Gold prices are no longer affected by investor reactions.Gold and silver prices posted strong gains on safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with the US dollar index falling sharply as the trading week began.
Market risk appetite was heightened at the start of the week, following a tense meeting on Friday between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, which raised concerns about US-Ukraine relations and the prospects of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
Meanwhile, US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China are set to take effect on Tuesday. Gold prices started the week on a strong note after posting its worst weekly performance in three months.
For April gold futures, the bulls still have the upper hand in the short term, but the uptrend on the daily chart has been temporarily invalidated. The next target for the bulls is to close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,974/oz.
Meanwhile, the bears' target is to push the price below the key support at $2,800/oz. The first resistance is at $2,920/oz, followed by $2,942/oz. The first support is at the overnight low of $2,866.3/oz, followed by $2,850/oz.
Forexsignals
EURUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers have stepped in, leading to notable price reversals. The current price action suggests a potential bearish reaction if the resistance holds.
If sellers maintain control, we could see a decline toward the 1.03940 level, which represents a logical target based on the current market structure. Confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or increased selling volume—would strengthen the bearish outlook.
However, if the price breaks above this resistance zone and sustains momentum, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, signaling a potential shift in favor of buyers.
Monitoring how price reacts to this zone is crucial for identifying entry opportunities. As always, applying proper risk management is essential given the potential for volatility.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPUSD Approaching Major Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control.
The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 1.25770—a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure.
However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Bearish reversal?NZD/CAD is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8152
1st Support: 0.8078
1st Resistance: 0.8194
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURAUD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.68270OANDA:EURAUD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.68270, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
GBPAUD - Bullish Continuation Toward 2.04040OANDA:GBPAUD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
With momentum favoring the upside, the next logical target is 2.04040, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. As long as the price remains above the support level, the bullish bias stays intact.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR has bounced off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.5736
1st Support: 18.4387
1st Resistance: 18.8136
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations:
Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge
The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum.
A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489).
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked.
Key levels to watch:
0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support
0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support
0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction
EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467)
The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support.
The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200.
If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push.
If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible.
Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows)
The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop.
Volume Analysis
Increasing volume suggests strong participation.
If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Buy Trade)
If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target:
First target: 1.0489 (previous high).
Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618).
Bearish Case (Sell Trade)
If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward:
First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5).
Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382).
Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200).
Conclusion:
EMA 200 is the key level to watch.
Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below.
If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy.
If it fails, further downside is expected.
Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
MY analysis on Gold in 1H chart its again downwords gold xauusd is in downword we can take sell positions for some time as it almost touches the EMA200 and again going downwords .
Key Observations:
Downtrend Channel Breakout:
The price was previously in a descending channel (marked in blue).
A breakout to the upside occurred, signaling a potential reversal or retracement.
200 EMA Resistance (Blue Line at ~2897):
The price approached the 200 EMA, which is a strong dynamic resistance.
The rejection at this level (highlighted by the red arrow) suggests selling pressure.
Bearish Rejection (Yellow Circle & Red Arrow):
A wick at the 200 EMA shows that buyers attempted to push higher but faced resistance.
This could be a sign of a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Potential Downside Target (Blue & Red Zones):
A short-term support zone is marked in blue, where price might retest.
A larger support block (red zone) indicates a deeper pullback if bearish momentum continues.
Volume Increasing:
Volume is rising, which could indicate stronger price action, whether continuation or reversal.
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bearish Case (Most Likely):
If price continues to reject the 200 EMA, it could drop toward the red support zone (~2,860-2,870).
A break below this level could lead to further downside.
Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If price reclaims the 200 EMA and holds above it, it could target the next resistance zone (~2,920).
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 200 EMA unless price breaks above.
Potential Trade: Watch for a retest of the blue zone for a possible short entry targeting the red support block.
Would you like an entry/exit plan based on this setup?
EURSEK at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURSEK is approaching a key demand zone, which has historically acted as strong support. The recent sharp decline has brought the price back into this area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction.
If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 11.25000 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, failure to hold this support could signal further downside continuation.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6225
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6177
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6296
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Potential bullish bounce?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.2603
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.2778
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level that is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8962
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8929
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.9003
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4360
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4307
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4486
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF - Sell Setup at Key Supply ZoneOANDA:USDCHF has reached a key supply zone, highlighted by strong selling interest. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms resistance within this zone, we could see further downside movement. A successful rejection could push the pair toward 0.89940, a logical target based on prior price behavior and the current structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
AUDCAD at Key Support Level – Rebound Toward 0.90000?OANDA:AUDCAD has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 0.90000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this support level would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Gold confirm buy opportunity read the caption Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is set to revisit the high in the Asian session near $2,876 at the time of writing after a steady positive Monday thus far. Tariffs are still set to hit on Tuesday for Mexico and Canada and additional tariffs on China, they are really triggering another flight into Gold. Traders will need to look
EUR/USD: Double Top Formation with Potential Downside TargetTechnical Analysis:
The EUR/USD chart shows the formation of a double top pattern around the 1.0480 level, which is commonly interpreted as a bearish reversal signal. The price action highlights that the previous resistance level has been tested twice, with an inability to break above this level, suggesting that selling pressure is building. Additionally, a broken trendline (indicated in the chart) supports the likelihood of a downward move.
The price has already broken below the ascending trendline, confirming the weakening bullish momentum. The target for this pattern is located at around 1.0325, which aligns with previous support levels and the projected completion of the pattern.
________________________________________
Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamentally, several factors could contribute to a potential downside for EUR/USD:
Economic Data Releases:
The Eurozone has been facing challenges with economic growth, particularly due to inflationary pressures and the ongoing impact of global supply chain disruptions.
On the other hand, the US economy has shown resilience, with strong labor market reports and consumer spending data that may indicate continued strength. If these trends persist, the USD could gain strength relative to the EUR.
Monetary Policy Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates, with a focus on stimulating growth in the region. This contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which has been tightening its monetary policy more aggressively to combat inflation.
The divergence in monetary policy could continue to support the USD, adding downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Geopolitical Events:
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the impact of global trade tensions and regional conflicts, could further affect the Eurozone's economic outlook, while the USD might benefit as a safe haven in times of uncertainty.
________________________________________
Conclusion: With both technical and fundamental factors pointing to a potential bearish scenario for EUR/USD, traders should be cautious of further downside movement. The key support around 1.0325 is critical, and a break below this level could open up further downside towards the next support levels.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is still struggling with the identified resistance zone and has been rejected multiple times from this level. Given the current market structure and the formed pattern, a corrective move toward the identified support area is expected. After completing the correction, the price is likely to resume its upward movement toward higher resistance levels.
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EURNZD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.86640OANDA:EURNZD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish momentum. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.86640, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
EURJPY: Gap is Going to Close 🇪🇺🇯🇵
There is a nice gap up opening on EURJPY.
The formation of a bearish engulfing candle
after a test of the underlined resistance indicates
that the gap is going to be filled soon.
Goal - 156.3
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Gold prices are said to be negative in the short termWorld gold prices recovered slightly amid a decline in the US dollar. At 9:45 a.m. on March 3, the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies, stood at 107.130 points (down 0.4%).
Gold prices will continue to decrease. “There is no reason to think that this profit-taking correction will not last for a while longer. But we need to remember that so far gold has only fallen less than 4% from its peak, after rising 12% this year.”
The fundamentals that drove gold demand over the past two years remain intact, so any possible decline to as low as $2,600 an ounce would be short-lived.”
In addition to strong demand from central banks, I also expect capital flows into gold ETFs to increase as interest rates fall, making gold more attractive to investors.
“However, this factor may be somewhat affected by speculators reducing their net buying positions in the gold futures market. Currently, the net buying position remains very high as concerns about lingering tariffs from the administration of US President Donald Trump cause investors to seek safe haven assets such as gold."