EURJPY Strong oversold buy opportunity.The EURJPY pair broke again below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of its Rectangle pattern and is consolidating. Every time this break-out occurred, the price was a buy opportunity.
This time, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which makes the opportunity even stronger. We are expecting a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test below the Lower Highs trend-line at 162.250.
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Forexsignals
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias
The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance.
However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning:
A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move.
2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend
There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid.
Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout.
A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation.
3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels
The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection.
The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move
Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely.
4. Resistance Might Hold Strong
The resistance area is broad, meaning:
A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback.
The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line.
Alternative Scenario:
Instead of assuming an instant bullish move:
1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop.
2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout.
3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
GBPJPY STRONG BULLISH OPPORTUNITY 1. Range-Bound Market Assumption
The analysis assumes that price is bouncing between a horizontal range (support and resistance).
However, ranges don’t last forever—a breakout or breakdown is inevitable.
Instead of expecting a structured bounce, a fake breakout or a liquidity grab could occur.
2. Support Zone Over-Reliance
The expectation of multiple support bounces is risky because:
The more times price tests support, the weaker it becomes.
A stop hunt scenario could push price below support before reversing.
If buyers don’t step in with strong momentum, a breakdown might be more likely than the predicted bullish move.
3. Resistance Breakout Bias
The projection shows a clean breakout above resistance after consolidation.
However, GBP/JPY is highly volatile, meaning:
A fakeout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A rejection at resistance might cause a sharp drop instead of a rally.
4. Missing Volume & Trend Confirmation
No volume analysis is provided—breakouts need high volume for confirmation.
No higher time frame confirmation (1H, 4H) is shown, making it unclear whether the trend is truly bullish or just ranging.
Alternative View
Instead of assuming a smooth upward breakout, consider:
Bearish Scenario: A false breakout above resistance followed by a strong reversal.
Liquidity Grab: A dip below support before an actual reversal.
Wait for confirmation: If price closes above resistance with volume, a buying opportunity is stronger
ETHUSD surely analysis 1. Support and Resistance Reliability
The analysis assumes a strong support zone at the lower level and a firm resistance at the top.
However, support and resistance levels are not static—they can be invalidated if momentum is strong
If the price revisits support too many times, it could break down instead of bouncing.
2. Repetitive Range-Bound Expectation
The chart predicts multiple rejections at the middle resistance before a breakout.
Markets don’t always behave in such a predictable pattern—sideways action could lead to a sudden breakdown instead of a breakout.
3. Lack of Volume & Trend Confirmation
There's no volume analysis to confirm if support and resistance levels are strong.
A higher time frame (1H or 4H) analysis would help validate if this is just consolidation or a genuine trend reversal.
4. Breakout vs. Fakeout Possibility
The projection assumes a clean breakout above resistance.
However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, where price moves above resistance, traps buyers, and then reverses sharply.
A liquidity grab above resistance could lead to a drop instead of a rally.
Alternative Perspective
Instead of assuming a clear upward movement, consider two scenarios:
1. Bullish Case: If volume supports the breakout, enter after a successful retest of resistance as support.
2. Bearish Case: If the breakout fails (fakeout), expect a retest and breakdown, leading to a lower support level
Btcusd strong sell 1. Resistance and Selling Zone:
The chart assumes that the marked resistance level will cause a strong rejection and lead to a downward movement. However, resistance levels can break if buying pressure is strong, leading to a breakout instead of a drop.
The selling zone marked might not be as strong as assumed, especially if there is high bullish momentum.
2. Bearish Projection Bias:
The analysis is heavily biased toward a bearish outcome, predicting a strong move down. However, Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and market sentiment can shift quickly.
The projection doesn’t account for potential bullish catalysts such as news, institutional buying, or unexpected support from higher time frames.
3. Support Level Stability:
While the support level is marked, there is no confirmation that it will hold. If too many traders expect it, it could be invalidated by a deeper move down.
It also lacks reference to volume analysis, which is crucial for confirming strong support or resistance.
4. Short Time Frame Limitations:
The chart is based on a 15-minute time frame, which can be misleading due to short-term noise.
A higher time frame analysis (1-hour or 4-hour) should be considered to confirm major trends.
5. Missing Confirmation Factors:
No indicators like RSI, MACD, or volume analysis are included to support the downtrend thesis.
Lack of candlestick pattern confirmation—just touching resistance doesn’t always mean reversal.
Alternative View:
Instead of expecting a direct rejection, a potential breakout scenario should be considered.
A fakeout above resistance could trap early sellers before a real move occurs.
USD/JPY Correction Could Offer Shelling OpportunityIn my USD/JPY analysis last week, I mentioned a high probability of the pair breaking support and continuing its decline.
That scenario has played out, with USD/JPY dropping below the key 151 support zone and now trading around 149.50.
An upside correction may be next, potentially providing traders with an opportunity to enter short and ride the downtrend.
Conclusion:
Rallies around 150.50 should be seen as selling opportunities, and as previously stated, I expect a further drop to 146. 📉
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG - resistance area 3000.Dear colleagues, I believe that the price will still continue the upward movement and there are a couple of reasons for that.
First, the price has not completed the five-wave movement.
Secondly, 3000 is a psychological level, which is not far away and I believe that it will be reached.
Therefore, I assume a small correction, but then I expect an upward movement to the resistance area of 3000.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 68.926 (Wave C).Colleagues, price has worked the downward movement perfectly, but I believe the downward movement is not over yet.
Wave “C” is a five-wave wave and now the price is in the correction of wave “4”.
I expect the price to reach the downtrend line in the area of 72.00 level, then I expect the price to decline to the area of 68.926.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 86.09
1st Support: 85.23
1st Resistance: 86.65
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 0.5093
1st Support: 0.5060
1st Resistance: 0.5135
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend.
The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position.
Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications.
What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth?
🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box).
🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box).
📈 Two Potential Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀.
📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline)
✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone)
💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
Falling towards overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5692
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5745
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6324
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6301
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish rebound off overlap support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8902
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8849
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8968
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4242
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4162
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4355
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and every pullback presents a buying opportunity within the trend.
The best approach at this stage is to wait patiently for a price correction to support levels before entering a buy position.
Another strategy is to wait for a break above the recent high and then enter a buy trade on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend remains intact, but trade entries should be executed with proper risk management and confirmation signals.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you expect further upside?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 25/2/2025
1. XAU/USD presents a compelling sell opportunity as price action suggests a potential downside move.
2. Technical indicators signal bearish momentum, with resistance levels holding firm.
3. Macroeconomic factors favor a stronger USD, pressuring gold prices lower.
4. A downward trajectory could target the 2900 level, aligning with historical support zones.
5. Rising bond yields and hawkish Fed policies add to gold’s downside risk.
6. Failure to breach key resistance zones reinforces the bearish outlook.
7. Market sentiment leans risk-on, reducing gold’s safe-haven appeal.
8. A break below critical support levels may accelerate selling pressure.
9. Short positions may benefit from volatility, with disciplined risk management.
10. Traders eye 2900 as a strategic target, capitalizing on gold’s potential correction.
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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BTCUSDTBTCUSDT is still in an uptrend. There may be a correction at this time. If the price cannot break through the 107279 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6323
1st Support: 0.6260
1st Resistance: 0.6402
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5663
1st Resistance: 0.5744
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.