken out above 147.218, and there is currently bullish pressure , The price is attempting to reach a supply zone between 148.626 and 149.340.
For the uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break above this supply zone. If successful, the price could then aim for the next target at 150.790 (the supply line).
If the price fails to hold above 147.218 during a retest, this could signal a decline , Breaking below 147.218 might lead to a drop towards favorable value gaps (FVG) at 145.363 and 144.332.
Supply zone : 148.626 and 149.340.
Demand zone : 142.546 and 141.687.
FVG : 145.363 and 144.332.
XAUUSD / UNDER NFP PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After a 1.16% increase in gold prices yesterday, today’s trading shows bearish pressure.
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news is anticipated to cause significant price movement in the gold market.
If prices remain below the $2,664 to $2,670 range, it suggests a potential decline toward the demand zone between $2,644 and $2,637.
Conversely, if the demand zone is broken and prices stabilize above it, the next target would be the supply zone at $2,681 to $2,686.
Overall Trend , Despite the short-term bearish pressure, the general trend for gold remains upward.
Supply Zone: 2,681$ and 2,686$.
Demand Zone : 2,644$ and 2,637$.
GBPUSD Potential up trend continuation after the correction and The GBPUSD is currently in a consolidation zone after reaching a resistance area. While the market remains in a bullish trend on the daily timeframe, indicating ongoing demand pushing prices higher, the recent break of the upward trendline suggests a temporary pause in bullish momentum. This break hints at a possible slowdown as the market consolidates, preparing for its next move. Given the current range, it's likely the market will remain within this zone for a while before resuming the bullish trend. The target is the resistance zone at 1.33960
EURUSD Channel breakout and further potential drop after a correEURUSD has sharply declined following news of escalating tensions in the Middle East, which triggered a surge in the DXY, pushing down other currency pairs. The market formed a double top at the resistance level and failed to close above it. Currently, it is heading toward the bottom of the range. Zooming out, you'll notice the price action has been oscillating between 1.10200 and 1.12000. A pullback may occur before the market continues its downward movement. The target is the support level at 1.10300
NZD/USD Slips as Fed Powell Hints at Gradual Rate CutsThe NZD/USD pair has been losing ground in the wake of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks, indicating that interest rates will be lowered gradually "over time." This dovish signal from Powell has bolstered the US Dollar, placing additional pressure on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).
Adding to the bearish sentiment, the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September is projected to show a slight improvement, with expectations set at 47.5 compared to the previous reading of 47.2. A better-than-expected result could further support the USD, reinforcing the downward trajectory of the NZD/USD pair.
On the New Zealand front, economic data has also been less than favorable. The country’s Building Permits fell by 5.3% month-over-month in August, a significant reversal from the substantial 26.4% increase recorded in July. This decline reflects a slowdown in the construction sector, further weakening the New Zealand Dollar.
From a technical perspective, NZD/USD has reached a key supply area where the price seems to be reversing. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report also aligns with this potential reversal, showing a shift in sentiment towards the USD. Coupled with the latest economic news and the anticipation of stronger US data later today, the technical indicators and fundamentals both point to a continued bearish outlook for NZD/USD.
In conclusion, with Powell’s dovish comments, weak New Zealand data, and the likelihood of stronger US economic reports, the NZD/USD pair appears poised for further declines. Traders should watch for confirmation from today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release, which could boost the USD further and solidify the reversal in NZD/USD.
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USDCNY Brace for a cyclical 1-year sell-off.The USDCNY pair is almost on a 3-month decline after a Lower Highs rejection early in July. Having broken below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) the same month, which was the long-term Support, this Lower Highs is a standard cyclical top formation that has shown up both on the May 2020 and 2017 tops.
The similarities are more obvious on the 1W RSI, where the pair makes its cyclical bottom after a Higher Lows trend-line is formed on oversold territory and tops on the Lower Highs trend-line shown.
Right now it appears that we are just before it breaks downwards aggressively and attack the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The Sine Waves also give a great perspective of the frequency of those Cycle Bottoms.
As a result, we expect the pair to have reached by the end of 2025 the 10-year Higher Lows Zone. Our long-term Target is 6.500.
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Gold stands firm amid Middle East conflict outbreakThe world gold price increased quite strongly after Iran's airstrike on Israel, but also cooled down, then increased rapidly again. The gold price on the international market is holding high, showing its "durability" amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, after Iran massively fired hundreds of missiles at Israel. Israel's Iron Dome air defense system is said to have failed to stop many missiles.
In the context of the chaotic world political situation, especially in the Middle East, calling Bitcoin (digital gold) a safe haven has caused disagreement among many precious metal supporters.
XAU stands firm in the face of world politicsWorld gold prices are under great pressure in the context of the unstable world political situation. Domestically, the price of gold rings has increased sharply compared to gold bars - experts recommend that investors should be cautious when buying if the goal is to invest for profit, because the risk is high.
World gold prices are under pressure to decrease due to profit-taking activities and the USD has increased quite strongly again.
Gold prices also decreased because investors were cautious before the US economy announced important figures. These figures are believed to be able to provide clues about the scale of the interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) expected to take place at the end of the year. In addition, the USD's increase has also pulled money back to the greenback.
NOT buying USDCADThe USDCAD price has moved into the Daily sell zone, which suggests the possibility of new sell positions entering the market, potentially driving the price down. In the case that the zone is broken, there is a high likelihood of further price increases (which, in my opinion, is less likely).
For those looking to short, I would recommend looking for a simple breakout pattern on lower timeframes and participating accordingly. BUT make sure to wait until after the NFT news and observe what market will do with price.
Good luck, and stay cautious, don't forget it's Friday!
EURUSDHello Traders!
What are your thoughts on EURUSD ?
EURUSD is currently moving within an ascending channel and approaching the key support zone near the channel's bottom. As long as the price does not close below this support level, the uptrend is expected to continue, with the potential for a bounce from this area. A break below the support level could indicate a shift in the trend.
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