USDINR The 2-year Rising Wedge is holding.The USDINR pair continues to respect the Rising Wedge that we mentioned more than 2 months ago (July 24, see chart below), giving us both excellent buy and sell signals:
This 2-year Rising Wedge pattern is approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line) once more so we're preparing for a sell signal again. The confirmation to sell within this pattern is given when the 1W RSI breaks above its MA line (yellow trend-line).
Our Target is 83.7500.
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Forexsignals
GBP/USD Faces Downside as Supply Zone Signals Possible ReversalThe GBP/USD pair is trading with a mild negative bias near 1.3370 during Tuesday's London session, as the British Pound (GBP) struggles to gain momentum. Comments from Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Jonathan Greene have raised concerns about potential price pressures, with Greene noting that strong UK consumer spending could further fuel inflation. This has kept the pair under pressure, especially after encountering a key supply area last week, where the price now seems poised for a possible reversal.
At the same time, less dovish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell have provided support for the US Dollar (USD), dragging the GBP/USD pair lower. Powell’s comments, hinting at a more cautious approach to rate cuts, have boosted the Greenback, creating headwinds for the Pound.
Investors are now bracing for the release of the US September ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data later today, as well as speeches from Fed officials Raphael Bostic and Lisa Cook. These events are likely to provide further insights into the Fed’s future policy direction and could impact the pair's next move.
From a sentiment perspective, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders remain extremely bullish on the GBP/USD pair, while larger institutional players are adopting a more cautious stance. This divergence in sentiment could signal a potential shift, with smart money seemingly positioning for a reversal rather than continuing the bullish trend.
Technically, the pair is struggling to break past the supply zone identified last week, indicating a possible downward correction. If the GBP/USD fails to hold above 1.3370, the pair could see further losses, especially if the upcoming US data supports the Greenback.
In conclusion, GBP/USD faces downside risks in the near term as investors weigh the impact of potential price pressures in the UK and a strengthening US Dollar. With key economic data and Fed speeches on the horizon, the market is preparing for possible volatility. Retail traders remain bullish, but caution from institutional players suggests a reversal could be on the horizon. Traders should closely monitor the supply area for signs of a sustained bearish move.
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Gold range higher read the caption Gold price is trading listlessly in a narrow range under the key $2,670 static resistance, lacking a clear directional impetus so far this Thursday. The focus now shifts toward a fresh batch of US economic statistics and speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers fresh directives amid the escalating geopolitical conflict between Israel and Iran
USD/JPY Recovers from Below 140.00 Area During BoJThe USD/JPY pair has staged an impressive recovery, pushing toward the 143.00 level in the European morning session, following an initial dip below 140.00. This move comes in response to the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy stance, as widely expected. Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference reiterated the central bank's cautious approach toward tightening monetary conditions, which triggered a temporary pullback in the currency pair.
From a technical standpoint, this recovery aligns with our prior analysis that pointed to a potential reversal within a demand zone near the 140.00 level. This area has acted as a key support, fueling buying momentum and setting the stage for a continuation of the long position. The price action suggests that buyers are still keen to capitalize on dips in the pair, particularly as USD strength remains broadly supported by the Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook.
Further supporting the bullish outlook is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders remain bearish on the USD/JPY pair. Typically, a contrarian view of retail positioning can indicate further upside potential, as institutional investors tend to take the opposite side of the trade. With retail sentiment still leaning toward the short side, it opens the door for continued upward movement in the pair, especially if market sentiment shifts further in favor of the U.S. dollar.
As we look ahead, the USD/JPY appears poised to target higher levels, with 143.00 acting as an immediate resistance. Should the bullish momentum persist, traders may set their sights on a potential breakout, paving the way for a sustained move higher. All eyes will remain on global central banks and key economic data releases in the coming weeks, as these will likely play a crucial role in shaping the next leg of the USD/JPY’s trajectory.
Previous Analysis
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DXY Sell this Oct-Nov dead-cat-bounce and target 97.000.Last time we looked into a such a long-term (multi-year) time-frame on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was 10 months ago (December 15 2023, see chart below) where we gave the most optimal buy entry at the time:
We now take it to the 1M time-frame where the long-term trend gets more clear and the pattern as you can see is a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom (U.S. Housing Crisis). The most recent Higher High was back in September 2022 and since then the index has been on a decline in an attempt to form the bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up.
As you can see, we are in the later stages of this (multi-year) Bearish Leg but last month (September) it hit its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 2022 and held it. This is expected to delay the Lower Low for a while but most likely won't invalidate it as if it closes a 1M candle below it, we expect to test the bottom by Q2 2025.
Both the Bearish and Bullish Phases seem to be consistent within this 16-year Channel Up, having a fair degree of symmetry. The Bearish Phases have previously come in the form of successive Channel Down patterns (dashed), so if this analogy continues to hold this time also, we should be half-way through the second currently.
All those Channel Down patterns dropped to at least the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the first pull-back they had. This consistency is remarkable. Such pattern suggests that after the current rebound is completed (technically it shouldn't exceed the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the price could decline to 96.000.
Our Target is a bit higher at 97.000, which would make an ideal Higher Low on this 16-year old Channel Up.
After that, the confirmation to buy (which naturally will tell us that the bottom is already in) would be a 1M MACD Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark. As you see, this took place 5 times these 16 years, all of which have been excellent buy entries with the lowest risk possible.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?GBP/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.7694
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.7578
why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.7868
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Bullish reversal?EUR/NZD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.76128
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.74918
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.77991
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Overlap support ahead?AUD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 99.77
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 98.59
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 101.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDHUF Major double bullish break-out took place yesterdayThe USDHUF pair achieved a huge double bullish break-out yesterday as not only did it break above Resistance 1 (360.650) but also above (and closed) the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 4-month Descending Triangle pattern. At the same time it closed above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is a major buy signal for the long-term, but even if we keep a short-term perspective, we can now target 367.500 (just below Resistance 2) with a lower risk factor than before.
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Potential bullish reversal?NZD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.84210
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.83582
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.84962
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GbpUsd breaks important confluence supportIn my analysis last week, I mentioned that for GBP/USD to maintain its upward momentum, bulls would need to push the price above the key resistance level at 1.3420. However, they were unable to clear that level, and the pair has since experienced a decline.
Interestingly, as I was writing this update, a significant break occurred below a confluence of support levels, which has now turned the outlook bearish. As things stand, the market sentiment appears to favor further downside for GBP/USD.
As long as the 1.33 level holds, the likelihood of more losses remains high, with 1.30 potentially becoming a target for the bears. Given this bearish setup, my current strategy is to sell into rallies, anticipating further downward movement in the pair.
In summary, the failure to break through resistance and the subsequent breach of key support levels suggest that GBP/USD is poised for further declines unless the market shows signs of recovery above the 1.33 level.
Gold price slumps on Wednesday amid heightened tensions between Gold retreated on Wednesday in the course of the North American consultation and dropped 0.50% each day as investors eyed Israel`s response to Iran`s assault on Tuesday. Geopolitics stays the driving force for investors, which lifted Gold fees after posting returned-to-returned bearish classes when you consider that final Friday. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,648 after hitting a excessive of $2,663.
The marketplace temper stays downbeat, as portrayed via way of means of US equities buying and selling withinside the red. According to exceptional newswires, traits withinside the Middle East endorse an escalation is likely. This shows that Bullion fees may want to enlarge their profits withinside the quick term.
Israel's envoy to the United Nations commented that Iran will face effects for its missile assault on Tuesday. At the equal time, US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell brought that it is “now no longer simply Israel this is considering reaction alternatives to Iran assault, US is too.”
In addition, personal hiring withinside the United States (US) improved above estimates in September, in line with ADP National Employment Change data. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stated the 50-basis-point (bps) fee reduce in September mentioned that quotes were “out of sync.”
Barkin brought that a few factors of the financial system endorse the disinflation manner could retain however that "it stays tough to mention that the inflation struggle has but been won.”
Potential bullish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance level which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.6235
1st Support: 0.6189
1st Resistance: 0.6298
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD / AFTER BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL - 4HAUDUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After the breakout channel , the price continues to rise, indicating the market is in an uptrend and buyers are dominating, putting upward pressure on the asset.
The price level of 0.689 is identified as a key support level. As long as the price stays above this, the uptrend is likely to
If the price remains above 0.689, the analysis expects it to move toward the supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701, where there might be resistance or selling pressure.
If a 4-hour candle closes below the 0.689 support level, it signals a potential bearish move. In this case, the price may decline and head towards the demand zone between 0.683 and 0.680.
My Target : supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701.
Overlap support ahead for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3721
1st Support: 1.3148
1st Resistance: 1.3320
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could price reverse from here?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.1020
1st Support: 1.0957
1st Resistance: 1.1075
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Key Support Holds for USD/JPY: Will the Pair Break Past 150?On Friday, USD/JPY experienced a significant sell-off, losing around 500 pips in a sharp downward movement.
However, after reaching the key horizontal support level at 141.64, the pair managed to find some relief and began a recovery, suggesting that the recent decline may have been short-lived. Currently, USD/JPY is working to negate this steep sell-off, indicating that the recovery process could be underway.
In my view, USD/JPY is poised to continue its rebound from the 162-140 decline, with the potential to surpass the psychological barrier of 150.
If the pair successfully breaks through this level, it could head toward the important resistance zone near 152, which will be a critical point for further bullish momentum.
For shorter-term traders, there are additional levels to monitor before reaching the 150 mark. Key upside targets include 147.30 and 149.40, both of which present potential profit-taking opportunities as the pair continues its recovery.
GBPAUD Clear Buy SignalPrices have just touched the 200 EMA and the lower Bollinger Band. This is also a strong demand zone from August. Volume is decreasing, indicating that sellers are not interested in pushing prices down further. The stochastic indicator has made a bullish crossover in the oversold area. A long wick confirms rejection. This is the perfect spot to buy!
Bullish reversal off overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6254
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.6208
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6305
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.72
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 147.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 144.30
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Entry: 0.8482
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8429
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8544
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3461
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3420
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3536
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.